學術論文
研究焦點
全球學者
知識轉移
明德商論
龍虎山下
媒體報導
Does Liquidity Management Induce Fragility in Treasury Prices? Evidence from Bond Mutual Funds
Does Liquidity Management Induce Fragility in Treasury Prices? Evidence from Bond Mutual Funds
Mutual funds investing in illiquid corporate bonds actively manage Treasury positions to buffer redemption shocks. This liquidity management practice can transmit non-fundamental fund flow shocks onto Treasuries, generating excess return volatility. Consistent with this hypothesis, we find that Treasury excess return volatility is positively associated with bond fund ownership, and this pattern is more pronounced among funds conducting intensive liquidity management. Causal evidence is provided by exploiting the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s 2017 Liquidity Risk Management Rule. Evidence also suggests that the COVID-19 Treasury market turmoil was attributed to intensified liquidity management, an unintended consequence of the 2017 Liquidity Risk Management Rule.

The Interactions of Customer Reviews and Price and Their Dual Roles in Conveying Quality Information
The Interactions of Customer Reviews and Price and Their Dual Roles in Conveying Quality Information
Customer reviews help communicate product information, but their effectiveness may suffer from selection bias (i.e., depending on factors, such as the individual experience and price, not all consumers may voluntarily write reviews). Consequently, a seller may have to resort to additional means (e.g., signaling through price in the context of an experience good) to convey its quality. This paper develops an analytical model to investigate the interaction of customer reviews and price with the presence of selection bias in marketing an experience good with uncertain quality to consumers. Our analysis reveals the dual roles played by both customer reviews and price in communicating quality information. On one hand, customer reviews may either directly convey product information with unbiased distribution of reviews or facilitate price signaling when reviews are biased because of selection. On the other hand, price may be adjusted to mitigate the selection bias of reviews to make them more informative, and it may also signal quality directly in the presence of review bias. As a result, we show that bias in reviews may actually benefit consumers without compromising information communication as the incentive to reduce review selection bias makes it credible and profitable for the high-quality seller to signal its type by undercutting the price that would be set if it is of low quality. We then extend our analysis to examine the information, profits, and welfare impacts of several important design elements of a review system as well as the impact of consumers’ aversion to risk. Finally, the implications of our findings on the management of user-generated content and pricing are discussed.

Manipulation, Panic Runs, and the Short Selling Ban
Manipulation, Panic Runs, and the Short Selling Ban
Short selling regulation has been a longstanding topic of debate in financial markets, particularly during times of crisis. While proponents argue that short selling aids in price discovery and market efficiency, critics raise concerns about manipulative short selling practices that can destabilize markets. This paper presents a theoretical model to analyze the impact of short selling, specifically manipulative short selling (MSS), on bank runs and efficiency. The model demonstrates that MSS can emerge as an equilibrium outcome driven by uninformed speculators seeking to profit from artificially depressing stock prices. The prevalence of MSS is influenced by the level of informed trading and coordination friction among creditors. We find that short selling bans can enhance welfare by mitigating the negative effects of MSS, particularly in scenarios with high coordination frictions. We also provide policy and empirical implications.

Corporate Lobbying of Bureaucrats
Corporate Lobbying of Bureaucrats
Executive agencies play a pivotal role in shaping the regulatory environment by crafting rules, enforcing regulations, and overseeing government contracts—all of which can have a profound impact on businesses. For firms, this potential impact creates a clear incentive for firms to influence these agencies, particularly during the critical stages of rulemaking and enforcement. In this context, lobbying emerges as a key tool that companies use to mold the regulatory landscape to their advantage. Unlike politicians, whose decisions are often swayed by electoral cycles and campaign contributions, agency officials are not elected, serve longer terms, and are less susceptible to direct political pressures. As a result, engaging in lobbying efforts with executive agencies is both more complicated and strategically crucial for firms operating within heavily regulated industries. However, the dynamics of such lobbying remain underexplored in the literature.
春節幸福感和疫情感知風險調查:來自機器學習的洞察
春節幸福感和疫情感知風險調查:來自機器學習的洞察
2023年剛結束的兔年春節內地民眾過得怎樣?調查顯示,兔年春節期間,民眾的幸福感平均值為5.47,介於“比較開心”與“開心”之間(1為最低值,7為最高值),“比較開心”以上人群占比為83.1%。
How to Recover from Work Stress, According to Science
How to Recover from Work Stress, According to Science
To combat stress and burnout, employers are increasingly offering benefits like virtual mental health support, spontaneous days or even weeks off, meeting-free days, and flexible work scheduling. Despite these efforts and the increasing number of employees buying into the importance of wellness, the effort is lost if you don’t actually recover. So, if you feel like you’re burning out, what works when it comes to recovering from stress? The authors discuss the “recovery paradox” — that when our bodies and minds need to recover and reset the most, we’re the least likely and able to do something about it — and present five research-backed strategies for recovering from stress at work.

研究企業之間的協調行為 – 郝宇博士
研究企業之間的協調行為 – 郝宇博士
計算機編程聽起來好像和經濟風馬牛不相及,但擁有出色的編程技術,不但能幫助個人進行經濟學學術研究,更能助你在商界捉緊更多就業機會。

疫況愈下 「清零」何價?
疫況愈下 「清零」何價?
香港在連續數月「清零」後,在社區出現Omicron變種病毒個案,爆發第五波疫情,特區政府因而重新推出表列處所須關閉等社交距離防疫措施,並取消多項大型活動。
構想虛擬貨幣的未來 – 游楊博士
構想虛擬貨幣的未來 – 游楊博士
作為教師,在鼓勵同學努力學習之餘,我亦會主動了解本地市場運作以及邀請僱主來到課堂分享業界經驗。

貿易戰下中國經濟的危與機
貿易戰下中國經濟的危與機
鄧希煒教授:特朗普關稅政策對中國而言,短期壓力雖大,但長期通過產業鏈韌性建設、內需市場挖掘和理性出海,中國經濟仍具備較強的抗風險能力。
另類數據隱患:AI時代下的信貸市場
另類數據隱患:AI時代下的信貸市場
人工智能技術高速發展,有機會被部分借款者用來美化其信貸資料以獲批貸款。貸款方與其透過多方面大量收集數據審批借款者,倒不如自我設限,集中提高收集數據的質量,同時增加貸款利潤。
動態定價如何在解決遊戲成癮問題中實現「雙贏」?
動態定價如何在解決遊戲成癮問題中實現「雙贏」?
涵蓋電子遊戲、社交媒體和視頻共享平臺的數字媒體行業,去年收入估計打破5600億美元。當全球多達數千萬人沉迷電子遊戲,多國政府和組織都積極採取措施遏制趨勢。我們的研究顯示,動態定價可望解決遊戲成癮的問題。
創新策略的共通點——從減貧談到國際Web3中心
創新策略的共通點——從減貧談到國際Web3中心
一直以來,香港在四大支柱產業上表現卓越,包括貿易與物流、金融服務、專業及工商業服務以及旅遊業。根據香港政府的研究統計,在新冠疫情之前,這四個行業貢獻了接近六成的本地生產總值(GDP)和近一半的總就業機會。然而,這些支柱產業各自都面臨了不同程度的衰退,原因包括市場需求和用戶行為的快速變化、區域和全球競爭、新的價值鏈發展、先進科技的影響,以及地緣政治環境的變化。為應對這些挑戰,「創新」被提出作為解決這些問題的關鍵手法,而問題在於我們應如何制定創新策略——而不是單單為了「創新」而提出想法。本文將探討如何從減貧的角度出發進而延伸至研究Web3行業的發展,來思考創新策略的制定方法——這兩個話題的共通點或許能為我們提供關於香港未來發展路徑的啟示。
關稅豪賭  只有輸家
關稅豪賭  只有輸家
國際貨幣基金組織在上月發表的《世界經濟展望》,將全球經濟增長預測從今年 1 月的 3.3% 顯著調低至 2.8%。報告指出,中國和印度將成為推動全球經濟增長的主要動力,預計未來5年貢獻比例分別為 23%和超過15%;而美國因其關稅政策的不確定性,對全球經濟的貢獻率遭下調至 11.3%。
追蹤數據解讀RCEP 自貿四大關鍵趨勢
追蹤數據解讀RCEP 自貿四大關鍵趨勢
歷經7年談判,全球規模最大的自由貿易協定——《區域全面經濟夥伴關係協定》(RCEP)於2022年1月1日正式生效,成員國共佔世界人口近30%以及全球GDP超過三分之一。在全球經濟碎片化持續加劇之際,RCEP被寄予厚望。這項協定匯聚了亞太地區規模懸殊、制度各異的多元國家,展現出區域包容性合作的強大潛力與韌性。 實施至今3年以來,RCEP對亞太地區的貿易格局產生了哪些影響?又將如何重塑成員國之間的貿易模式?本文將根據香港大學亞洲環球研究所團隊建立的「RCEP Tracker」【註】,比較分析2020年首季至2024年第三季各RCEP成員的貿易表現
創新策略的共通點——從減貧談到國際Web3中心
創新策略的共通點——從減貧談到國際Web3中心
一直以來,香港在四大支柱產業上表現卓越,包括貿易與物流、金融服務、專業及工商業服務以及旅遊業。根據香港政府的研究統計,在新冠疫情之前,這四個行業貢獻了接近六成的本地生產總值(GDP)和近一半的總就業機會。然而,這些支柱產業各自都面臨了不同程度的衰退,原因包括市場需求和用戶行為的快速變化、區域和全球競爭、新的價值鏈發展、先進科技的影響,以及地緣政治環境的變化。為應對這些挑戰,「創新」被提出作為解決這些問題的關鍵手法,而問題在於我們應如何制定創新策略——而不是單單為了「創新」而提出想法。本文將探討如何從減貧的角度出發進而延伸至研究Web3行業的發展,來思考創新策略的制定方法——這兩個話題的共通點或許能為我們提供關於香港未來發展路徑的啟示。
關稅豪賭  只有輸家
關稅豪賭  只有輸家
國際貨幣基金組織在上月發表的《世界經濟展望》,將全球經濟增長預測從今年 1 月的 3.3% 顯著調低至 2.8%。報告指出,中國和印度將成為推動全球經濟增長的主要動力,預計未來5年貢獻比例分別為 23%和超過15%;而美國因其關稅政策的不確定性,對全球經濟的貢獻率遭下調至 11.3%。
貿易戰下中國經濟的危與機
貿易戰下中國經濟的危與機
鄧希煒教授:特朗普關稅政策對中國而言,短期壓力雖大,但長期通過產業鏈韌性建設、內需市場挖掘和理性出海,中國經濟仍具備較強的抗風險能力。