學術論文
研究焦點
全球學者
知識轉移
明德商論
龍虎山下
媒體報導
Does Liquidity Management Induce Fragility in Treasury Prices? Evidence from Bond Mutual Funds
Does Liquidity Management Induce Fragility in Treasury Prices? Evidence from Bond Mutual Funds
Mutual funds investing in illiquid corporate bonds actively manage Treasury positions to buffer redemption shocks. This liquidity management practice can transmit non-fundamental fund flow shocks onto Treasuries, generating excess return volatility. Consistent with this hypothesis, we find that Treasury excess return volatility is positively associated with bond fund ownership, and this pattern is more pronounced among funds conducting intensive liquidity management. Causal evidence is provided by exploiting the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s 2017 Liquidity Risk Management Rule. Evidence also suggests that the COVID-19 Treasury market turmoil was attributed to intensified liquidity management, an unintended consequence of the 2017 Liquidity Risk Management Rule.

The Interactions of Customer Reviews and Price and Their Dual Roles in Conveying Quality Information
The Interactions of Customer Reviews and Price and Their Dual Roles in Conveying Quality Information
Customer reviews help communicate product information, but their effectiveness may suffer from selection bias (i.e., depending on factors, such as the individual experience and price, not all consumers may voluntarily write reviews). Consequently, a seller may have to resort to additional means (e.g., signaling through price in the context of an experience good) to convey its quality. This paper develops an analytical model to investigate the interaction of customer reviews and price with the presence of selection bias in marketing an experience good with uncertain quality to consumers. Our analysis reveals the dual roles played by both customer reviews and price in communicating quality information. On one hand, customer reviews may either directly convey product information with unbiased distribution of reviews or facilitate price signaling when reviews are biased because of selection. On the other hand, price may be adjusted to mitigate the selection bias of reviews to make them more informative, and it may also signal quality directly in the presence of review bias. As a result, we show that bias in reviews may actually benefit consumers without compromising information communication as the incentive to reduce review selection bias makes it credible and profitable for the high-quality seller to signal its type by undercutting the price that would be set if it is of low quality. We then extend our analysis to examine the information, profits, and welfare impacts of several important design elements of a review system as well as the impact of consumers’ aversion to risk. Finally, the implications of our findings on the management of user-generated content and pricing are discussed.

Manipulation, Panic Runs, and the Short Selling Ban
Manipulation, Panic Runs, and the Short Selling Ban
Short selling regulation has been a longstanding topic of debate in financial markets, particularly during times of crisis. While proponents argue that short selling aids in price discovery and market efficiency, critics raise concerns about manipulative short selling practices that can destabilize markets. This paper presents a theoretical model to analyze the impact of short selling, specifically manipulative short selling (MSS), on bank runs and efficiency. The model demonstrates that MSS can emerge as an equilibrium outcome driven by uninformed speculators seeking to profit from artificially depressing stock prices. The prevalence of MSS is influenced by the level of informed trading and coordination friction among creditors. We find that short selling bans can enhance welfare by mitigating the negative effects of MSS, particularly in scenarios with high coordination frictions. We also provide policy and empirical implications.

Corporate Lobbying of Bureaucrats
Corporate Lobbying of Bureaucrats
Executive agencies play a pivotal role in shaping the regulatory environment by crafting rules, enforcing regulations, and overseeing government contracts—all of which can have a profound impact on businesses. For firms, this potential impact creates a clear incentive for firms to influence these agencies, particularly during the critical stages of rulemaking and enforcement. In this context, lobbying emerges as a key tool that companies use to mold the regulatory landscape to their advantage. Unlike politicians, whose decisions are often swayed by electoral cycles and campaign contributions, agency officials are not elected, serve longer terms, and are less susceptible to direct political pressures. As a result, engaging in lobbying efforts with executive agencies is both more complicated and strategically crucial for firms operating within heavily regulated industries. However, the dynamics of such lobbying remain underexplored in the literature.
春節幸福感和疫情感知風險調查:來自機器學習的洞察
春節幸福感和疫情感知風險調查:來自機器學習的洞察
2023年剛結束的兔年春節內地民眾過得怎樣?調查顯示,兔年春節期間,民眾的幸福感平均值為5.47,介於“比較開心”與“開心”之間(1為最低值,7為最高值),“比較開心”以上人群占比為83.1%。
How to Recover from Work Stress, According to Science
How to Recover from Work Stress, According to Science
To combat stress and burnout, employers are increasingly offering benefits like virtual mental health support, spontaneous days or even weeks off, meeting-free days, and flexible work scheduling. Despite these efforts and the increasing number of employees buying into the importance of wellness, the effort is lost if you don’t actually recover. So, if you feel like you’re burning out, what works when it comes to recovering from stress? The authors discuss the “recovery paradox” — that when our bodies and minds need to recover and reset the most, we’re the least likely and able to do something about it — and present five research-backed strategies for recovering from stress at work.

研究企業之間的協調行為 – 郝宇博士
研究企業之間的協調行為 – 郝宇博士
計算機編程聽起來好像和經濟風馬牛不相及,但擁有出色的編程技術,不但能幫助個人進行經濟學學術研究,更能助你在商界捉緊更多就業機會。

疫況愈下 「清零」何價?
疫況愈下 「清零」何價?
香港在連續數月「清零」後,在社區出現Omicron變種病毒個案,爆發第五波疫情,特區政府因而重新推出表列處所須關閉等社交距離防疫措施,並取消多項大型活動。
構想虛擬貨幣的未來 – 游楊博士
構想虛擬貨幣的未來 – 游楊博士
作為教師,在鼓勵同學努力學習之餘,我亦會主動了解本地市場運作以及邀請僱主來到課堂分享業界經驗。

另類數據隱患:AI時代下的信貸市場
另類數據隱患:AI時代下的信貸市場
人工智能技術高速發展,有機會被部分借款者用來美化其信貸資料以獲批貸款。貸款方與其透過多方面大量收集數據審批借款者,倒不如自我設限,集中提高收集數據的質量,同時增加貸款利潤。
動態定價如何在解決遊戲成癮問題中實現「雙贏」?
動態定價如何在解決遊戲成癮問題中實現「雙贏」?
涵蓋電子遊戲、社交媒體和視頻共享平臺的數字媒體行業,去年收入估計打破5600億美元。當全球多達數千萬人沉迷電子遊戲,多國政府和組織都積極採取措施遏制趨勢。我們的研究顯示,動態定價可望解決遊戲成癮的問題。
多模態人工智能模型:圖像生成能力評測與安全挑戰
多模態人工智能模型:圖像生成能力評測與安全挑戰
人工智慧圖像生成技術日新月異,推動市場營銷、廣告設計及藝術創作等領域的創新。港大經管學院創新及資訊管理學教授蔣鎮輝早前聯同其人工智慧大模型評測團隊對22款主流AI模型進行評估,深入剖析不同AI模型在圖像生成方面的表現及潛在風險。
美債風暴與環球金融重新洗牌
美債風暴與環球金融重新洗牌
2025年4月,全球金融市場經歷了一場前所未有的信用危機,美國10年期國債收益率飆升至4.5%,創下自2001年以來的最大單週漲幅。 這場危機背後的深層原因是什麼? 特朗普政府的關稅政策是市場動蕩的催化劑? 美債市場能否轉危為安?
泡泡瑪特一夜爆紅的IP策略
泡泡瑪特一夜爆紅的IP策略
提到現時最潮玩意,絕非Chanel或Taylor Swift,而是尖耳大眼、露九顆獠牙的Labubu! 港大經管學院市場學首席講師范亭亭指出,泡泡瑪特(Pop Mart)旗下Labubu迅速爆紅,並非偶然,而是源於其獨特的IP運營策略。品牌透過全球設計師合作,積極打造多元化角色,配合一條龍式的營運模式,從設計、生產至市場推廣,全面迎合年輕消費者的需求與喜好。 范亭亭認為:「泡泡瑪特善於利用數據分析,深入了解18至29歲年輕族群的潮流趨勢,並持續優化IP形象,增強消費者黏性。」Labubu的成功,並不僅依賴明星效應,而是在於品牌能夠持續建立社群互動,鞏固粉絲基礎,並引領潮流文化。 未來泡泡瑪特能否延續增長動力,關鍵在於其能否持續洞察市場變化,並深化與消費者之間的情感連結。
特朗普關稅大棒的背後
特朗普關稅大棒的背後
美國總統特朗普在「美國解放日」宣布全面徵收「對等關稅」(reciprocal tariffs),稅率高於市場預期,瞬即引發經濟和金融市場的震盪。耶魯的預算實驗室亦估計各種關稅共會推高美國短期物價 2.3%、導致每住戶平均減少3800美元的消費、及降低2025年美國GDP實質增長率0.9%,後果嚴重。 港大經管學院榮譽副教授陸炎輝認為,對特朗普政府而言,關稅既是目的也是手段。關稅可以直接為政府帶來收入,雖然不足以取代主要稅項;也可以推動些許再工業化,但難以回到美國工業的輝煌年代,而且發展工業並非一蹴即至,美國經濟可以在高關稅下持續多久仍待觀望。
美債風暴與環球金融重新洗牌
美債風暴與環球金融重新洗牌
2025年4月,全球金融市場經歷了一場前所未有的信用危機,美國10年期國債收益率飆升至4.5%,創下自2001年以來的最大單週漲幅。 這場危機背後的深層原因是什麼? 特朗普政府的關稅政策是市場動蕩的催化劑? 美債市場能否轉危為安?
關稅不能讓美國再次偉大
關稅不能讓美國再次偉大
美國總統特朗普貿然向全世界掀起關稅大戰,攪亂世界經濟棋局。爲何“科班”出身的特朗普執意要打違反經濟規律的關稅戰?能解决美國的貿易逆差問題嗎?對中國産業發展又會帶來哪些深遠影響?