學術論文
研究焦點
全球學者
知識轉移
明德商論
龍虎山下
媒體報導
The Green Revolution and Individualism: Evidence from Indonesia
The Green Revolution and Individualism: Evidence from Indonesia
This paper studies the effects of the Green Revolution, one of the largest development projects in the late 20th Century, on individualism. We use a difference-in-differences approach to investigate how rapid technological and organizational changes in traditional agriculture reshaped cultural norms in Indonesia, where Green Revolution rollout was largely driven by centralized government interventions. Regions with greater exposure to Green Revolution policies experienced significant and persistent increases in individualism (as measured by a higher prevalence of infrequent names) decades after the end of the program. Results are not driven by pre-trends and hold across a battery of robustness checks. We further document suggestive, correlational evidence of a persistent fall in community funding for public goods, a key measure of collective action. Our findings suggest that technical change can lead to rapid and persistent changes in culture.

Optimal Monetary Policy with Confounding Information
Optimal Monetary Policy with Confounding Information
In this paper, we study optimal monetary policy in an economy where firms’ price-setting decisions are distorted by a signal-extraction problem: they cannot perfectly distinguish aggregate from idiosyncratic shocks based on noisy local information. This systematic misattribution of aggregate shocks to firm-specific factors generates an additional price response, implying that strict price stability is no longer optimal. Instead, the optimal policy fully stabilizes the output gap, which necessarily requires accommodating fluctuations in the price level. The cyclicality of the optimal price level depends on the source of firms’ incomplete information: learning from local demand signals implies a procyclical price level, whereas learning from local productivity signals yields a countercyclical one.

Signaling Vision: Knowing When to Quit
Signaling Vision: Knowing When to Quit
We study a signaling game where agents signal their type by choosing when to quit pursuing an uncertain project. High types observe news about project quality and quit when bad news arrives. Low types who do not observe any news may mimic high types by quitting continuously over a phase of time. The reputation dynamics may exhibit nonmonotonicity with respect to quitting time. Our analysis offers a unifying explanation for how and when both early and late quitting can enhance reputation and suggests novel welfare and policy implications.

Corporate Lobbying of Bureaucrats
Corporate Lobbying of Bureaucrats
Executive agencies play a pivotal role in shaping the regulatory environment by crafting rules, enforcing regulations, and overseeing government contracts—all of which can have a profound impact on businesses. For firms, this potential impact creates a clear incentive for firms to influence these agencies, particularly during the critical stages of rulemaking and enforcement. In this context, lobbying emerges as a key tool that companies use to mold the regulatory landscape to their advantage. Unlike politicians, whose decisions are often swayed by electoral cycles and campaign contributions, agency officials are not elected, serve longer terms, and are less susceptible to direct political pressures. As a result, engaging in lobbying efforts with executive agencies is both more complicated and strategically crucial for firms operating within heavily regulated industries. However, the dynamics of such lobbying remain underexplored in the literature.
春節幸福感和疫情感知風險調查:來自機器學習的洞察
春節幸福感和疫情感知風險調查:來自機器學習的洞察
2023年剛結束的兔年春節內地民眾過得怎樣?調查顯示,兔年春節期間,民眾的幸福感平均值為5.47,介於“比較開心”與“開心”之間(1為最低值,7為最高值),“比較開心”以上人群占比為83.1%。
How to Recover from Work Stress, According to Science
How to Recover from Work Stress, According to Science
To combat stress and burnout, employers are increasingly offering benefits like virtual mental health support, spontaneous days or even weeks off, meeting-free days, and flexible work scheduling. Despite these efforts and the increasing number of employees buying into the importance of wellness, the effort is lost if you don’t actually recover. So, if you feel like you’re burning out, what works when it comes to recovering from stress? The authors discuss the “recovery paradox” — that when our bodies and minds need to recover and reset the most, we’re the least likely and able to do something about it — and present five research-backed strategies for recovering from stress at work.

研究企業之間的協調行為 – 郝宇博士
研究企業之間的協調行為 – 郝宇博士
計算機編程聽起來好像和經濟風馬牛不相及,但擁有出色的編程技術,不但能幫助個人進行經濟學學術研究,更能助你在商界捉緊更多就業機會。

疫況愈下 「清零」何價?
疫況愈下 「清零」何價?
香港在連續數月「清零」後,在社區出現Omicron變種病毒個案,爆發第五波疫情,特區政府因而重新推出表列處所須關閉等社交距離防疫措施,並取消多項大型活動。
構想虛擬貨幣的未來 – 游楊博士
構想虛擬貨幣的未來 – 游楊博士
作為教師,在鼓勵同學努力學習之餘,我亦會主動了解本地市場運作以及邀請僱主來到課堂分享業界經驗。

從反傾銷到貿易戰: 貿易政策與爭端的過去、現在與未來
從反傾銷到貿易戰: 貿易政策與爭端的過去、現在與未來
中美經貿磋商有助於管控分歧,但行業層面的貿易爭端不會隨之自動消失。從去年釜山會晤到今年5月特朗普總統訪華,雙方持續推進對話。
AI提速之後,企業還在等什麼?
AI提速之後,企業還在等什麼?
隨着AI與智能體能力提升,企業用AI生成一份報價的時間,已經從半天縮短到幾分鐘;但客戶收到報價,可能仍要等上一周。
下限抬升,上限消失 人工智能時代的四種驅動力與大分化
下限抬升,上限消失 人工智能時代的四種驅動力與大分化
人們寄望AI的發展能夠普惠各層級的能力。事實上,AI一方面正在讓普通能力趨同,另一方面正在拔高卓越能力的上限。能力的下限正在抬升,而能力的上限卻正在消失。
美國利率步入不明朗時期
美國利率步入不明朗時期
聯儲局的公開市場委員會(FOMC)在上星期將聯邦基金利率上調0.25厘,是2023年7月以來首次,也是聯儲局新任主席沃什上台後的第一次息率更改。
從線上勞動市場衝擊分析AI時代的教育命題
從線上勞動市場衝擊分析AI時代的教育命題
ChatGPT 問世不過數年,關於人工智能(AI)與就業的討論已明顯轉向。起初,人們擔憂AI是否會搶走人類工作;如今更值得深思的是:當所有人都能使用AI時,誰才有能力繼續留在牌桌上?
短期刺激與長期減負缺一不可
短期刺激與長期減負缺一不可
今年中國經濟呈現一組耐人尋味的「剪刀差」:首7個月,規模以上工業增加值增長5.3%,出口增長14%;同期社會消費品零售總額只微升1.2%,而固定資產投資更下跌6.7%。服務零售額則增長5%,顯示服務消費相對較有韌性,卻仍不足以扭轉內需整體偏弱的局面。
從反傾銷到貿易戰: 貿易政策與爭端的過去、現在與未來
從反傾銷到貿易戰: 貿易政策與爭端的過去、現在與未來
中美經貿磋商有助於管控分歧,但行業層面的貿易爭端不會隨之自動消失。從去年釜山會晤到今年5月特朗普總統訪華,雙方持續推進對話。
美國利率步入不明朗時期
美國利率步入不明朗時期
聯儲局的公開市場委員會(FOMC)在上星期將聯邦基金利率上調0.25厘,是2023年7月以來首次,也是聯儲局新任主席沃什上台後的第一次息率更改。
再全球化下的香港新定位
再全球化下的香港新定位
香港首份五年規劃上週出爐,港大經管學院副院長鄧希煒教授接受《鳳凰衛視》訪問時形容,這是一份「具香港特色的五年規劃」,提出務實及清晰的KPI。