Hongsong Zhang
Prof. Hongsong ZHANG
Economics
Associate Director, Institute of China Economy
Associate Professor

2859 2780

KK 906

Academic & Professional Qualification
  • Ph.D., Pennsylvania State University
  • M.A., Peking University
  • B.A., China Youth University for Political Sciences
Biography

Hongsong Zhang is an associate professor of economics at the HKU Business School. He serves as the associate director of the Institute for China Economy at the University of Hong Kong. His research covers Empirical Industrial Organization and International Trade, with a focus on productivity, buyer-supplier linkages, and firm dynamics. He is interested in how trade and industrial policies influence economic growth and resource allocation. He has served as an Associate Editor of the International Journal of Industrial Organization (IJIO) since 2020, a Co-Editor for a special issue of IJIO on “IO and Industrial Policy”, and a Co-Editor for China Economic Review since 2025. His research has been published in leading Economics journals such as RAND Journal of Economics, Economic Journal, Review of Economics and Statistics, International Economic Review, Journal of Development Economics, and European Economic Review. Dr. Zhang received his Ph.D. in Economics from the Pennsylvania State University in 2013.

Research Interest
  • Empirical Industrial Organization
  • International Trade
  • Productivity, Supplier Network and Firm Dynamics
Selected Publications
  • “How Do Large Epidemics Redistribute Market Power: Evidence from the 2003 SARS Shock
    in China”, with Yating Jiang. Review of Economics and Statistics, accepted, July 2025.
  • “Technology Training, Buyer-Supplier Relationship, and Quality Upgrading in an Agricultural
    Supply Chain”, with Sangyoon Park and Zhaoneng Yuan. Review of Economics and Statistics. 2025, 107 (3), 711-727.
  • “Input Prices, Productivity, and Trade Dynamics: Long-Run Effects of Liberalization on
    Chinese Paint Manufacturers”, with Paul Grieco and Shengyu Li. RAND Journal of Economics, Vol. 53, No. 3, 2022, pp. 516-560.
  • “Does External Monitoring from Government Improve the Performance of State-Owned
    Enterprises”,​ ​​​with Shengyu Li. Economic Journal, Volume 132, Issue 642, February 2022, Pages 675-708.
  • “What You Import Matters for Productivity Growth: Experience from Chinese Manufacturing
    Firms”, with Jiawei Mo, Larry Qiu, and Xiaoyu Dong. Journal of Development Economics, Volume 152, September 2021, 102677.
  • “Non-Neutral Technology, Firm Heterogeneity, and Labor Demand”, Journal of Development Economics, Volume 140, Pages 145-168, Sep. 2019.
  • “Productivity or Unexpected Demand Shocks: What Determines Firm-Level Investment and Exit Decisions?”, with Pradeep Kumar, International Economic Review, Volume 60, Issue 1, Pages 303-327, Feb. 2019.
  • “Static and Dynamic Gains from Costly Importing of Intermediate Inputs: Evidence from Colombia”, European Economic Review, Vol 91, page 118-145, Jan. 2017.
  • “Production Function Estimation with Unobserved Input Price Dispersion”,
    with Paul Grieco and Shengyu Li, International Economic Review, Vol 57-2, page 665-690, May 2016.
Selected Working Papers
  • “Output Quality, Productivity, and Demand Advantage: Evidence from the Chinese Steel
    Industry”, with Jing Li and Shengyu Li, July 2025. 2nd Round R&R at The RAND Journal of Economics.
  • “Returns to Scale, Productivity, and Markup: Revisit the Export Premium”, with Xing Hu
    and Yating Jiang, 2025. Submitted.
  • “Marketing and the Growth of Young Manufacturing Firms: Evidence from a Tax Incentive
    Policy”, with Yating Jiang, June 2024.
  • “Market Access through Production Networks: The Impact of Highway Development on Firm
    Performance”, ​with Guojun He, Xing Hu, and Shengyu Li.
  •  “The Risk of International Sourcing: Evidence from Chinese Export during COVID-19”, with
    Jiawei Mo and Larry Qiu, June 2024.
  • “Industrial Clustering with Production Networks: Micro Evidence and Aggregate Implications
    in China”, with Zexi Zhou, 2025.
  • “Special Economic Zones, Industrial Dynamics, and Regional Economic Growth with Production Networks”, with Zexi Zhou, 2025.
  • “Market Access through Production Networks: The Impact of Highway Development on Firm Performance”, with Guojun He, Xing Hu, and Shengyu Li, 2025. (Draft available upon request)
Recent Publications
Input Prices, Productivity, and Trade Dynamics: Long-Run Effects of Liberalization on Chinese Paint Manufacturers

We develop a dynamic model to analyze the impact of input tariff liberalization on input prices, trading decisions, and productivity. Although input tariffs directly affect input price benefits of importing, their impact on trade participation generates indirect benefits through productivity improvements and complementarity between importing and exporting. To disentangle these effects, we separately measure importing's effect on input prices and productivity and examine Chinese paint manufacturers' reaction to input tariff liberalization. We find that a mild short-term effect of tariff liberalization is amplified in the long run by induced trade participation, resulting in even higher productivity and lower input prices.

Does External Monitoring from the Government Improve the Performance of State-Owned Enterprises?

In this paper we investigate the impact of external monitoring from the government on state-owned enterprise performance, using the variation in monitoring strength arising from a nationwide policy change and firms’ geographic location in China. We utilise a structural approach to estimate input prices and productivity separately at the firm level using commonly available production data. We show that enhanced external monitoring, as a key component of corporate governance, can substantially reduce managerial expropriation in procurement (proxied by input prices) and shirking in production management (proxied by productivity). The results suggest that government monitoring can be an effective policy instrument to improve state-owned enterprise performance.

Does External Monitoring from Government Improve the Performance of State-Owned Enterprises?

Dr Hongsong Zhang of HKU Business School and Dr Shengyu Li of University of New South Wales discussed in this VoxChina piece their investigation of the impact of external monitoring from the government on state-owned enterprise performance, using the variation in monitoring strength arising from a nationwide policy change and firms’ geographic location in China. We utilize a structural approach to estimate input prices and productivity separately at the firm level using commonly available production data. We show that enhanced external monitoring, as a key component of corporate governance, can substantially reduce managerial expropriation in procurement and shirking in production management. The results suggest that government monitoring can be an effective policy instrument to improve state-owned enterprise performance.

What You Import Matters for Productivity Growth: Experience from Chinese Manufacturing Firms

This paper investigates the distinct effects of capital and intermediates imports on firms' productivity growth, and quantifies the importance of tariff structure in trade liberalization in developing countries. Using a large panel of Chinese manufacturing firms, we demonstrate that capital import has a substantially larger productivity effect than intermediates import. On the one hand, while both types of imports exert immediate effects on productivity, only capital import has dynamic productivity effects. On the other hand, we identify significant R&D-capital synergy effect and R&D-inducing effect from capital import, but there is no clear evidence of these effects from intermediates import. Regarding the effects of China's input tariff liberalization following its WTO accession, the change in tariff structure explains 18 percent of the productivity gains.

Does External Monitoring from Government Improve the Performance of State-Owned Enterprises?

In this paper we investigate the impact of external monitoring from the government on state-owned enterprise performance, using the variation in monitoring strength arising from a nationwide policy change and firms’ geographic location in China. We utilise a structural approach to estimate input prices and productivity separately at the firm level using commonly available production data. We show that enhanced external monitoring, as a key component of corporate governance, can substantially reduce managerial expropriation in procurement (proxied by input prices) and shirking in production management (proxied by productivity). The results suggest that government monitoring can be an effective policy instrument to improve state-owned enterprise performance.