Information sets, expectations, and preferences of politicians are fundamental, but unobserved determinants of their policy choices. Employing repeated votes in the US House of Representatives on China's normal trade relations (NTR) status during the two decades straddling China's World Trade Organization (WTO) accession, we apply a moment inequality approach designed to deliver consistent estimates under weak informational assumptions on the information sets of members of Congress. This methodology offers a robust way to test hypotheses about what information politicians have at the time of their decision and to estimate the weight that constituents, ideology, and other factors have in policy making and voting.

Dr. Bingjing LI
Economics
Associate Professor
3917 0019
KK 905
Academic & Professional Qualification
- Ph.D. in Economics, The University of British Columbia
- M.Phil. in Economics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong
- B.Soc.Sc (First Class Honors) in Economics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong
Biography
Dr. Bingjing Li is an Associate Professor of Economics at the University of Hong Kong (HKU). Her main research fields are international trade and applied microeconomics. Her works focus on understanding how openness to trade interacts with development and political economy factors, using both micro data and quantitative models.
Dr. Li obtained her Ph.D. in Economics from the University of British Columbia in 2016, M.Phil. in Economics from the Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK) in 2011, and B.Soc.Sc. from CUHK in 2009. She joined the HKU Business School as an Associate Professor in 2021. Before joining HKU, she worked at the National University of Singapore.
Research Interest
- International Trade
- Political Economy
- Labor Economics
- Applied Econometrics
Selected Publications
- “The Political Economy Consequences of China’s Export Slowdown.” (Filipe R. Campante and Davin Chor), Journal of the European Economic Association, Forthcoming.
- “Did U.S. Politicians Expect the China Shock?” (With Matilde Bombardini and Francesco Trebbi), American Economic Review, 113(1):174-209.
- “Processing Trade and Costs of Incomplete Liberalization: The Case of China.” (With Loren Brandt and Peter M. Morrow), Journal of International Economics, July 2021, 131:103453
- “Grain Export and Causes of China’s Great Famine: County-Level Evidence.” (With Hiroyuki Kasahara), Journal of Development Economics, September 2020, 146:102513
- “Trade, Pollution and Mortality in China.” (With Matilde Bombardini), Journal of International Economics, July 2020, 125:103321
- “Export Expansion, Skill Acquisition and Industry Specialization: Evidence from China.” Journal of International Economics, September 2018, 114:346-361.
Recent Publications
6Jan
6 Jan 2023
American Economic Review