{"id":223533,"date":"2024-11-06T15:12:30","date_gmt":"2024-11-06T07:12:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/research\/thought-leadership\/the-u-s-tariffs-and-trump\/"},"modified":"2024-11-06T15:13:27","modified_gmt":"2024-11-06T07:13:27","slug":"the-u-s-tariffs-and-trump","status":"publish","type":"thought-leadership","link":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/research\/thought-leadership\/hkej-column\/the-u-s-tariffs-and-trump\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u570b\u95dc\u7a05\u7531\u4f86\u5df2\u4e45 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am a tariff man\uff09\uff0c\u4e26\u8a8d\u70ba\u300c\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u5f88\u597d\uff0c\u4e26\u5bb9\u6613\u53d6\u52dd\u300d\uff08trade wars are good, and easy to win\uff09\u3002\u7d04\u5169\u5468\u524d\u5728\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u7af6\u9078\u8b1b\u8a71\u4e2d\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8aaa\u300c\u95dc\u7a05\u662f\u6700\u7f8e\u9e97\u7684\u55ae\u8a5e\u300d\uff08the most beautiful 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Tariff 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Lighthizer\uff09\u6240\u5f71\u97ff\u3002\u53c8\u6216\u56e0\u4ed6\u5169\u4f4d\u6240\u898b\u7565\u540c\uff0c\u5f8c\u8005\u662f\u5c11\u6578\u80fd\u5b8c\u6210\u56db\u5e74\u4efb\u671f\u800c\u6c92\u6709\u88ab\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8fad\u9000\u7684\u5167\u95a3\u6210\u54e1\u3002\u840a\u7279\u5e0c\u6fa4\u65bc\u53bb\u5e74\u51fa\u7248\u4e86\u540d\u70baNo Trade Is 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\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5c0d\u95dc\u7a05\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\uff0c\u6216\u53d7\u5230\u4ed6\u7576\u7e3d\u7d71\u6642\u4efb\u547d\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u8cbf\u6613\u4ee3\u8868\u7684\u7f85\u4f2f\u7279\uff0e\u840a\u7279\u5e0c\u6fa4\uff08Robert Lighthizer\uff09\u6240\u5f71\u97ff\u3002\u53c8\u6216\u56e0\u4ed6\u5169\u4f4d\u6240\u898b\u7565\u540c\uff0c\u5f8c\u8005\u662f\u5c11\u6578\u80fd\u5b8c\u6210\u56db\u5e74\u4efb\u671f\u800c\u6c92\u6709\u88ab\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8fad\u9000\u7684\u5167\u95a3\u6210\u54e1\u3002\u840a\u7279\u5e0c\u6fa4\u65bc\u53bb\u5e74\u51fa\u7248\u4e86\u540d\u70baNo Trade Is Free\u7684\u65b0\u66f8\uff0c\u8ad6\u8ff0\u4ed6\u5c0d\u4e16\u754c\u548c\u4e2d\u570b\u8cbf\u6613\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\uff0c\u614b\u5ea6\u76f8\u7576\u9df9\u6d3e\uff0c\u5927\u81f4\u662f\u4e2d\u570b\u5728\u8cbf\u6613\u4e0a\u300c\u5148\u4e0d\u4ec1\u300d\uff0c\u4ee5\u5404\u7a2e\u653f\u7b56\u9020\u6210\u7f8e\u570b\u8cbf\u6613\u9006\u5dee\uff0c\u5de5\u4eba\u5931\u53bb\u5d17\u4f4d\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u624d\u300c\u5f8c\u4e0d\u7fa9\u300d\uff0c\u6380\u8d77\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u7b49\u5230\u4eca\u5929\u5df2\u7d93\u662f\u8033\u719f\u80fd\u8a73\u7684\u8ad6\u8ff0\u3002 \u61b2\u6cd5\u6388\u6b0a\u7e3d\u7d71\u76f4\u63a5\u6539\u52d5\u95dc\u7a05 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content=\"\u5168\u7403\u77da\u76ee\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u5927\u9078\u7af6\u722d\u6fc0\u70c8\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u548c\u8cc0\u9326\u9e97\u5728\u5404\u6c11\u610f\u8abf\u67e5\u4e2d\u652f\u6301\u6bd4\u7387\u4f60\u8ffd\u6211\u8d95\uff0c\u5230\u672c\u6587\u57f7\u7b46\u6642\uff0c\u8ab0\u90fd\u6c92\u6709\u628a\u5c0d\u65b9\u62cb\u96e2\u5728\u7d71\u8a08\u8aa4\u5dee\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u5728\u5404\u7a2e\u56e0\u7d20\u5f71\u97ff\u4e0b\uff0c\u6c11\u610f\u8abf\u67e5\u7684\u6e96\u78ba\u6027\u6210\u7591\u30022016\u5e74\u7684\u6c11\u610f\u8abf\u67e5\u8868\u793a\u5e0c\u62c9\u8389\u6703\u52dd\u51fa\uff0c\u5169\u5e74\u524d\u7684\u6c11\u610f\u8abf\u67e5\u53c8\u986f\u793a\u570b\u6703\u4e2d\u671f\u9078\u8209\u6703\u51fa\u73fe\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u5927\u52dd\u7684\u7d05\u8272\u6d6a\u6f6e\uff0c\u4f46\u5169\u8005\u5747\u6c92\u6709\u767c\u751f\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7121\u8ad6\u8ab0\u7576\u9078\uff0c\u90fd\u6703\u56b4\u91cd\u6539\u8b8a\u570b\u969b\u653f\u7d93\u683c\u5c40\uff0c\u7279\u5225\u662f\u5e38\u88ab\u8a8d\u70ba\u300c\u96e2\u7d93\u53db\u9053\u300d\u7684\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e0a\u53f0\u3002 \u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u5c0d\u5916\u7d93\u6fdf\u653f\u7b56\u53d6\u5411\u5728\u9996\u500b\u7e3d\u7d71\u4efb\u671f\u5167\u5c31\u76f8\u7576\u660e\u986f\uff0c\u53e3\u865f\u662f\u300c\u4f7f\u7f8e\u570b\u518d\u6b21\u5049\u5927\u300d\uff0c\u5177\u9ad4\u4e43\u5426\u5b9a\u5408\u4f5c\u5171\u8d0f\u3001\u9000\u51fa\u591a\u908a\u5354\u8b70\u3001\u6253\u64ca\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u6709\u9806\u5dee\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u5925\u4f34\u3001\u4ee5\u95dc\u7a05\u70ba\u4e3b\u8981\u6b66\u5668\u7b49\u3002\u4ed6\u9019\u6b21\u6372\u571f\u91cd\u4f86\uff0c\u5df2\u591a\u756a\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u82e5\u518d\u7576\u9078\u4fbf\u6703\u5411\u6240\u6709\u5916\u570b\u7522\u54c1\u52a0\u5fb5\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u7522\u54c1\u7684\u7a05\u7387\u6703\u662f60%\u81f3100%\u751a\u81f3\u66f4\u9ad8\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u4e5f\u6703\u9ad8\u905410%\u751a\u81f320%\u3002 \u5f9e\u958b\u570b\u5230\u4e8c\u6230\u5be6\u65bd\u4fdd\u8b77\u4e3b\u7fa9 \u7279\u6717\u666e\u7279\u5225\u559c\u6b61\u4ee5\u95dc\u7a05\u70ba\u570b\u969b\u8ac7\u5224\u7684\u6b66\u5668\uff0c\u5a01\u903c\u5176\u4ed6\u570b\u5bb6\u5c31\u7bc4\u3002\u4ed6\u57282018\u5e74\u767c\u52d5\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\uff0c\u6063\u610f\u4ee5\u570b\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u70ba\u85c9\u53e3\uff0c\u5411\u6b50\u76df\u53ca\u4e2d\u570b\u7b49\u5730\u7522\u54c1\u5fb5\u6536\u5927\u5e45\u95dc\u7a05\u3002\u7576\u6642\u4ed6\u5f97\u610f\u5730\u8aaa\u81ea\u5df1\u662f\u300c\u95dc\u7a05\u4eba\u300d\uff08I am a tariff man\uff09\uff0c\u4e26\u8a8d\u70ba\u300c\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u5f88\u597d\uff0c\u4e26\u5bb9\u6613\u53d6\u52dd\u300d\uff08trade wars are good, and easy to win\uff09\u3002\u7d04\u5169\u5468\u524d\u5728\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u7af6\u9078\u8b1b\u8a71\u4e2d\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8aaa\u300c\u95dc\u7a05\u662f\u6700\u7f8e\u9e97\u7684\u55ae\u8a5e\u300d\uff08the most beautiful word\uff09\u3002\u5728\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u5834\u5408\uff0c\u4ed6\u8a87\u53e3\u8aaa\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u95dc\u7a05\u4f86\u722d\u53d6\u548c\u5e73\u3002\u82e5\u6709\u5169\u570b\u5927\u52d5\u5e72\u6208\uff0c\u4ed6\u53ef\u4ee5\u81f4\u96fb\u96d9\u65b9\uff0c\u8aaa\u82e5\u4e0d\u505c\u6230\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5c31\u5411\u4ed6\u5011\u5fb5\u6536\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u90a3\u6230\u722d\u81ea\u7136\u6703\u7d42\u7d50\u3002 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\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5c0d\u95dc\u7a05\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\uff0c\u6216\u53d7\u5230\u4ed6\u7576\u7e3d\u7d71\u6642\u4efb\u547d\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u8cbf\u6613\u4ee3\u8868\u7684\u7f85\u4f2f\u7279\uff0e\u840a\u7279\u5e0c\u6fa4\uff08Robert Lighthizer\uff09\u6240\u5f71\u97ff\u3002\u53c8\u6216\u56e0\u4ed6\u5169\u4f4d\u6240\u898b\u7565\u540c\uff0c\u5f8c\u8005\u662f\u5c11\u6578\u80fd\u5b8c\u6210\u56db\u5e74\u4efb\u671f\u800c\u6c92\u6709\u88ab\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8fad\u9000\u7684\u5167\u95a3\u6210\u54e1\u3002\u840a\u7279\u5e0c\u6fa4\u65bc\u53bb\u5e74\u51fa\u7248\u4e86\u540d\u70baNo Trade Is Free\u7684\u65b0\u66f8\uff0c\u8ad6\u8ff0\u4ed6\u5c0d\u4e16\u754c\u548c\u4e2d\u570b\u8cbf\u6613\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\uff0c\u614b\u5ea6\u76f8\u7576\u9df9\u6d3e\uff0c\u5927\u81f4\u662f\u4e2d\u570b\u5728\u8cbf\u6613\u4e0a\u300c\u5148\u4e0d\u4ec1\u300d\uff0c\u4ee5\u5404\u7a2e\u653f\u7b56\u9020\u6210\u7f8e\u570b\u8cbf\u6613\u9006\u5dee\uff0c\u5de5\u4eba\u5931\u53bb\u5d17\u4f4d\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u624d\u300c\u5f8c\u4e0d\u7fa9\u300d\uff0c\u6380\u8d77\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u7b49\u5230\u4eca\u5929\u5df2\u7d93\u662f\u8033\u719f\u80fd\u8a73\u7684\u8ad6\u8ff0\u3002 \u61b2\u6cd5\u6388\u6b0a\u7e3d\u7d71\u76f4\u63a5\u6539\u52d5\u95dc\u7a05 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\u7f8e\u570b\u9577\u671f\u71df\u9020\u4e2d\u570b\u4e0d\u516c\u5e73\u8cbf\u6613\u7684\u8aaa\u6cd5\uff0c\u52a0\u4ee5\u6253\u58d3\u4e2d\u570b\u662f\u5171\u548c\u3001\u6c11\u4e3b\u5169\u9ee8\u7684\u5c11\u6578\u5171\u8b58\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u6216\u53ef\u4e0d\u53d7\u61b2\u6cd5\u7d04\u675f\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7522\u54c1\u4e00\u5f8b\u5fb5\u653660%\u95dc\u7a05\u3002\u4f46\u5c0d\u5176\u4ed6\u570b\u5bb6\u7d71\u4e00\u5fb5\u653610%\u621620%\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u5247\u53ef\u80fd\u53d7\u5230\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u7684\u6311\u6230\uff0c\u90a3\u6642\u4fbf\u8981\u770b\u9019\u6b21\u9078\u8209\u5f8c\u570b\u6703\u5169\u9662\u8b70\u5e2d\u7684\u5206\u914d\u4e86\u3002 \u9678\u708e\u8f1d\u535a\u58eb \u6e2f\u5927\u7d93\u7ba1\u5b78\u9662\u69ae\u8b7d\u526f\u6559\u6388 \uff08\u672c\u6587\u540c\u6642\u65bc\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e8c\u56db\u5e74\u5341\u4e00\u6708\u516d\u65e5\u8f09\u65bc\u300a\u4fe1\u5831\u300b\u300c\u9f8d\u864e\u5c71\u4e0b\u300d\u5c08\u6b04\uff09\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/research\/thought-leadership\/hkej-column\/the-u-s-tariffs-and-trump\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-11-06T07:12:30+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-11-06T07:13:27+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"\u7f8e\u570b\u95dc\u7a05\u7531\u4f86\u5df2\u4e45 \u7279\u6717\u666e\u975e\u96e2\u7d93\u53db\u9053 - HKU Business School\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"\u5168\u7403\u77da\u76ee\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u5927\u9078\u7af6\u722d\u6fc0\u70c8\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u548c\u8cc0\u9326\u9e97\u5728\u5404\u6c11\u610f\u8abf\u67e5\u4e2d\u652f\u6301\u6bd4\u7387\u4f60\u8ffd\u6211\u8d95\uff0c\u5230\u672c\u6587\u57f7\u7b46\u6642\uff0c\u8ab0\u90fd\u6c92\u6709\u628a\u5c0d\u65b9\u62cb\u96e2\u5728\u7d71\u8a08\u8aa4\u5dee\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u5728\u5404\u7a2e\u56e0\u7d20\u5f71\u97ff\u4e0b\uff0c\u6c11\u610f\u8abf\u67e5\u7684\u6e96\u78ba\u6027\u6210\u7591\u30022016\u5e74\u7684\u6c11\u610f\u8abf\u67e5\u8868\u793a\u5e0c\u62c9\u8389\u6703\u52dd\u51fa\uff0c\u5169\u5e74\u524d\u7684\u6c11\u610f\u8abf\u67e5\u53c8\u986f\u793a\u570b\u6703\u4e2d\u671f\u9078\u8209\u6703\u51fa\u73fe\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u5927\u52dd\u7684\u7d05\u8272\u6d6a\u6f6e\uff0c\u4f46\u5169\u8005\u5747\u6c92\u6709\u767c\u751f\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7121\u8ad6\u8ab0\u7576\u9078\uff0c\u90fd\u6703\u56b4\u91cd\u6539\u8b8a\u570b\u969b\u653f\u7d93\u683c\u5c40\uff0c\u7279\u5225\u662f\u5e38\u88ab\u8a8d\u70ba\u300c\u96e2\u7d93\u53db\u9053\u300d\u7684\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e0a\u53f0\u3002 \u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u5c0d\u5916\u7d93\u6fdf\u653f\u7b56\u53d6\u5411\u5728\u9996\u500b\u7e3d\u7d71\u4efb\u671f\u5167\u5c31\u76f8\u7576\u660e\u986f\uff0c\u53e3\u865f\u662f\u300c\u4f7f\u7f8e\u570b\u518d\u6b21\u5049\u5927\u300d\uff0c\u5177\u9ad4\u4e43\u5426\u5b9a\u5408\u4f5c\u5171\u8d0f\u3001\u9000\u51fa\u591a\u908a\u5354\u8b70\u3001\u6253\u64ca\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u6709\u9806\u5dee\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u5925\u4f34\u3001\u4ee5\u95dc\u7a05\u70ba\u4e3b\u8981\u6b66\u5668\u7b49\u3002\u4ed6\u9019\u6b21\u6372\u571f\u91cd\u4f86\uff0c\u5df2\u591a\u756a\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u82e5\u518d\u7576\u9078\u4fbf\u6703\u5411\u6240\u6709\u5916\u570b\u7522\u54c1\u52a0\u5fb5\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u7522\u54c1\u7684\u7a05\u7387\u6703\u662f60%\u81f3100%\u751a\u81f3\u66f4\u9ad8\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u4e5f\u6703\u9ad8\u905410%\u751a\u81f320%\u3002 \u5f9e\u958b\u570b\u5230\u4e8c\u6230\u5be6\u65bd\u4fdd\u8b77\u4e3b\u7fa9 \u7279\u6717\u666e\u7279\u5225\u559c\u6b61\u4ee5\u95dc\u7a05\u70ba\u570b\u969b\u8ac7\u5224\u7684\u6b66\u5668\uff0c\u5a01\u903c\u5176\u4ed6\u570b\u5bb6\u5c31\u7bc4\u3002\u4ed6\u57282018\u5e74\u767c\u52d5\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\uff0c\u6063\u610f\u4ee5\u570b\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u70ba\u85c9\u53e3\uff0c\u5411\u6b50\u76df\u53ca\u4e2d\u570b\u7b49\u5730\u7522\u54c1\u5fb5\u6536\u5927\u5e45\u95dc\u7a05\u3002\u7576\u6642\u4ed6\u5f97\u610f\u5730\u8aaa\u81ea\u5df1\u662f\u300c\u95dc\u7a05\u4eba\u300d\uff08I am a tariff man\uff09\uff0c\u4e26\u8a8d\u70ba\u300c\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u5f88\u597d\uff0c\u4e26\u5bb9\u6613\u53d6\u52dd\u300d\uff08trade wars are good, and easy to win\uff09\u3002\u7d04\u5169\u5468\u524d\u5728\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u7af6\u9078\u8b1b\u8a71\u4e2d\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8aaa\u300c\u95dc\u7a05\u662f\u6700\u7f8e\u9e97\u7684\u55ae\u8a5e\u300d\uff08the most beautiful word\uff09\u3002\u5728\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u5834\u5408\uff0c\u4ed6\u8a87\u53e3\u8aaa\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u95dc\u7a05\u4f86\u722d\u53d6\u548c\u5e73\u3002\u82e5\u6709\u5169\u570b\u5927\u52d5\u5e72\u6208\uff0c\u4ed6\u53ef\u4ee5\u81f4\u96fb\u96d9\u65b9\uff0c\u8aaa\u82e5\u4e0d\u505c\u6230\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5c31\u5411\u4ed6\u5011\u5fb5\u6536\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u90a3\u6230\u722d\u81ea\u7136\u6703\u7d42\u7d50\u3002 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\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7279\u5225\u559c\u6b61\u4ee5\u95dc\u7a05\u70ba\u570b\u969b\u8ac7\u5224\u7684\u6b66\u5668\uff0c\u5a01\u903c\u5176\u4ed6\u570b\u5bb6\u5c31\u7bc4\u3002\u4ed6\u57282018\u5e74\u767c\u52d5\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\uff0c\u6063\u610f\u4ee5\u570b\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u70ba\u85c9\u53e3\uff0c\u5411\u6b50\u76df\u53ca\u4e2d\u570b\u7b49\u5730\u7522\u54c1\u5fb5\u6536\u5927\u5e45\u95dc\u7a05\u3002\u7576\u6642\u4ed6\u5f97\u610f\u5730\u8aaa\u81ea\u5df1\u662f\u300c\u95dc\u7a05\u4eba\u300d\uff08I am a tariff man\uff09\uff0c\u4e26\u8a8d\u70ba\u300c\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u5f88\u597d\uff0c\u4e26\u5bb9\u6613\u53d6\u52dd\u300d\uff08trade wars are good, and easy to win\uff09\u3002\u7d04\u5169\u5468\u524d\u5728\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u7af6\u9078\u8b1b\u8a71\u4e2d\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8aaa\u300c\u95dc\u7a05\u662f\u6700\u7f8e\u9e97\u7684\u55ae\u8a5e\u300d\uff08the most beautiful word\uff09\u3002\u5728\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u5834\u5408\uff0c\u4ed6\u8a87\u53e3\u8aaa\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u95dc\u7a05\u4f86\u722d\u53d6\u548c\u5e73\u3002\u82e5\u6709\u5169\u570b\u5927\u52d5\u5e72\u6208\uff0c\u4ed6\u53ef\u4ee5\u81f4\u96fb\u96d9\u65b9\uff0c\u8aaa\u82e5\u4e0d\u505c\u6230\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5c31\u5411\u4ed6\u5011\u5fb5\u6536\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u90a3\u6230\u722d\u81ea\u7136\u6703\u7d42\u7d50\u3002 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