{"id":219257,"date":"2024-09-11T16:01:11","date_gmt":"2024-09-11T08:01:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/research\/thought-leadership\/cpi-or-epi-or-both\/"},"modified":"2024-09-11T16:02:15","modified_gmt":"2024-09-11T08:02:15","slug":"cpi-or-epi-or-both","status":"publish","type":"thought-leadership","link":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/research\/thought-leadership\/hkej-column\/cpi-or-epi-or-both\/","title":{"rendered":"\u69cb\u5efa\u65b0\u6307\u6578 \u901a\u8139\u66f4\u9760\u8b5c"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span>\u00a0<\/span>\u5f9e\u500b\u4eba\u548c\u5bb6\u5ead\u7684\u8ca1\u52d9\u898f\u5283\uff0c\u5230\u6c7a\u7b56\u8005\u5236\u5b9a\u6301\u7e8c\u6539\u5584\u6c11\u751f\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5e02\u6c11\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u958b\u652f\u90fd\u662f\u5176\u4e2d\u95dc\u9375\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u64da\u9999\u6e2f\u7279\u5340\u653f\u5e9c\u7d71\u8a08\u8655\u63cf\u8ff0<a href=\"#\u8a3b\">\u3010\u8a3b1\u3011<\/a>\uff0c\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08<span>Consumer Price Index<\/span>\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31<span>CPI<\/span>\uff09\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u6c11\u901a\u5e38\u8cfc\u8cb7\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u50f9\u683c\u6c34\u5e73\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684\u6307\u6a19\u3002\u7576<span>CPI<\/span>\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u5e02\u6c11\u5728\u958b\u652f\u7dad\u6301\u4e0d\u8b8a\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e00\u822c\u53ef\u8cfc\u8cb7\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u6e1b\u5c11\u3002\u63db\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c<span>CPI<\/span>\u7684\u8b8a\u52d5\u53cd\u6620\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u6240\u9762\u5c0d\u7684\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\uff1b\u4f46\u9451\u65bc<span>CPI<\/span>\u5728\u4f30\u7b97\u5e02\u6c11\u65e5\u5e38\u958b\u652f\u4e0a\u5f80\u5f80\u51fa\u73fe\u504f\u5dee\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u9664\u4e86\u63a2\u8a0e\u5176\u5c40\u9650\u5916\uff0c\u4ea6\u5efa\u8b70\u63a1\u7528\u65e5\u5e38\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08<span>Everyday Price Index<\/span>\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5>\u73fe\u884c\u6307\u6578\u6709\u76f2\u9ede<\/h5>\n<p><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>CPI<\/span>\u662f\u53cd\u6620\u672c\u6e2f\u7269\u50f9\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684\u4e3b\u6d41\u6307\u6a19\u3002\u653f\u5e9c\u7d71\u8a08\u8655\u6bcf\u6708\u5747\u6703\u516c\u5e03\u6309\u6708\u7684<span>CPI<\/span>\u8b8a\u52d5\uff0c\u5e02\u6c11\u53ef\u900f\u904e\u65b0\u805e\u5a92\u9ad4\u5f97\u6089\u76f8\u95dc\u6578\u64da\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u666e\u7f85\u5927\u773e\u5c0d\u65bc<span>CPI<\/span>\u7684\u4e86\u89e3\u6bcf\u591a\u6d41\u65bc\u7247\u9762\uff0c\u6216\u6703\u8aa4\u4ee5\u70ba\u5728\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6240\u898b\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u8b8a\u52d5\u7406\u61c9\u5b8c\u5168\u53cd\u6620\u5176\u4e2d\u3002\u5be6\u969b\u4e0a\uff0c\u53bb\u5e74\u4e00\u5247\u5c08\u984c\u65b0\u805e\u5831\u9053\u5c31\u66fe\u70ba\u8b80\u8005\u62c6\u89e3\u300c\u4f4e\u901a\u8139\u4e4b\u8b0e\u300d\u3002\u7576\u4e2d\u4e0d\u5c11\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u5927\u81f4\u6839\u64da\u81ea\u8eab\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u7d93\u9a57\uff0c\u4f30\u7b97\u5be6\u969b\u901a\u8139\u7387\u9ad8\u65bc\u5b98\u65b9\u516c\u5e03\u6578\u5b57\uff0c\u4e26\u8a8d\u70ba\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u6578\u64da\u300c\u96e2\u5730\u300d<a href=\"#\u8a3b\">\u3010\u8a3b2\u3011<\/a>\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5ba2\u89c0\u800c\u8a00\uff0c<span>CPI<\/span>\u7684\u78ba\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u4e9b\u76f2\u9ede\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u4e26\u975e\u4e00\u500b\u53cd\u6620\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u7684\u826f\u597d\u6307\u6a19\u3002\u539f\u56e0\u4e4b\u4e00\u662f\u5728\u5176\u69cb\u6210\u90e8\u5206\u4e2d\uff0c\u652f\u51fa\u983b\u7387\u8f03\u4f4e\u7684\u985e\u5225\u6b0a\u6578\u4f54\u6bd4\u8f03\u5927\u3002\u53c3\u8003\u7d71\u8a08\u8655\u4ee5<span>2019\/20<\/span>\u5e74\u70ba\u57fa\u671f\u7684\u5404\u5546\u54c1\u6216\u670d\u52d9\u7d44\u5225\u7684\u7d9c\u5408\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08<span>Composite Consumer Price Index<\/span>\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31<span>CCPI<\/span>\uff09\u958b\u652f\u6b0a\u6578<a href=\"#\u8a3b\">\u3010\u8a3b3\u3011<\/a>\uff0c\u7576\u4e2d\u300c\u4f4f\u5c4b\u300d\u985e\u5225\u7684\u6b0a\u6578\u4f54\u6bd4\u6700\u9ad8\uff0c\u8d85\u904e\u56db\u6210\u3010\u8868\u3011\uff1b\u800c\u65e5\u5e38\u6240\u9700\u7684\u98df\u54c1\u548c\u4ea4\u901a\u7b49\u958b\u652f\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u6bd4\u975e\u65e5\u5e38\u652f\u51fa\uff08\u5982\u79df\u91d1\u3001\u5bb6\u5177\uff09\u66f4\u70ba\u983b\u7e41\uff0c\u5c0e\u81f4\u5e02\u6c11\u5c0d\u901a\u8139\u7684\u89c0\u611f\u8f03\u6613\u53d7\u6b64\u5f71\u97ff\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-219242 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/graph1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"646\" height=\"504\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/graph1.png 646w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/graph1-300x234.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 646px) 100vw, 646px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u4ee5<span>2019<\/span>\u81f3<span>2024<\/span>\u5e74\u7684\u6578\u64da\u70ba\u4f8b<a href=\"#\u8a3b\">\u3010\u8a3b4\u3011<\/a>\uff0c<span>CCPI<\/span>\u4e2d\u4f4f\u5c4b\u7684\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\u6309\u5e74\u8b8a\u52d5\u767e\u5206\u7387\u5927\u81f4\u6bd4\u98df\u54c1\u3001\u4ea4\u901a\u70ba\u4f4e\uff0c\u57fa\u65bc\u4f4f\u5c4b\u7684\u6b0a\u6578\u4f54\u6bd4\u6700\u5927\u3010\u5716<span>1<\/span>\u3011\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f4<span>CPI<\/span>\u53d7\u4f4f\u5c4b\u50f9\u683c\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u8f03\u5927\uff0c\u5c0d\u98df\u54c1\u3001\u4ea4\u901a\u7b49\u65e5\u5e38\u958b\u652f\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u8b8a\u52d5\u5247\u8f03\u4e0d\u654f\u611f\uff0c\u800c\u4f4e\u4f30\u9019\u6bb5\u671f\u9593\u7684\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-219245 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/graph2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"593\" height=\"331\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/graph2.png 593w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/graph2-300x167.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 593px) 100vw, 593px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u4e00\u822c\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5e02\u6c11\u8f03\u5728\u610f\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u52a0\u50f9\uff0c\u5c0d\u6e1b\u50f9\u7684\u5370\u8c61\u5247\u8f03\u6dfa\u6216\u4e0d\u4ee5\u70ba\u610f\uff0c\u5c6c\u8a18\u61b6\u504f\u898b\uff08<span>memory bias<\/span>\uff09\u7684\u4e00\u7a2e\u3002\u65e5\u5e38\u6d88\u8cbb\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u4e0d\u4f46\u652f\u51fa\u983b\u7e41\uff0c\u5176\u50f9\u683c\u8abf\u6574\u4ea6\u8f03\u983b\u5bc6\u3002\u53c3\u8003\u4e00\u9805\u6ce2\u862d\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u611f\u77e5\u6309\u5e74\u901a\u8139\u7387\u7684\u5b78\u8853\u7814\u7a76<a href=\"#\u8a3b\">\u3010\u8a3b5\u3011<\/a>\uff0c\u7531<span>2004<\/span>\u5e74\u81f3<span>2017<\/span>\u5e74\u9593\uff0c\u554f\u5377\u8abf\u67e5\u7d50\u679c\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u7adf\u6709\u8fd1<span>99%<\/span>\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u4e0d\u70ba\u610f\u6b77\u6642<span>28<\/span>\u500b\u6708\uff08<span>2014<\/span>\u5e74<span>7<\/span>\u6708\u81f3<span>2016<\/span>\u5e74<span>10<\/span>\u6708\uff09\u51fa\u73fe\u901a\u7e2e\u3010\u5716<span>2<\/span>\u3011\uff0c\u7576\u4e2d<span>43%<\/span>\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u8a8d\u70ba\u7269\u50f9\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u5176\u9918<span>53%<\/span>\u66f4\u8a8d\u70ba\u7269\u50f9\u4e0d\u8dcc\u53cd\u5347\u3010\u5716<span>3<\/span>\u3011\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-219248 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/graph3-1024x590.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"590\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/graph3-1024x590.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/graph3-300x173.png 300w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/graph3-768x442.png 768w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/graph3.png 1384w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-219251 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/graph4-1024x562.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"562\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/graph4-1024x562.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/graph4-300x165.png 300w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/graph4-768x422.png 768w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/graph4-1536x844.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/graph4.png 2032w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u56e0\u57fa\u6578\u6548\u61c9\uff08<span>base effect<\/span>\uff09\u4f5c\u795f\uff0c\u5e02\u6c11\u5bb9\u6613\u9ad8\u4f30\u901a\u8139\u3002\u65e5\u5e38\u958b\u652f\u7684\u57fa\u6578\u8f03\u5c0f\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u8857\u5e02<span>10<\/span>\u5143<span>1<\/span>\u65a4\u7684\u751f\u83dc\u50c5\u52a0\u50f9<span>1<\/span>\u5143\uff0c\u4ea6\u5373<span>10%<\/span>\u5347\u5e45\uff0c\u5bb9\u6613\u4ee4\u5e02\u6c11\u9ad8\u4f30\u901a\u8139\u3002\u4e0a\u8ff0\u7814\u7a76\u540c\u6642\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u611f\u77e5\u901a\u8139\uff08<span>inflation perception<\/span>\uff09\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u8207\u5be6\u969b<span>CPI<\/span>\u901a\u8139\u5927\u81f4\u76f8\u540c\uff0c\u537b\u5e73\u5747\u9ad8\u4f30<span>10<\/span>\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\u3010\u5716<span>2<\/span>\u3011\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u6307\u51fa<span>CPI<\/span>\u8207\u6ce2\u862d\u5e02\u6c11\u5c0d\u901a\u8139\u611f\u53d7\u6709\u6240\u5dee\u8ddd\uff0c\u8207\u5176\u4ed6\u6b50\u76df\u570b\u60c5\u6cc1\u76f8\u4f3c\uff0c\u53ef\u898b\u4e26\u975e\u500b\u5225\u5730\u5340\u7368\u6709\uff0c\u4ea6\u53cd\u6620<span>CPI<\/span>\u4e0d\u80fd\u6e96\u78ba\u4f30\u7b97\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u7684\u8b8a\u52d5\u3002\u7d9c\u5408\u4ee5\u4e0a<span>3<\/span>\u9ede\uff0c<span>CPI<\/span>\u4f5c\u70ba\u901a\u8139\u7684\u6307\u6a19\u78ba\u5be6\u8207\u5e02\u6c11\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u9ad4\u9a57\u9817\u6709\u51fa\u5165\uff0c\u96e3\u514d\u4e88\u4eba\u300c\u96e2\u5730\u300d\u4e4b\u611f\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5>\u65e5\u5e38\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\u80cc\u5f8c<\/h5>\n<p><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u6709\u9451\u65bc<span>CPI<\/span>\u672a\u80fd\u6e96\u78ba\u8861\u91cf\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u6c34\u5e73\u8b8a\u52d5\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240\uff08<span>American Institute of Economic Research<\/span>\uff09\u5f15\u5165\u4e26\u7de8\u88fd\u65e5\u5e38\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08<span>EPI<\/span>\uff09\uff0c\u4f5c\u70ba\u66f4\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u6307\u6a19<a href=\"#\u8a3b\">\u3010\u8a3b6\u3011<\/a>\u3002\u8207<span>CPI<\/span>\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u662f\uff0c<span>EPI<\/span>\u53ea\u6db5\u84cb\u4e00\u4e9b\u65e5\u5e38\u8cfc\u8cb7\uff0c\u4e14\u7121\u6cd5\u8f15\u6613\u5ef6\u5f8c\u6216\u653e\u68c4\u8cfc\u8cb7\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u3002<span>EPI<\/span>\u7d71\u8a08\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u50f9\u683c\u5fc5\u9808\u7b26\u5408\u5169\u9805\u539f\u5247\uff1a\u4e00\u3001\u9808\u662f\u5927\u773e\u6052\u5e38\u8cfc\u8cb7\u7684\uff08\u81f3\u5c11\u6bcf\u6708<span>1<\/span>\u6b21\uff09\uff0c\u4e0d\u5305\u62ec\u8010\u7528\u7269\u54c1\uff08\u5982\u5bb6\u5177\u3001\u5bb6\u96fb\uff09\u3002\u4e8c\u3001\u5176\u50f9\u683c\u4e0d\u80fd\u900f\u904e\u5408\u7d04\u7b49\u65b9\u5f0f\u56fa\u5b9a<span>6<\/span>\u500b\u6708\u6216\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u53d7\u5408\u7d04\u898f\u7bc4\u7684\u79df\u91d1\u7b49\u652f\u51fa\u4ea6\u56e0\u800c\u4e0d\u88ab<span>EPI<\/span>\u8a08\u7b97\u5728\u5167<a href=\"#\u8a3b\">\u3010\u8a3b7\u3011<\/a>\u3002<span>EPI<\/span>\u66f4\u8cbc\u8fd1\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u7684\u652f\u51fa\uff0c\u6bd4<span>CPI<\/span>\u66f4\u80fd\u6e96\u78ba\u53cd\u6620\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u7684\u8b8a\u52d5\u3002\u4e8b\u5be6\u4e0a\uff0c<span>EPI<\/span>\u7684\u7de8\u88fd\u65b9\u5f0f\u7c21\u55ae\u76f4\u63a5\uff0c\u53ea\u9700\u5728\u7de8\u88fd<span>CPI<\/span>\u7684\u57fa\u790e\u4e0a\uff0c\u5c07<span>EPI<\/span>\u4e0d\u6db5\u84cb\u7684\u9805\u76ee\u5254\u9664\uff0c\u4e26\u8abf\u6574\u76f8\u61c9\u7684\u958b\u652f\u6b0a\u6578\u5373\u53ef\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u900f\u904e\u53c3\u8003<span>EPI<\/span>\uff0c\u76f8\u4fe1\u666e\u7f85\u5e02\u6c11\u90fd\u53ef\u66f4\u6709\u6548\u5730\u898f\u5283\u500b\u4eba\u8ca1\u52d9\u652f\u51fa\uff0c\u800c\u57fa\u5c64\u5e02\u6c11\u5728\u722d\u53d6\u5de5\u8cc7\u8abf\u6574\u7684\u904e\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u5f97\u4ee5\u638c\u63e1\u66f4\u5145\u5206\u548c\u5ba2\u89c0\u7684\u7406\u64da\uff1b\u653f\u5e9c\u4ea6\u53ef\u5f9e<span>EPI<\/span>\u66f4\u4e86\u89e3\u6c11\u751f\u3002\u7576\u524d<span>CPI<\/span>\u4f5c\u70ba\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6a19\u70ba\u4eba\u8a6c\u75c5\uff0c\u5728\u65bc\u5e02\u6c11\u5fc3\u76ee\u4e2d\u7684\u300c\u901a\u8139\u300d\u8207\u5be6\u969b\u901a\u8139\u6578\u5b57\u6709\u6975\u5927\u843d\u5dee\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u96d6\u7136\u9019\u53ef\u6b78\u548e\u65bc\u5e02\u6c11\u5c0d\u901a\u8139\u7684\u7d44\u6210\u8a8d\u8b58\u4e0d\u8db3\uff0c\u4f46<span>CPI<\/span>\u672a\u80fd\u6e96\u78ba\u53cd\u6620\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u540c\u6a23\u662f\u6bcb\u5eb8\u7f6e\u7591\u7684\u3002\u82e5\u653f\u5e9c\u53ea\u4f9d\u8cf4\u6b64\u4e00\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u96e3\u514d\u4e88\u4eba\u300c\u4e0d\u98df\u4eba\u9593\u7159\u706b\u300d\u7684\u5370\u8c61\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5f9e\u653f\u7b56\u7740\u624b\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u53ef\u5c07<span>EPI<\/span>\u7d0d\u5165\u798f\u5229\u8abf\u6574\u7684\u53c3\u8003\u6307\u6a19\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u6052\u5e38\u5be6\u65bd\u7684\u516c\u5171\u798f\u5229\u91d1\u8a08\u5283\uff0c\u5982\u9ad8\u9f61\u6d25\u8cbc\uff08\u751f\u679c\u91d1\uff09\u53ca\u7d9c\u5408\u793e\u6703\u4fdd\u969c\u63f4\u52a9\uff08\u7d9c\u63f4\uff09\uff0c\u56e0\u4e00\u76f4\u8207<span>CPI<\/span>\u639b\u920e\uff0c\u6d25\u8cbc\u91d1\u984d\u7684\u8abf\u6574\u5e45\u5ea6\u672a\u9054\u9810\u671f\u3002<span>EPI<\/span>\u4f5c\u70ba\u66f4\u300c\u8cbc\u5730\u300d\u7684\u6307\u6a19\uff0c\u6709\u95dc\u653f\u7b56\u53cd\u800c\u80fd\u6536\u5229\u6c11\u4e4b\u6548\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5>\u6307\u6578\u7684\u5c40\u9650\u8207\u904b\u7528<\/h5>\n<p><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u7576\u7136\uff0c<span>EPI<\/span>\u4e26\u975e\u5b8c\u7f8e\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u9ad8\u4f30\u5e02\u6c11\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u3002\u5728\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u4e2d\uff0c\u5e02\u6c11\u898b\u5230\u90e8\u5206\u5546\u54c1\u52a0\u50f9\uff0c\u81ea\u6703\u5c0b\u6c42\u66ff\u4ee3\u54c1\uff0c\u6545\u5be6\u969b\u958b\u652f\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u518d\u8005\uff0c\u4e0d\u540c\u4eba\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u7fd2\u6163\u5404\u6709\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c<span>EPI<\/span>\u53ea\u4f9b\u53c3\u8003\uff0c\u5e02\u6c11\u4ecd\u9808\u56e0\u61c9\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u7fd2\u6163\u4ee5\u4f30\u7b97\u958b\u652f\u8b8a\u52d5\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u7b46\u8005\u5fc5\u9808\u5f37\u8abf<span>EPI<\/span>\u4e0d\u80fd\u53d6\u4ee3<span>CPI<\/span>\uff0c\u5169\u8005\u61c9\u8a72\u4e26\u5b58\u3002<span>EPI<\/span>\u662f\u53cd\u6620\u6c11\u773e\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6052\u5e38\u958b\u652f\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684\u6307\u6a19\uff0c<span>CPI<\/span>\u5247\u53cd\u6620\u793e\u6703\u6574\u9ad4\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u6052\u5e38\u8207\u975e\u6052\u5e38\uff09\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u8b8a\u52d5\uff0c\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u4e3b\u6d41\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6307\u6a19\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u7531\u65bc\u5169\u500b\u6307\u6a19\u6240\u9054\u81f4\u7684\u76ee\u7684\u8207\u4f5c\u7528\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u8005\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\u61c9\u9748\u6d3b\u904b\u7528\u53ca\u53c3\u8003\u5169\u9805\u6307\u6a19\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5c0d\u653f\u5e9c\u53ca\u5b78\u8005\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u9664\u6052\u5e38\u958b\u652f\u5916\uff0c\u5b9a\u671f\u4e86\u89e3\u6574\u9ad4\u7269\u50f9\u8b8a\u52d5\u6709\u52a9\u5236\u5b9a\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4f5c\u70ba\u6bd4\u8f03\u5404\u5730\u7269\u50f9\u7684\u57fa\u790e\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64<span>CPI<\/span>\u5728\u6b64\u65b9\u9762\u66f4\u70ba\u5408\u9069\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u82e5\u8ad6\u5e02\u6c11\u7684\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u65b9\u9762\uff0c<span>EPI<\/span>\u5247\u8f03\u6e96\u78ba\u5730\u53cd\u6620\u76f8\u95dc\u958b\u652f\u7684\u8b8a\u52d5\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u6709\u5229\u5927\u773e\u898f\u5283\u500b\u4eba\u8ca1\u52d9\uff0c\u5c0d\u5236\u5b9a\u793e\u6703\u798f\u5229\u653f\u7b56\u4ea6\u5177\u53c3\u8003\u50f9\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6700\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e0d\u540c\u6307\u6a19\u5404\u6709\u5229\u5f0a\uff0c\u7406\u60f3\u7684\u6307\u6a19\u56fa\u7136\u61c9\u8a72\u7c21\u55ae\u6613\u660e\uff0c\u800c\u4f7f\u7528\u8005\u4ea6\u6709\u8cac\u4efb\u4e86\u89e3\u6307\u6a19\u7684\u7528\u9014\u548c\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u76f2\u76ee\u751a\u6216\u932f\u8aa4\u4f7f\u7528\uff0c\u5426\u5247\u5373\u4f7f\u8a2d\u7acb\u5343\u5343\u842c\u842c\u7a2e\u6307\u6a19\uff0c\u4e5f\u6703\u7121\u6fdf\u65bc\u4e8b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b63\u5982\u672c\u6587\u958b\u7aef\u6240\u8a00\uff0c\u5e02\u6c11\u5c0d<span>CPI<\/span>\u8a8d\u8b58\u4e0d\u6df1\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f4\u5bb9\u6613\u8aa4\u89e3\u6578\u64da\u7684\u542b\u7fa9\u3002\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u76f8\u95dc\u6559\u80b2\u548c\u5ba3\u50b3\u61c9\u66f4\u4e3b\u52d5\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u56e0\u61c9\u793e\u6703\u9700\u8981\u53e6\u8a2d\u53cd\u6620\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684<span>EPI<\/span>\u5916\uff0c\u4ea6\u9808\u52a0\u5f37\u5411\u516c\u773e\u8b1b\u89e3\u4e0d\u540c\u6307\u6a19\u7684\u7528\u9014\uff0c\u4ee5\u6d88\u9664\u8aa4\u89e3\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a id=\"\u8a3b\" name=\"\u8a3b\"><\/a>\u3010\u8a3b1\u3011\uff1a<span> https:\/\/www.censtatd.gov.hk\/en\/data\/stat_report\/product\/B8XX0021\/att\/B8XX0021.pdf<br \/>\n<a id=\"\u8a3b\" name=\"\u8a3b\"><\/a>\u3010\u8a3b2\u3011\uff1a<span> Now<\/span>\u8ca1\u7d93\u65b0\u805e\uff0c\u300a\u7d93\u7def\u7dda\u300b\u4f4e\u901a\u8139\u4e4b\u8b0e<span>https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=_12qhhUQM2Y&amp;t=525s<\/span>\uff08\u8a2a\u554f\u6642\u6bb5\uff1a<span>08:36<\/span>\u2013<span>10:32<\/span>\uff09<br \/>\n<a id=\"\u8a3b\" name=\"\u8a3b\"><\/a>\u3010\u8a3b3\u3011\uff1a<span> https:\/\/www.censtatd.gov.hk\/tc\/EIndexbySubject.html?pcode=B8XX0029&amp;scode=270<\/span>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u81ea<span>2024<\/span>\u5e74<span>4<\/span>\u6708\u7684\u7d71\u8a08\u6708\u4efd\u958b\u59cb\uff0c\u7d71\u8a08\u8655\u5df2\u66f4\u65b0\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\u958b\u652f\u6b0a\u6578\u7684\u53c3\u7167\u671f\u81f3<span>2023<\/span>\u5e74\u5168\u5e74\u3002\u8a72\u6b21\u66f4\u65b0\u7684\u958b\u652f\u6b0a\u6578\uff0c\u9664\u5be6\u969b\u6578\u5b57\u6709\u5fae\u7d30\u7684\u5dee\u7570\u5916\uff0c\u4e26\u4e0d\u5f71\u97ff\u672c\u6587\u5c0d\u958b\u652f\u6b0a\u6578\u7684\u63cf\u8ff0\u3002<br \/>\n<a id=\"\u8a3b\" name=\"\u8a3b\"><\/a>\u3010\u8a3b4\u3011\uff1a<span> https:\/\/www.censtatd.gov.hk\/en\/data\/stat_report\/product\/D5600001\/att\/D5600001B2024MM06B.xlsx<br \/>\n<a id=\"\u8a3b\" name=\"\u8a3b\"><\/a>\u3010\u8a3b5\u3011\uff1a<span> https:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s41549-019-00036-9<br \/>\n<a id=\"\u8a3b\" name=\"\u8a3b\"><\/a>\u3010\u8a3b6\u3011\uff1a<span> https:\/\/www.aier.org\/research\/capturing-shifts-in-everyday-prices\/<br \/>\n<a id=\"\u8a3b\" name=\"\u8a3b\"><\/a>\u3010\u8a3b7\u3011\uff1a<span> https:\/\/www.aier.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/WP004-EPI-Polina-Vlasenko-PV.pdf<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u8d99\u8000\u83ef\u535a\u58eb<br \/>\n\u6e2f\u5927\u7d93\u7ba1\u5b78\u9662\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u69ae\u8b7d\u526f\u6559\u6388<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u5289\u5f65\u5f70\u5148\u751f<br \/>\n\u6e2f\u5927\u7d93\u7ba1\u5b78\u9662\u672c\u79d1\u751f<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u5433\u5146\u5eb7\u5148\u751f<br \/>\n\u6e2f\u5927\u7d93\u7ba1\u5b78\u9662\u7562\u696d\u751f<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\uff08\u672c\u6587\u540c\u6642\u65bc\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e8c\u56db\u5e74\u4e5d\u6708\u5341\u4e00\u65e5\u8f09\u65bc\u300a\u4fe1\u5831\u300b\u300c\u9f8d\u864e\u5c71\u4e0b\u300d\u5c08\u6b04\uff09<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"class_list":["post-219257","thought-leadership","type-thought-leadership","status-publish","hentry","leadership-topic-categories-hkej-column-tc","in-the-media-topic-categories-faculty-tc"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u5f9e\u500b\u4eba\u548c\u5bb6\u5ead\u7684\u8ca1\u52d9\u898f\u5283\uff0c\u5230\u6c7a\u7b56\u8005\u5236\u5b9a\u6301\u7e8c\u6539\u5584\u6c11\u751f\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5e02\u6c11\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u958b\u652f\u90fd\u662f\u5176\u4e2d\u95dc\u9375\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u64da\u9999\u6e2f\u7279\u5340\u653f\u5e9c\u7d71\u8a08\u8655\u63cf\u8ff0\u3010\u8a3b1\u3011\uff0c\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08Consumer Price Index\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31CPI\uff09\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u6c11\u901a\u5e38\u8cfc\u8cb7\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u50f9\u683c\u6c34\u5e73\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684\u6307\u6a19\u3002\u7576CPI\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u5e02\u6c11\u5728\u958b\u652f\u7dad\u6301\u4e0d\u8b8a\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e00\u822c\u53ef\u8cfc\u8cb7\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u6e1b\u5c11\u3002\u63db\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0cCPI\u7684\u8b8a\u52d5\u53cd\u6620\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u6240\u9762\u5c0d\u7684\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\uff1b\u4f46\u9451\u65bcCPI\u5728\u4f30\u7b97\u5e02\u6c11\u65e5\u5e38\u958b\u652f\u4e0a\u5f80\u5f80\u51fa\u73fe\u504f\u5dee\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u9664\u4e86\u63a2\u8a0e\u5176\u5c40\u9650\u5916\uff0c\u4ea6\u5efa\u8b70\u63a1\u7528\u65e5\u5e38\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08Everyday Price Index\uff09\u3002 \u73fe\u884c\u6307\u6578\u6709\u76f2\u9ede CPI\u662f\u53cd\u6620\u672c\u6e2f\u7269\u50f9\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684\u4e3b\u6d41\u6307\u6a19\u3002\u653f\u5e9c\u7d71\u8a08\u8655\u6bcf\u6708\u5747\u6703\u516c\u5e03\u6309\u6708\u7684CPI\u8b8a\u52d5\uff0c\u5e02\u6c11\u53ef\u900f\u904e\u65b0\u805e\u5a92\u9ad4\u5f97\u6089\u76f8\u95dc\u6578\u64da\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u666e\u7f85\u5927\u773e\u5c0d\u65bcCPI\u7684\u4e86\u89e3\u6bcf\u591a\u6d41\u65bc\u7247\u9762\uff0c\u6216\u6703\u8aa4\u4ee5\u70ba\u5728\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6240\u898b\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u8b8a\u52d5\u7406\u61c9\u5b8c\u5168\u53cd\u6620\u5176\u4e2d\u3002\u5be6\u969b\u4e0a\uff0c\u53bb\u5e74\u4e00\u5247\u5c08\u984c\u65b0\u805e\u5831\u9053\u5c31\u66fe\u70ba\u8b80\u8005\u62c6\u89e3\u300c\u4f4e\u901a\u8139\u4e4b\u8b0e\u300d\u3002\u7576\u4e2d\u4e0d\u5c11\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u5927\u81f4\u6839\u64da\u81ea\u8eab\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u7d93\u9a57\uff0c\u4f30\u7b97\u5be6\u969b\u901a\u8139\u7387\u9ad8\u65bc\u5b98\u65b9\u516c\u5e03\u6578\u5b57\uff0c\u4e26\u8a8d\u70ba\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u6578\u64da\u300c\u96e2\u5730\u300d\u3010\u8a3b2\u3011\u3002 \u5ba2\u89c0\u800c\u8a00\uff0cCPI\u7684\u78ba\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u4e9b\u76f2\u9ede\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u4e26\u975e\u4e00\u500b\u53cd\u6620\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u7684\u826f\u597d\u6307\u6a19\u3002\u539f\u56e0\u4e4b\u4e00\u662f\u5728\u5176\u69cb\u6210\u90e8\u5206\u4e2d\uff0c\u652f\u51fa\u983b\u7387\u8f03\u4f4e\u7684\u985e\u5225\u6b0a\u6578\u4f54\u6bd4\u8f03\u5927\u3002\u53c3\u8003\u7d71\u8a08\u8655\u4ee52019\/20\u5e74\u70ba\u57fa\u671f\u7684\u5404\u5546\u54c1\u6216\u670d\u52d9\u7d44\u5225\u7684\u7d9c\u5408\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08Composite Consumer Price Index\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31CCPI\uff09\u958b\u652f\u6b0a\u6578\u3010\u8a3b3\u3011\uff0c\u7576\u4e2d\u300c\u4f4f\u5c4b\u300d\u985e\u5225\u7684\u6b0a\u6578\u4f54\u6bd4\u6700\u9ad8\uff0c\u8d85\u904e\u56db\u6210\u3010\u8868\u3011\uff1b\u800c\u65e5\u5e38\u6240\u9700\u7684\u98df\u54c1\u548c\u4ea4\u901a\u7b49\u958b\u652f\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u6bd4\u975e\u65e5\u5e38\u652f\u51fa\uff08\u5982\u79df\u91d1\u3001\u5bb6\u5177\uff09\u66f4\u70ba\u983b\u7e41\uff0c\u5c0e\u81f4\u5e02\u6c11\u5c0d\u901a\u8139\u7684\u89c0\u611f\u8f03\u6613\u53d7\u6b64\u5f71\u97ff\u3002 \u4ee52019\u81f32024\u5e74\u7684\u6578\u64da\u70ba\u4f8b\u3010\u8a3b4\u3011\uff0cCCPI\u4e2d\u4f4f\u5c4b\u7684\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\u6309\u5e74\u8b8a\u52d5\u767e\u5206\u7387\u5927\u81f4\u6bd4\u98df\u54c1\u3001\u4ea4\u901a\u70ba\u4f4e\uff0c\u57fa\u65bc\u4f4f\u5c4b\u7684\u6b0a\u6578\u4f54\u6bd4\u6700\u5927\u3010\u57161\u3011\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f4CPI\u53d7\u4f4f\u5c4b\u50f9\u683c\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u8f03\u5927\uff0c\u5c0d\u98df\u54c1\u3001\u4ea4\u901a\u7b49\u65e5\u5e38\u958b\u652f\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u8b8a\u52d5\u5247\u8f03\u4e0d\u654f\u611f\uff0c\u800c\u4f4e\u4f30\u9019\u6bb5\u671f\u9593\u7684\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u3002 \u4e00\u822c\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5e02\u6c11\u8f03\u5728\u610f\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u52a0\u50f9\uff0c\u5c0d\u6e1b\u50f9\u7684\u5370\u8c61\u5247\u8f03\u6dfa\u6216\u4e0d\u4ee5\u70ba\u610f\uff0c\u5c6c\u8a18\u61b6\u504f\u898b\uff08memory bias\uff09\u7684\u4e00\u7a2e\u3002\u65e5\u5e38\u6d88\u8cbb\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u4e0d\u4f46\u652f\u51fa\u983b\u7e41\uff0c\u5176\u50f9\u683c\u8abf\u6574\u4ea6\u8f03\u983b\u5bc6\u3002\u53c3\u8003\u4e00\u9805\u6ce2\u862d\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u611f\u77e5\u6309\u5e74\u901a\u8139\u7387\u7684\u5b78\u8853\u7814\u7a76\u3010\u8a3b5\u3011\uff0c\u75312004\u5e74\u81f32017\u5e74\u9593\uff0c\u554f\u5377\u8abf\u67e5\u7d50\u679c\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u7adf\u6709\u8fd199%\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u4e0d\u70ba\u610f\u6b77\u664228\u500b\u6708\uff082014\u5e747\u6708\u81f32016\u5e7410\u6708\uff09\u51fa\u73fe\u901a\u7e2e\u3010\u57162\u3011\uff0c\u7576\u4e2d43%\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u8a8d\u70ba\u7269\u50f9\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u5176\u991853%\u66f4\u8a8d\u70ba\u7269\u50f9\u4e0d\u8dcc\u53cd\u5347\u3010\u57163\u3011\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u56e0\u57fa\u6578\u6548\u61c9\uff08base effect\uff09\u4f5c\u795f\uff0c\u5e02\u6c11\u5bb9\u6613\u9ad8\u4f30\u901a\u8139\u3002\u65e5\u5e38\u958b\u652f\u7684\u57fa\u6578\u8f03\u5c0f\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u8857\u5e0210\u51431\u65a4\u7684\u751f\u83dc\u50c5\u52a0\u50f91\u5143\uff0c\u4ea6\u537310%\u5347\u5e45\uff0c\u5bb9\u6613\u4ee4\u5e02\u6c11\u9ad8\u4f30\u901a\u8139\u3002\u4e0a\u8ff0\u7814\u7a76\u540c\u6642\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u611f\u77e5\u901a\u8139\uff08inflation perception\uff09\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u8207\u5be6\u969bCPI\u901a\u8139\u5927\u81f4\u76f8\u540c\uff0c\u537b\u5e73\u5747\u9ad8\u4f3010\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\u3010\u57162\u3011\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u6307\u51faCPI\u8207\u6ce2\u862d\u5e02\u6c11\u5c0d\u901a\u8139\u611f\u53d7\u6709\u6240\u5dee\u8ddd\uff0c\u8207\u5176\u4ed6\u6b50\u76df\u570b\u60c5\u6cc1\u76f8\u4f3c\uff0c\u53ef\u898b\u4e26\u975e\u500b\u5225\u5730\u5340\u7368\u6709\uff0c\u4ea6\u53cd\u6620CPI\u4e0d\u80fd\u6e96\u78ba\u4f30\u7b97\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u7684\u8b8a\u52d5\u3002\u7d9c\u5408\u4ee5\u4e0a3\u9ede\uff0cCPI\u4f5c\u70ba\u901a\u8139\u7684\u6307\u6a19\u78ba\u5be6\u8207\u5e02\u6c11\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u9ad4\u9a57\u9817\u6709\u51fa\u5165\uff0c\u96e3\u514d\u4e88\u4eba\u300c\u96e2\u5730\u300d\u4e4b\u611f\u3002 \u65e5\u5e38\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\u80cc\u5f8c \u6709\u9451\u65bcCPI\u672a\u80fd\u6e96\u78ba\u8861\u91cf\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u6c34\u5e73\u8b8a\u52d5\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240\uff08American Institute of Economic Research\uff09\u5f15\u5165\u4e26\u7de8\u88fd\u65e5\u5e38\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08EPI\uff09\uff0c\u4f5c\u70ba\u66f4\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u6307\u6a19\u3010\u8a3b6\u3011\u3002\u8207CPI\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u662f\uff0cEPI\u53ea\u6db5\u84cb\u4e00\u4e9b\u65e5\u5e38\u8cfc\u8cb7\uff0c\u4e14\u7121\u6cd5\u8f15\u6613\u5ef6\u5f8c\u6216\u653e\u68c4\u8cfc\u8cb7\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u3002EPI\u7d71\u8a08\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u50f9\u683c\u5fc5\u9808\u7b26\u5408\u5169\u9805\u539f\u5247\uff1a\u4e00\u3001\u9808\u662f\u5927\u773e\u6052\u5e38\u8cfc\u8cb7\u7684\uff08\u81f3\u5c11\u6bcf\u67081\u6b21\uff09\uff0c\u4e0d\u5305\u62ec\u8010\u7528\u7269\u54c1\uff08\u5982\u5bb6\u5177\u3001\u5bb6\u96fb\uff09\u3002\u4e8c\u3001\u5176\u50f9\u683c\u4e0d\u80fd\u900f\u904e\u5408\u7d04\u7b49\u65b9\u5f0f\u56fa\u5b9a6\u500b\u6708\u6216\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u53d7\u5408\u7d04\u898f\u7bc4\u7684\u79df\u91d1\u7b49\u652f\u51fa\u4ea6\u56e0\u800c\u4e0d\u88abEPI\u8a08\u7b97\u5728\u5167\u3010\u8a3b7\u3011\u3002EPI\u66f4\u8cbc\u8fd1\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u7684\u652f\u51fa\uff0c\u6bd4CPI\u66f4\u80fd\u6e96\u78ba\u53cd\u6620\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u7684\u8b8a\u52d5\u3002\u4e8b\u5be6\u4e0a\uff0cEPI\u7684\u7de8\u88fd\u65b9\u5f0f\u7c21\u55ae\u76f4\u63a5\uff0c\u53ea\u9700\u5728\u7de8\u88fdCPI\u7684\u57fa\u790e\u4e0a\uff0c\u5c07EPI\u4e0d\u6db5\u84cb\u7684\u9805\u76ee\u5254\u9664\uff0c\u4e26\u8abf\u6574\u76f8\u61c9\u7684\u958b\u652f\u6b0a\u6578\u5373\u53ef\u3002 \u900f\u904e\u53c3\u8003EPI\uff0c\u76f8\u4fe1\u666e\u7f85\u5e02\u6c11\u90fd\u53ef\u66f4\u6709\u6548\u5730\u898f\u5283\u500b\u4eba\u8ca1\u52d9\u652f\u51fa\uff0c\u800c\u57fa\u5c64\u5e02\u6c11\u5728\u722d\u53d6\u5de5\u8cc7\u8abf\u6574\u7684\u904e\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u5f97\u4ee5\u638c\u63e1\u66f4\u5145\u5206\u548c\u5ba2\u89c0\u7684\u7406\u64da\uff1b\u653f\u5e9c\u4ea6\u53ef\u5f9eEPI\u66f4\u4e86\u89e3\u6c11\u751f\u3002\u7576\u524dCPI\u4f5c\u70ba\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6a19\u70ba\u4eba\u8a6c\u75c5\uff0c\u5728\u65bc\u5e02\u6c11\u5fc3\u76ee\u4e2d\u7684\u300c\u901a\u8139\u300d\u8207\u5be6\u969b\u901a\u8139\u6578\u5b57\u6709\u6975\u5927\u843d\u5dee\u3002 \u96d6\u7136\u9019\u53ef\u6b78\u548e\u65bc\u5e02\u6c11\u5c0d\u901a\u8139\u7684\u7d44\u6210\u8a8d\u8b58\u4e0d\u8db3\uff0c\u4f46CPI\u672a\u80fd\u6e96\u78ba\u53cd\u6620\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u540c\u6a23\u662f\u6bcb\u5eb8\u7f6e\u7591\u7684\u3002\u82e5\u653f\u5e9c\u53ea\u4f9d\u8cf4\u6b64\u4e00\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u96e3\u514d\u4e88\u4eba\u300c\u4e0d\u98df\u4eba\u9593\u7159\u706b\u300d\u7684\u5370\u8c61\u3002 \u5f9e\u653f\u7b56\u7740\u624b\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u53ef\u5c07EPI\u7d0d\u5165\u798f\u5229\u8abf\u6574\u7684\u53c3\u8003\u6307\u6a19\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u6052\u5e38\u5be6\u65bd\u7684\u516c\u5171\u798f\u5229\u91d1\u8a08\u5283\uff0c\u5982\u9ad8\u9f61\u6d25\u8cbc\uff08\u751f\u679c\u91d1\uff09\u53ca\u7d9c\u5408\u793e\u6703\u4fdd\u969c\u63f4\u52a9\uff08\u7d9c\u63f4\uff09\uff0c\u56e0\u4e00\u76f4\u8207CPI\u639b\u920e\uff0c\u6d25\u8cbc\u91d1\u984d\u7684\u8abf\u6574\u5e45\u5ea6\u672a\u9054\u9810\u671f\u3002EPI\u4f5c\u70ba\u66f4\u300c\u8cbc\u5730\u300d\u7684\u6307\u6a19\uff0c\u6709\u95dc\u653f\u7b56\u53cd\u800c\u80fd\u6536\u5229\u6c11\u4e4b\u6548\u3002 \u6307\u6578\u7684\u5c40\u9650\u8207\u904b\u7528 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\u3010\u8a3b1\u3011\uff1a https:\/\/www.censtatd.gov.hk\/en\/data\/stat_report\/product\/B8XX0021\/att\/B8XX0021.pdf \u3010\u8a3b2\u3011\uff1a Now\u8ca1\u7d93\u65b0\u805e\uff0c\u300a\u7d93\u7def\u7dda\u300b\u4f4e\u901a\u8139\u4e4b\u8b0ehttps:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=_12qhhUQM2Y&amp;t=525s\uff08\u8a2a\u554f\u6642\u6bb5\uff1a08:36\u201310:32\uff09 \u3010\u8a3b3\u3011\uff1a https:\/\/www.censtatd.gov.hk\/tc\/EIndexbySubject.html?pcode=B8XX0029&amp;scode=270\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u81ea2024\u5e744\u6708\u7684\u7d71\u8a08\u6708\u4efd\u958b\u59cb\uff0c\u7d71\u8a08\u8655\u5df2\u66f4\u65b0\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\u958b\u652f\u6b0a\u6578\u7684\u53c3\u7167\u671f\u81f32023\u5e74\u5168\u5e74\u3002\u8a72\u6b21\u66f4\u65b0\u7684\u958b\u652f\u6b0a\u6578\uff0c\u9664\u5be6\u969b\u6578\u5b57\u6709\u5fae\u7d30\u7684\u5dee\u7570\u5916\uff0c\u4e26\u4e0d\u5f71\u97ff\u672c\u6587\u5c0d\u958b\u652f\u6b0a\u6578\u7684\u63cf\u8ff0\u3002 \u3010\u8a3b4\u3011\uff1a https:\/\/www.censtatd.gov.hk\/en\/data\/stat_report\/product\/D5600001\/att\/D5600001B2024MM06B.xlsx \u3010\u8a3b5\u3011\uff1a https:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s41549-019-00036-9 \u3010\u8a3b6\u3011\uff1a https:\/\/www.aier.org\/research\/capturing-shifts-in-everyday-prices\/ \u3010\u8a3b7\u3011\uff1a https:\/\/www.aier.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/WP004-EPI-Polina-Vlasenko-PV.pdf\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"google-site-verification\" content=\"google-site-verification=MjdkluDgHpNk2vz5slbwER2Gusw2rUDQuVULMERWzLo\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/research\/thought-leadership\/hkej-column\/cpi-or-epi-or-both\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO (AIOSEO) 4.9.10\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"HKU Business School -\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u69cb\u5efa\u65b0\u6307\u6578 \u901a\u8139\u66f4\u9760\u8b5c - HKU Business School\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u5f9e\u500b\u4eba\u548c\u5bb6\u5ead\u7684\u8ca1\u52d9\u898f\u5283\uff0c\u5230\u6c7a\u7b56\u8005\u5236\u5b9a\u6301\u7e8c\u6539\u5584\u6c11\u751f\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5e02\u6c11\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u958b\u652f\u90fd\u662f\u5176\u4e2d\u95dc\u9375\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u64da\u9999\u6e2f\u7279\u5340\u653f\u5e9c\u7d71\u8a08\u8655\u63cf\u8ff0\u3010\u8a3b1\u3011\uff0c\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08Consumer Price Index\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31CPI\uff09\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u6c11\u901a\u5e38\u8cfc\u8cb7\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u50f9\u683c\u6c34\u5e73\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684\u6307\u6a19\u3002\u7576CPI\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u5e02\u6c11\u5728\u958b\u652f\u7dad\u6301\u4e0d\u8b8a\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e00\u822c\u53ef\u8cfc\u8cb7\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u6e1b\u5c11\u3002\u63db\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0cCPI\u7684\u8b8a\u52d5\u53cd\u6620\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u6240\u9762\u5c0d\u7684\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\uff1b\u4f46\u9451\u65bcCPI\u5728\u4f30\u7b97\u5e02\u6c11\u65e5\u5e38\u958b\u652f\u4e0a\u5f80\u5f80\u51fa\u73fe\u504f\u5dee\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u9664\u4e86\u63a2\u8a0e\u5176\u5c40\u9650\u5916\uff0c\u4ea6\u5efa\u8b70\u63a1\u7528\u65e5\u5e38\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08Everyday Price Index\uff09\u3002 \u73fe\u884c\u6307\u6578\u6709\u76f2\u9ede CPI\u662f\u53cd\u6620\u672c\u6e2f\u7269\u50f9\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684\u4e3b\u6d41\u6307\u6a19\u3002\u653f\u5e9c\u7d71\u8a08\u8655\u6bcf\u6708\u5747\u6703\u516c\u5e03\u6309\u6708\u7684CPI\u8b8a\u52d5\uff0c\u5e02\u6c11\u53ef\u900f\u904e\u65b0\u805e\u5a92\u9ad4\u5f97\u6089\u76f8\u95dc\u6578\u64da\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u666e\u7f85\u5927\u773e\u5c0d\u65bcCPI\u7684\u4e86\u89e3\u6bcf\u591a\u6d41\u65bc\u7247\u9762\uff0c\u6216\u6703\u8aa4\u4ee5\u70ba\u5728\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6240\u898b\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u8b8a\u52d5\u7406\u61c9\u5b8c\u5168\u53cd\u6620\u5176\u4e2d\u3002\u5be6\u969b\u4e0a\uff0c\u53bb\u5e74\u4e00\u5247\u5c08\u984c\u65b0\u805e\u5831\u9053\u5c31\u66fe\u70ba\u8b80\u8005\u62c6\u89e3\u300c\u4f4e\u901a\u8139\u4e4b\u8b0e\u300d\u3002\u7576\u4e2d\u4e0d\u5c11\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u5927\u81f4\u6839\u64da\u81ea\u8eab\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u7d93\u9a57\uff0c\u4f30\u7b97\u5be6\u969b\u901a\u8139\u7387\u9ad8\u65bc\u5b98\u65b9\u516c\u5e03\u6578\u5b57\uff0c\u4e26\u8a8d\u70ba\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u6578\u64da\u300c\u96e2\u5730\u300d\u3010\u8a3b2\u3011\u3002 \u5ba2\u89c0\u800c\u8a00\uff0cCPI\u7684\u78ba\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u4e9b\u76f2\u9ede\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u4e26\u975e\u4e00\u500b\u53cd\u6620\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u7684\u826f\u597d\u6307\u6a19\u3002\u539f\u56e0\u4e4b\u4e00\u662f\u5728\u5176\u69cb\u6210\u90e8\u5206\u4e2d\uff0c\u652f\u51fa\u983b\u7387\u8f03\u4f4e\u7684\u985e\u5225\u6b0a\u6578\u4f54\u6bd4\u8f03\u5927\u3002\u53c3\u8003\u7d71\u8a08\u8655\u4ee52019\/20\u5e74\u70ba\u57fa\u671f\u7684\u5404\u5546\u54c1\u6216\u670d\u52d9\u7d44\u5225\u7684\u7d9c\u5408\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08Composite Consumer Price Index\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31CCPI\uff09\u958b\u652f\u6b0a\u6578\u3010\u8a3b3\u3011\uff0c\u7576\u4e2d\u300c\u4f4f\u5c4b\u300d\u985e\u5225\u7684\u6b0a\u6578\u4f54\u6bd4\u6700\u9ad8\uff0c\u8d85\u904e\u56db\u6210\u3010\u8868\u3011\uff1b\u800c\u65e5\u5e38\u6240\u9700\u7684\u98df\u54c1\u548c\u4ea4\u901a\u7b49\u958b\u652f\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u6bd4\u975e\u65e5\u5e38\u652f\u51fa\uff08\u5982\u79df\u91d1\u3001\u5bb6\u5177\uff09\u66f4\u70ba\u983b\u7e41\uff0c\u5c0e\u81f4\u5e02\u6c11\u5c0d\u901a\u8139\u7684\u89c0\u611f\u8f03\u6613\u53d7\u6b64\u5f71\u97ff\u3002 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\u6700\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e0d\u540c\u6307\u6a19\u5404\u6709\u5229\u5f0a\uff0c\u7406\u60f3\u7684\u6307\u6a19\u56fa\u7136\u61c9\u8a72\u7c21\u55ae\u6613\u660e\uff0c\u800c\u4f7f\u7528\u8005\u4ea6\u6709\u8cac\u4efb\u4e86\u89e3\u6307\u6a19\u7684\u7528\u9014\u548c\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u76f2\u76ee\u751a\u6216\u932f\u8aa4\u4f7f\u7528\uff0c\u5426\u5247\u5373\u4f7f\u8a2d\u7acb\u5343\u5343\u842c\u842c\u7a2e\u6307\u6a19\uff0c\u4e5f\u6703\u7121\u6fdf\u65bc\u4e8b\u3002 \u6b63\u5982\u672c\u6587\u958b\u7aef\u6240\u8a00\uff0c\u5e02\u6c11\u5c0dCPI\u8a8d\u8b58\u4e0d\u6df1\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f4\u5bb9\u6613\u8aa4\u89e3\u6578\u64da\u7684\u542b\u7fa9\u3002\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u76f8\u95dc\u6559\u80b2\u548c\u5ba3\u50b3\u61c9\u66f4\u4e3b\u52d5\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u56e0\u61c9\u793e\u6703\u9700\u8981\u53e6\u8a2d\u53cd\u6620\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684EPI\u5916\uff0c\u4ea6\u9808\u52a0\u5f37\u5411\u516c\u773e\u8b1b\u89e3\u4e0d\u540c\u6307\u6a19\u7684\u7528\u9014\uff0c\u4ee5\u6d88\u9664\u8aa4\u89e3\u3002 \u3010\u8a3b1\u3011\uff1a https:\/\/www.censtatd.gov.hk\/en\/data\/stat_report\/product\/B8XX0021\/att\/B8XX0021.pdf \u3010\u8a3b2\u3011\uff1a Now\u8ca1\u7d93\u65b0\u805e\uff0c\u300a\u7d93\u7def\u7dda\u300b\u4f4e\u901a\u8139\u4e4b\u8b0ehttps:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=_12qhhUQM2Y&amp;t=525s\uff08\u8a2a\u554f\u6642\u6bb5\uff1a08:36\u201310:32\uff09 \u3010\u8a3b3\u3011\uff1a https:\/\/www.censtatd.gov.hk\/tc\/EIndexbySubject.html?pcode=B8XX0029&amp;scode=270\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u81ea2024\u5e744\u6708\u7684\u7d71\u8a08\u6708\u4efd\u958b\u59cb\uff0c\u7d71\u8a08\u8655\u5df2\u66f4\u65b0\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\u958b\u652f\u6b0a\u6578\u7684\u53c3\u7167\u671f\u81f32023\u5e74\u5168\u5e74\u3002\u8a72\u6b21\u66f4\u65b0\u7684\u958b\u652f\u6b0a\u6578\uff0c\u9664\u5be6\u969b\u6578\u5b57\u6709\u5fae\u7d30\u7684\u5dee\u7570\u5916\uff0c\u4e26\u4e0d\u5f71\u97ff\u672c\u6587\u5c0d\u958b\u652f\u6b0a\u6578\u7684\u63cf\u8ff0\u3002 \u3010\u8a3b4\u3011\uff1a https:\/\/www.censtatd.gov.hk\/en\/data\/stat_report\/product\/D5600001\/att\/D5600001B2024MM06B.xlsx \u3010\u8a3b5\u3011\uff1a https:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s41549-019-00036-9 \u3010\u8a3b6\u3011\uff1a https:\/\/www.aier.org\/research\/capturing-shifts-in-everyday-prices\/ \u3010\u8a3b7\u3011\uff1a https:\/\/www.aier.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/WP004-EPI-Polina-Vlasenko-PV.pdf\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/research\/thought-leadership\/hkej-column\/cpi-or-epi-or-both\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-09-11T08:01:11+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-09-11T08:02:15+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"\u69cb\u5efa\u65b0\u6307\u6578 \u901a\u8139\u66f4\u9760\u8b5c - HKU Business School\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"\u5f9e\u500b\u4eba\u548c\u5bb6\u5ead\u7684\u8ca1\u52d9\u898f\u5283\uff0c\u5230\u6c7a\u7b56\u8005\u5236\u5b9a\u6301\u7e8c\u6539\u5584\u6c11\u751f\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5e02\u6c11\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u958b\u652f\u90fd\u662f\u5176\u4e2d\u95dc\u9375\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u64da\u9999\u6e2f\u7279\u5340\u653f\u5e9c\u7d71\u8a08\u8655\u63cf\u8ff0\u3010\u8a3b1\u3011\uff0c\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08Consumer Price Index\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31CPI\uff09\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u6c11\u901a\u5e38\u8cfc\u8cb7\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u50f9\u683c\u6c34\u5e73\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684\u6307\u6a19\u3002\u7576CPI\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u5e02\u6c11\u5728\u958b\u652f\u7dad\u6301\u4e0d\u8b8a\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e00\u822c\u53ef\u8cfc\u8cb7\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u6e1b\u5c11\u3002\u63db\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0cCPI\u7684\u8b8a\u52d5\u53cd\u6620\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u6240\u9762\u5c0d\u7684\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\uff1b\u4f46\u9451\u65bcCPI\u5728\u4f30\u7b97\u5e02\u6c11\u65e5\u5e38\u958b\u652f\u4e0a\u5f80\u5f80\u51fa\u73fe\u504f\u5dee\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u9664\u4e86\u63a2\u8a0e\u5176\u5c40\u9650\u5916\uff0c\u4ea6\u5efa\u8b70\u63a1\u7528\u65e5\u5e38\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08Everyday Price Index\uff09\u3002 \u73fe\u884c\u6307\u6578\u6709\u76f2\u9ede CPI\u662f\u53cd\u6620\u672c\u6e2f\u7269\u50f9\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684\u4e3b\u6d41\u6307\u6a19\u3002\u653f\u5e9c\u7d71\u8a08\u8655\u6bcf\u6708\u5747\u6703\u516c\u5e03\u6309\u6708\u7684CPI\u8b8a\u52d5\uff0c\u5e02\u6c11\u53ef\u900f\u904e\u65b0\u805e\u5a92\u9ad4\u5f97\u6089\u76f8\u95dc\u6578\u64da\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u666e\u7f85\u5927\u773e\u5c0d\u65bcCPI\u7684\u4e86\u89e3\u6bcf\u591a\u6d41\u65bc\u7247\u9762\uff0c\u6216\u6703\u8aa4\u4ee5\u70ba\u5728\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6240\u898b\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u8b8a\u52d5\u7406\u61c9\u5b8c\u5168\u53cd\u6620\u5176\u4e2d\u3002\u5be6\u969b\u4e0a\uff0c\u53bb\u5e74\u4e00\u5247\u5c08\u984c\u65b0\u805e\u5831\u9053\u5c31\u66fe\u70ba\u8b80\u8005\u62c6\u89e3\u300c\u4f4e\u901a\u8139\u4e4b\u8b0e\u300d\u3002\u7576\u4e2d\u4e0d\u5c11\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u5927\u81f4\u6839\u64da\u81ea\u8eab\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u7d93\u9a57\uff0c\u4f30\u7b97\u5be6\u969b\u901a\u8139\u7387\u9ad8\u65bc\u5b98\u65b9\u516c\u5e03\u6578\u5b57\uff0c\u4e26\u8a8d\u70ba\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u6578\u64da\u300c\u96e2\u5730\u300d\u3010\u8a3b2\u3011\u3002 \u5ba2\u89c0\u800c\u8a00\uff0cCPI\u7684\u78ba\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u4e9b\u76f2\u9ede\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u4e26\u975e\u4e00\u500b\u53cd\u6620\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u7684\u826f\u597d\u6307\u6a19\u3002\u539f\u56e0\u4e4b\u4e00\u662f\u5728\u5176\u69cb\u6210\u90e8\u5206\u4e2d\uff0c\u652f\u51fa\u983b\u7387\u8f03\u4f4e\u7684\u985e\u5225\u6b0a\u6578\u4f54\u6bd4\u8f03\u5927\u3002\u53c3\u8003\u7d71\u8a08\u8655\u4ee52019\/20\u5e74\u70ba\u57fa\u671f\u7684\u5404\u5546\u54c1\u6216\u670d\u52d9\u7d44\u5225\u7684\u7d9c\u5408\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08Composite Consumer Price Index\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31CCPI\uff09\u958b\u652f\u6b0a\u6578\u3010\u8a3b3\u3011\uff0c\u7576\u4e2d\u300c\u4f4f\u5c4b\u300d\u985e\u5225\u7684\u6b0a\u6578\u4f54\u6bd4\u6700\u9ad8\uff0c\u8d85\u904e\u56db\u6210\u3010\u8868\u3011\uff1b\u800c\u65e5\u5e38\u6240\u9700\u7684\u98df\u54c1\u548c\u4ea4\u901a\u7b49\u958b\u652f\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u6bd4\u975e\u65e5\u5e38\u652f\u51fa\uff08\u5982\u79df\u91d1\u3001\u5bb6\u5177\uff09\u66f4\u70ba\u983b\u7e41\uff0c\u5c0e\u81f4\u5e02\u6c11\u5c0d\u901a\u8139\u7684\u89c0\u611f\u8f03\u6613\u53d7\u6b64\u5f71\u97ff\u3002 \u4ee52019\u81f32024\u5e74\u7684\u6578\u64da\u70ba\u4f8b\u3010\u8a3b4\u3011\uff0cCCPI\u4e2d\u4f4f\u5c4b\u7684\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\u6309\u5e74\u8b8a\u52d5\u767e\u5206\u7387\u5927\u81f4\u6bd4\u98df\u54c1\u3001\u4ea4\u901a\u70ba\u4f4e\uff0c\u57fa\u65bc\u4f4f\u5c4b\u7684\u6b0a\u6578\u4f54\u6bd4\u6700\u5927\u3010\u57161\u3011\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f4CPI\u53d7\u4f4f\u5c4b\u50f9\u683c\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u8f03\u5927\uff0c\u5c0d\u98df\u54c1\u3001\u4ea4\u901a\u7b49\u65e5\u5e38\u958b\u652f\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u8b8a\u52d5\u5247\u8f03\u4e0d\u654f\u611f\uff0c\u800c\u4f4e\u4f30\u9019\u6bb5\u671f\u9593\u7684\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u3002 \u4e00\u822c\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5e02\u6c11\u8f03\u5728\u610f\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u52a0\u50f9\uff0c\u5c0d\u6e1b\u50f9\u7684\u5370\u8c61\u5247\u8f03\u6dfa\u6216\u4e0d\u4ee5\u70ba\u610f\uff0c\u5c6c\u8a18\u61b6\u504f\u898b\uff08memory bias\uff09\u7684\u4e00\u7a2e\u3002\u65e5\u5e38\u6d88\u8cbb\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u4e0d\u4f46\u652f\u51fa\u983b\u7e41\uff0c\u5176\u50f9\u683c\u8abf\u6574\u4ea6\u8f03\u983b\u5bc6\u3002\u53c3\u8003\u4e00\u9805\u6ce2\u862d\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u611f\u77e5\u6309\u5e74\u901a\u8139\u7387\u7684\u5b78\u8853\u7814\u7a76\u3010\u8a3b5\u3011\uff0c\u75312004\u5e74\u81f32017\u5e74\u9593\uff0c\u554f\u5377\u8abf\u67e5\u7d50\u679c\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u7adf\u6709\u8fd199%\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u4e0d\u70ba\u610f\u6b77\u664228\u500b\u6708\uff082014\u5e747\u6708\u81f32016\u5e7410\u6708\uff09\u51fa\u73fe\u901a\u7e2e\u3010\u57162\u3011\uff0c\u7576\u4e2d43%\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u8a8d\u70ba\u7269\u50f9\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u5176\u991853%\u66f4\u8a8d\u70ba\u7269\u50f9\u4e0d\u8dcc\u53cd\u5347\u3010\u57163\u3011\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u56e0\u57fa\u6578\u6548\u61c9\uff08base effect\uff09\u4f5c\u795f\uff0c\u5e02\u6c11\u5bb9\u6613\u9ad8\u4f30\u901a\u8139\u3002\u65e5\u5e38\u958b\u652f\u7684\u57fa\u6578\u8f03\u5c0f\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u8857\u5e0210\u51431\u65a4\u7684\u751f\u83dc\u50c5\u52a0\u50f91\u5143\uff0c\u4ea6\u537310%\u5347\u5e45\uff0c\u5bb9\u6613\u4ee4\u5e02\u6c11\u9ad8\u4f30\u901a\u8139\u3002\u4e0a\u8ff0\u7814\u7a76\u540c\u6642\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u611f\u77e5\u901a\u8139\uff08inflation perception\uff09\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u8207\u5be6\u969bCPI\u901a\u8139\u5927\u81f4\u76f8\u540c\uff0c\u537b\u5e73\u5747\u9ad8\u4f3010\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\u3010\u57162\u3011\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u6307\u51faCPI\u8207\u6ce2\u862d\u5e02\u6c11\u5c0d\u901a\u8139\u611f\u53d7\u6709\u6240\u5dee\u8ddd\uff0c\u8207\u5176\u4ed6\u6b50\u76df\u570b\u60c5\u6cc1\u76f8\u4f3c\uff0c\u53ef\u898b\u4e26\u975e\u500b\u5225\u5730\u5340\u7368\u6709\uff0c\u4ea6\u53cd\u6620CPI\u4e0d\u80fd\u6e96\u78ba\u4f30\u7b97\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u7684\u8b8a\u52d5\u3002\u7d9c\u5408\u4ee5\u4e0a3\u9ede\uff0cCPI\u4f5c\u70ba\u901a\u8139\u7684\u6307\u6a19\u78ba\u5be6\u8207\u5e02\u6c11\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u9ad4\u9a57\u9817\u6709\u51fa\u5165\uff0c\u96e3\u514d\u4e88\u4eba\u300c\u96e2\u5730\u300d\u4e4b\u611f\u3002 \u65e5\u5e38\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\u80cc\u5f8c 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\u5f9e\u653f\u7b56\u7740\u624b\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u53ef\u5c07EPI\u7d0d\u5165\u798f\u5229\u8abf\u6574\u7684\u53c3\u8003\u6307\u6a19\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u6052\u5e38\u5be6\u65bd\u7684\u516c\u5171\u798f\u5229\u91d1\u8a08\u5283\uff0c\u5982\u9ad8\u9f61\u6d25\u8cbc\uff08\u751f\u679c\u91d1\uff09\u53ca\u7d9c\u5408\u793e\u6703\u4fdd\u969c\u63f4\u52a9\uff08\u7d9c\u63f4\uff09\uff0c\u56e0\u4e00\u76f4\u8207CPI\u639b\u920e\uff0c\u6d25\u8cbc\u91d1\u984d\u7684\u8abf\u6574\u5e45\u5ea6\u672a\u9054\u9810\u671f\u3002EPI\u4f5c\u70ba\u66f4\u300c\u8cbc\u5730\u300d\u7684\u6307\u6a19\uff0c\u6709\u95dc\u653f\u7b56\u53cd\u800c\u80fd\u6536\u5229\u6c11\u4e4b\u6548\u3002 \u6307\u6578\u7684\u5c40\u9650\u8207\u904b\u7528 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\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u7b46\u8005\u5fc5\u9808\u5f37\u8abfEPI\u4e0d\u80fd\u53d6\u4ee3CPI\uff0c\u5169\u8005\u61c9\u8a72\u4e26\u5b58\u3002EPI\u662f\u53cd\u6620\u6c11\u773e\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6052\u5e38\u958b\u652f\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684\u6307\u6a19\uff0cCPI\u5247\u53cd\u6620\u793e\u6703\u6574\u9ad4\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u6052\u5e38\u8207\u975e\u6052\u5e38\uff09\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u8b8a\u52d5\uff0c\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u4e3b\u6d41\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6307\u6a19\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u7531\u65bc\u5169\u500b\u6307\u6a19\u6240\u9054\u81f4\u7684\u76ee\u7684\u8207\u4f5c\u7528\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u8005\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\u61c9\u9748\u6d3b\u904b\u7528\u53ca\u53c3\u8003\u5169\u9805\u6307\u6a19\u3002 \u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5c0d\u653f\u5e9c\u53ca\u5b78\u8005\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u9664\u6052\u5e38\u958b\u652f\u5916\uff0c\u5b9a\u671f\u4e86\u89e3\u6574\u9ad4\u7269\u50f9\u8b8a\u52d5\u6709\u52a9\u5236\u5b9a\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4f5c\u70ba\u6bd4\u8f03\u5404\u5730\u7269\u50f9\u7684\u57fa\u790e\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64CPI\u5728\u6b64\u65b9\u9762\u66f4\u70ba\u5408\u9069\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u82e5\u8ad6\u5e02\u6c11\u7684\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u65b9\u9762\uff0cEPI\u5247\u8f03\u6e96\u78ba\u5730\u53cd\u6620\u76f8\u95dc\u958b\u652f\u7684\u8b8a\u52d5\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u6709\u5229\u5927\u773e\u898f\u5283\u500b\u4eba\u8ca1\u52d9\uff0c\u5c0d\u5236\u5b9a\u793e\u6703\u798f\u5229\u653f\u7b56\u4ea6\u5177\u53c3\u8003\u50f9\u503c\u3002 \u6700\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e0d\u540c\u6307\u6a19\u5404\u6709\u5229\u5f0a\uff0c\u7406\u60f3\u7684\u6307\u6a19\u56fa\u7136\u61c9\u8a72\u7c21\u55ae\u6613\u660e\uff0c\u800c\u4f7f\u7528\u8005\u4ea6\u6709\u8cac\u4efb\u4e86\u89e3\u6307\u6a19\u7684\u7528\u9014\u548c\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u76f2\u76ee\u751a\u6216\u932f\u8aa4\u4f7f\u7528\uff0c\u5426\u5247\u5373\u4f7f\u8a2d\u7acb\u5343\u5343\u842c\u842c\u7a2e\u6307\u6a19\uff0c\u4e5f\u6703\u7121\u6fdf\u65bc\u4e8b\u3002 \u6b63\u5982\u672c\u6587\u958b\u7aef\u6240\u8a00\uff0c\u5e02\u6c11\u5c0dCPI\u8a8d\u8b58\u4e0d\u6df1\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f4\u5bb9\u6613\u8aa4\u89e3\u6578\u64da\u7684\u542b\u7fa9\u3002\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u76f8\u95dc\u6559\u80b2\u548c\u5ba3\u50b3\u61c9\u66f4\u4e3b\u52d5\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u56e0\u61c9\u793e\u6703\u9700\u8981\u53e6\u8a2d\u53cd\u6620\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684EPI\u5916\uff0c\u4ea6\u9808\u52a0\u5f37\u5411\u516c\u773e\u8b1b\u89e3\u4e0d\u540c\u6307\u6a19\u7684\u7528\u9014\uff0c\u4ee5\u6d88\u9664\u8aa4\u89e3\u3002 \u3010\u8a3b1\u3011\uff1a https:\/\/www.censtatd.gov.hk\/en\/data\/stat_report\/product\/B8XX0021\/att\/B8XX0021.pdf \u3010\u8a3b2\u3011\uff1a Now\u8ca1\u7d93\u65b0\u805e\uff0c\u300a\u7d93\u7def\u7dda\u300b\u4f4e\u901a\u8139\u4e4b\u8b0ehttps:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=_12qhhUQM2Y&t=525s\uff08\u8a2a\u554f\u6642\u6bb5\uff1a08:36\u201310:32\uff09 \u3010\u8a3b3\u3011\uff1a https:\/\/www.censtatd.gov.hk\/tc\/EIndexbySubject.html?pcode=B8XX0029&scode=270\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u81ea2024\u5e744\u6708\u7684\u7d71\u8a08\u6708\u4efd\u958b\u59cb\uff0c\u7d71\u8a08\u8655\u5df2\u66f4\u65b0\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\u958b\u652f\u6b0a\u6578\u7684\u53c3\u7167\u671f\u81f32023\u5e74\u5168\u5e74\u3002\u8a72\u6b21\u66f4\u65b0\u7684\u958b\u652f\u6b0a\u6578\uff0c\u9664\u5be6\u969b\u6578\u5b57\u6709\u5fae\u7d30\u7684\u5dee\u7570\u5916\uff0c\u4e26\u4e0d\u5f71\u97ff\u672c\u6587\u5c0d\u958b\u652f\u6b0a\u6578\u7684\u63cf\u8ff0\u3002 \u3010\u8a3b4\u3011\uff1a https:\/\/www.censtatd.gov.hk\/en\/data\/stat_report\/product\/D5600001\/att\/D5600001B2024MM06B.xlsx \u3010\u8a3b5\u3011\uff1a https:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s41549-019-00036-9 \u3010\u8a3b6\u3011\uff1a https:\/\/www.aier.org\/research\/capturing-shifts-in-everyday-prices\/ \u3010\u8a3b7\u3011\uff1a https:\/\/www.aier.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/WP004-EPI-Polina-Vlasenko-PV.pdf","inLanguage":"zh-HK","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/#website"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/research\/thought-leadership\/hkej-column\/cpi-or-epi-or-both\/#breadcrumblist"},"datePublished":"2024-09-11T16:01:11+08:00","dateModified":"2024-09-11T16:02:15+08:00"},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/","name":"HKU Business School","inLanguage":"zh-HK","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/#organization"}}]},"og:locale":"en_US","og:site_name":"HKU Business School 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Index\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31CPI\uff09\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u6c11\u901a\u5e38\u8cfc\u8cb7\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u50f9\u683c\u6c34\u5e73\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684\u6307\u6a19\u3002\u7576CPI\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u5e02\u6c11\u5728\u958b\u652f\u7dad\u6301\u4e0d\u8b8a\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e00\u822c\u53ef\u8cfc\u8cb7\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u6e1b\u5c11\u3002\u63db\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0cCPI\u7684\u8b8a\u52d5\u53cd\u6620\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u6240\u9762\u5c0d\u7684\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\uff1b\u4f46\u9451\u65bcCPI\u5728\u4f30\u7b97\u5e02\u6c11\u65e5\u5e38\u958b\u652f\u4e0a\u5f80\u5f80\u51fa\u73fe\u504f\u5dee\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u9664\u4e86\u63a2\u8a0e\u5176\u5c40\u9650\u5916\uff0c\u4ea6\u5efa\u8b70\u63a1\u7528\u65e5\u5e38\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08Everyday Price Index\uff09\u3002 \u73fe\u884c\u6307\u6578\u6709\u76f2\u9ede CPI\u662f\u53cd\u6620\u672c\u6e2f\u7269\u50f9\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684\u4e3b\u6d41\u6307\u6a19\u3002\u653f\u5e9c\u7d71\u8a08\u8655\u6bcf\u6708\u5747\u6703\u516c\u5e03\u6309\u6708\u7684CPI\u8b8a\u52d5\uff0c\u5e02\u6c11\u53ef\u900f\u904e\u65b0\u805e\u5a92\u9ad4\u5f97\u6089\u76f8\u95dc\u6578\u64da\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u666e\u7f85\u5927\u773e\u5c0d\u65bcCPI\u7684\u4e86\u89e3\u6bcf\u591a\u6d41\u65bc\u7247\u9762\uff0c\u6216\u6703\u8aa4\u4ee5\u70ba\u5728\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6240\u898b\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u8b8a\u52d5\u7406\u61c9\u5b8c\u5168\u53cd\u6620\u5176\u4e2d\u3002\u5be6\u969b\u4e0a\uff0c\u53bb\u5e74\u4e00\u5247\u5c08\u984c\u65b0\u805e\u5831\u9053\u5c31\u66fe\u70ba\u8b80\u8005\u62c6\u89e3\u300c\u4f4e\u901a\u8139\u4e4b\u8b0e\u300d\u3002\u7576\u4e2d\u4e0d\u5c11\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u5927\u81f4\u6839\u64da\u81ea\u8eab\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u7d93\u9a57\uff0c\u4f30\u7b97\u5be6\u969b\u901a\u8139\u7387\u9ad8\u65bc\u5b98\u65b9\u516c\u5e03\u6578\u5b57\uff0c\u4e26\u8a8d\u70ba\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u6578\u64da\u300c\u96e2\u5730\u300d\u3010\u8a3b2\u3011\u3002 \u5ba2\u89c0\u800c\u8a00\uff0cCPI\u7684\u78ba\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u4e9b\u76f2\u9ede\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u4e26\u975e\u4e00\u500b\u53cd\u6620\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u7684\u826f\u597d\u6307\u6a19\u3002\u539f\u56e0\u4e4b\u4e00\u662f\u5728\u5176\u69cb\u6210\u90e8\u5206\u4e2d\uff0c\u652f\u51fa\u983b\u7387\u8f03\u4f4e\u7684\u985e\u5225\u6b0a\u6578\u4f54\u6bd4\u8f03\u5927\u3002\u53c3\u8003\u7d71\u8a08\u8655\u4ee52019\/20\u5e74\u70ba\u57fa\u671f\u7684\u5404\u5546\u54c1\u6216\u670d\u52d9\u7d44\u5225\u7684\u7d9c\u5408\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08Composite Consumer Price Index\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31CCPI\uff09\u958b\u652f\u6b0a\u6578\u3010\u8a3b3\u3011\uff0c\u7576\u4e2d\u300c\u4f4f\u5c4b\u300d\u985e\u5225\u7684\u6b0a\u6578\u4f54\u6bd4\u6700\u9ad8\uff0c\u8d85\u904e\u56db\u6210\u3010\u8868\u3011\uff1b\u800c\u65e5\u5e38\u6240\u9700\u7684\u98df\u54c1\u548c\u4ea4\u901a\u7b49\u958b\u652f\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u6bd4\u975e\u65e5\u5e38\u652f\u51fa\uff08\u5982\u79df\u91d1\u3001\u5bb6\u5177\uff09\u66f4\u70ba\u983b\u7e41\uff0c\u5c0e\u81f4\u5e02\u6c11\u5c0d\u901a\u8139\u7684\u89c0\u611f\u8f03\u6613\u53d7\u6b64\u5f71\u97ff\u3002 \u4ee52019\u81f32024\u5e74\u7684\u6578\u64da\u70ba\u4f8b\u3010\u8a3b4\u3011\uff0cCCPI\u4e2d\u4f4f\u5c4b\u7684\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\u6309\u5e74\u8b8a\u52d5\u767e\u5206\u7387\u5927\u81f4\u6bd4\u98df\u54c1\u3001\u4ea4\u901a\u70ba\u4f4e\uff0c\u57fa\u65bc\u4f4f\u5c4b\u7684\u6b0a\u6578\u4f54\u6bd4\u6700\u5927\u3010\u57161\u3011\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f4CPI\u53d7\u4f4f\u5c4b\u50f9\u683c\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u8f03\u5927\uff0c\u5c0d\u98df\u54c1\u3001\u4ea4\u901a\u7b49\u65e5\u5e38\u958b\u652f\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u8b8a\u52d5\u5247\u8f03\u4e0d\u654f\u611f\uff0c\u800c\u4f4e\u4f30\u9019\u6bb5\u671f\u9593\u7684\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u3002 \u4e00\u822c\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5e02\u6c11\u8f03\u5728\u610f\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u52a0\u50f9\uff0c\u5c0d\u6e1b\u50f9\u7684\u5370\u8c61\u5247\u8f03\u6dfa\u6216\u4e0d\u4ee5\u70ba\u610f\uff0c\u5c6c\u8a18\u61b6\u504f\u898b\uff08memory bias\uff09\u7684\u4e00\u7a2e\u3002\u65e5\u5e38\u6d88\u8cbb\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u4e0d\u4f46\u652f\u51fa\u983b\u7e41\uff0c\u5176\u50f9\u683c\u8abf\u6574\u4ea6\u8f03\u983b\u5bc6\u3002\u53c3\u8003\u4e00\u9805\u6ce2\u862d\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u611f\u77e5\u6309\u5e74\u901a\u8139\u7387\u7684\u5b78\u8853\u7814\u7a76\u3010\u8a3b5\u3011\uff0c\u75312004\u5e74\u81f32017\u5e74\u9593\uff0c\u554f\u5377\u8abf\u67e5\u7d50\u679c\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u7adf\u6709\u8fd199%\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u4e0d\u70ba\u610f\u6b77\u664228\u500b\u6708\uff082014\u5e747\u6708\u81f32016\u5e7410\u6708\uff09\u51fa\u73fe\u901a\u7e2e\u3010\u57162\u3011\uff0c\u7576\u4e2d43%\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u8a8d\u70ba\u7269\u50f9\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u5176\u991853%\u66f4\u8a8d\u70ba\u7269\u50f9\u4e0d\u8dcc\u53cd\u5347\u3010\u57163\u3011\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u56e0\u57fa\u6578\u6548\u61c9\uff08base effect\uff09\u4f5c\u795f\uff0c\u5e02\u6c11\u5bb9\u6613\u9ad8\u4f30\u901a\u8139\u3002\u65e5\u5e38\u958b\u652f\u7684\u57fa\u6578\u8f03\u5c0f\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u8857\u5e0210\u51431\u65a4\u7684\u751f\u83dc\u50c5\u52a0\u50f91\u5143\uff0c\u4ea6\u537310%\u5347\u5e45\uff0c\u5bb9\u6613\u4ee4\u5e02\u6c11\u9ad8\u4f30\u901a\u8139\u3002\u4e0a\u8ff0\u7814\u7a76\u540c\u6642\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u611f\u77e5\u901a\u8139\uff08inflation perception\uff09\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u8207\u5be6\u969bCPI\u901a\u8139\u5927\u81f4\u76f8\u540c\uff0c\u537b\u5e73\u5747\u9ad8\u4f3010\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\u3010\u57162\u3011\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u6307\u51faCPI\u8207\u6ce2\u862d\u5e02\u6c11\u5c0d\u901a\u8139\u611f\u53d7\u6709\u6240\u5dee\u8ddd\uff0c\u8207\u5176\u4ed6\u6b50\u76df\u570b\u60c5\u6cc1\u76f8\u4f3c\uff0c\u53ef\u898b\u4e26\u975e\u500b\u5225\u5730\u5340\u7368\u6709\uff0c\u4ea6\u53cd\u6620CPI\u4e0d\u80fd\u6e96\u78ba\u4f30\u7b97\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u7684\u8b8a\u52d5\u3002\u7d9c\u5408\u4ee5\u4e0a3\u9ede\uff0cCPI\u4f5c\u70ba\u901a\u8139\u7684\u6307\u6a19\u78ba\u5be6\u8207\u5e02\u6c11\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u9ad4\u9a57\u9817\u6709\u51fa\u5165\uff0c\u96e3\u514d\u4e88\u4eba\u300c\u96e2\u5730\u300d\u4e4b\u611f\u3002 \u65e5\u5e38\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\u80cc\u5f8c \u6709\u9451\u65bcCPI\u672a\u80fd\u6e96\u78ba\u8861\u91cf\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u6c34\u5e73\u8b8a\u52d5\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240\uff08American Institute of Economic Research\uff09\u5f15\u5165\u4e26\u7de8\u88fd\u65e5\u5e38\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08EPI\uff09\uff0c\u4f5c\u70ba\u66f4\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u6307\u6a19\u3010\u8a3b6\u3011\u3002\u8207CPI\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u662f\uff0cEPI\u53ea\u6db5\u84cb\u4e00\u4e9b\u65e5\u5e38\u8cfc\u8cb7\uff0c\u4e14\u7121\u6cd5\u8f15\u6613\u5ef6\u5f8c\u6216\u653e\u68c4\u8cfc\u8cb7\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u3002EPI\u7d71\u8a08\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u50f9\u683c\u5fc5\u9808\u7b26\u5408\u5169\u9805\u539f\u5247\uff1a\u4e00\u3001\u9808\u662f\u5927\u773e\u6052\u5e38\u8cfc\u8cb7\u7684\uff08\u81f3\u5c11\u6bcf\u67081\u6b21\uff09\uff0c\u4e0d\u5305\u62ec\u8010\u7528\u7269\u54c1\uff08\u5982\u5bb6\u5177\u3001\u5bb6\u96fb\uff09\u3002\u4e8c\u3001\u5176\u50f9\u683c\u4e0d\u80fd\u900f\u904e\u5408\u7d04\u7b49\u65b9\u5f0f\u56fa\u5b9a6\u500b\u6708\u6216\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u53d7\u5408\u7d04\u898f\u7bc4\u7684\u79df\u91d1\u7b49\u652f\u51fa\u4ea6\u56e0\u800c\u4e0d\u88abEPI\u8a08\u7b97\u5728\u5167\u3010\u8a3b7\u3011\u3002EPI\u66f4\u8cbc\u8fd1\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u7684\u652f\u51fa\uff0c\u6bd4CPI\u66f4\u80fd\u6e96\u78ba\u53cd\u6620\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u7684\u8b8a\u52d5\u3002\u4e8b\u5be6\u4e0a\uff0cEPI\u7684\u7de8\u88fd\u65b9\u5f0f\u7c21\u55ae\u76f4\u63a5\uff0c\u53ea\u9700\u5728\u7de8\u88fdCPI\u7684\u57fa\u790e\u4e0a\uff0c\u5c07EPI\u4e0d\u6db5\u84cb\u7684\u9805\u76ee\u5254\u9664\uff0c\u4e26\u8abf\u6574\u76f8\u61c9\u7684\u958b\u652f\u6b0a\u6578\u5373\u53ef\u3002 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\u3010\u8a3b1\u3011\uff1a https:\/\/www.censtatd.gov.hk\/en\/data\/stat_report\/product\/B8XX0021\/att\/B8XX0021.pdf \u3010\u8a3b2\u3011\uff1a Now\u8ca1\u7d93\u65b0\u805e\uff0c\u300a\u7d93\u7def\u7dda\u300b\u4f4e\u901a\u8139\u4e4b\u8b0ehttps:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=_12qhhUQM2Y&amp;t=525s\uff08\u8a2a\u554f\u6642\u6bb5\uff1a08:36\u201310:32\uff09 \u3010\u8a3b3\u3011\uff1a https:\/\/www.censtatd.gov.hk\/tc\/EIndexbySubject.html?pcode=B8XX0029&amp;scode=270\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u81ea2024\u5e744\u6708\u7684\u7d71\u8a08\u6708\u4efd\u958b\u59cb\uff0c\u7d71\u8a08\u8655\u5df2\u66f4\u65b0\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\u958b\u652f\u6b0a\u6578\u7684\u53c3\u7167\u671f\u81f32023\u5e74\u5168\u5e74\u3002\u8a72\u6b21\u66f4\u65b0\u7684\u958b\u652f\u6b0a\u6578\uff0c\u9664\u5be6\u969b\u6578\u5b57\u6709\u5fae\u7d30\u7684\u5dee\u7570\u5916\uff0c\u4e26\u4e0d\u5f71\u97ff\u672c\u6587\u5c0d\u958b\u652f\u6b0a\u6578\u7684\u63cf\u8ff0\u3002 \u3010\u8a3b4\u3011\uff1a https:\/\/www.censtatd.gov.hk\/en\/data\/stat_report\/product\/D5600001\/att\/D5600001B2024MM06B.xlsx \u3010\u8a3b5\u3011\uff1a https:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s41549-019-00036-9 \u3010\u8a3b6\u3011\uff1a https:\/\/www.aier.org\/research\/capturing-shifts-in-everyday-prices\/ \u3010\u8a3b7\u3011\uff1a https:\/\/www.aier.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/WP004-EPI-Polina-Vlasenko-PV.pdf","og:url":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/research\/thought-leadership\/hkej-column\/cpi-or-epi-or-both\/","article:published_time":"2024-09-11T08:01:11+00:00","article:modified_time":"2024-09-11T08:02:15+00:00","twitter:card":"summary_large_image","twitter:title":"\u69cb\u5efa\u65b0\u6307\u6578 \u901a\u8139\u66f4\u9760\u8b5c - HKU Business School","twitter:description":"\u5f9e\u500b\u4eba\u548c\u5bb6\u5ead\u7684\u8ca1\u52d9\u898f\u5283\uff0c\u5230\u6c7a\u7b56\u8005\u5236\u5b9a\u6301\u7e8c\u6539\u5584\u6c11\u751f\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5e02\u6c11\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u958b\u652f\u90fd\u662f\u5176\u4e2d\u95dc\u9375\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u64da\u9999\u6e2f\u7279\u5340\u653f\u5e9c\u7d71\u8a08\u8655\u63cf\u8ff0\u3010\u8a3b1\u3011\uff0c\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08Consumer Price Index\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31CPI\uff09\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u6c11\u901a\u5e38\u8cfc\u8cb7\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u50f9\u683c\u6c34\u5e73\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684\u6307\u6a19\u3002\u7576CPI\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u5e02\u6c11\u5728\u958b\u652f\u7dad\u6301\u4e0d\u8b8a\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e00\u822c\u53ef\u8cfc\u8cb7\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u6e1b\u5c11\u3002\u63db\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0cCPI\u7684\u8b8a\u52d5\u53cd\u6620\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u6240\u9762\u5c0d\u7684\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\uff1b\u4f46\u9451\u65bcCPI\u5728\u4f30\u7b97\u5e02\u6c11\u65e5\u5e38\u958b\u652f\u4e0a\u5f80\u5f80\u51fa\u73fe\u504f\u5dee\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u9664\u4e86\u63a2\u8a0e\u5176\u5c40\u9650\u5916\uff0c\u4ea6\u5efa\u8b70\u63a1\u7528\u65e5\u5e38\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08Everyday Price Index\uff09\u3002 \u73fe\u884c\u6307\u6578\u6709\u76f2\u9ede 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\u5ba2\u89c0\u800c\u8a00\uff0cCPI\u7684\u78ba\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u4e9b\u76f2\u9ede\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u4e26\u975e\u4e00\u500b\u53cd\u6620\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u7684\u826f\u597d\u6307\u6a19\u3002\u539f\u56e0\u4e4b\u4e00\u662f\u5728\u5176\u69cb\u6210\u90e8\u5206\u4e2d\uff0c\u652f\u51fa\u983b\u7387\u8f03\u4f4e\u7684\u985e\u5225\u6b0a\u6578\u4f54\u6bd4\u8f03\u5927\u3002\u53c3\u8003\u7d71\u8a08\u8655\u4ee52019\/20\u5e74\u70ba\u57fa\u671f\u7684\u5404\u5546\u54c1\u6216\u670d\u52d9\u7d44\u5225\u7684\u7d9c\u5408\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08Composite Consumer Price Index\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31CCPI\uff09\u958b\u652f\u6b0a\u6578\u3010\u8a3b3\u3011\uff0c\u7576\u4e2d\u300c\u4f4f\u5c4b\u300d\u985e\u5225\u7684\u6b0a\u6578\u4f54\u6bd4\u6700\u9ad8\uff0c\u8d85\u904e\u56db\u6210\u3010\u8868\u3011\uff1b\u800c\u65e5\u5e38\u6240\u9700\u7684\u98df\u54c1\u548c\u4ea4\u901a\u7b49\u958b\u652f\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u6bd4\u975e\u65e5\u5e38\u652f\u51fa\uff08\u5982\u79df\u91d1\u3001\u5bb6\u5177\uff09\u66f4\u70ba\u983b\u7e41\uff0c\u5c0e\u81f4\u5e02\u6c11\u5c0d\u901a\u8139\u7684\u89c0\u611f\u8f03\u6613\u53d7\u6b64\u5f71\u97ff\u3002 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perception\uff09\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u8207\u5be6\u969bCPI\u901a\u8139\u5927\u81f4\u76f8\u540c\uff0c\u537b\u5e73\u5747\u9ad8\u4f3010\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\u3010\u57162\u3011\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u6307\u51faCPI\u8207\u6ce2\u862d\u5e02\u6c11\u5c0d\u901a\u8139\u611f\u53d7\u6709\u6240\u5dee\u8ddd\uff0c\u8207\u5176\u4ed6\u6b50\u76df\u570b\u60c5\u6cc1\u76f8\u4f3c\uff0c\u53ef\u898b\u4e26\u975e\u500b\u5225\u5730\u5340\u7368\u6709\uff0c\u4ea6\u53cd\u6620CPI\u4e0d\u80fd\u6e96\u78ba\u4f30\u7b97\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u7684\u8b8a\u52d5\u3002\u7d9c\u5408\u4ee5\u4e0a3\u9ede\uff0cCPI\u4f5c\u70ba\u901a\u8139\u7684\u6307\u6a19\u78ba\u5be6\u8207\u5e02\u6c11\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u9ad4\u9a57\u9817\u6709\u51fa\u5165\uff0c\u96e3\u514d\u4e88\u4eba\u300c\u96e2\u5730\u300d\u4e4b\u611f\u3002 \u65e5\u5e38\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\u80cc\u5f8c 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