{"id":218918,"date":"2024-09-05T15:33:57","date_gmt":"2024-09-05T07:33:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/research\/thought-leadership\/africa-needs-more-trade-for-economic-development\/"},"modified":"2024-09-05T15:55:59","modified_gmt":"2024-09-05T07:55:59","slug":"africa-needs-more-trade-for-economic-development","status":"publish","type":"thought-leadership","link":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/research\/thought-leadership\/hkej-column\/africa-needs-more-trade-for-economic-development\/","title":{"rendered":"\u975e\u6d32\u9808\u4fc3\u9032\u8cbf\u6613\u4ee5\u767c\u5c55\u7d93\u6fdf"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u70ba\u671f\u4e09\u5929\u7684<span>2024<\/span>\u5e74\u4e2d\u975e\u5408\u4f5c\u8ad6\u58c7\u5cf0\u6703\u4eca\u5929\u5728\u5317\u4eac\u555f\u5e55\uff0c\u662f\u9019\u500b\u8ad6\u58c7<span>24<\/span>\u5e74\u4f86\u7b2c\u56db\u6b21\u4ee5\u5cf0\u6703\u5f62\u5f0f\u8209\u884c\u3002\u6709\u5831\u9053\u6307\u9019\u662f\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u5f8c\u6700\u591a\u5916\u570b\u9818\u5c0e\u4eba\u540c\u6642\u5230\u8a2a\u5317\u4eac\u7684\u76db\u6703\u3002\u4e0a\u6b21\u4e2d\u975e\u5408\u4f5c\u8ad6\u58c7\u5cf0\u6703\u4e5f\u5728\u5317\u4eac\u8209\u884c\uff0c\u90a3\u5df2\u7d93\u662f<span>2018<\/span>\u5e74\u7684\u4e8b\uff0c\u6642\u4efb\u7f8e\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u7279\u6717\u666e\u6380\u8d77\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u9ad8\u79d1\u6280\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u6253\u58d3\u624d\u525b\u958b\u59cb\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u96fb\u52d5\u8eca\u5de5\u696d\u4ecd\u672a\u5ee3\u53d7\u95dc\u6ce8\uff0c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u5a01\u529b\u53ea\u5b58\u5728\u65bc\u60f3\u50cf\u4e2d\uff0c\u6c92\u6709\u4fc4\u70cf\u6230\u722d\u548c\u4ee5\u5df4\u885d\u7a81\u7684\u751f\u9748\u5857\u70ad\uff0c\u7576\u7136\u4e5f\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u5168\u7403\u6703\u88ab\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u6298\u9a30\u4e09\u6578\u8f09\u3002<\/p>\n<h5>\u51fa\u53e3\u539f\u6750\u6599\u8fb2\u7522\u54c1\u96e3\u81f4\u5bcc<\/h5>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6642\u79fb\u4e16\u6613\uff0c\u904e\u53bb\u6578\u5e74\u7684\u98a8\u8d77\u96f2\u6e67\uff0c\u8fc5\u901f\u6539\u8b8a\u5168\u7403\u7684\u683c\u5c40\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f7f\u5728\u570b\u969b\u653f\u7d93\u821e\u53f0\u4e0a\u4e00\u76f4\u8655\u65bc\u88ab\u52d5\u7684\u975e\u6d32\uff0c\u6709\u6a5f\u6703\u7a0d\u70ba\u79fb\u5411\u821e\u53f0\u7684\u4e2d\u592e\u3002\u6bd4\u8f03\u660e\u986f\u7684\uff0c\u662f\u53bb\u5e74<span>9<\/span>\u6708\u975e\u6d32\u806f\u76df\uff08<span>African Union<\/span>\uff09\u6210\u70ba<span>20<\/span>\u570b\u96c6\u5718\uff08<span>G20<\/span>\uff09\u7684\u6c38\u4e45\u6210\u54e1\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u773e\u591a\u975e\u6d32\u570b\u5bb6\u5c31\u570b\u969b\u4e8b\u52d9\u767c\u8072\u3002\u773e\u6240\u5468\u77e5\uff0c<span>G20<\/span>\u96c6\u4e2d\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u7d93\u6fdf\u529b\u91cf\uff0c\u4f54\u4e86\u5168\u7403<span>85%<\/span>\u7684<span>GDP<\/span>\u548c<span>75%<\/span>\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u3002\u5728\u9019\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u975e\u6d32\u5728<span>G20<\/span>\u4e2d\u53ea\u6709\u5357\u975e\u4e00\u500b\u4ee3\u8868\u3002\u81f3\u65bc\u975e\u6d32\u806f\u76df\uff0c\u5247\u6709\u4e94\u5341\u591a\u500b\u975e\u6d32\u570b\u5bb6\u70ba\u5176\u6210\u54e1\uff0c\u5dee\u4e0d\u591a\u4ee3\u8868\u6574\u500b\u975e\u6d32\uff0c\u5728<span>G20<\/span>\u4e2d\u7684\u89d2\u8272\u76f8\u7576\u65bc\u53e6\u4e00\u6210\u54e1\u6b50\u76df\uff08<span>European Union<\/span>\uff09\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u4f8b\u5b50\u662f\uff0c\u5728\u52a0\u6c99\u885d\u7a81\u6578\u500b\u6708\u5f8c\uff0c\u5357\u975e\u5728\u570b\u969b\u6cd5\u9662\uff08<span>International Court of Justice<\/span>\uff09\u63a7\u544a\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u5c0d\u5df4\u52d2\u65af\u5766\u4eba\u72af\u4e0b\u7a2e\u65cf\u6ec5\u7d55\u7f6a\u884c\u3002\u4e00\u500b\u5c0f\u570b\u5728\u4e0d\u76f4\u63a5\u6d89\u53ca\u81ea\u8eab\u5229\u76ca\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u570b\u969b\u4e8b\u52d9\u4e0a\u5982\u6b64\u4e3b\u52d5\uff0c\u5728\u4ee5\u524d\u6709\u4e9b\u96e3\u4ee5\u60f3\u50cf\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u975e\u6d32\u53ef\u4ee5\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u5929\u7136\u8cc7\u6e90\u5916\uff0c\u9084\u6709<span>54<\/span>\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u5728\u806f\u5408\u570b\u7684\u7968\u6578\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u6f14\u8b8a\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u975e\u6d32\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\uff0c\u4f46\u975e\u6d32\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u8868\u73fe\u7e3d\u7684\u4f86\u8aaa\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u5dee\u5f37\u4eba\u610f\u3002\u975e\u6d32\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5927\u6d32\uff0c\u4f54\u5730\u7403\u9678\u5730\u9762\u7a4d<span>20%<\/span>\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u4e5f\u662f\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5927\u6d32\uff0c\u6309\u5e74\u9f61\u4e2d\u4f4d\u6578\u770b\u662f\u6700\u5e74\u8f15\u7684\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u8cc7\u6e90\u4e5f\u76f8\u7576\u8c50\u5bcc\uff0c\u4f46\u4eba\u5747<span>GDP<\/span>\u537b\u662f\u6700\u4f4e\u7684\uff0c\u7279\u5225\u662f\u6492\u54c8\u62c9\u4ee5\u5357\u7684\u975e\u6d32\uff08<span>Sub-Saharan Africa<\/span>\uff09\u3002\u6309\u4e16\u754c\u9280\u884c\u7684\u6578\u5b57\uff0c\u5728<span>2023<\/span>\u5e74\u4ee5\u8cfc\u8cb7\u529b\u5e73\u50f9\u8a08\u7b97\u7684\u4eba\u5747<span>GDP<\/span>\uff0c\u6492\u54c8\u62c9\u4ee5\u5357\u7684\u975e\u6d32\u53ea\u6709<span>4374<\/span>\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u548c\u9ad8\u6536\u5165\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5408\u4f5c\u548c\u767c\u5c55\u7d44\u7e54\uff08<span>OECD<\/span>\uff09\u6bd4\u8f03\uff0c\u53ea\u53ca\u5f8c\u8005\u7684<span>8.3%<\/span>\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u767c\u5c55\u4e2d\u5730\u5340\u6bd4\u8f03\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ea\u6709\u62c9\u4e01\u7f8e\u6d32\u7684<span>22%<\/span>\u548c\u5357\u4e9e\u7684<span>52%<\/span>\u3002<span>1990<\/span>\u5e74\uff0c\u975e\u6d32\u7684\u4eba\u5747\u6536\u5165\u662f\u5168\u7403\u5e73\u5747\u7684<span>30%<\/span>\uff0c\u5230<span>2023<\/span>\u5e74\u53ea\u6709<span>21%<\/span>\u3002\u975e\u6d32\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u7de9\u6162\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u548c\u5168\u7403\u5e73\u5747\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\u6108\u4f86\u6108\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e8c\u6230\u5f8c\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u767c\u5c55\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u4ee5\u4e9e\u6d32\u8868\u73fe\u6700\u4f73\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u589e\u9577\u7387\u9ad8\u65bc\u6b50\u7f8e\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u767c\u5c55\u4e2d\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u3002\u800c\u5728\u4e9e\u6d32\uff0c\u7387\u5148\u7a81\u7834\u7684\u662f\u65e5\u672c\uff0c\u7e7c\u4e4b\u662f\u56db\u5c0f\u9f8d\uff0c\u96a8\u5f8c\u662f\u6771\u5357\u4e9e\u5176\u4ed6\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u3002\u6539\u9769\u958b\u653e\u5f8c\u7684\u6578\u5341\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u9678\u7684\u8868\u73fe\u66f4\u662f\u7121\u51fa\u5176\u53f3\u3002\u9019\u4e9b\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u767c\u5c55\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u5171\u540c\u9ede\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u52a0\u5f37\u8cbf\u6613\u8207\u4e16\u754c\u7d93\u6fdf\u63a5\u8ecc\u3002\u82e5\u67e5\u770b\u591a\u5e74\u4f86\u8cbf\u6613\u984d\u6700\u591a\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\uff0c\u5dee\u4e0d\u591a\u90fd\u662f\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u5747\u6536\u5165\u6700\u9ad8\u7684\u3002\u6536\u5165\u8207\u8cbf\u6613\u6709\u9ad8\u5ea6\u6b63\u76f8\u95dc\uff0c\u4e00\u4f86\u662f\u6536\u5165\u9ad8\u4e86\u81ea\u7136\u6d88\u8cbb\u591a\u4e86\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u6d88\u8cbb\u5916\u570b\u7522\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52d9\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8f03\u591a\u7684\u9032\u53e3\uff0c\u4f46\u53cd\u904e\u4f86\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u7684\uff0c\u662f\u8cbf\u6613\u5145\u5206\u5229\u7528\u76f8\u5c0d\u512a\u52e2\u3001\u64f4\u5927\u5e02\u5834\u548c\u63d0\u9ad8\u7af6\u722d\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u6548\u76ca\u3002\u5f9e\u9019\u500b\u89d2\u5ea6\u770b\uff0c\u975e\u6d32\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u767c\u5c55\u7de9\u6162\uff0c\u4e00\u500b\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u5b83\u76f8\u5c0d\u8f03\u5c0f\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u898f\u6a21\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u975e\u6d32\u8cbf\u6613\u53ea\u4f54\u5168\u7403\u8cbf\u6613\u7684<span>3%<\/span>\uff0c\u76f8\u5c0d\u65bc\u975e\u6d32\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u3001\u9762\u7a4d\u548c\u8cc7\u6e90\uff0c\u9019\u500b\u6bd4\u4f8b\u76f8\u7576\u4f4e\u3002\u62c9\u4e01\u7f8e\u6d32\u7684\u767c\u5c55\u904e\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u50be\u5411\u63a1\u7528\u5165\u53e3\u66ff\u4ee3\u653f\u7b56\u6276\u52a9\u672c\u570b\u5de5\u696d\uff0c\u5728<span>2023<\/span>\u5e74\u4e5f\u4f54\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u8cbf\u6613\u7684<span>7.3%<\/span>\uff0c\u800c\u63a1\u7528\u4fc3\u9032\u51fa\u53e3\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u4e9e\u6d32\uff0c\u4f54\u5168\u7403\u8cbf\u6613\u7684\u4efd\u984d\u66f4\u9ad8\u9054<span>48%<\/span>\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u975e\u6d32\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u539f\u6750\u6599\uff0c\u5982\u77f3\u6cb9\u3001\u7926\u7522\u3001\u8fb2\u7522\u54c1\u7b49\uff0c\u63db\u53d6\u7684\u662f\u8f03\u9ad8\u589e\u503c\u7684\u5546\u54c1\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u8cbf\u6613\u689d\u4ef6\uff08<span>terms of trade<\/span>\uff0c\u5373\u51fa\u53e3\u50f9\u683c\u76f8\u5c0d\u9032\u53e3\u50f9\u683c\uff09\u4e26\u4e0d\u6709\u5229\uff0c\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u4fdd\u7559\u4e86\u6b96\u6c11\u5730\u6642\u671f\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u5f62\u614b\uff0c\u5728\u570b\u969b\u5e02\u5834\u4e0a\u8a0e\u50f9\u9084\u50f9\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u6709\u9650\u3002\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u7576\u524d\u5168\u7403\u8cbf\u6613\u7684<span>70%<\/span>\u662f\u88fd\u9020\u696d\u7522\u54c1\u4e2d\u7684\u50f9\u503c\u93c8\uff08<span>value chains<\/span>\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u539f\u6750\u6599\u548c\u8fb2\u7522\u54c1\u70ba\u4e3b\u8981\u51fa\u53e3\u7684\u975e\u6d32\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u53c3\u8207\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0d\u9ad8\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7576\u570b\u969b\u8cbf\u6613\u7d44\u7e54\u7684\u591a\u54c8\u56de\u5408\uff08<span>Doha Round<\/span>\uff09\u8ac7\u5224\u5931\u6557\u5f8c\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u8fb2\u7522\u54c1\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u958b\u653e\u5c31\u66f4\u52a0\u56f0\u96e3\u3002<\/p>\n<h5>\u5018\u884c\u300c\u6b50\u76df\u6a21\u5f0f\u300d\u6e1b<span>5000<\/span>\u842c\u8ca7\u6c11<\/h5>\n<p>\u975e\u6d32\u4e0d\u53ea\u4f54\u5168\u7403\u8cbf\u6613\u5f88\u5c0f\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\uff0c\u975e\u6d32\u5340\u5167\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u4f54\u975e\u6d32\u8cbf\u6613\u7e3d\u503c\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u4e5f\u5f88\u4f4e\uff0c\u5927\u7d04\u53ea\u6709<span>13%<\/span>\u3002\u63db\u53e5\u8a71\u8aaa\uff0c\u975e\u6d32\u570b\u5bb6\u548c\u975e\u6d32\u4ee5\u5916\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\uff0c\u9060\u591a\u65bc\u975e\u6d32\u570b\u5bb6\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\uff0c\u9019\u60c5\u6cc1\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u6d32\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u6b50\u6d32\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\uff0c\u6709\u5927\u7d04<span>70%<\/span>\u662f\u6b50\u6d32\u5340\u5167\u8cbf\u6613\uff0c\u4e9e\u6d32\u8cbf\u6613\u5247\u6709<span>60%<\/span>\u5c6c\u5340\u5167\u8cbf\u6613\uff0c\u800c\u5317\u7f8e\u6d32\u4e5f\u6709<span>40%<\/span>\u3002\u975e\u6d32\u5340\u5167\u8cbf\u6613\u4f54\u6bd4\u8f03\u4f4e\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u548c\u4e0a\u8ff0\u8207\u5929\u7136\u8cc7\u6e90\u70ba\u4e3b\u8981\u51fa\u53e3\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u6709\u95dc\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u8fb2\u7522\u54c1\u5916\uff0c\u975e\u6d32\u7684\u7926\u7269\u860a\u85cf\u91cf\u8c50\u5bcc\uff0c\u5982\u9237\u3001\u927b\u3001\u9333\u3001\u78f7\u9178\u9e7d\u3001\u767d\u91d1\u3001\u947d\u77f3\u7b49\uff0c\u90fd\u4f54\u5168\u7403\u7684\u516d\u3001\u4e03\u6210\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u9019\u4e9b\u7522\u54c1\u7684\u8cb7\u5bb6\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u9ad8\u6536\u5165\u7684\u5de5\u696d\u570b\uff0c\u7522\u54c1\u4e5f\u81ea\u7136\u51fa\u53e3\u5230\u975e\u6d32\u5883\u5916\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u975e\u6d32\u5340\u5167\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u6210\u672c\u5f88\u9ad8\uff0c\u80cc\u5f8c\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u843d\u5f8c\u7684\u57fa\u790e\u5efa\u8a2d\u3001\u4f4e\u6548\u7387\u7684\u6d77\u95dc\u904b\u4f5c\u3001\u6b20\u7f3a\u7d71\u4e00\u7684\u7522\u54c1\u6a19\u6e96\u7b49\u7b49\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u8ad6\u8005\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u975e\u6d32\u7684\u5340\u5167\u8cbf\u6613\u6578\u5b57\u88ab\u4f4e\u4f30\u4e86\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u6709\u76f8\u7576\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u6c92\u6709\u901a\u904e\u6d77\u95dc\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u8de8\u8d8a\u9577\u9577\u7684\u3001\u7f3a\u4e4f\u7ba1\u5236\u7684\u908a\u754c\uff0c\u907f\u958b\u95dc\u7a05\u548c\u6e1b\u5c11\u884c\u653f\u9ebb\u7169\u3002\u6709\u7814\u7a76\u4f30\u8a08\uff0c\u975e\u6cd5\u7684\u8de8\u5883\u8cbf\u6613\uff0c\u4f7f\u975e\u6d32\u5340\u5167\u8cbf\u6613\u88ab\u4f4e\u4f30\u4e86<span>11%<\/span>\u81f3<span>40%<\/span>\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u975e\u6d32\u5340\u5167\u8cbf\u6613\u6578\u503c\u6bd4\u5b98\u65b9\u6578\u5b57\u70ba\u9ad8\uff0c\u975e\u6d32\u4ecd\u9808\u52a0\u5927\u529b\u5ea6\u4fc3\u9032\u5340\u5167\u548c\u8207\u5340\u5916\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\uff0c\u4ee5\u62c9\u52d5\u7d93\u6fdf\u767c\u5c55\u3002\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u8cbf\u6613\u7d44\u7e54\u7121\u80fd\u70ba\u529b\u3001\u4fdd\u8b77\u4e3b\u7fa9\u65e5\u76ca\u62ac\u982d\u7684\u4eca\u5929\uff0c\u8981\u63d0\u5347\u8cbf\u6613\uff0c\u53ea\u80fd\u548c\u5fd7\u540c\u9053\u5408\u7684\u5925\u4f34\u52a0\u5f37\u5408\u4f5c\u3002<span>2019<\/span>\u5e74\u751f\u6548\u7684\u300a\u975e\u6d32\u5927\u9678\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u5354\u5b9a\u300b\uff08<span>African Continental Free Trade Area, AfCFTA<\/span>\uff09\u6b63\u662f\u9019\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u6210\u679c\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u5404\u65b9\u5bc4\u4e88\u539a\u671b\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\u3002<span>AfCTFA<\/span>\u5728\u539f\u6709\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u975e\u6d32\u5340\u5167\u8cbf\u6613\u5354\u8b70\u7684\u57fa\u790e\u4e0a\u767c\u5c55\u51fa\u4f86\uff0c\u5167\u5bb9\u5305\u62ec\u964d\u4f4e\u95dc\u7a05\u3001\u8a02\u7acb\u7522\u5730\u4f86\u6e90\u898f\u5247\u3001\u52a0\u5f37\u8cbf\u6613\u652f\u4ed8\u7cfb\u7d71\u7b49\uff0c\u548c\u773e\u591a\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u5354\u8b70\u65b9\u5411\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u66f4\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\uff0c\u662f\u9060\u666f\u653e\u5728\u5efa\u7acb\u55ae\u4e00\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u4f7f\u4eba\u806f\u60f3\u5230\u6b50\u76df\u7684\u524d\u8eab\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u975e\u6d32\u5df2\u6709\u63a5\u8fd1<span>50<\/span>\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u53c3\u8207<span>AfCFTA<\/span>\uff0c\u5dee\u4e0d\u591a\u6db5\u84cb\u6574\u500b\u975e\u6d32\u5927\u9678\u3002\u4e16\u754c\u9280\u884c\u4f30\u8a08\uff0c\u82e5\u5354\u5b9a\u5f97\u5230\u5168\u9762\u63a8\u884c\u7684\u8a71\uff0c\u975e\u6d32\u6703\u5230<span>2035<\/span>\u5e74\u6642\u6e1b\u5c11<span>5000<\/span>\u842c\u6975\u7aef\u8ca7\u7aae\u4eba\u53e3\uff0c\u53ca\u589e\u52a0<span>9%<\/span>\u7684\u6536\u5165\uff0c\u53ef\u8aaa\u662f\u7d93\u6fdf\u767c\u5c55\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u91cc\u7a0b\u7891\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u570b\u591a\u5e74\u4f86\u90fd\u548c\u4e9e\u975e\u62c9\u7684\u7b2c\u4e09\u4e16\u754c\u570b\u5bb6\u4fdd\u6301\u826f\u597d\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5408\u4f5c\u95dc\u4fc2\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u6539\u9769\u958b\u653e\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u63f4\u52a9\u975e\u6d32\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u8f03\u53d7\u95dc\u6ce8\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u662f\u4e03\u5341\u5e74\u4ee3\u521d\u5e6b\u5fd9\u8208\u5efa\u5766\u6851\u5c3c\u4e9e\u548c\u8d0a\u6bd4\u4e9e\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u5766\u8d0a\u9435\u8def\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u975e\u6d32\u5df2\u6709<span>52<\/span>\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u7c3d\u7f72\u53c3\u8207\u300c\u4e00\u5e36\u4e00\u8def\u300d\u5021\u8b70\uff0c\u96a8\u7740\u9019\u500b\u8a08\u5283\u7684\u767c\u5c55\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u5728\u975e\u6d32\u53c3\u8207\u7684\u57fa\u790e\u5efa\u8a2d\u9805\u76ee\u773e\u591a\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u9019\u4e9b\u9805\u76ee\u6709\u52a9\u6253\u901a\u975e\u6d32\u5927\u9678\u7684\u4ea4\u901a\u7d93\u8108\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u904b\u8f38\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u63d0\u5347\u975e\u6d32\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u5916\u8cbf\u3002\u7576\u7136\uff0c\u975e\u6d32\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u767c\u5c55\uff0c\u6d89\u53ca\u5230\u591a\u500b\u56e0\u7d20\u548c\u6311\u6230\uff0c\u4f46\u57fa\u65bc\u5b83\u9f90\u5927\u7684\u9762\u7a4d\u548c\u4eba\u53e3\uff0c\u6210\u679c\u4e0d\u55ae\u60e0\u53ca\u975e\u6d32\u4eba\u6c11\uff0c\u4ea6\u6709\u5229\u65bc\u5168\u7403\u767c\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u9678\u708e\u8f1d\u535a\u58eb<br 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content=\"\u975e\u6d32\u9808\u4fc3\u9032\u8cbf\u6613\u4ee5\u767c\u5c55\u7d93\u6fdf - HKU Business School\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:description\" 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AfCFTA\uff09\u6b63\u662f\u9019\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u6210\u679c\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u5404\u65b9\u5bc4\u4e88\u539a\u671b\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\u3002AfCTFA\u5728\u539f\u6709\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u975e\u6d32\u5340\u5167\u8cbf\u6613\u5354\u8b70\u7684\u57fa\u790e\u4e0a\u767c\u5c55\u51fa\u4f86\uff0c\u5167\u5bb9\u5305\u62ec\u964d\u4f4e\u95dc\u7a05\u3001\u8a02\u7acb\u7522\u5730\u4f86\u6e90\u898f\u5247\u3001\u52a0\u5f37\u8cbf\u6613\u652f\u4ed8\u7cfb\u7d71\u7b49\uff0c\u548c\u773e\u591a\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u5354\u8b70\u65b9\u5411\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u66f4\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\uff0c\u662f\u9060\u666f\u653e\u5728\u5efa\u7acb\u55ae\u4e00\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u4f7f\u4eba\u806f\u60f3\u5230\u6b50\u76df\u7684\u524d\u8eab\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u975e\u6d32\u5df2\u6709\u63a5\u8fd150\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u53c3\u8207AfCFTA\uff0c\u5dee\u4e0d\u591a\u6db5\u84cb\u6574\u500b\u975e\u6d32\u5927\u9678\u3002\u4e16\u754c\u9280\u884c\u4f30\u8a08\uff0c\u82e5\u5354\u5b9a\u5f97\u5230\u5168\u9762\u63a8\u884c\u7684\u8a71\uff0c\u975e\u6d32\u6703\u52302035\u5e74\u6642\u6e1b\u5c115000\u842c\u6975\u7aef\u8ca7\u7aae\u4eba\u53e3\uff0c\u53ca\u589e\u52a09%\u7684\u6536\u5165\uff0c\u53ef\u8aaa\u662f\u7d93\u6fdf\u767c\u5c55\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u91cc\u7a0b\u7891\u3002 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\u9678\u708e\u8f1d\u535a\u58eb \u6e2f\u5927\u7d93\u7ba1\u5b78\u9662\u69ae\u8b7d\u526f\u6559\u6388 \uff08\u672c\u6587\u540c\u6642\u65bc\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e8c\u56db\u5e74\u4e5d\u6708\u56db\u65e5\u8f09\u65bc\u300a\u4fe1\u5831\u300b\u300c\u9f8d\u864e\u5c71\u4e0b\u300d\u5c08\u6b04\uff09\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/research\/thought-leadership\/hkej-column\/africa-needs-more-trade-for-economic-development\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-09-05T07:33:57+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-09-05T07:55:59+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"\u975e\u6d32\u9808\u4fc3\u9032\u8cbf\u6613\u4ee5\u767c\u5c55\u7d93\u6fdf - HKU Business School\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"\u70ba\u671f\u4e09\u5929\u76842024\u5e74\u4e2d\u975e\u5408\u4f5c\u8ad6\u58c7\u5cf0\u6703\u4eca\u5929\u5728\u5317\u4eac\u555f\u5e55\uff0c\u662f\u9019\u500b\u8ad6\u58c724\u5e74\u4f86\u7b2c\u56db\u6b21\u4ee5\u5cf0\u6703\u5f62\u5f0f\u8209\u884c\u3002\u6709\u5831\u9053\u6307\u9019\u662f\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u5f8c\u6700\u591a\u5916\u570b\u9818\u5c0e\u4eba\u540c\u6642\u5230\u8a2a\u5317\u4eac\u7684\u76db\u6703\u3002\u4e0a\u6b21\u4e2d\u975e\u5408\u4f5c\u8ad6\u58c7\u5cf0\u6703\u4e5f\u5728\u5317\u4eac\u8209\u884c\uff0c\u90a3\u5df2\u7d93\u662f2018\u5e74\u7684\u4e8b\uff0c\u6642\u4efb\u7f8e\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u7279\u6717\u666e\u6380\u8d77\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u9ad8\u79d1\u6280\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u6253\u58d3\u624d\u525b\u958b\u59cb\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u96fb\u52d5\u8eca\u5de5\u696d\u4ecd\u672a\u5ee3\u53d7\u95dc\u6ce8\uff0c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u5a01\u529b\u53ea\u5b58\u5728\u65bc\u60f3\u50cf\u4e2d\uff0c\u6c92\u6709\u4fc4\u70cf\u6230\u722d\u548c\u4ee5\u5df4\u885d\u7a81\u7684\u751f\u9748\u5857\u70ad\uff0c\u7576\u7136\u4e5f\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u5168\u7403\u6703\u88ab\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u6298\u9a30\u4e09\u6578\u8f09\u3002 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Justice\uff09\u63a7\u544a\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u5c0d\u5df4\u52d2\u65af\u5766\u4eba\u72af\u4e0b\u7a2e\u65cf\u6ec5\u7d55\u7f6a\u884c\u3002\u4e00\u500b\u5c0f\u570b\u5728\u4e0d\u76f4\u63a5\u6d89\u53ca\u81ea\u8eab\u5229\u76ca\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u570b\u969b\u4e8b\u52d9\u4e0a\u5982\u6b64\u4e3b\u52d5\uff0c\u5728\u4ee5\u524d\u6709\u4e9b\u96e3\u4ee5\u60f3\u50cf\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u975e\u6d32\u53ef\u4ee5\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u5929\u7136\u8cc7\u6e90\u5916\uff0c\u9084\u670954\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u5728\u806f\u5408\u570b\u7684\u7968\u6578\u3002 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