{"id":209100,"date":"2024-03-06T11:06:56","date_gmt":"2024-03-06T03:06:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/research\/thought-leadership\/the-global-trade-outlook-looks-gloomy\/"},"modified":"2024-03-08T14:29:38","modified_gmt":"2024-03-08T06:29:38","slug":"the-global-trade-outlook-looks-gloomy","status":"publish","type":"thought-leadership","link":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/research\/thought-leadership\/hkej-column\/the-global-trade-outlook-looks-gloomy\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5168\u7403\u8cbf\u6613\u524d\u666f\u9eef\u6de1"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u4e8c\u6b21\u5927\u6230\u5f8c\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u8cbf\u6613\u7684\u589e\u9577\u6301\u7e8c\u5feb\u65bc\u5168\u7403GDP\u7684\u589e\u9577\uff0c\u6210\u70ba\u63a8\u52d5\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u52d5\u529b\uff1b\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u8cbf\u6613\u589e\u9577\u8f03\u5feb\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u4e92\u52d5\u6108\u4f86\u6108\u591a\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u5168\u7403\u5316\u6b63\u5728\u9032\u884c\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u6307\u6a19\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u9019\u500b\u8da8\u52e2\u52302008\u5e74\u8d77\u4fbf\u505c\u6b62\u3002\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u562f\u5f8c\uff0c\u8cbf\u6613\u589e\u9577\u7e3d\u7684\u4f86\u8aaa\u7a0d\u6162\u65bcGDP\u589e\u9577\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8cbf\u6613\u589e\u9577\u653e\u7de9\u6709\u773e\u591a\u539f\u56e0\u3002\u9996\u5148\u662f\u5c11\u4e86\u5927\u578b\u6216\u773e\u591a\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u958b\u653e\u8cbf\u6613\u53c3\u8207\u570b\u969b\u5206\u5de5\u3002\u4e8c\u6230\u5f8c\u5148\u6709\u7576\u6642\u7684\u767c\u9054\u5de5\u696d\u570b\u5f9e\u6230\u6642\u7684\u4fdd\u8b77\u4e3b\u7fa9\u8f49\u70ba\u7d93\u6fdf\u5f80\u4f86\uff0c\u5f8c\u6709\u4e9e\u6d32\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u4ee5\u8cbf\u6613\u4fc3\u9032\u589e\u9577\u7684\u767c\u5c55\u7b56\u7565\u3002\u81f3\u516b\u4e5d\u5341\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u773e\u591a\u524d\u8a08\u5283\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u5747\u7d1b\u7d1b\u958b\u653e\u8cbf\u6613\uff0c\u5f9e\u4e2d\u570b\u81f3\u524d\u8607\u806f\u3001\u6771\u6b50\u3001\u8d8a\u5357\u7b49\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\u7d93\u6fdf\u5168\u7403\u5316\u7684\u63a8\u624b\u3002\u5370\u5ea6\u96d6\u4e0d\u63a8\u884c\u8a08\u5283\u7d93\u6fdf\uff0c\u4f46\u6709\u6fc3\u539a\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u4fdd\u8b77\u4e3b\u7fa9\uff0c\u4e5f\u5728\u4e5d\u5341\u5e74\u4ee3\u6162\u6162\u958b\u653e\u30022001\u5e74\u4e2d\u570b\u52a0\u5165\u4e16\u8cbf\u7d44\u7e54\uff08WTO\uff09\uff0c\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u4fc3\u9032\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u589e\u9577\uff0c\u4f46\u96a8\u5f8c\u5168\u7403\u518d\u96e3\u6709\u985e\u4f3c\u56e0\u767c\u5c55\u7b56\u7565\u5927\u5e45\u6539\u8b8a\u800c\u4f86\u7684\u63a8\u52d5\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<h5>\u670d\u52d9\u696d\u4f54\u7d93\u6fdf\u6d3b\u52d5\u6bd4\u4f8b\u6f38\u9ad8<\/h5>\n<p>\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u96a8\u7740\u7d93\u6fdf\u767c\u5c55\uff0c\u670d\u52d9\u696d\u5728\u7d93\u6fdf\u6d3b\u52d5\u4e2d\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u6108\u4f86\u6108\u9ad8\uff0c\u4f46\u670d\u52d9\u76f8\u6bd4\u5546\u54c1\uff0c\u53ef\u8cbf\u6613\u6027\u8f03\u4f4e\u3002\u670d\u52d9\u696d\u7684\u751f\u7522\u96e3\u4ee5\u5132\u5b58\u548c\u8f49\u624b\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u548c\u5546\u54c1\u822c\u540c\u4e00\u7522\u54c1\u53ef\u4ee5\u904b\u4f86\u904b\u53bb\uff0c\u5f9e\u800c\u589e\u52a0\u5168\u7403\u8cbf\u6613\u7e3d\u503c\u3002\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u670d\u52d9\u696d\u4e5f\u5f88\u5c11\u6709\u5de5\u696d\u7522\u54c1\u80cc\u5f8c\u7684\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\uff0c\u96f6\u90e8\u4ef6\u4f86\u81ea\u4e0d\u540c\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u6240\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u984d\u3002\u76f8\u5c0d\u65bc\u5546\u54c1\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u670d\u52d9\u696d\u7684\u767c\u5c55\u63a8\u52d5GDP\u591a\u65bc\u8cbf\u6613\u3002\u6309\u4e16\u754c\u9280\u884c\u548cWTO\u7684\u6578\u64da\uff0c2022\u5e74\u670d\u52d9\u696d\u4f54\u5168\u7403GDP\u768461.7%\uff0c\u4f46\u53ea\u4f54\u5168\u7403\u8cbf\u6613\u768421.1%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5168\u7403\u8cbf\u6613\u7684\u767c\u5c55\uff0c\u591a\u5e74\u4f86\u53d7\u60e0\u65bcWTO\u524d\u8eab\u3001\u5373\u95dc\u7a05\u53ca\u8cbf\u6613\u7e3d\u5354\u5b9a\uff08GATT\uff09\u7684\u63a8\u52d5\u3002\u5f9e\u56db\u5341\u5e74\u4ee3\u81f3\u4e5d\u5341\u5e74\u4ee3\u591a\u500b\u56de\u5408\u7684\u8ac7\u5224\u4e2d\uff0cGATT\u6210\u529f\u5730\u964d\u4f4e\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u95dc\u7a05\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u58c1\u58d8\u3002\u4f461995\u5e74WTO\u53d6\u4ee3GATT\u5f8c\uff0c\u5728\u591a\u908a\u8cbf\u6613\u8ac7\u5224\u4e0a\u4e26\u7121\u9032\u5c55\uff0c\u552f\u4e00\u7684\u591a\u54c8\u56de\u5408\u4ea6\u57282008\u5e74\u7121\u529f\u800c\u9000\u3002WTO\u7684164\u500b\u6210\u54e1\u4f54\u5168\u7403\u8cbf\u6613\u7e3d\u984d\u768498%\uff0cWTO\u5728\u4fc3\u9032\u8cbf\u6613\u4e0a\u7121\u751a\u5efa\u6a39\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u8cbf\u6613\u589e\u9577\u653e\u7de9\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u548cGATT\u7684\u6642\u4ee3\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0cWTO\u9762\u5c0d\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u66f4\u70ba\u8907\u96dc\uff0c\u9054\u6210\u591a\u908a\u5354\u8b70\u7684\u56f0\u96e3\u4ea6\u8f03\u9ad8\u3002\u65e9\u671f\u7684\u8ac7\u5224\u91cd\u9ede\u662f\u964d\u4f4e\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u4f46\u73fe\u6642\u60c5\u6cc1\u5df2\u6539\u8b8a\uff0c\u4e00\u4f86\u5168\u7403\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u95dc\u7a05\u5df2\u4e0b\u964d\u5f88\u591a\uff0c\u4e8c\u4f86\u767c\u5c55\u4e2d\u570b\u5bb6\u5728\u52a0\u5165\u5730\u5340\u6027\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u5354\u8b70\u6642\u4e5f\u6a02\u65bc\u63a5\u53d7\u5f7c\u6b64\u964d\u4f4e\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u5982\u5340\u57df\u5168\u9762\u7d93\u6fdf\u5925\u4f34\u5354\u5b9a\uff08RCEP\uff09\u4e2d\u7684\u6771\u76df\u6210\u54e1\u3002\u73fe\u968e\u6bb5\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u8ac7\u5224\u8b70\u984c\uff0c\u7531\u65e9\u671f\u7684\u8fb2\u696d\u548c\u6f01\u696d\u88dc\u8cbc\uff0c\u5230\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u5e02\u5834\u3001\u74b0\u4fdd\u3001\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u5316\u3001\u96fb\u5b50\u5546\u8cbf\u7b49\uff0c\u5305\u7f85\u842c\u8c61\u3002\u6709\u95dc\u7684\u71df\u696d\u6cd5\u898f\uff0c\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u4e2d\u81ea\u7136\u9b06\u7dca\u4e0d\u4e00\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u6d89\u53ca\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u751f\u7522\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u5bb9\u6613\u88ab\u7406\u89e3\u70ba\u4e0d\u516c\u5e73\u8cbf\u6613\u3002\u4f46WTO\u5404\u6210\u54e1\u8655\u65bc\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u767c\u5c55\u968e\u6bb5\uff0c\u5c0d\u884c\u696d\u7684\u76e3\u7ba1\u8981\u6c42\u81ea\u7136\u6709\u6240\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u5982\u8981\u6c42\u7d71\u4e00\u898f\u7bc4\uff0c\u767c\u5c55\u4e2d\u570b\u5bb6\u6703\u611f\u5230\u4e0d\u516c\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u8a8d\u70ba\u88ab\u525d\u596a\u4e86\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u81ea\u4e3b\u6b0a\u3002<\/p>\n<h5>\u591a\u908a\u8ac7\u5224\u4e0d\u5bb9\u6613\u53d6\u5f97\u6210\u679c<\/h5>\n<p>WTO\u96e3\u4ee5\u53d6\u5f97\u591a\u908a\u8cbf\u6613\u8ac7\u5224\u6210\u679c\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u5b83\u7684\u6c7a\u7b56\u6a5f\u5236\u3002\u4e00\u822c\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0cWTO\u4ee5\u5171\u8b58\uff08consensus\uff09\u70ba\u6c7a\u7b56\u57fa\u790e\uff0c\u82e5\u6c92\u6709\u6210\u54e1\u5728\u6709\u95dc\u6703\u8b70\u6642\u6b63\u5f0f\u63d0\u51fa\u53cd\u5c0d\uff0c\u8b70\u7a0b\u4fbf\u88ab\u901a\u904e\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u5728\u6975\u5c11\u6578\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\u624d\u4ee5\u6295\u7968\u5f62\u5f0f\u6c7a\u5b9a\u3002GATT\u5728\u958b\u59cb\u6642\u7684\u6210\u54e1\u53ea\u670923\u500b\uff0c\u5230\u6539\u70baWTO\u6642\u589e\u52a0\u5230128\u500b\uff0c\u81f32016\u5e74WTO\u5df2\u6709164\u500b\u6210\u54e1\u3002\u6210\u54e1\u6578\u76ee\u6108\u591a\uff0c\u9054\u6210\u5171\u8b58\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\u6108\u4f4e\uff0c\u6216\u8a31\u4e00\u4e9b\u6700\u4f4e\u5ea6\u958b\u767c\u570b\u5bb6\uff08least developed countries\uff09\u4e0d\u6562\u9020\u6b21\uff0c\u4f46\u5229\u76ca\u7576\u524d\uff0c\u4e0d\u96e3\u51fa\u73fe\u53cd\u5c0d\u8005\u3002\u6cc1\u4e14\u8ac7\u5224\u8b70\u984c\u9678\u7e8c\u6709\u4f86\uff0c\u9019\u4e00\u6b21\u7684\u8868\u614b\uff0c\u6216\u6703\u589e\u52a0\u65e5\u5f8c\u7684\u7c4c\u78bc\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u548c\u9019\u4e00\u9ede\u6709\u95dc\u7684\uff0c\u662fWTO\u5404\u6210\u54e1\u53ef\u4ee5\u81ea\u884c\u5ba3\u5e03\u662f\u767c\u9054\u570b\u5bb6\u9084\u662f\u767c\u5c55\u4e2d\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u5f8c\u8005\u53ef\u5f97\u5230\u8f03\u5bec\u9b06\u5f85\u9047\uff0c\u4f46\u4ea6\u6709\u6a5f\u6703\u53d7\u5230\u5176\u4ed6\u6210\u54e1\u5c0d\u5176\u767c\u5c55\u4e2d\u570b\u5bb6\u5730\u4f4d\u7684\u8cea\u7591\u3002\u73fe\u6642\u5927\u7d04\u4e09\u5206\u4e8c\u7684\u6210\u54e1\u9078\u64c7\u767c\u5c55\u4e2d\u570b\u5bb6\u5730\u4f4d\u3002\u767c\u9054\u548c\u767c\u5c55\u4e2d\u570b\u5bb6\u5728\u8cbf\u6613\u8b70\u984c\u4e0a\u5f88\u591a\u6642\u6709\u5229\u76ca\u885d\u7a81\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u5316\u7684\u6e1b\u6392\u6a19\u6e96\u3002\u7531\u65bc\u767c\u5c55\u4e2d\u570b\u5bb6\u6578\u76ee\u8f03\u591a\uff0c\u767c\u9054\u570b\u5bb6\u81ea\u7136\u4e0d\u63a5\u53d7\u4ee5\u591a\u6578\u6c7a\u5b9a\u539f\u5247\uff08majority rule\uff09\u4f5c\u70baWTO\u7684\u6c7a\u7b56\u6e96\u5247\u3002<\/p>\n<p>WTO\u4e43\u6839\u64da\u99ac\u62c9\u5580\u4ec0\u5354\u5b9a\uff08Marrakesh Agreement\uff09\u6210\u7acb\uff0c\u5354\u5b9a\u7684\u7b2c\u4e5d\u689d\u8aaa\u660eWTO\u6703\u6cbf\u7528GATT\u4ee5\u5171\u8b58\u4f5c\u6c7a\u7b56\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\uff0c\u8b93\u6bcf\u4e00\u500b\u6210\u54e1\u570b\u90fd\u6709\u540c\u7b49\u6b0a\u5229\uff0c\u7528\u610f\u662f\u722d\u53d6\u591a\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u53c3\u8207\uff0c\u7279\u5225\u662f\u767c\u5c55\u4e2d\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u65e9\u4e9b\u9054\u5230\u4fc3\u9032\u5168\u7403\u8cbf\u6613\u958b\u653e\u7684\u76ee\u7684\u3002\u4e8c\u6230\u5f8c\u548cGATT\u5dee\u4e0d\u591a\u540c\u6642\u6210\u7acb\u7684\u570b\u969b\u6a5f\u69cb\uff0c\u5982IMF\u548c\u4e16\u754c\u9280\u884c\uff0c\u6c7a\u7b56\u90fd\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u6210\u54e1\u4e00\u7968\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u8f03\u5bcc\u6709\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u6709\u8f03\u591a\u8a71\u8a9e\u6b0a\u3002\u4f46\u9019\u4e5f\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u9054\u6210\u6c7a\u7b56\u7684\u96e3\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u70ba\u4e86\u63d0\u9ad8\u6c7a\u7b56\u6548\u7387\uff0c\u6709\u5efa\u8b70WTO\u4e0d\u7528\u4e00\u4e0b\u5b50\u5c31\u6d89\u53ca164\u500b\u6210\u54e1\u53bb\u9054\u5230\u591a\u908a\u5354\u8b70\uff08multilateral agreement\uff09\uff0c\u53ef\u7531\u5c0d\u67d0\u500b\u8b70\u984c\u6709\u5f37\u70c8\u8208\u8da3\u7684\u6210\u54e1\u81ea\u9858\u5148\u884c\u8a0e\u8ad6\uff0c\u9054\u5230\u8907\u908a\u5354\u5b9a\uff08plurilateral agreement\uff09\u5f8c\u518d\u7531\u5176\u4ed6\u6210\u54e1\u6c7a\u5b9a\u662f\u5426\u53c3\u8207\u3002\u4f46\u548cWTO\u5176\u4ed6\u5efa\u8b70\u4e00\u6a23\uff0c\u9019\u500b\u63d0\u6cd5\u4e5f\u6709\u53cd\u5c0d\u8005\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u6700\u5f37\u70c8\u7684\u662f\u5370\u5ea6\uff0c\u8868\u9762\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u9055\u53cd\u4e86WTO\u591a\u908a\u5354\u8b70\u7684\u7cbe\u795e\u3002\u5370\u5ea6\u5728\u570b\u969b\u8cbf\u6613\u4e0a\u4e00\u76f4\u7acb\u5834\u98c4\u5ffd\uff0c\u50cf\u4e0a\u8ff0\u7684RCEP\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u65bc2012\u5e74\u958b\u59cb\u8ac7\u5224\u6642\u52a0\u5165\u8a0e\u8ad6\uff0c\u4f46\u52302019\u5e74\u5feb\u9054\u6210\u5354\u8b70\u6642\u9000\u51fa\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u5169\u5e74\u524d\u727d\u982d\u7684\u5370\u592a\u7d93\u6fdf\u6846\u67b6\uff08IPEF\uff09\u4e2d\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u53c3\u8207\u5176\u4e2d\u6709\u95dc\u8cbf\u6613\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u3002\u4ed6\u5011\u9078\u64c7\u53c3\u8207\u5c11\u6578\u6709\u5229\u81ea\u8eab\u7684\u9805\u76ee\uff0c\u9019\u4e0d\u96e3\u7406\u89e3\uff0c\u4f46\u4f3c\u4e4e\u540c\u6642\u53c8\u4e0d\u65b9\u4fbf\u5176\u4ed6\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u767c\u5c55<a href=\"#\u8a3b\">\u3010\u8a3b\u3011<\/a>\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0a\u661f\u671fWTO\u7b2c\u5341\u4e09\u6b21\u90e8\u9577\u7d1a\u6703\u8b70\u5728\u963f\u806f\u914b\u963f\u5e03\u624e\u6bd4\u8209\u884c\u3002\u5728\u5168\u7403\u8cbf\u6613\u53ca\u6709\u95dc\u9ad4\u7cfb\u7d93\u6b77\u4e86\u8fd1\u5e74\u5404\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u6253\u64ca\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u9019\u500b\u6703\u8b70\u5728\u6642\u6548\u4e0a\u6709\u5b83\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u6027\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u4e5f\u53d7\u5230\u76f8\u7576\u95dc\u6ce8\u3002WTO\u7684\u90e8\u9577\u7d1a\u6703\u8b70\u7d04\u5169\u5e74\u8209\u8fa6\u4e00\u6b21\uff0c\u662fWTO\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u6c7a\u7b56\u5e73\u53f0\u3002\u9019\u6b21\u6703\u8b70\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u8b70\u7a0b\u7bc4\u570d\u5f88\u5ee3\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u6f01\u696d\u88dc\u8cbc\u3001\u96fb\u5b50\u5546\u52d9\u3001\u8fb2\u696d\u3001\u7ce7\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u3001\u767c\u5c55\u6295\u8cc7\u53ca\u4e16\u8cbf\u7d44\u7e54\u6539\u9769\u7b49\u7b49\u3002\u6bd4\u8f03\u7a4d\u6975\u7684\u89c0\u5bdf\u8005\u5e0c\u671b\u9019\u6b21\u6703\u8b70\u80fd\u9054\u5230\u7576\u524d\u4e00\u4e9b\u8cbf\u6613\u8ac7\u5224\u7684\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u70ba\u4e16\u8cbf\u7d44\u7e54\u7684\u9ad4\u5236\u6539\u9769\u5960\u4e0b\u57fa\u790e\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u8ad6\u8005\u5c0d\u6703\u8b70\u90fd\u4e0d\u5b58\u6709\u592a\u5927\u5e0c\u671b\u3002<\/p>\n<h5>\u7279\u6717\u666e\u82e5\u518d\u4e0a\u53f0\u5c07\u5e36\u4f86\u707d\u96e3<\/h5>\n<p>\u6703\u8b70\u6bd4\u539f\u5b9a\u8a08\u5283\u5ef6\u9577\u4e86\u4e00\u5929\uff0c\u4f46\u7d50\u679c\u4ecd\u662f\u5dee\u5f37\u4eba\u610f\u3002\u660e\u986f\u6bd4\u8f03\u6b63\u9762\u7684\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u6279\u51c6\u79d1\u6469\u7f85\u548c\u6771\u5e1d\u6c76\u5169\u500b\u65b0\u6210\u54e1\u52a0\u5165\uff0c\u4f7f\u6210\u54e1\u6578\u76ee\u589e\u52a0\u81f3166\u500b\u3002\u53e6\u5916\u662f\u5c07\u96fb\u5b50\u50b3\u8f38\u66ab\u514d\u95dc\u7a05\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5ef6\u9577\u81f3\u4e0b\u4e00\u5c46\u90e8\u9577\u7d1a\u6703\u8b70\uff0c\u65b9\u4fbf\u5168\u7403\u6578\u5b57\u8cbf\u6613\u7684\u767c\u5c55\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u9019\u500b\u514d\u7a05\u653f\u7b56\u5f9e1998\u5e74\u958b\u59cb\u5df2\u662f\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\u6bcf\u6b21\u90e8\u9577\u7d1a\u6703\u8b70\u5ef6\u671f\u5230\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b21\u6703\u8b70\uff0c\u56b4\u683c\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u7b97\u4e0d\u4e0a\u662f\u9019\u6b21\u6703\u8b70\u7684\u6210\u679c\u3002\u81f3\u65bc\u5728\u5e74\u5167\u6062\u5fa9\u722d\u7aef\u89e3\u6c7a\u6a5f\u5236\u6b63\u5e38\u904b\u884c\u7684\u6c7a\u5b9a\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ea\u662f\u64a5\u4e82\u53cd\u6b63\uff0c\u5c07\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4efb\u7f8e\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u6642\u7834\u58de\u7684\u6a5f\u5236\u91cd\u65b0\u555f\u52d5\u800c\u5df2\u3002\u6703\u8b70\u7d50\u675f\u5f8c\u5f97\u5230\u4e00\u4e9b\u5b98\u65b9\u548c\u8ad6\u8005\u7684\u80af\u5b9a\uff0c\u4f46\u611f\u89ba\u662f\u5168\u7403\u8cbf\u6613\u548c\u6709\u95dc\u6a5f\u5236\u6c92\u6709\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u5df2\u7d93\u662f\u6b63\u9762\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8aaa\u5230\u7279\u6717\u666e\uff0c\u4ee5\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u4ed6\u5927\u6709\u6a5f\u6703\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u9078\u8209\u4e2d\u6372\u571f\u91cd\u4f86\u3002\u4ed6\u7684\u518d\u6b21\u4e0a\u53f0\uff0c\u5c07\u5c0d\u5168\u7403\u8cbf\u6613\u5e36\u4f86\u6975\u5927\u707d\u96e3\u3002\u4ed6\u6700\u8fd1\u8868\u793a\u82e5\u518d\u7576\u7e3d\u7d71\u6703\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7522\u54c1\u63d0\u9ad8\u95dc\u7a05\u81f360%\uff0c\u9084\u6703\u5c0d\u5168\u7403\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u65b9\u5165\u53e3\u5546\u54c1\u5fb5\u653610%\u7684\u95dc\u7a05\u3002\u89c0\u4e4e\u4ed6\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u8a00\u884c\uff0c\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0d\u5bb9\u6a02\u89c0\u3002\u5728\u5168\u7403\u8cbf\u6613\u6846\u67b6\u5931\u6548\u3001\u4fdd\u8b77\u4e3b\u7fa9\u62ac\u982d\u3001\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u96a8\u6642\u98a8\u96f2\u8b8a\u8272\u7684\u5927\u74b0\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u570b\u969b\u4f01\u696d\u53ea\u80fd\u6230\u6230\u5162\u5162\u5730\u975c\u89c0\u5176\u8b8a\uff0c\u96e3\u4ee5\u770b\u597d\u7d93\u6fdf\u524d\u666f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a id=\"\u8a3b\" name=\"\u8a3b\"><\/a>\u3010\u8a3b\u3011<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cfr.org\/blog\/responsible-consensus-wto-can-save-global-trading-system\"><span> https:\/\/www.cfr.org\/blog\/responsible-consensus-wto-can-save-global-trading-system<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u9678\u708e\u8f1d\u6559\u6388<br \/>\n<\/strong><strong>\u6e2f\u5927\u7d93\u7ba1\u5b78\u9662\u69ae\u8b7d\u526f\u6559\u6388<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\uff08\u672c\u6587\u540c\u6642\u65bc\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e8c\u56db\u5e74\u4e09\u6708\u516d\u65e5\u8f09\u65bc\u300a\u4fe1\u5831\u300b\u300c\u9f8d\u864e\u5c71\u4e0b\u300d\u5c08\u6b04\uff09<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"class_list":["post-209100","thought-leadership","type-thought-leadership","status-publish","hentry","leadership-topic-categories-hkej-column-tc","in-the-media-topic-categories-faculty-tc"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/thought-leadership\/209100","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/thought-leadership"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/thought-leadership"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/thought-leadership\/209100\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":209289,"href":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/thought-leadership\/209100\/revisions\/209289"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=209100"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=209100"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}