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Reduction Act\uff09\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u9805\u5c31\u662f\u88dc\u8cbc\u96fb\u52d5\u8eca\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\uff0c\u4f46\u88dc\u8cbc\u53ea\u9069\u7528\u65bc\u5728\u5317\u7f8e\u6d32\u7d44\u88dd\u7684\u96fb\u52d5\u8eca\uff0c\u53ca\u8eca\u5167\u96fb\u6c60\u7684\u7926\u7269\u6750\u6599\u9808\u4f86\u81ea\u7f8e\u570b\u6216\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u6709\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u5354\u8b70\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u9019\u660e\u986f\u662f\u91dd\u5c0d\u4f86\u81ea\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u5340\u7279\u5225\u662f\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u96fb\u52d5\u8eca\u3002<\/p>\n<h5>\u64a4\u6700\u60e0\u570b\u640d\u4eba\u5bb3\u5df1<\/h5>\n<p>\u7121\u8ad6\u6b63\u78ba\u8207\u5426\uff0c\u4e0a\u8ff0\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u773e\u8b70\u54e1\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u5728\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u89c0\u9ede\u3002\u57fa\u65bc\u9019\u4e9b\u8a8d\u77e5\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u5728\u5831\u544a\u4e2d\u63d0\u51fa\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u653f\u7b56\u4f86\u61c9\u5c0d\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u5305\u62ec\u6536\u7dca\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u3001\u52a0\u5f37\u51fa\u53e3\u7ba1\u63a7\u4ee5\u6e1b\u5c11\u65b0\u79d1\u6280\u6d41\u5411\u4e2d\u570b\u3001\u52a0\u5f37\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u79d1\u7814\u5b89\u5168\u53ca\u9632\u6b62\u4eba\u624d\u6d41\u5931\u3001\u4ee5\u7a05\u52d9\u512a\u60e0\u9f13\u52f5\u6295\u8cc7\u65bc\u5275\u65b0\u884c\u696d\u3001\u52a0\u5f37\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u76df\u53cb\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u53ca\u5c0d\u6297\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u300c\u4e00\u5e36\u4e00\u8def\u300d\u7b49\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u90fd\u4e0d\u96e3\u60f3\u50cf\u3002\u6bd4\u8f03\u76f4\u63a5\u548c\u660e\u78ba\u7684\uff0c\u662f\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u5206\u968e\u6bb5\u5fb5\u6536\u65b0\u7684\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4e00\u4e9b\u76ee\u524d\u6c92\u6709\u88ab\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u8986\u84cb\u7684\u4e2d\u570b\u7522\u54c1\u3002\u64da\u805e\u6700\u521d\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u66f4\u70ba\u6fc0\u70c8\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u53d6\u6d88\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u300c\u6c38\u4e45\u6027\u6b63\u5e38\u8cbf\u6613\u95dc\u4fc2\u5f85\u9047\u300d\uff08Permanent Normal Trade Relations\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31PNTR\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>PNTR\u539f\u7a31\u300c\u6700\u60e0\u570b\u5f85\u9047\u300d\uff08Most Favoured Nation\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31MFN\uff09\u3002\u6709\u6b64\u5f85\u9047\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u53ef\u5728\u8cbf\u6613\u4e0a\u5f97\u5230\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u6700\u60e0\u570b\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u5f85\u9047\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u548c\u82f1\u570b\u90fd\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u7684MFN\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7d66\u4e88\u82f1\u570b\u7684\u4f4e\u95dc\u7a05\u4e5f\u540c\u6642\u9069\u7528\u65bc\u4e2d\u570b\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u52a0\u5165WTO\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u8981\u6309\u5e74\u7531\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u6703\u5be9\u8b70\u901a\u904e\uff0c\u624d\u5f97\u5230\u8a72\u5e74\u7684MFN\u5f85\u9047\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4ea6\u85c9\u6b64\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u4f5c\u5404\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u5201\u96e3\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u52a0\u5165WTO\u534a\u5e74\u524d\uff0c\u4e5f\u7372\u5f97\u7f8e\u570b\u7684PNTR\uff0c\u6bcb\u9808\u6309\u5e74\u6279\u5be9\u3002\u82e5\u679c\u5931\u53bb\u9019\u500b\u5f85\u9047\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u51fa\u53e3\u81f3\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u95dc\u7a05\u5c07\u6703\u753119%\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u52a0\u81f361%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5927\u5e45\u63d0\u9ad8\u95dc\u7a05\u662f\u640d\u4eba\u800c\u4e0d\u5229\u5df1\u7684\u3002\u6578\u5e74\u524d\u7279\u6717\u666e\u555f\u52d5\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u6642\uff0c\u66fe\u5927\u8a00\u4e0d\u615a\u5730\u8aaa\u300c\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u662f\u597d\u7684\uff0c\u4e26\u5bb9\u6613\u53d6\u52dd\u300d\uff08Trade wars are good, and easy to win\uff09\uff0c\u4f46\u96a8\u7740\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u53cd\u5236\u53ca\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u5347\u7d1a\uff0c\u96d9\u65b9\u90fd\u6709\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u640d\u5931\u3002\u4e0a\u8ff0\u7684\u7279\u8a2d\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u5728\u53bb\u5e74\u958b\u59cb\u904b\u4f5c\u5f8c\uff0c\u5927\u6982\u5df2\u6709\u50b3\u805e\u7f8e\u570b\u53ef\u80fd\u53d6\u6d88\u4e2d\u570b\u7684PNTR\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u4e00\u4e9b\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u7e3d\u7d71\u53c3\u9078\u4eba\u4ea6\u6709\u63d0\u53ca\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u4e2d\u8cbf\u6613\u5168\u570b\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff08US-China Business Council\uff09\u9042\u59d4\u8a17\u4e86\u725b\u6d25\u7d93\u6fdf\u7814\u7a76\u9662\uff08Oxford Economics\uff09\u7814\u7a76\u6709\u95dc\u653f\u7b56\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u3002\u64da\u5f8c\u8005\u7684\u4f30\u8a08<a href=\"#\u8a3b2\">\u3010\u8a3b2\u3011<\/a>\uff0c\u5728\u5047\u8a2d\u4e2d\u570b\u4e0d\u5831\u5fa9\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684GDP\u6703\u5728\u96a8\u5f8c5\u5e74\u5167\u6e1b\u5c111.6\u842c\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u800c\u5de5\u4f5c\u5d17\u4f4d\u6703\u6e1b\u5c1174\u842c\u500b\u3002\u9ad8\u95dc\u7a05\u6e1b\u5c11\u4e86\u7f8e\u570b\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7684\u8cfc\u8cb7\u529b\u548c\u589e\u52a0\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u751f\u7522\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u964d\u4f4e\u7d93\u6fdf\u6d3b\u52d5\u3002\u82e5\u4e2d\u570b\u4f5c\u51fa\u53cd\u5236\uff0c\u5c07\u5f9e\u7f8e\u570b\u5165\u53e3\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u95dc\u7a05\u7531\u76ee\u524d\u768421%\u63d0\u9ad8\u81f3\u4e2d\u570b\u52a0\u5165WTO\u524d\u768438%\uff0c\u90a3\u7f8e\u570bGDP\u6703\u6e1b\u5c111.9\u842c\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u53ca\u640d\u593180\u842c\u500b\u5de5\u4f5c\u5d17\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4eca\u5e74\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u5927\u9078\u5e74\uff0c\u4f30\u8a08\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0d\u6703\u63a1\u53d6\u5c0d\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e0d\u5229\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5728\u73fe\u6709\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u4e0a\u52a0\u78bc\u6311\u91c1\u4e2d\u570b\u3002\u4f46\u90e8\u5206\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5ba2\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u504f\u898b\u548c\u6575\u610f\u4ecd\u6703\u5b58\u5728\u751a\u81f3\u52a0\u6df1\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u95dc\u4fc2\u5728\u53ef\u9810\u898b\u7684\u5c07\u4f86\u9808\u8271\u82e6\u7d93\u71df\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a id=\"\u8a3b1\" name=\"\u8a3b1\"><\/a>\u3010\u8a3b1\u3011<a href=\"https:\/\/selectcommitteeontheccp.house.gov\/sites\/evosubsites\/selectcommitteeontheccp.house.gov\/files\/evo-media-document\/reset-prevent-build-sccreport.pdf\">https:\/\/selectcommitteeontheccp.house.gov\/sites\/evosubsites\/selectcommitteeontheccp.house.gov\/files\/evo-media-document\/reset-prevent-build-sccreport.pdf<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a id=\"\u8a3b2\" name=\"\u8a3b2\"><\/a>\u3010\u8a3b2\u3011<a href=\"https:\/\/www.uschina.org\/sites\/default\/files\/the_economic_impact_of_china_pntr_repeal.pdf\">https:\/\/www.uschina.org\/sites\/default\/files\/the_economic_impact_of_china_pntr_repeal.pdf<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u9678\u708e\u8f1d\u535a\u58eb<br \/>\n<\/strong><strong>\u6e2f\u5927\u7d93\u7ba1\u5b78\u9662\u69ae\u8b7d\u526f\u6559\u6388<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\uff08\u672c\u6587\u540c\u6642\u65bc\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e8c\u56db\u5e74\u4e00\u6708\u5341\u65e5\u8f09\u65bc\u300a\u4fe1\u5831\u300b\u300c\u9f8d\u864e\u5c71\u4e0b\u300d\u5c08\u6b04\uff09<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"class_list":["post-206573","thought-leadership","type-thought-leadership","status-publish","hentry","leadership-topic-categories-opinions-and-speeches-tc","in-the-media-topic-categories-faculty-tc","opinion-speeches-categories-faculty-tc"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 4.9.9 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5efa\u4ea4\u81f3\u4eca\u5e74\u5143\u65e6\u525b\u597d45\u5e74\uff0c\u4f46\u7576\u524d\u7684\u4e2d\u7f8e\u95dc\u4fc2\uff0c\u5927\u6982\u662f\u5efa\u4ea4\u4ee5\u4f86\u6700\u60e1\u52a3\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u3002\u5c31\u5728\u4e00\u500b\u6708\u524d\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u6703\u53c3\u8b70\u9662\u4e00\u500b\u7279\u8a2d\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff0c\u63a8\u51fa\u4e00\u4efd\u5982\u4f55\u8b93\u7f8e\u570b\u8d0f\u5f97\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7d93\u6fdf\u7af6\u722d\u7684\u5831\u544a\uff0c\u6982\u62ec\u4e86\u5171\u548c\u6c11\u4e3b\u5169\u9ee8\u8b70\u54e1\u5c0d\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7d93\u6fdf\u95dc\u4fc2\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u89c0\u9ede\uff0c\u4e26\u5217\u8209\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u7f8e\u570b\u61c9\u63a1\u53d6\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5efa\u8b70\u4f86\u5c0d\u4ed8\u4e2d\u570b\u3002 \u9019\u88cf\u6240\u8aaa\u7684\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u773e\u8b70\u9662\u4e2d\u7f8e\u6230\u7565\u7af6\u722d\u7279\u8a2d\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff08U.S. House Select Committee on Strategic Competition between the United States and the Chinese Communist Party\uff09\u3002\u9019\u500b\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u525b\u597d\u5728\u4e00\u5e74\u524d\u6210\u7acb\uff0c\u7531\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u8b70\u54e1\u63a8\u52d5\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5c31\u4efb\u8b70\u9577\u4e0d\u5230\u5341\u500b\u6708\u4fbf\u88ab\u9ee8\u53cb\u7f77\u514d\u7684\u9ea5\u5361\u932b\uff08Kevin McCarthy\uff09\u3002 \u773e\u6240\u5468\u77e5\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u5167\u653f\u6cbb\u6108\u8da8\u6495\u88c2\uff0c\u5169\u9ee8\u5728\u5404\u9805\u8b70\u984c\u4e0a\u7684\u610f\u898b\u9d3b\u6e9d\u5747\u96e3\u4ee5\u903e\u8d8a\uff0c\u552f\u7368\u53cd\u4e2d\u662f\u5404\u9ee8\u6d3e\u653f\u5ba2\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u5171\u8b58\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6709\u95dc\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u4e5f\u53d7\u5230\u773e\u591a\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u8b70\u54e1\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u5728\u8b70\u6703\u5167\u4ee5365\u7968\u5c0d65\u7968\u5927\u6bd4\u6578\u901a\u904e\u6210\u7acb\u3002 \u4fb5\u7565\u7f8e\u570b\u532a\u5937\u6240\u601d 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campaign\uff09\u3002\u76f8\u6bd4\u524d\u6578\u4e16\u7d00\u6b96\u6c11\u4e3b\u7fa9\u5c0d\u7b2c\u4e09\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u525d\u524a\u548c\u8e42\u8eaa\uff0c\u8aaa\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u4fb5\u7565\u7f8e\u570b\uff0c\u78ba\u5be6\u662f\u532a\u5937\u6240\u601d\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5831\u544a\u53c8\u8a8d\u70ba\u4e2d\u570b\u52a0\u5165WTO\u5f8c\u6c92\u6709\u9075\u5b88\u6709\u95dc\u5354\u8b70\uff0c\u4ea6\u8a8d\u70ba\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u6709\u76f8\u7576\u5927\u7684\u570b\u6709\u6bd4\u4f8b\uff0c\u5236\u5ea6\u4e0a\u8207WTO\u4e26\u4e0d\u76f8\u5bb9\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u5371\u5bb3\u5230\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b89\u5168\u3002\u985e\u4f3c\u7684\u8ad6\u8abf\u5e38\u6709\u51fa\u73fe\uff0c\u4f46\u4f3c\u4e4e\u96e3\u4ee5\u9054\u5230\u78ba\u5be6\u7684\u7d50\u8ad6\u3002 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\u7f8e\u570b\u773e\u8b70\u9662\u7684\u5831\u544a\u4e5f\u8a6c\u75c5\u4e2d\u570b\u5ee3\u6cdb\u5229\u7528\u7522\u696d\u653f\u7b56\u4f86\u4fc3\u9032\u67d0\u4e9b\u884c\u696d\u6216\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u767c\u5c55\uff0c\u5982\u88dc\u8cbc\u3001\u51fa\u5165\u53e3\u9650\u5236\u7b49\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7522\u696d\u653f\u7b56\u5728\u5168\u7403\u6bd4\u6bd4\u7686\u662f\uff0c\u5982\u5357\u97d3\u5728\u4e03\u5341\u5e74\u4ee3\u5c0d\u91cd\u5de5\u696d\u548c\u5316\u5b78\u5de5\u696d\u7684\u50ac\u8c37\u3002\u65e9\u671f\u7684\u7522\u696d\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u6bd4\u8f03\u591a\u662f\u767c\u5c55\u4e2d\u570b\u5bb6\u7528\u65bc\u4fdd\u8b77\u570b\u5167\u4f01\u696d\uff0c\u6297\u62d2\u4f86\u81ea\u9032\u53e3\u7522\u54c1\u7684\u7af6\u722d\uff0c\u4f46\u767c\u9054\u570b\u5bb6\u4e5f\u65e5\u6f38\u63a1\u7d0d\u66f4\u591a\u7522\u696d\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5982\u7f8e\u570b\u548c\u6b50\u76df\u591a\u5e74\u4f86\u722d\u596a\u6c11\u7528\u822a\u6a5f\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u5206\u5225\u6216\u660e\u6216\u6697\u5730\u88dc\u8cbc\u6ce2\u97f3\u548c\u7a7a\u4e2d\u5df4\u58eb\u3002\u6700\u8fd1\u5e7e\u5e74\uff0c\u5728\u9ad8\u79d1\u6280\u7522\u54c1\u6216\u82af\u7247\u5e02\u5834\u4e0a\uff0c\u60c5\u6cc1\u5c24\u70ba\u660e\u986f\uff0c\u5982\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u4e00\u5e74\u591a\u524d\u63a8\u51fa\u7684\u300a\u964d\u4f4e\u901a\u8139\u6cd5\u6848\u300b\uff08Inflation Reduction Act\uff09\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u9805\u5c31\u662f\u88dc\u8cbc\u96fb\u52d5\u8eca\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\uff0c\u4f46\u88dc\u8cbc\u53ea\u9069\u7528\u65bc\u5728\u5317\u7f8e\u6d32\u7d44\u88dd\u7684\u96fb\u52d5\u8eca\uff0c\u53ca\u8eca\u5167\u96fb\u6c60\u7684\u7926\u7269\u6750\u6599\u9808\u4f86\u81ea\u7f8e\u570b\u6216\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u6709\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u5354\u8b70\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u9019\u660e\u986f\u662f\u91dd\u5c0d\u4f86\u81ea\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u5340\u7279\u5225\u662f\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u96fb\u52d5\u8eca\u3002 \u64a4\u6700\u60e0\u570b\u640d\u4eba\u5bb3\u5df1 \u7121\u8ad6\u6b63\u78ba\u8207\u5426\uff0c\u4e0a\u8ff0\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u773e\u8b70\u54e1\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u5728\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u89c0\u9ede\u3002\u57fa\u65bc\u9019\u4e9b\u8a8d\u77e5\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u5728\u5831\u544a\u4e2d\u63d0\u51fa\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u653f\u7b56\u4f86\u61c9\u5c0d\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u5305\u62ec\u6536\u7dca\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u3001\u52a0\u5f37\u51fa\u53e3\u7ba1\u63a7\u4ee5\u6e1b\u5c11\u65b0\u79d1\u6280\u6d41\u5411\u4e2d\u570b\u3001\u52a0\u5f37\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u79d1\u7814\u5b89\u5168\u53ca\u9632\u6b62\u4eba\u624d\u6d41\u5931\u3001\u4ee5\u7a05\u52d9\u512a\u60e0\u9f13\u52f5\u6295\u8cc7\u65bc\u5275\u65b0\u884c\u696d\u3001\u52a0\u5f37\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u76df\u53cb\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u53ca\u5c0d\u6297\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u300c\u4e00\u5e36\u4e00\u8def\u300d\u7b49\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u90fd\u4e0d\u96e3\u60f3\u50cf\u3002\u6bd4\u8f03\u76f4\u63a5\u548c\u660e\u78ba\u7684\uff0c\u662f\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u5206\u968e\u6bb5\u5fb5\u6536\u65b0\u7684\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4e00\u4e9b\u76ee\u524d\u6c92\u6709\u88ab\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u8986\u84cb\u7684\u4e2d\u570b\u7522\u54c1\u3002\u64da\u805e\u6700\u521d\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u66f4\u70ba\u6fc0\u70c8\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u53d6\u6d88\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u300c\u6c38\u4e45\u6027\u6b63\u5e38\u8cbf\u6613\u95dc\u4fc2\u5f85\u9047\u300d\uff08Permanent Normal Trade Relations\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31PNTR\uff09\u3002 PNTR\u539f\u7a31\u300c\u6700\u60e0\u570b\u5f85\u9047\u300d\uff08Most Favoured Nation\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31MFN\uff09\u3002\u6709\u6b64\u5f85\u9047\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u53ef\u5728\u8cbf\u6613\u4e0a\u5f97\u5230\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u6700\u60e0\u570b\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u5f85\u9047\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u548c\u82f1\u570b\u90fd\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u7684MFN\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7d66\u4e88\u82f1\u570b\u7684\u4f4e\u95dc\u7a05\u4e5f\u540c\u6642\u9069\u7528\u65bc\u4e2d\u570b\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u52a0\u5165WTO\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u8981\u6309\u5e74\u7531\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u6703\u5be9\u8b70\u901a\u904e\uff0c\u624d\u5f97\u5230\u8a72\u5e74\u7684MFN\u5f85\u9047\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4ea6\u85c9\u6b64\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u4f5c\u5404\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u5201\u96e3\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u52a0\u5165WTO\u534a\u5e74\u524d\uff0c\u4e5f\u7372\u5f97\u7f8e\u570b\u7684PNTR\uff0c\u6bcb\u9808\u6309\u5e74\u6279\u5be9\u3002\u82e5\u679c\u5931\u53bb\u9019\u500b\u5f85\u9047\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u51fa\u53e3\u81f3\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u95dc\u7a05\u5c07\u6703\u753119%\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u52a0\u81f361%\u3002 \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5927\u5e45\u63d0\u9ad8\u95dc\u7a05\u662f\u640d\u4eba\u800c\u4e0d\u5229\u5df1\u7684\u3002\u6578\u5e74\u524d\u7279\u6717\u666e\u555f\u52d5\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u6642\uff0c\u66fe\u5927\u8a00\u4e0d\u615a\u5730\u8aaa\u300c\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u662f\u597d\u7684\uff0c\u4e26\u5bb9\u6613\u53d6\u52dd\u300d\uff08Trade wars are good, and easy to win\uff09\uff0c\u4f46\u96a8\u7740\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u53cd\u5236\u53ca\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u5347\u7d1a\uff0c\u96d9\u65b9\u90fd\u6709\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u640d\u5931\u3002\u4e0a\u8ff0\u7684\u7279\u8a2d\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u5728\u53bb\u5e74\u958b\u59cb\u904b\u4f5c\u5f8c\uff0c\u5927\u6982\u5df2\u6709\u50b3\u805e\u7f8e\u570b\u53ef\u80fd\u53d6\u6d88\u4e2d\u570b\u7684PNTR\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u4e00\u4e9b\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u7e3d\u7d71\u53c3\u9078\u4eba\u4ea6\u6709\u63d0\u53ca\u3002 \u7f8e\u4e2d\u8cbf\u6613\u5168\u570b\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff08US-China Business Council\uff09\u9042\u59d4\u8a17\u4e86\u725b\u6d25\u7d93\u6fdf\u7814\u7a76\u9662\uff08Oxford Economics\uff09\u7814\u7a76\u6709\u95dc\u653f\u7b56\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u3002\u64da\u5f8c\u8005\u7684\u4f30\u8a08\u3010\u8a3b2\u3011\uff0c\u5728\u5047\u8a2d\u4e2d\u570b\u4e0d\u5831\u5fa9\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684GDP\u6703\u5728\u96a8\u5f8c5\u5e74\u5167\u6e1b\u5c111.6\u842c\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u800c\u5de5\u4f5c\u5d17\u4f4d\u6703\u6e1b\u5c1174\u842c\u500b\u3002\u9ad8\u95dc\u7a05\u6e1b\u5c11\u4e86\u7f8e\u570b\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7684\u8cfc\u8cb7\u529b\u548c\u589e\u52a0\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u751f\u7522\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u964d\u4f4e\u7d93\u6fdf\u6d3b\u52d5\u3002\u82e5\u4e2d\u570b\u4f5c\u51fa\u53cd\u5236\uff0c\u5c07\u5f9e\u7f8e\u570b\u5165\u53e3\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u95dc\u7a05\u7531\u76ee\u524d\u768421%\u63d0\u9ad8\u81f3\u4e2d\u570b\u52a0\u5165WTO\u524d\u768438%\uff0c\u90a3\u7f8e\u570bGDP\u6703\u6e1b\u5c111.9\u842c\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u53ca\u640d\u593180\u842c\u500b\u5de5\u4f5c\u5d17\u4f4d\u3002 \u4eca\u5e74\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u5927\u9078\u5e74\uff0c\u4f30\u8a08\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0d\u6703\u63a1\u53d6\u5c0d\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e0d\u5229\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5728\u73fe\u6709\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u4e0a\u52a0\u78bc\u6311\u91c1\u4e2d\u570b\u3002\u4f46\u90e8\u5206\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5ba2\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u504f\u898b\u548c\u6575\u610f\u4ecd\u6703\u5b58\u5728\u751a\u81f3\u52a0\u6df1\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u95dc\u4fc2\u5728\u53ef\u9810\u898b\u7684\u5c07\u4f86\u9808\u8271\u82e6\u7d93\u71df\u3002 \u3010\u8a3b1\u3011https:\/\/selectcommitteeontheccp.house.gov\/sites\/evosubsites\/selectcommitteeontheccp.house.gov\/files\/evo-media-document\/reset-prevent-build-sccreport.pdf \u3010\u8a3b2\u3011https:\/\/www.uschina.org\/sites\/default\/files\/the_economic_impact_of_china_pntr_repeal.pdf\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"google-site-verification\" content=\"google-site-verification=MjdkluDgHpNk2vz5slbwER2Gusw2rUDQuVULMERWzLo\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/research\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches\/%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e5%9c%8b%e6%9c%83%e7%9c%8b%e4%b8%ad%e7%be%8e%e7%ab%b6%e7%88%ad\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO (AIOSEO) 4.9.9\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"HKU Business School -\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u6703\u770b\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7af6\u722d - HKU Business School\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5efa\u4ea4\u81f3\u4eca\u5e74\u5143\u65e6\u525b\u597d45\u5e74\uff0c\u4f46\u7576\u524d\u7684\u4e2d\u7f8e\u95dc\u4fc2\uff0c\u5927\u6982\u662f\u5efa\u4ea4\u4ee5\u4f86\u6700\u60e1\u52a3\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u3002\u5c31\u5728\u4e00\u500b\u6708\u524d\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u6703\u53c3\u8b70\u9662\u4e00\u500b\u7279\u8a2d\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff0c\u63a8\u51fa\u4e00\u4efd\u5982\u4f55\u8b93\u7f8e\u570b\u8d0f\u5f97\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7d93\u6fdf\u7af6\u722d\u7684\u5831\u544a\uff0c\u6982\u62ec\u4e86\u5171\u548c\u6c11\u4e3b\u5169\u9ee8\u8b70\u54e1\u5c0d\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7d93\u6fdf\u95dc\u4fc2\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u89c0\u9ede\uff0c\u4e26\u5217\u8209\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u7f8e\u570b\u61c9\u63a1\u53d6\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5efa\u8b70\u4f86\u5c0d\u4ed8\u4e2d\u570b\u3002 \u9019\u88cf\u6240\u8aaa\u7684\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u773e\u8b70\u9662\u4e2d\u7f8e\u6230\u7565\u7af6\u722d\u7279\u8a2d\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff08U.S. House Select Committee on Strategic Competition between the United States and the Chinese Communist Party\uff09\u3002\u9019\u500b\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u525b\u597d\u5728\u4e00\u5e74\u524d\u6210\u7acb\uff0c\u7531\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u8b70\u54e1\u63a8\u52d5\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5c31\u4efb\u8b70\u9577\u4e0d\u5230\u5341\u500b\u6708\u4fbf\u88ab\u9ee8\u53cb\u7f77\u514d\u7684\u9ea5\u5361\u932b\uff08Kevin McCarthy\uff09\u3002 \u773e\u6240\u5468\u77e5\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u5167\u653f\u6cbb\u6108\u8da8\u6495\u88c2\uff0c\u5169\u9ee8\u5728\u5404\u9805\u8b70\u984c\u4e0a\u7684\u610f\u898b\u9d3b\u6e9d\u5747\u96e3\u4ee5\u903e\u8d8a\uff0c\u552f\u7368\u53cd\u4e2d\u662f\u5404\u9ee8\u6d3e\u653f\u5ba2\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u5171\u8b58\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6709\u95dc\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u4e5f\u53d7\u5230\u773e\u591a\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u8b70\u54e1\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u5728\u8b70\u6703\u5167\u4ee5365\u7968\u5c0d65\u7968\u5927\u6bd4\u6578\u901a\u904e\u6210\u7acb\u3002 \u4fb5\u7565\u7f8e\u570b\u532a\u5937\u6240\u601d \u7279\u8a2d\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u7d93\u904e\u7d04\u4e00\u5e74\u7684\u8abf\u67e5\u548c\u807d\u8b49\u6703\u5f8c\uff0c\u5728\u4e0a\u670812\u65e5\u767c\u8868\u4e86\u984c\u70ba\u3008\u91cd\u7f6e\u3001\u9632\u6b62\u3001\u5efa\u9020\uff1a\u7f8e\u570b\u8d0f\u53d6\u548c\u4e2d\u570b\u5171\u7522\u9ee8\u7d93\u6fdf\u7af6\u722d\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u3009\u7684\u5831\u544a\u3010\u8a3b1\u3011\uff08\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7c21\u7a31\u5831\u544a\uff09\uff0c\u8a8d\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u6709\u9700\u8981\u91cd\u65b0\u8a55\u4f30\u53ca\u8a2d\u5b9a\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7d93\u6fdf\u95dc\u4fc2\u4ee5\u53ca\u6709\u95dc\u7684\u6230\u7565\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u4e26\u5217\u51fa130\u9805\u5177\u9ad4\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5efa\u8b70\u3002\u9019\u5831\u544a\u53ef\u8aaa\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u6703\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u76f8\u5c0d\u5168\u9762\u548c\u8a73\u7d30\u7684\u8868\u614b\uff0c\u6216\u6703\u5f9e\u4e2d\u884d\u751f\u51fa\u672a\u4f86\u6578\u5e74\u91dd\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u65b0\u6cd5\u6848\u3002\u7bc7\u5e45\u6240\u9650\uff0c\u9019\u88cf\u53ea\u7c21\u55ae\u8a0e\u8ad6\u5831\u544a\u4e2d\u5e7e\u500b\u8f03\u53d7\u95dc\u6ce8\u7684\u89c0\u9ede\u3002 \u5148\u8aaa\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u6703\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u3002\u5831\u544a\u958b\u5b97\u540d\u7fa9\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u958b\u5c55\u4e86\u4e00\u5834\u9577\u9054\u6578\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u4fb5\u7565\uff0c\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5be6\u529b\uff0c\u4e26\u5c07\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u7a7a\u6d1e\u5316\u3002\u5831\u544a\u7684\u4e3b\u9ad4\u670950\u9801\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u300c\u4fb5\u7565\u300d\u4e00\u8a5e\u51fa\u73fe\u4e8611\u6b21\u30022022\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u4eba\u5747GDP\u70ba\u4e2d\u570b\u76846\u500d\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u4ee5\u8cfc\u8cb7\u529b\u5e73\u50f9\u7684\u532f\u7387\u8a08\u7b97\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e5f\u662f\u4e2d\u570b\u76843.6\u500d\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u504f\u898b\u5916\uff0c\u96e3\u4ee5\u7406\u89e3\u4e2d\u570b\u5982\u4f55\u5728\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e0a\u4fb5\u7565\u7f8e\u570b\uff0c\u7279\u5225\u662f\u9019\u5df2\u662f\u6578\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u904b\u4f5c\uff08multidecade campaign\uff09\u3002\u76f8\u6bd4\u524d\u6578\u4e16\u7d00\u6b96\u6c11\u4e3b\u7fa9\u5c0d\u7b2c\u4e09\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u525d\u524a\u548c\u8e42\u8eaa\uff0c\u8aaa\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u4fb5\u7565\u7f8e\u570b\uff0c\u78ba\u5be6\u662f\u532a\u5937\u6240\u601d\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5831\u544a\u53c8\u8a8d\u70ba\u4e2d\u570b\u52a0\u5165WTO\u5f8c\u6c92\u6709\u9075\u5b88\u6709\u95dc\u5354\u8b70\uff0c\u4ea6\u8a8d\u70ba\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u6709\u76f8\u7576\u5927\u7684\u570b\u6709\u6bd4\u4f8b\uff0c\u5236\u5ea6\u4e0a\u8207WTO\u4e26\u4e0d\u76f8\u5bb9\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u5371\u5bb3\u5230\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b89\u5168\u3002\u985e\u4f3c\u7684\u8ad6\u8abf\u5e38\u6709\u51fa\u73fe\uff0c\u4f46\u4f3c\u4e4e\u96e3\u4ee5\u9054\u5230\u78ba\u5be6\u7684\u7d50\u8ad6\u3002 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\u7279\u6717\u666e\u57282018\u5e74\u6380\u8d77\u4e86\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\uff0c\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7522\u54c1\u5fb5\u6536\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u81f32020\u5e7410\u6708\u88abWTO\u88c1\u5b9a\u70ba\u9055\u53cd\u570b\u969b\u8cbf\u6613\u898f\u5247\uff0c\u4f46\u7f8e\u570b\u4f9d\u7136\u6545\u6211\uff0c\u4e09\u5e74\u591a\u4ee5\u4f86\u6709\u95dc\u7684\u95dc\u7a05\u7d72\u6beb\u672a\u6539\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u8aaa\u6cd5\u662f\u8981\u5c31\u88c1\u5b9a\u4e0a\u8a34\uff0c\u4f46WTO\u7684\u4e0a\u8a34\u6a5f\u5236\u66fe\u88ab\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u591a\u6b21\u5426\u5b9a\u4efb\u7528\u4eba\u9078\u800c\u7671\u7613\u3002 WTO\u65e9\u5df2\u5728\u63a8\u52d5\u5168\u7403\u8cbf\u6613\u81ea\u7531\u5316\u65b9\u9762\u6c92\u6709\u5efa\u6a39\uff0c\u5728\u8655\u7406\u8cbf\u6613\u7cfe\u7d1b\u65b9\u9762\u66e0\u65e5\u6301\u4e45\uff0c\u5c0d\u5927\u578b\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u6c92\u6709\u660e\u986f\u7684\u7d04\u675f\u529b\u3002\u6216\u8a31\u8981\u6539\u8b8a\u7684\u662fWTO\u672c\u8eab\uff0c\u4f7f\u4e4b\u80fd\u9069\u61c9\u7576\u524d\u5168\u7403\u7684\u653f\u7d93\u65b0\u74b0\u5883\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u4e0a\u4e16\u7d00\u4e8c\u6b21\u5927\u6230\u5f8c\u7684\u570b\u969b\u683c\u5c40\u548c\u601d\u7dad\u3002 \u7f8e\u570b\u773e\u8b70\u9662\u7684\u5831\u544a\u4e5f\u8a6c\u75c5\u4e2d\u570b\u5ee3\u6cdb\u5229\u7528\u7522\u696d\u653f\u7b56\u4f86\u4fc3\u9032\u67d0\u4e9b\u884c\u696d\u6216\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u767c\u5c55\uff0c\u5982\u88dc\u8cbc\u3001\u51fa\u5165\u53e3\u9650\u5236\u7b49\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7522\u696d\u653f\u7b56\u5728\u5168\u7403\u6bd4\u6bd4\u7686\u662f\uff0c\u5982\u5357\u97d3\u5728\u4e03\u5341\u5e74\u4ee3\u5c0d\u91cd\u5de5\u696d\u548c\u5316\u5b78\u5de5\u696d\u7684\u50ac\u8c37\u3002\u65e9\u671f\u7684\u7522\u696d\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u6bd4\u8f03\u591a\u662f\u767c\u5c55\u4e2d\u570b\u5bb6\u7528\u65bc\u4fdd\u8b77\u570b\u5167\u4f01\u696d\uff0c\u6297\u62d2\u4f86\u81ea\u9032\u53e3\u7522\u54c1\u7684\u7af6\u722d\uff0c\u4f46\u767c\u9054\u570b\u5bb6\u4e5f\u65e5\u6f38\u63a1\u7d0d\u66f4\u591a\u7522\u696d\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5982\u7f8e\u570b\u548c\u6b50\u76df\u591a\u5e74\u4f86\u722d\u596a\u6c11\u7528\u822a\u6a5f\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u5206\u5225\u6216\u660e\u6216\u6697\u5730\u88dc\u8cbc\u6ce2\u97f3\u548c\u7a7a\u4e2d\u5df4\u58eb\u3002\u6700\u8fd1\u5e7e\u5e74\uff0c\u5728\u9ad8\u79d1\u6280\u7522\u54c1\u6216\u82af\u7247\u5e02\u5834\u4e0a\uff0c\u60c5\u6cc1\u5c24\u70ba\u660e\u986f\uff0c\u5982\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u4e00\u5e74\u591a\u524d\u63a8\u51fa\u7684\u300a\u964d\u4f4e\u901a\u8139\u6cd5\u6848\u300b\uff08Inflation Reduction Act\uff09\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u9805\u5c31\u662f\u88dc\u8cbc\u96fb\u52d5\u8eca\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\uff0c\u4f46\u88dc\u8cbc\u53ea\u9069\u7528\u65bc\u5728\u5317\u7f8e\u6d32\u7d44\u88dd\u7684\u96fb\u52d5\u8eca\uff0c\u53ca\u8eca\u5167\u96fb\u6c60\u7684\u7926\u7269\u6750\u6599\u9808\u4f86\u81ea\u7f8e\u570b\u6216\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u6709\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u5354\u8b70\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u9019\u660e\u986f\u662f\u91dd\u5c0d\u4f86\u81ea\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u5340\u7279\u5225\u662f\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u96fb\u52d5\u8eca\u3002 \u64a4\u6700\u60e0\u570b\u640d\u4eba\u5bb3\u5df1 \u7121\u8ad6\u6b63\u78ba\u8207\u5426\uff0c\u4e0a\u8ff0\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u773e\u8b70\u54e1\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u5728\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u89c0\u9ede\u3002\u57fa\u65bc\u9019\u4e9b\u8a8d\u77e5\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u5728\u5831\u544a\u4e2d\u63d0\u51fa\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u653f\u7b56\u4f86\u61c9\u5c0d\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u5305\u62ec\u6536\u7dca\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u3001\u52a0\u5f37\u51fa\u53e3\u7ba1\u63a7\u4ee5\u6e1b\u5c11\u65b0\u79d1\u6280\u6d41\u5411\u4e2d\u570b\u3001\u52a0\u5f37\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u79d1\u7814\u5b89\u5168\u53ca\u9632\u6b62\u4eba\u624d\u6d41\u5931\u3001\u4ee5\u7a05\u52d9\u512a\u60e0\u9f13\u52f5\u6295\u8cc7\u65bc\u5275\u65b0\u884c\u696d\u3001\u52a0\u5f37\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u76df\u53cb\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u53ca\u5c0d\u6297\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u300c\u4e00\u5e36\u4e00\u8def\u300d\u7b49\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u90fd\u4e0d\u96e3\u60f3\u50cf\u3002\u6bd4\u8f03\u76f4\u63a5\u548c\u660e\u78ba\u7684\uff0c\u662f\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u5206\u968e\u6bb5\u5fb5\u6536\u65b0\u7684\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4e00\u4e9b\u76ee\u524d\u6c92\u6709\u88ab\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u8986\u84cb\u7684\u4e2d\u570b\u7522\u54c1\u3002\u64da\u805e\u6700\u521d\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u66f4\u70ba\u6fc0\u70c8\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u53d6\u6d88\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u300c\u6c38\u4e45\u6027\u6b63\u5e38\u8cbf\u6613\u95dc\u4fc2\u5f85\u9047\u300d\uff08Permanent Normal Trade Relations\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31PNTR\uff09\u3002 PNTR\u539f\u7a31\u300c\u6700\u60e0\u570b\u5f85\u9047\u300d\uff08Most Favoured Nation\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31MFN\uff09\u3002\u6709\u6b64\u5f85\u9047\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u53ef\u5728\u8cbf\u6613\u4e0a\u5f97\u5230\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u6700\u60e0\u570b\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u5f85\u9047\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u548c\u82f1\u570b\u90fd\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u7684MFN\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7d66\u4e88\u82f1\u570b\u7684\u4f4e\u95dc\u7a05\u4e5f\u540c\u6642\u9069\u7528\u65bc\u4e2d\u570b\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u52a0\u5165WTO\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u8981\u6309\u5e74\u7531\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u6703\u5be9\u8b70\u901a\u904e\uff0c\u624d\u5f97\u5230\u8a72\u5e74\u7684MFN\u5f85\u9047\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4ea6\u85c9\u6b64\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u4f5c\u5404\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u5201\u96e3\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u52a0\u5165WTO\u534a\u5e74\u524d\uff0c\u4e5f\u7372\u5f97\u7f8e\u570b\u7684PNTR\uff0c\u6bcb\u9808\u6309\u5e74\u6279\u5be9\u3002\u82e5\u679c\u5931\u53bb\u9019\u500b\u5f85\u9047\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u51fa\u53e3\u81f3\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u95dc\u7a05\u5c07\u6703\u753119%\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u52a0\u81f361%\u3002 \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5927\u5e45\u63d0\u9ad8\u95dc\u7a05\u662f\u640d\u4eba\u800c\u4e0d\u5229\u5df1\u7684\u3002\u6578\u5e74\u524d\u7279\u6717\u666e\u555f\u52d5\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u6642\uff0c\u66fe\u5927\u8a00\u4e0d\u615a\u5730\u8aaa\u300c\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u662f\u597d\u7684\uff0c\u4e26\u5bb9\u6613\u53d6\u52dd\u300d\uff08Trade wars are good, and easy to win\uff09\uff0c\u4f46\u96a8\u7740\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u53cd\u5236\u53ca\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u5347\u7d1a\uff0c\u96d9\u65b9\u90fd\u6709\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u640d\u5931\u3002\u4e0a\u8ff0\u7684\u7279\u8a2d\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u5728\u53bb\u5e74\u958b\u59cb\u904b\u4f5c\u5f8c\uff0c\u5927\u6982\u5df2\u6709\u50b3\u805e\u7f8e\u570b\u53ef\u80fd\u53d6\u6d88\u4e2d\u570b\u7684PNTR\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u4e00\u4e9b\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u7e3d\u7d71\u53c3\u9078\u4eba\u4ea6\u6709\u63d0\u53ca\u3002 \u7f8e\u4e2d\u8cbf\u6613\u5168\u570b\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff08US-China Business Council\uff09\u9042\u59d4\u8a17\u4e86\u725b\u6d25\u7d93\u6fdf\u7814\u7a76\u9662\uff08Oxford Economics\uff09\u7814\u7a76\u6709\u95dc\u653f\u7b56\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u3002\u64da\u5f8c\u8005\u7684\u4f30\u8a08\u3010\u8a3b2\u3011\uff0c\u5728\u5047\u8a2d\u4e2d\u570b\u4e0d\u5831\u5fa9\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684GDP\u6703\u5728\u96a8\u5f8c5\u5e74\u5167\u6e1b\u5c111.6\u842c\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u800c\u5de5\u4f5c\u5d17\u4f4d\u6703\u6e1b\u5c1174\u842c\u500b\u3002\u9ad8\u95dc\u7a05\u6e1b\u5c11\u4e86\u7f8e\u570b\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7684\u8cfc\u8cb7\u529b\u548c\u589e\u52a0\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u751f\u7522\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u964d\u4f4e\u7d93\u6fdf\u6d3b\u52d5\u3002\u82e5\u4e2d\u570b\u4f5c\u51fa\u53cd\u5236\uff0c\u5c07\u5f9e\u7f8e\u570b\u5165\u53e3\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u95dc\u7a05\u7531\u76ee\u524d\u768421%\u63d0\u9ad8\u81f3\u4e2d\u570b\u52a0\u5165WTO\u524d\u768438%\uff0c\u90a3\u7f8e\u570bGDP\u6703\u6e1b\u5c111.9\u842c\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u53ca\u640d\u593180\u842c\u500b\u5de5\u4f5c\u5d17\u4f4d\u3002 \u4eca\u5e74\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u5927\u9078\u5e74\uff0c\u4f30\u8a08\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0d\u6703\u63a1\u53d6\u5c0d\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e0d\u5229\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5728\u73fe\u6709\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u4e0a\u52a0\u78bc\u6311\u91c1\u4e2d\u570b\u3002\u4f46\u90e8\u5206\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5ba2\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u504f\u898b\u548c\u6575\u610f\u4ecd\u6703\u5b58\u5728\u751a\u81f3\u52a0\u6df1\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u95dc\u4fc2\u5728\u53ef\u9810\u898b\u7684\u5c07\u4f86\u9808\u8271\u82e6\u7d93\u71df\u3002 \u3010\u8a3b1\u3011https:\/\/selectcommitteeontheccp.house.gov\/sites\/evosubsites\/selectcommitteeontheccp.house.gov\/files\/evo-media-document\/reset-prevent-build-sccreport.pdf \u3010\u8a3b2\u3011https:\/\/www.uschina.org\/sites\/default\/files\/the_economic_impact_of_china_pntr_repeal.pdf\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/research\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches\/%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e5%9c%8b%e6%9c%83%e7%9c%8b%e4%b8%ad%e7%be%8e%e7%ab%b6%e7%88%ad\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-01-12T09:57:34+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-01-12T09:57:34+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u6703\u770b\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7af6\u722d - HKU Business School\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5efa\u4ea4\u81f3\u4eca\u5e74\u5143\u65e6\u525b\u597d45\u5e74\uff0c\u4f46\u7576\u524d\u7684\u4e2d\u7f8e\u95dc\u4fc2\uff0c\u5927\u6982\u662f\u5efa\u4ea4\u4ee5\u4f86\u6700\u60e1\u52a3\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u3002\u5c31\u5728\u4e00\u500b\u6708\u524d\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u6703\u53c3\u8b70\u9662\u4e00\u500b\u7279\u8a2d\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff0c\u63a8\u51fa\u4e00\u4efd\u5982\u4f55\u8b93\u7f8e\u570b\u8d0f\u5f97\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7d93\u6fdf\u7af6\u722d\u7684\u5831\u544a\uff0c\u6982\u62ec\u4e86\u5171\u548c\u6c11\u4e3b\u5169\u9ee8\u8b70\u54e1\u5c0d\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7d93\u6fdf\u95dc\u4fc2\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u89c0\u9ede\uff0c\u4e26\u5217\u8209\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u7f8e\u570b\u61c9\u63a1\u53d6\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5efa\u8b70\u4f86\u5c0d\u4ed8\u4e2d\u570b\u3002 \u9019\u88cf\u6240\u8aaa\u7684\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u773e\u8b70\u9662\u4e2d\u7f8e\u6230\u7565\u7af6\u722d\u7279\u8a2d\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff08U.S. House Select Committee on Strategic Competition between the United States and the Chinese Communist Party\uff09\u3002\u9019\u500b\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u525b\u597d\u5728\u4e00\u5e74\u524d\u6210\u7acb\uff0c\u7531\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u8b70\u54e1\u63a8\u52d5\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5c31\u4efb\u8b70\u9577\u4e0d\u5230\u5341\u500b\u6708\u4fbf\u88ab\u9ee8\u53cb\u7f77\u514d\u7684\u9ea5\u5361\u932b\uff08Kevin McCarthy\uff09\u3002 \u773e\u6240\u5468\u77e5\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u5167\u653f\u6cbb\u6108\u8da8\u6495\u88c2\uff0c\u5169\u9ee8\u5728\u5404\u9805\u8b70\u984c\u4e0a\u7684\u610f\u898b\u9d3b\u6e9d\u5747\u96e3\u4ee5\u903e\u8d8a\uff0c\u552f\u7368\u53cd\u4e2d\u662f\u5404\u9ee8\u6d3e\u653f\u5ba2\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u5171\u8b58\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6709\u95dc\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u4e5f\u53d7\u5230\u773e\u591a\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u8b70\u54e1\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u5728\u8b70\u6703\u5167\u4ee5365\u7968\u5c0d65\u7968\u5927\u6bd4\u6578\u901a\u904e\u6210\u7acb\u3002 \u4fb5\u7565\u7f8e\u570b\u532a\u5937\u6240\u601d \u7279\u8a2d\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u7d93\u904e\u7d04\u4e00\u5e74\u7684\u8abf\u67e5\u548c\u807d\u8b49\u6703\u5f8c\uff0c\u5728\u4e0a\u670812\u65e5\u767c\u8868\u4e86\u984c\u70ba\u3008\u91cd\u7f6e\u3001\u9632\u6b62\u3001\u5efa\u9020\uff1a\u7f8e\u570b\u8d0f\u53d6\u548c\u4e2d\u570b\u5171\u7522\u9ee8\u7d93\u6fdf\u7af6\u722d\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u3009\u7684\u5831\u544a\u3010\u8a3b1\u3011\uff08\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7c21\u7a31\u5831\u544a\uff09\uff0c\u8a8d\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u6709\u9700\u8981\u91cd\u65b0\u8a55\u4f30\u53ca\u8a2d\u5b9a\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7d93\u6fdf\u95dc\u4fc2\u4ee5\u53ca\u6709\u95dc\u7684\u6230\u7565\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u4e26\u5217\u51fa130\u9805\u5177\u9ad4\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5efa\u8b70\u3002\u9019\u5831\u544a\u53ef\u8aaa\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u6703\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u76f8\u5c0d\u5168\u9762\u548c\u8a73\u7d30\u7684\u8868\u614b\uff0c\u6216\u6703\u5f9e\u4e2d\u884d\u751f\u51fa\u672a\u4f86\u6578\u5e74\u91dd\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u65b0\u6cd5\u6848\u3002\u7bc7\u5e45\u6240\u9650\uff0c\u9019\u88cf\u53ea\u7c21\u55ae\u8a0e\u8ad6\u5831\u544a\u4e2d\u5e7e\u500b\u8f03\u53d7\u95dc\u6ce8\u7684\u89c0\u9ede\u3002 \u5148\u8aaa\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u6703\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u3002\u5831\u544a\u958b\u5b97\u540d\u7fa9\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u958b\u5c55\u4e86\u4e00\u5834\u9577\u9054\u6578\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u4fb5\u7565\uff0c\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5be6\u529b\uff0c\u4e26\u5c07\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u7a7a\u6d1e\u5316\u3002\u5831\u544a\u7684\u4e3b\u9ad4\u670950\u9801\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u300c\u4fb5\u7565\u300d\u4e00\u8a5e\u51fa\u73fe\u4e8611\u6b21\u30022022\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u4eba\u5747GDP\u70ba\u4e2d\u570b\u76846\u500d\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u4ee5\u8cfc\u8cb7\u529b\u5e73\u50f9\u7684\u532f\u7387\u8a08\u7b97\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e5f\u662f\u4e2d\u570b\u76843.6\u500d\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u504f\u898b\u5916\uff0c\u96e3\u4ee5\u7406\u89e3\u4e2d\u570b\u5982\u4f55\u5728\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e0a\u4fb5\u7565\u7f8e\u570b\uff0c\u7279\u5225\u662f\u9019\u5df2\u662f\u6578\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u904b\u4f5c\uff08multidecade campaign\uff09\u3002\u76f8\u6bd4\u524d\u6578\u4e16\u7d00\u6b96\u6c11\u4e3b\u7fa9\u5c0d\u7b2c\u4e09\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u525d\u524a\u548c\u8e42\u8eaa\uff0c\u8aaa\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u4fb5\u7565\u7f8e\u570b\uff0c\u78ba\u5be6\u662f\u532a\u5937\u6240\u601d\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5831\u544a\u53c8\u8a8d\u70ba\u4e2d\u570b\u52a0\u5165WTO\u5f8c\u6c92\u6709\u9075\u5b88\u6709\u95dc\u5354\u8b70\uff0c\u4ea6\u8a8d\u70ba\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u6709\u76f8\u7576\u5927\u7684\u570b\u6709\u6bd4\u4f8b\uff0c\u5236\u5ea6\u4e0a\u8207WTO\u4e26\u4e0d\u76f8\u5bb9\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u5371\u5bb3\u5230\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b89\u5168\u3002\u985e\u4f3c\u7684\u8ad6\u8abf\u5e38\u6709\u51fa\u73fe\uff0c\u4f46\u4f3c\u4e4e\u96e3\u4ee5\u9054\u5230\u78ba\u5be6\u7684\u7d50\u8ad6\u3002 \u82e5\u4ee5WTO\u9ad4\u5236\u5167\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u7cfe\u7d1b\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u662f\u5168\u7403\u5169\u500b\u8cbf\u6613\u984d\u6700\u5927\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u6d89\u53ca\u8f03\u591a\u500b\u6848\u3002\u6309WTO\u7684\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u670949\u500b\u88ab\u6295\u8a34\u500b\u6848\u9700\u8981\u7533\u8faf\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u570b\u5247\u6709158\u500b\u3002\u7576\u7136\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5728WTO\u7684\u5e74\u671f\u8f03\u9577\uff0c\u57281995\u5e741\u6708\u6210\u7acb\u6642\u5df2\u662f\u6703\u54e1\uff0c\u9762\u5c0d\u7684\u500b\u6848\u81ea\u7136\u8f03\u591a\uff0c\u800c\u4e2d\u570b\u5247\u57282001\u5e7412\u6708\u624d\u52a0\u5165\u3002\u4f46\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5169\u570b\u7684\u500b\u6848\u6578\u76ee\u5dee\u5225\u90a3\u9ebc\u5927\uff0c\u96e3\u4ee5\u8aaa\u660e\u4e2d\u570b\u7279\u5225\u591a\u9055\u53cdWTO\u5b88\u5247\u3002\u518d\u770b\u6b50\u76df\u4f5c\u70ba\u4e00\u6574\u9ad4\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u88ab\u6295\u8a34\u7684\u500b\u6848\u4e5f\u670993\u500b\u3002 \u7279\u6717\u666e\u57282018\u5e74\u6380\u8d77\u4e86\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\uff0c\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7522\u54c1\u5fb5\u6536\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u81f32020\u5e7410\u6708\u88abWTO\u88c1\u5b9a\u70ba\u9055\u53cd\u570b\u969b\u8cbf\u6613\u898f\u5247\uff0c\u4f46\u7f8e\u570b\u4f9d\u7136\u6545\u6211\uff0c\u4e09\u5e74\u591a\u4ee5\u4f86\u6709\u95dc\u7684\u95dc\u7a05\u7d72\u6beb\u672a\u6539\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u8aaa\u6cd5\u662f\u8981\u5c31\u88c1\u5b9a\u4e0a\u8a34\uff0c\u4f46WTO\u7684\u4e0a\u8a34\u6a5f\u5236\u66fe\u88ab\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u591a\u6b21\u5426\u5b9a\u4efb\u7528\u4eba\u9078\u800c\u7671\u7613\u3002 WTO\u65e9\u5df2\u5728\u63a8\u52d5\u5168\u7403\u8cbf\u6613\u81ea\u7531\u5316\u65b9\u9762\u6c92\u6709\u5efa\u6a39\uff0c\u5728\u8655\u7406\u8cbf\u6613\u7cfe\u7d1b\u65b9\u9762\u66e0\u65e5\u6301\u4e45\uff0c\u5c0d\u5927\u578b\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u6c92\u6709\u660e\u986f\u7684\u7d04\u675f\u529b\u3002\u6216\u8a31\u8981\u6539\u8b8a\u7684\u662fWTO\u672c\u8eab\uff0c\u4f7f\u4e4b\u80fd\u9069\u61c9\u7576\u524d\u5168\u7403\u7684\u653f\u7d93\u65b0\u74b0\u5883\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u4e0a\u4e16\u7d00\u4e8c\u6b21\u5927\u6230\u5f8c\u7684\u570b\u969b\u683c\u5c40\u548c\u601d\u7dad\u3002 \u7f8e\u570b\u773e\u8b70\u9662\u7684\u5831\u544a\u4e5f\u8a6c\u75c5\u4e2d\u570b\u5ee3\u6cdb\u5229\u7528\u7522\u696d\u653f\u7b56\u4f86\u4fc3\u9032\u67d0\u4e9b\u884c\u696d\u6216\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u767c\u5c55\uff0c\u5982\u88dc\u8cbc\u3001\u51fa\u5165\u53e3\u9650\u5236\u7b49\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7522\u696d\u653f\u7b56\u5728\u5168\u7403\u6bd4\u6bd4\u7686\u662f\uff0c\u5982\u5357\u97d3\u5728\u4e03\u5341\u5e74\u4ee3\u5c0d\u91cd\u5de5\u696d\u548c\u5316\u5b78\u5de5\u696d\u7684\u50ac\u8c37\u3002\u65e9\u671f\u7684\u7522\u696d\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u6bd4\u8f03\u591a\u662f\u767c\u5c55\u4e2d\u570b\u5bb6\u7528\u65bc\u4fdd\u8b77\u570b\u5167\u4f01\u696d\uff0c\u6297\u62d2\u4f86\u81ea\u9032\u53e3\u7522\u54c1\u7684\u7af6\u722d\uff0c\u4f46\u767c\u9054\u570b\u5bb6\u4e5f\u65e5\u6f38\u63a1\u7d0d\u66f4\u591a\u7522\u696d\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5982\u7f8e\u570b\u548c\u6b50\u76df\u591a\u5e74\u4f86\u722d\u596a\u6c11\u7528\u822a\u6a5f\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u5206\u5225\u6216\u660e\u6216\u6697\u5730\u88dc\u8cbc\u6ce2\u97f3\u548c\u7a7a\u4e2d\u5df4\u58eb\u3002\u6700\u8fd1\u5e7e\u5e74\uff0c\u5728\u9ad8\u79d1\u6280\u7522\u54c1\u6216\u82af\u7247\u5e02\u5834\u4e0a\uff0c\u60c5\u6cc1\u5c24\u70ba\u660e\u986f\uff0c\u5982\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u4e00\u5e74\u591a\u524d\u63a8\u51fa\u7684\u300a\u964d\u4f4e\u901a\u8139\u6cd5\u6848\u300b\uff08Inflation Reduction Act\uff09\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u9805\u5c31\u662f\u88dc\u8cbc\u96fb\u52d5\u8eca\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\uff0c\u4f46\u88dc\u8cbc\u53ea\u9069\u7528\u65bc\u5728\u5317\u7f8e\u6d32\u7d44\u88dd\u7684\u96fb\u52d5\u8eca\uff0c\u53ca\u8eca\u5167\u96fb\u6c60\u7684\u7926\u7269\u6750\u6599\u9808\u4f86\u81ea\u7f8e\u570b\u6216\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u6709\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u5354\u8b70\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u9019\u660e\u986f\u662f\u91dd\u5c0d\u4f86\u81ea\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u5340\u7279\u5225\u662f\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u96fb\u52d5\u8eca\u3002 \u64a4\u6700\u60e0\u570b\u640d\u4eba\u5bb3\u5df1 \u7121\u8ad6\u6b63\u78ba\u8207\u5426\uff0c\u4e0a\u8ff0\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u773e\u8b70\u54e1\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u5728\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u89c0\u9ede\u3002\u57fa\u65bc\u9019\u4e9b\u8a8d\u77e5\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u5728\u5831\u544a\u4e2d\u63d0\u51fa\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u653f\u7b56\u4f86\u61c9\u5c0d\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u5305\u62ec\u6536\u7dca\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u3001\u52a0\u5f37\u51fa\u53e3\u7ba1\u63a7\u4ee5\u6e1b\u5c11\u65b0\u79d1\u6280\u6d41\u5411\u4e2d\u570b\u3001\u52a0\u5f37\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u79d1\u7814\u5b89\u5168\u53ca\u9632\u6b62\u4eba\u624d\u6d41\u5931\u3001\u4ee5\u7a05\u52d9\u512a\u60e0\u9f13\u52f5\u6295\u8cc7\u65bc\u5275\u65b0\u884c\u696d\u3001\u52a0\u5f37\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u76df\u53cb\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u53ca\u5c0d\u6297\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u300c\u4e00\u5e36\u4e00\u8def\u300d\u7b49\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u90fd\u4e0d\u96e3\u60f3\u50cf\u3002\u6bd4\u8f03\u76f4\u63a5\u548c\u660e\u78ba\u7684\uff0c\u662f\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u5206\u968e\u6bb5\u5fb5\u6536\u65b0\u7684\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4e00\u4e9b\u76ee\u524d\u6c92\u6709\u88ab\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u8986\u84cb\u7684\u4e2d\u570b\u7522\u54c1\u3002\u64da\u805e\u6700\u521d\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u66f4\u70ba\u6fc0\u70c8\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u53d6\u6d88\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u300c\u6c38\u4e45\u6027\u6b63\u5e38\u8cbf\u6613\u95dc\u4fc2\u5f85\u9047\u300d\uff08Permanent Normal Trade Relations\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31PNTR\uff09\u3002 PNTR\u539f\u7a31\u300c\u6700\u60e0\u570b\u5f85\u9047\u300d\uff08Most Favoured Nation\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31MFN\uff09\u3002\u6709\u6b64\u5f85\u9047\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u53ef\u5728\u8cbf\u6613\u4e0a\u5f97\u5230\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u6700\u60e0\u570b\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u5f85\u9047\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u548c\u82f1\u570b\u90fd\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u7684MFN\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7d66\u4e88\u82f1\u570b\u7684\u4f4e\u95dc\u7a05\u4e5f\u540c\u6642\u9069\u7528\u65bc\u4e2d\u570b\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u52a0\u5165WTO\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u8981\u6309\u5e74\u7531\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u6703\u5be9\u8b70\u901a\u904e\uff0c\u624d\u5f97\u5230\u8a72\u5e74\u7684MFN\u5f85\u9047\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4ea6\u85c9\u6b64\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u4f5c\u5404\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u5201\u96e3\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u52a0\u5165WTO\u534a\u5e74\u524d\uff0c\u4e5f\u7372\u5f97\u7f8e\u570b\u7684PNTR\uff0c\u6bcb\u9808\u6309\u5e74\u6279\u5be9\u3002\u82e5\u679c\u5931\u53bb\u9019\u500b\u5f85\u9047\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u51fa\u53e3\u81f3\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u95dc\u7a05\u5c07\u6703\u753119%\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u52a0\u81f361%\u3002 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\u4eca\u5e74\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u5927\u9078\u5e74\uff0c\u4f30\u8a08\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0d\u6703\u63a1\u53d6\u5c0d\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e0d\u5229\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5728\u73fe\u6709\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u4e0a\u52a0\u78bc\u6311\u91c1\u4e2d\u570b\u3002\u4f46\u90e8\u5206\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5ba2\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u504f\u898b\u548c\u6575\u610f\u4ecd\u6703\u5b58\u5728\u751a\u81f3\u52a0\u6df1\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u95dc\u4fc2\u5728\u53ef\u9810\u898b\u7684\u5c07\u4f86\u9808\u8271\u82e6\u7d93\u71df\u3002 \u3010\u8a3b1\u3011https:\/\/selectcommitteeontheccp.house.gov\/sites\/evosubsites\/selectcommitteeontheccp.house.gov\/files\/evo-media-document\/reset-prevent-build-sccreport.pdf \u3010\u8a3b2\u3011https:\/\/www.uschina.org\/sites\/default\/files\/the_economic_impact_of_china_pntr_repeal.pdf\" \/>\n\t\t<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" 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Chinese Communist Party\uff09\u3002\u9019\u500b\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u525b\u597d\u5728\u4e00\u5e74\u524d\u6210\u7acb\uff0c\u7531\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u8b70\u54e1\u63a8\u52d5\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5c31\u4efb\u8b70\u9577\u4e0d\u5230\u5341\u500b\u6708\u4fbf\u88ab\u9ee8\u53cb\u7f77\u514d\u7684\u9ea5\u5361\u932b\uff08Kevin McCarthy\uff09\u3002 \u773e\u6240\u5468\u77e5\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u5167\u653f\u6cbb\u6108\u8da8\u6495\u88c2\uff0c\u5169\u9ee8\u5728\u5404\u9805\u8b70\u984c\u4e0a\u7684\u610f\u898b\u9d3b\u6e9d\u5747\u96e3\u4ee5\u903e\u8d8a\uff0c\u552f\u7368\u53cd\u4e2d\u662f\u5404\u9ee8\u6d3e\u653f\u5ba2\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u5171\u8b58\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6709\u95dc\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u4e5f\u53d7\u5230\u773e\u591a\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u8b70\u54e1\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u5728\u8b70\u6703\u5167\u4ee5365\u7968\u5c0d65\u7968\u5927\u6bd4\u6578\u901a\u904e\u6210\u7acb\u3002 \u4fb5\u7565\u7f8e\u570b\u532a\u5937\u6240\u601d 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Reduction Act\uff09\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u9805\u5c31\u662f\u88dc\u8cbc\u96fb\u52d5\u8eca\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\uff0c\u4f46\u88dc\u8cbc\u53ea\u9069\u7528\u65bc\u5728\u5317\u7f8e\u6d32\u7d44\u88dd\u7684\u96fb\u52d5\u8eca\uff0c\u53ca\u8eca\u5167\u96fb\u6c60\u7684\u7926\u7269\u6750\u6599\u9808\u4f86\u81ea\u7f8e\u570b\u6216\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u6709\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u5354\u8b70\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u9019\u660e\u986f\u662f\u91dd\u5c0d\u4f86\u81ea\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u5340\u7279\u5225\u662f\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u96fb\u52d5\u8eca\u3002 \u64a4\u6700\u60e0\u570b\u640d\u4eba\u5bb3\u5df1 \u7121\u8ad6\u6b63\u78ba\u8207\u5426\uff0c\u4e0a\u8ff0\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u773e\u8b70\u54e1\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u5728\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u89c0\u9ede\u3002\u57fa\u65bc\u9019\u4e9b\u8a8d\u77e5\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u5728\u5831\u544a\u4e2d\u63d0\u51fa\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u653f\u7b56\u4f86\u61c9\u5c0d\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u5305\u62ec\u6536\u7dca\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u3001\u52a0\u5f37\u51fa\u53e3\u7ba1\u63a7\u4ee5\u6e1b\u5c11\u65b0\u79d1\u6280\u6d41\u5411\u4e2d\u570b\u3001\u52a0\u5f37\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u79d1\u7814\u5b89\u5168\u53ca\u9632\u6b62\u4eba\u624d\u6d41\u5931\u3001\u4ee5\u7a05\u52d9\u512a\u60e0\u9f13\u52f5\u6295\u8cc7\u65bc\u5275\u65b0\u884c\u696d\u3001\u52a0\u5f37\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u76df\u53cb\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u53ca\u5c0d\u6297\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u300c\u4e00\u5e36\u4e00\u8def\u300d\u7b49\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u90fd\u4e0d\u96e3\u60f3\u50cf\u3002\u6bd4\u8f03\u76f4\u63a5\u548c\u660e\u78ba\u7684\uff0c\u662f\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u5206\u968e\u6bb5\u5fb5\u6536\u65b0\u7684\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4e00\u4e9b\u76ee\u524d\u6c92\u6709\u88ab\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u8986\u84cb\u7684\u4e2d\u570b\u7522\u54c1\u3002\u64da\u805e\u6700\u521d\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u66f4\u70ba\u6fc0\u70c8\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u53d6\u6d88\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u300c\u6c38\u4e45\u6027\u6b63\u5e38\u8cbf\u6613\u95dc\u4fc2\u5f85\u9047\u300d\uff08Permanent Normal Trade Relations\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31PNTR\uff09\u3002 PNTR\u539f\u7a31\u300c\u6700\u60e0\u570b\u5f85\u9047\u300d\uff08Most Favoured Nation\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31MFN\uff09\u3002\u6709\u6b64\u5f85\u9047\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u53ef\u5728\u8cbf\u6613\u4e0a\u5f97\u5230\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u6700\u60e0\u570b\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u5f85\u9047\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u548c\u82f1\u570b\u90fd\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u7684MFN\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7d66\u4e88\u82f1\u570b\u7684\u4f4e\u95dc\u7a05\u4e5f\u540c\u6642\u9069\u7528\u65bc\u4e2d\u570b\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u52a0\u5165WTO\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u8981\u6309\u5e74\u7531\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u6703\u5be9\u8b70\u901a\u904e\uff0c\u624d\u5f97\u5230\u8a72\u5e74\u7684MFN\u5f85\u9047\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4ea6\u85c9\u6b64\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u4f5c\u5404\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u5201\u96e3\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u52a0\u5165WTO\u534a\u5e74\u524d\uff0c\u4e5f\u7372\u5f97\u7f8e\u570b\u7684PNTR\uff0c\u6bcb\u9808\u6309\u5e74\u6279\u5be9\u3002\u82e5\u679c\u5931\u53bb\u9019\u500b\u5f85\u9047\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u51fa\u53e3\u81f3\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u95dc\u7a05\u5c07\u6703\u753119%\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u52a0\u81f361%\u3002 \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5927\u5e45\u63d0\u9ad8\u95dc\u7a05\u662f\u640d\u4eba\u800c\u4e0d\u5229\u5df1\u7684\u3002\u6578\u5e74\u524d\u7279\u6717\u666e\u555f\u52d5\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u6642\uff0c\u66fe\u5927\u8a00\u4e0d\u615a\u5730\u8aaa\u300c\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u662f\u597d\u7684\uff0c\u4e26\u5bb9\u6613\u53d6\u52dd\u300d\uff08Trade wars are good, and easy to win\uff09\uff0c\u4f46\u96a8\u7740\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u53cd\u5236\u53ca\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u5347\u7d1a\uff0c\u96d9\u65b9\u90fd\u6709\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u640d\u5931\u3002\u4e0a\u8ff0\u7684\u7279\u8a2d\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u5728\u53bb\u5e74\u958b\u59cb\u904b\u4f5c\u5f8c\uff0c\u5927\u6982\u5df2\u6709\u50b3\u805e\u7f8e\u570b\u53ef\u80fd\u53d6\u6d88\u4e2d\u570b\u7684PNTR\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u4e00\u4e9b\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u7e3d\u7d71\u53c3\u9078\u4eba\u4ea6\u6709\u63d0\u53ca\u3002 \u7f8e\u4e2d\u8cbf\u6613\u5168\u570b\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff08US-China Business Council\uff09\u9042\u59d4\u8a17\u4e86\u725b\u6d25\u7d93\u6fdf\u7814\u7a76\u9662\uff08Oxford Economics\uff09\u7814\u7a76\u6709\u95dc\u653f\u7b56\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u3002\u64da\u5f8c\u8005\u7684\u4f30\u8a08\u3010\u8a3b2\u3011\uff0c\u5728\u5047\u8a2d\u4e2d\u570b\u4e0d\u5831\u5fa9\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684GDP\u6703\u5728\u96a8\u5f8c5\u5e74\u5167\u6e1b\u5c111.6\u842c\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u800c\u5de5\u4f5c\u5d17\u4f4d\u6703\u6e1b\u5c1174\u842c\u500b\u3002\u9ad8\u95dc\u7a05\u6e1b\u5c11\u4e86\u7f8e\u570b\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7684\u8cfc\u8cb7\u529b\u548c\u589e\u52a0\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u751f\u7522\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u964d\u4f4e\u7d93\u6fdf\u6d3b\u52d5\u3002\u82e5\u4e2d\u570b\u4f5c\u51fa\u53cd\u5236\uff0c\u5c07\u5f9e\u7f8e\u570b\u5165\u53e3\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u95dc\u7a05\u7531\u76ee\u524d\u768421%\u63d0\u9ad8\u81f3\u4e2d\u570b\u52a0\u5165WTO\u524d\u768438%\uff0c\u90a3\u7f8e\u570bGDP\u6703\u6e1b\u5c111.9\u842c\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u53ca\u640d\u593180\u842c\u500b\u5de5\u4f5c\u5d17\u4f4d\u3002 \u4eca\u5e74\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u5927\u9078\u5e74\uff0c\u4f30\u8a08\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0d\u6703\u63a1\u53d6\u5c0d\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e0d\u5229\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5728\u73fe\u6709\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u4e0a\u52a0\u78bc\u6311\u91c1\u4e2d\u570b\u3002\u4f46\u90e8\u5206\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5ba2\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u504f\u898b\u548c\u6575\u610f\u4ecd\u6703\u5b58\u5728\u751a\u81f3\u52a0\u6df1\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u95dc\u4fc2\u5728\u53ef\u9810\u898b\u7684\u5c07\u4f86\u9808\u8271\u82e6\u7d93\u71df\u3002 \u3010\u8a3b1\u3011https:\/\/selectcommitteeontheccp.house.gov\/sites\/evosubsites\/selectcommitteeontheccp.house.gov\/files\/evo-media-document\/reset-prevent-build-sccreport.pdf \u3010\u8a3b2\u3011https:\/\/www.uschina.org\/sites\/default\/files\/the_economic_impact_of_china_pntr_repeal.pdf","inLanguage":"zh-HK","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/#website"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/research\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches\/%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e5%9c%8b%e6%9c%83%e7%9c%8b%e4%b8%ad%e7%be%8e%e7%ab%b6%e7%88%ad\/#breadcrumblist"},"datePublished":"2024-01-12T17:57:34+08:00","dateModified":"2024-01-12T17:57:34+08:00"},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/","name":"HKU Business School","inLanguage":"zh-HK","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/#organization"}}]},"og:locale":"en_US","og:site_name":"HKU Business School -","og:type":"article","og:title":"\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u6703\u770b\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7af6\u722d - HKU Business School","og:description":"\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5efa\u4ea4\u81f3\u4eca\u5e74\u5143\u65e6\u525b\u597d45\u5e74\uff0c\u4f46\u7576\u524d\u7684\u4e2d\u7f8e\u95dc\u4fc2\uff0c\u5927\u6982\u662f\u5efa\u4ea4\u4ee5\u4f86\u6700\u60e1\u52a3\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u3002\u5c31\u5728\u4e00\u500b\u6708\u524d\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u6703\u53c3\u8b70\u9662\u4e00\u500b\u7279\u8a2d\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff0c\u63a8\u51fa\u4e00\u4efd\u5982\u4f55\u8b93\u7f8e\u570b\u8d0f\u5f97\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7d93\u6fdf\u7af6\u722d\u7684\u5831\u544a\uff0c\u6982\u62ec\u4e86\u5171\u548c\u6c11\u4e3b\u5169\u9ee8\u8b70\u54e1\u5c0d\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7d93\u6fdf\u95dc\u4fc2\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u89c0\u9ede\uff0c\u4e26\u5217\u8209\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u7f8e\u570b\u61c9\u63a1\u53d6\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5efa\u8b70\u4f86\u5c0d\u4ed8\u4e2d\u570b\u3002 \u9019\u88cf\u6240\u8aaa\u7684\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u773e\u8b70\u9662\u4e2d\u7f8e\u6230\u7565\u7af6\u722d\u7279\u8a2d\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff08U.S. House Select Committee on Strategic Competition between the United States and the Chinese Communist Party\uff09\u3002\u9019\u500b\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u525b\u597d\u5728\u4e00\u5e74\u524d\u6210\u7acb\uff0c\u7531\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u8b70\u54e1\u63a8\u52d5\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5c31\u4efb\u8b70\u9577\u4e0d\u5230\u5341\u500b\u6708\u4fbf\u88ab\u9ee8\u53cb\u7f77\u514d\u7684\u9ea5\u5361\u932b\uff08Kevin McCarthy\uff09\u3002 \u773e\u6240\u5468\u77e5\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u5167\u653f\u6cbb\u6108\u8da8\u6495\u88c2\uff0c\u5169\u9ee8\u5728\u5404\u9805\u8b70\u984c\u4e0a\u7684\u610f\u898b\u9d3b\u6e9d\u5747\u96e3\u4ee5\u903e\u8d8a\uff0c\u552f\u7368\u53cd\u4e2d\u662f\u5404\u9ee8\u6d3e\u653f\u5ba2\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u5171\u8b58\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6709\u95dc\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u4e5f\u53d7\u5230\u773e\u591a\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u8b70\u54e1\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u5728\u8b70\u6703\u5167\u4ee5365\u7968\u5c0d65\u7968\u5927\u6bd4\u6578\u901a\u904e\u6210\u7acb\u3002 \u4fb5\u7565\u7f8e\u570b\u532a\u5937\u6240\u601d 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campaign\uff09\u3002\u76f8\u6bd4\u524d\u6578\u4e16\u7d00\u6b96\u6c11\u4e3b\u7fa9\u5c0d\u7b2c\u4e09\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u525d\u524a\u548c\u8e42\u8eaa\uff0c\u8aaa\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u4fb5\u7565\u7f8e\u570b\uff0c\u78ba\u5be6\u662f\u532a\u5937\u6240\u601d\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5831\u544a\u53c8\u8a8d\u70ba\u4e2d\u570b\u52a0\u5165WTO\u5f8c\u6c92\u6709\u9075\u5b88\u6709\u95dc\u5354\u8b70\uff0c\u4ea6\u8a8d\u70ba\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u6709\u76f8\u7576\u5927\u7684\u570b\u6709\u6bd4\u4f8b\uff0c\u5236\u5ea6\u4e0a\u8207WTO\u4e26\u4e0d\u76f8\u5bb9\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u5371\u5bb3\u5230\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b89\u5168\u3002\u985e\u4f3c\u7684\u8ad6\u8abf\u5e38\u6709\u51fa\u73fe\uff0c\u4f46\u4f3c\u4e4e\u96e3\u4ee5\u9054\u5230\u78ba\u5be6\u7684\u7d50\u8ad6\u3002 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\u7279\u6717\u666e\u57282018\u5e74\u6380\u8d77\u4e86\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\uff0c\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7522\u54c1\u5fb5\u6536\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u81f32020\u5e7410\u6708\u88abWTO\u88c1\u5b9a\u70ba\u9055\u53cd\u570b\u969b\u8cbf\u6613\u898f\u5247\uff0c\u4f46\u7f8e\u570b\u4f9d\u7136\u6545\u6211\uff0c\u4e09\u5e74\u591a\u4ee5\u4f86\u6709\u95dc\u7684\u95dc\u7a05\u7d72\u6beb\u672a\u6539\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u8aaa\u6cd5\u662f\u8981\u5c31\u88c1\u5b9a\u4e0a\u8a34\uff0c\u4f46WTO\u7684\u4e0a\u8a34\u6a5f\u5236\u66fe\u88ab\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u591a\u6b21\u5426\u5b9a\u4efb\u7528\u4eba\u9078\u800c\u7671\u7613\u3002 WTO\u65e9\u5df2\u5728\u63a8\u52d5\u5168\u7403\u8cbf\u6613\u81ea\u7531\u5316\u65b9\u9762\u6c92\u6709\u5efa\u6a39\uff0c\u5728\u8655\u7406\u8cbf\u6613\u7cfe\u7d1b\u65b9\u9762\u66e0\u65e5\u6301\u4e45\uff0c\u5c0d\u5927\u578b\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u6c92\u6709\u660e\u986f\u7684\u7d04\u675f\u529b\u3002\u6216\u8a31\u8981\u6539\u8b8a\u7684\u662fWTO\u672c\u8eab\uff0c\u4f7f\u4e4b\u80fd\u9069\u61c9\u7576\u524d\u5168\u7403\u7684\u653f\u7d93\u65b0\u74b0\u5883\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u4e0a\u4e16\u7d00\u4e8c\u6b21\u5927\u6230\u5f8c\u7684\u570b\u969b\u683c\u5c40\u548c\u601d\u7dad\u3002 \u7f8e\u570b\u773e\u8b70\u9662\u7684\u5831\u544a\u4e5f\u8a6c\u75c5\u4e2d\u570b\u5ee3\u6cdb\u5229\u7528\u7522\u696d\u653f\u7b56\u4f86\u4fc3\u9032\u67d0\u4e9b\u884c\u696d\u6216\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u767c\u5c55\uff0c\u5982\u88dc\u8cbc\u3001\u51fa\u5165\u53e3\u9650\u5236\u7b49\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7522\u696d\u653f\u7b56\u5728\u5168\u7403\u6bd4\u6bd4\u7686\u662f\uff0c\u5982\u5357\u97d3\u5728\u4e03\u5341\u5e74\u4ee3\u5c0d\u91cd\u5de5\u696d\u548c\u5316\u5b78\u5de5\u696d\u7684\u50ac\u8c37\u3002\u65e9\u671f\u7684\u7522\u696d\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u6bd4\u8f03\u591a\u662f\u767c\u5c55\u4e2d\u570b\u5bb6\u7528\u65bc\u4fdd\u8b77\u570b\u5167\u4f01\u696d\uff0c\u6297\u62d2\u4f86\u81ea\u9032\u53e3\u7522\u54c1\u7684\u7af6\u722d\uff0c\u4f46\u767c\u9054\u570b\u5bb6\u4e5f\u65e5\u6f38\u63a1\u7d0d\u66f4\u591a\u7522\u696d\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5982\u7f8e\u570b\u548c\u6b50\u76df\u591a\u5e74\u4f86\u722d\u596a\u6c11\u7528\u822a\u6a5f\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u5206\u5225\u6216\u660e\u6216\u6697\u5730\u88dc\u8cbc\u6ce2\u97f3\u548c\u7a7a\u4e2d\u5df4\u58eb\u3002\u6700\u8fd1\u5e7e\u5e74\uff0c\u5728\u9ad8\u79d1\u6280\u7522\u54c1\u6216\u82af\u7247\u5e02\u5834\u4e0a\uff0c\u60c5\u6cc1\u5c24\u70ba\u660e\u986f\uff0c\u5982\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u4e00\u5e74\u591a\u524d\u63a8\u51fa\u7684\u300a\u964d\u4f4e\u901a\u8139\u6cd5\u6848\u300b\uff08Inflation Reduction Act\uff09\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u9805\u5c31\u662f\u88dc\u8cbc\u96fb\u52d5\u8eca\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\uff0c\u4f46\u88dc\u8cbc\u53ea\u9069\u7528\u65bc\u5728\u5317\u7f8e\u6d32\u7d44\u88dd\u7684\u96fb\u52d5\u8eca\uff0c\u53ca\u8eca\u5167\u96fb\u6c60\u7684\u7926\u7269\u6750\u6599\u9808\u4f86\u81ea\u7f8e\u570b\u6216\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u6709\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u5354\u8b70\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u9019\u660e\u986f\u662f\u91dd\u5c0d\u4f86\u81ea\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u5340\u7279\u5225\u662f\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u96fb\u52d5\u8eca\u3002 \u64a4\u6700\u60e0\u570b\u640d\u4eba\u5bb3\u5df1 \u7121\u8ad6\u6b63\u78ba\u8207\u5426\uff0c\u4e0a\u8ff0\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u773e\u8b70\u54e1\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u5728\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u89c0\u9ede\u3002\u57fa\u65bc\u9019\u4e9b\u8a8d\u77e5\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u5728\u5831\u544a\u4e2d\u63d0\u51fa\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u653f\u7b56\u4f86\u61c9\u5c0d\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u5305\u62ec\u6536\u7dca\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u3001\u52a0\u5f37\u51fa\u53e3\u7ba1\u63a7\u4ee5\u6e1b\u5c11\u65b0\u79d1\u6280\u6d41\u5411\u4e2d\u570b\u3001\u52a0\u5f37\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u79d1\u7814\u5b89\u5168\u53ca\u9632\u6b62\u4eba\u624d\u6d41\u5931\u3001\u4ee5\u7a05\u52d9\u512a\u60e0\u9f13\u52f5\u6295\u8cc7\u65bc\u5275\u65b0\u884c\u696d\u3001\u52a0\u5f37\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u76df\u53cb\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u53ca\u5c0d\u6297\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u300c\u4e00\u5e36\u4e00\u8def\u300d\u7b49\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u90fd\u4e0d\u96e3\u60f3\u50cf\u3002\u6bd4\u8f03\u76f4\u63a5\u548c\u660e\u78ba\u7684\uff0c\u662f\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u5206\u968e\u6bb5\u5fb5\u6536\u65b0\u7684\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4e00\u4e9b\u76ee\u524d\u6c92\u6709\u88ab\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u8986\u84cb\u7684\u4e2d\u570b\u7522\u54c1\u3002\u64da\u805e\u6700\u521d\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u66f4\u70ba\u6fc0\u70c8\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u53d6\u6d88\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u300c\u6c38\u4e45\u6027\u6b63\u5e38\u8cbf\u6613\u95dc\u4fc2\u5f85\u9047\u300d\uff08Permanent Normal Trade Relations\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31PNTR\uff09\u3002 PNTR\u539f\u7a31\u300c\u6700\u60e0\u570b\u5f85\u9047\u300d\uff08Most Favoured Nation\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31MFN\uff09\u3002\u6709\u6b64\u5f85\u9047\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u53ef\u5728\u8cbf\u6613\u4e0a\u5f97\u5230\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u6700\u60e0\u570b\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u5f85\u9047\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u548c\u82f1\u570b\u90fd\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u7684MFN\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7d66\u4e88\u82f1\u570b\u7684\u4f4e\u95dc\u7a05\u4e5f\u540c\u6642\u9069\u7528\u65bc\u4e2d\u570b\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u52a0\u5165WTO\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u8981\u6309\u5e74\u7531\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u6703\u5be9\u8b70\u901a\u904e\uff0c\u624d\u5f97\u5230\u8a72\u5e74\u7684MFN\u5f85\u9047\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4ea6\u85c9\u6b64\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u4f5c\u5404\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u5201\u96e3\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u52a0\u5165WTO\u534a\u5e74\u524d\uff0c\u4e5f\u7372\u5f97\u7f8e\u570b\u7684PNTR\uff0c\u6bcb\u9808\u6309\u5e74\u6279\u5be9\u3002\u82e5\u679c\u5931\u53bb\u9019\u500b\u5f85\u9047\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u51fa\u53e3\u81f3\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u95dc\u7a05\u5c07\u6703\u753119%\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u52a0\u81f361%\u3002 \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5927\u5e45\u63d0\u9ad8\u95dc\u7a05\u662f\u640d\u4eba\u800c\u4e0d\u5229\u5df1\u7684\u3002\u6578\u5e74\u524d\u7279\u6717\u666e\u555f\u52d5\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u6642\uff0c\u66fe\u5927\u8a00\u4e0d\u615a\u5730\u8aaa\u300c\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u662f\u597d\u7684\uff0c\u4e26\u5bb9\u6613\u53d6\u52dd\u300d\uff08Trade wars are good, and easy to win\uff09\uff0c\u4f46\u96a8\u7740\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u53cd\u5236\u53ca\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u5347\u7d1a\uff0c\u96d9\u65b9\u90fd\u6709\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u640d\u5931\u3002\u4e0a\u8ff0\u7684\u7279\u8a2d\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u5728\u53bb\u5e74\u958b\u59cb\u904b\u4f5c\u5f8c\uff0c\u5927\u6982\u5df2\u6709\u50b3\u805e\u7f8e\u570b\u53ef\u80fd\u53d6\u6d88\u4e2d\u570b\u7684PNTR\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u4e00\u4e9b\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u7e3d\u7d71\u53c3\u9078\u4eba\u4ea6\u6709\u63d0\u53ca\u3002 \u7f8e\u4e2d\u8cbf\u6613\u5168\u570b\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff08US-China Business Council\uff09\u9042\u59d4\u8a17\u4e86\u725b\u6d25\u7d93\u6fdf\u7814\u7a76\u9662\uff08Oxford Economics\uff09\u7814\u7a76\u6709\u95dc\u653f\u7b56\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u3002\u64da\u5f8c\u8005\u7684\u4f30\u8a08\u3010\u8a3b2\u3011\uff0c\u5728\u5047\u8a2d\u4e2d\u570b\u4e0d\u5831\u5fa9\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684GDP\u6703\u5728\u96a8\u5f8c5\u5e74\u5167\u6e1b\u5c111.6\u842c\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u800c\u5de5\u4f5c\u5d17\u4f4d\u6703\u6e1b\u5c1174\u842c\u500b\u3002\u9ad8\u95dc\u7a05\u6e1b\u5c11\u4e86\u7f8e\u570b\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7684\u8cfc\u8cb7\u529b\u548c\u589e\u52a0\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u751f\u7522\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u964d\u4f4e\u7d93\u6fdf\u6d3b\u52d5\u3002\u82e5\u4e2d\u570b\u4f5c\u51fa\u53cd\u5236\uff0c\u5c07\u5f9e\u7f8e\u570b\u5165\u53e3\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u95dc\u7a05\u7531\u76ee\u524d\u768421%\u63d0\u9ad8\u81f3\u4e2d\u570b\u52a0\u5165WTO\u524d\u768438%\uff0c\u90a3\u7f8e\u570bGDP\u6703\u6e1b\u5c111.9\u842c\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u53ca\u640d\u593180\u842c\u500b\u5de5\u4f5c\u5d17\u4f4d\u3002 \u4eca\u5e74\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u5927\u9078\u5e74\uff0c\u4f30\u8a08\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0d\u6703\u63a1\u53d6\u5c0d\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e0d\u5229\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5728\u73fe\u6709\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u4e0a\u52a0\u78bc\u6311\u91c1\u4e2d\u570b\u3002\u4f46\u90e8\u5206\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5ba2\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u504f\u898b\u548c\u6575\u610f\u4ecd\u6703\u5b58\u5728\u751a\u81f3\u52a0\u6df1\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u95dc\u4fc2\u5728\u53ef\u9810\u898b\u7684\u5c07\u4f86\u9808\u8271\u82e6\u7d93\u71df\u3002 \u3010\u8a3b1\u3011https:\/\/selectcommitteeontheccp.house.gov\/sites\/evosubsites\/selectcommitteeontheccp.house.gov\/files\/evo-media-document\/reset-prevent-build-sccreport.pdf \u3010\u8a3b2\u3011https:\/\/www.uschina.org\/sites\/default\/files\/the_economic_impact_of_china_pntr_repeal.pdf","og:url":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/research\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches\/%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e5%9c%8b%e6%9c%83%e7%9c%8b%e4%b8%ad%e7%be%8e%e7%ab%b6%e7%88%ad\/","article:published_time":"2024-01-12T09:57:34+00:00","article:modified_time":"2024-01-12T09:57:34+00:00","twitter:card":"summary_large_image","twitter:title":"\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u6703\u770b\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7af6\u722d - HKU Business School","twitter:description":"\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5efa\u4ea4\u81f3\u4eca\u5e74\u5143\u65e6\u525b\u597d45\u5e74\uff0c\u4f46\u7576\u524d\u7684\u4e2d\u7f8e\u95dc\u4fc2\uff0c\u5927\u6982\u662f\u5efa\u4ea4\u4ee5\u4f86\u6700\u60e1\u52a3\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u3002\u5c31\u5728\u4e00\u500b\u6708\u524d\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u6703\u53c3\u8b70\u9662\u4e00\u500b\u7279\u8a2d\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff0c\u63a8\u51fa\u4e00\u4efd\u5982\u4f55\u8b93\u7f8e\u570b\u8d0f\u5f97\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7d93\u6fdf\u7af6\u722d\u7684\u5831\u544a\uff0c\u6982\u62ec\u4e86\u5171\u548c\u6c11\u4e3b\u5169\u9ee8\u8b70\u54e1\u5c0d\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7d93\u6fdf\u95dc\u4fc2\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u89c0\u9ede\uff0c\u4e26\u5217\u8209\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u7f8e\u570b\u61c9\u63a1\u53d6\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5efa\u8b70\u4f86\u5c0d\u4ed8\u4e2d\u570b\u3002 \u9019\u88cf\u6240\u8aaa\u7684\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u773e\u8b70\u9662\u4e2d\u7f8e\u6230\u7565\u7af6\u722d\u7279\u8a2d\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff08U.S. House Select Committee on Strategic Competition between the United States 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\u7f8e\u570b\u773e\u8b70\u9662\u7684\u5831\u544a\u4e5f\u8a6c\u75c5\u4e2d\u570b\u5ee3\u6cdb\u5229\u7528\u7522\u696d\u653f\u7b56\u4f86\u4fc3\u9032\u67d0\u4e9b\u884c\u696d\u6216\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u767c\u5c55\uff0c\u5982\u88dc\u8cbc\u3001\u51fa\u5165\u53e3\u9650\u5236\u7b49\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7522\u696d\u653f\u7b56\u5728\u5168\u7403\u6bd4\u6bd4\u7686\u662f\uff0c\u5982\u5357\u97d3\u5728\u4e03\u5341\u5e74\u4ee3\u5c0d\u91cd\u5de5\u696d\u548c\u5316\u5b78\u5de5\u696d\u7684\u50ac\u8c37\u3002\u65e9\u671f\u7684\u7522\u696d\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u6bd4\u8f03\u591a\u662f\u767c\u5c55\u4e2d\u570b\u5bb6\u7528\u65bc\u4fdd\u8b77\u570b\u5167\u4f01\u696d\uff0c\u6297\u62d2\u4f86\u81ea\u9032\u53e3\u7522\u54c1\u7684\u7af6\u722d\uff0c\u4f46\u767c\u9054\u570b\u5bb6\u4e5f\u65e5\u6f38\u63a1\u7d0d\u66f4\u591a\u7522\u696d\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5982\u7f8e\u570b\u548c\u6b50\u76df\u591a\u5e74\u4f86\u722d\u596a\u6c11\u7528\u822a\u6a5f\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u5206\u5225\u6216\u660e\u6216\u6697\u5730\u88dc\u8cbc\u6ce2\u97f3\u548c\u7a7a\u4e2d\u5df4\u58eb\u3002\u6700\u8fd1\u5e7e\u5e74\uff0c\u5728\u9ad8\u79d1\u6280\u7522\u54c1\u6216\u82af\u7247\u5e02\u5834\u4e0a\uff0c\u60c5\u6cc1\u5c24\u70ba\u660e\u986f\uff0c\u5982\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u4e00\u5e74\u591a\u524d\u63a8\u51fa\u7684\u300a\u964d\u4f4e\u901a\u8139\u6cd5\u6848\u300b\uff08Inflation Reduction Act\uff09\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u9805\u5c31\u662f\u88dc\u8cbc\u96fb\u52d5\u8eca\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\uff0c\u4f46\u88dc\u8cbc\u53ea\u9069\u7528\u65bc\u5728\u5317\u7f8e\u6d32\u7d44\u88dd\u7684\u96fb\u52d5\u8eca\uff0c\u53ca\u8eca\u5167\u96fb\u6c60\u7684\u7926\u7269\u6750\u6599\u9808\u4f86\u81ea\u7f8e\u570b\u6216\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u6709\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u5354\u8b70\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u9019\u660e\u986f\u662f\u91dd\u5c0d\u4f86\u81ea\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u5340\u7279\u5225\u662f\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u96fb\u52d5\u8eca\u3002 \u64a4\u6700\u60e0\u570b\u640d\u4eba\u5bb3\u5df1 \u7121\u8ad6\u6b63\u78ba\u8207\u5426\uff0c\u4e0a\u8ff0\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u773e\u8b70\u54e1\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u5728\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u89c0\u9ede\u3002\u57fa\u65bc\u9019\u4e9b\u8a8d\u77e5\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u5728\u5831\u544a\u4e2d\u63d0\u51fa\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u653f\u7b56\u4f86\u61c9\u5c0d\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u5305\u62ec\u6536\u7dca\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u3001\u52a0\u5f37\u51fa\u53e3\u7ba1\u63a7\u4ee5\u6e1b\u5c11\u65b0\u79d1\u6280\u6d41\u5411\u4e2d\u570b\u3001\u52a0\u5f37\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u79d1\u7814\u5b89\u5168\u53ca\u9632\u6b62\u4eba\u624d\u6d41\u5931\u3001\u4ee5\u7a05\u52d9\u512a\u60e0\u9f13\u52f5\u6295\u8cc7\u65bc\u5275\u65b0\u884c\u696d\u3001\u52a0\u5f37\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u76df\u53cb\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u53ca\u5c0d\u6297\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u300c\u4e00\u5e36\u4e00\u8def\u300d\u7b49\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u90fd\u4e0d\u96e3\u60f3\u50cf\u3002\u6bd4\u8f03\u76f4\u63a5\u548c\u660e\u78ba\u7684\uff0c\u662f\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u5206\u968e\u6bb5\u5fb5\u6536\u65b0\u7684\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4e00\u4e9b\u76ee\u524d\u6c92\u6709\u88ab\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u8986\u84cb\u7684\u4e2d\u570b\u7522\u54c1\u3002\u64da\u805e\u6700\u521d\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u66f4\u70ba\u6fc0\u70c8\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u53d6\u6d88\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u300c\u6c38\u4e45\u6027\u6b63\u5e38\u8cbf\u6613\u95dc\u4fc2\u5f85\u9047\u300d\uff08Permanent Normal Trade Relations\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31PNTR\uff09\u3002 PNTR\u539f\u7a31\u300c\u6700\u60e0\u570b\u5f85\u9047\u300d\uff08Most Favoured Nation\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31MFN\uff09\u3002\u6709\u6b64\u5f85\u9047\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u53ef\u5728\u8cbf\u6613\u4e0a\u5f97\u5230\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u6700\u60e0\u570b\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u5f85\u9047\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u548c\u82f1\u570b\u90fd\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u7684MFN\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7d66\u4e88\u82f1\u570b\u7684\u4f4e\u95dc\u7a05\u4e5f\u540c\u6642\u9069\u7528\u65bc\u4e2d\u570b\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u52a0\u5165WTO\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u8981\u6309\u5e74\u7531\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u6703\u5be9\u8b70\u901a\u904e\uff0c\u624d\u5f97\u5230\u8a72\u5e74\u7684MFN\u5f85\u9047\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4ea6\u85c9\u6b64\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u4f5c\u5404\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u5201\u96e3\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u52a0\u5165WTO\u534a\u5e74\u524d\uff0c\u4e5f\u7372\u5f97\u7f8e\u570b\u7684PNTR\uff0c\u6bcb\u9808\u6309\u5e74\u6279\u5be9\u3002\u82e5\u679c\u5931\u53bb\u9019\u500b\u5f85\u9047\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u51fa\u53e3\u81f3\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u95dc\u7a05\u5c07\u6703\u753119%\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u52a0\u81f361%\u3002 \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5927\u5e45\u63d0\u9ad8\u95dc\u7a05\u662f\u640d\u4eba\u800c\u4e0d\u5229\u5df1\u7684\u3002\u6578\u5e74\u524d\u7279\u6717\u666e\u555f\u52d5\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u6642\uff0c\u66fe\u5927\u8a00\u4e0d\u615a\u5730\u8aaa\u300c\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u662f\u597d\u7684\uff0c\u4e26\u5bb9\u6613\u53d6\u52dd\u300d\uff08Trade wars are good, and easy to win\uff09\uff0c\u4f46\u96a8\u7740\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u53cd\u5236\u53ca\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u5347\u7d1a\uff0c\u96d9\u65b9\u90fd\u6709\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u640d\u5931\u3002\u4e0a\u8ff0\u7684\u7279\u8a2d\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u5728\u53bb\u5e74\u958b\u59cb\u904b\u4f5c\u5f8c\uff0c\u5927\u6982\u5df2\u6709\u50b3\u805e\u7f8e\u570b\u53ef\u80fd\u53d6\u6d88\u4e2d\u570b\u7684PNTR\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u4e00\u4e9b\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u7e3d\u7d71\u53c3\u9078\u4eba\u4ea6\u6709\u63d0\u53ca\u3002 \u7f8e\u4e2d\u8cbf\u6613\u5168\u570b\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff08US-China Business Council\uff09\u9042\u59d4\u8a17\u4e86\u725b\u6d25\u7d93\u6fdf\u7814\u7a76\u9662\uff08Oxford Economics\uff09\u7814\u7a76\u6709\u95dc\u653f\u7b56\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u3002\u64da\u5f8c\u8005\u7684\u4f30\u8a08\u3010\u8a3b2\u3011\uff0c\u5728\u5047\u8a2d\u4e2d\u570b\u4e0d\u5831\u5fa9\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684GDP\u6703\u5728\u96a8\u5f8c5\u5e74\u5167\u6e1b\u5c111.6\u842c\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u800c\u5de5\u4f5c\u5d17\u4f4d\u6703\u6e1b\u5c1174\u842c\u500b\u3002\u9ad8\u95dc\u7a05\u6e1b\u5c11\u4e86\u7f8e\u570b\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7684\u8cfc\u8cb7\u529b\u548c\u589e\u52a0\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u751f\u7522\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u964d\u4f4e\u7d93\u6fdf\u6d3b\u52d5\u3002\u82e5\u4e2d\u570b\u4f5c\u51fa\u53cd\u5236\uff0c\u5c07\u5f9e\u7f8e\u570b\u5165\u53e3\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u95dc\u7a05\u7531\u76ee\u524d\u768421%\u63d0\u9ad8\u81f3\u4e2d\u570b\u52a0\u5165WTO\u524d\u768438%\uff0c\u90a3\u7f8e\u570bGDP\u6703\u6e1b\u5c111.9\u842c\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u53ca\u640d\u593180\u842c\u500b\u5de5\u4f5c\u5d17\u4f4d\u3002 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