{"id":170787,"date":"2022-07-28T09:21:55","date_gmt":"2022-07-28T01:21:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/?post_type=thought-leadership&p=170787"},"modified":"2022-07-28T18:26:22","modified_gmt":"2022-07-28T10:26:22","slug":"%e9%81%a9%e5%ba%a6%e6%8a%8a%e9%97%9c-%e7%a9%a9%e6%8e%a7%e7%96%ab%e6%82%a3","status":"publish","type":"thought-leadership","link":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/research\/thought-leadership\/hkej-column\/%e9%81%a9%e5%ba%a6%e6%8a%8a%e9%97%9c-%e7%a9%a9%e6%8e%a7%e7%96%ab%e6%82%a3\/","title":{"rendered":"\u9069\u5ea6\u628a\u95dc \u7a69\u63a7\u75ab\u60a3"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\u5fa9\u7526\u6d41\u65bc\u7247\u9762<\/h5>\n

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2021\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u570b\u969b\u8ca8\u5e63\u57fa\u91d1\u7d44\u7e54\u4ee3\u8868\u5718\u5728\u8a2a\u6e2f\u5f8c\u516c\u5e03\u8a55\u4f30\uff0c\u8a8d\u70ba\u7279\u5340\u7d93\u6fdf\u96d6\u7136\u5fa9\u7526\u5f37\u52c1\uff0c\u4f46\u300c\u6e05\u96f6\u300d\u653f\u7b56\u4ee4\u4e0d\u540c\u754c\u5225\u7684\u5fa9\u7526\u6b65\u4f10\u4e0d\u4e00\uff0c\u4e26\u9810\u6e2c2021\u548c2022\u5e74\u9999\u6e2f\u5be6\u8cea\u672c\u5730\u751f\u7522\u7e3d\u503c\uff08GDP\uff09\u5206\u5225\u589e\u95776.4%\u548c3%\uff1b\u53ef\u898b\u793e\u4ea4\u8ddd\u96e2\u63aa\u65bd\u4e26\u975e\u96f6\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\u66f4\u5c07\u9999\u6e2f\u4eca\u5e74GDP\u589e\u9577\u9810\u6e2c\u4e0b\u8abf\u81f32.5%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6536\u653e\u56e0\u6642\u5236\u5b9c<\/h5>\n

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\u7576\u6709\u6548\u75ab\u82d7\u9762\u4e16\u5f8c\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e09\u7a2e\u9632\u75ab\u7b56\u7565\u5c31\u662f\u63d0\u9ad8\u4eba\u53e3\u63a5\u7a2e\u75ab\u82d7\u6bd4\u7387\uff0c\u7279\u5225\u662f\u6700\u9ad8\u98a8\u96aa\u7684\u8001\u5f31\u793e\u7fa4\uff0c\u7e7c\u800c\u5229\u7528\u9632\u75ab\u63aa\u65bd\u7de9\u548c\u6700\u5f8c\u4e00\u6ce2\u75ab\u60c5\uff0c\u9081\u5411\u6210\u70ba\u300c\u53d7\u63a7\u7684\u98a8\u571f\u75c5\u300d\u6216\u300c\u8207\u75c5\u6bd2\u5171\u5b58\u300d\u3002\u6578\u64da\u53cd\u6620\u5728\u75ab\u82d7\u9762\u4e16\u5f8c\uff0c\u63a8\u884c\u300c\u6e05\u96f6\u300d\u70ba\u77ed\u671f\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u9808\u7740\u91cd\u63d0\u9ad8\u75ab\u82d7\u63a5\u7a2e\u7387\uff0c\u4ee5\u63d0\u9ad8\u6574\u9ad4\u793e\u6703\u514d\u75ab\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

2022\u5e744\u6708\uff0c\u5e02\u9762\u6709\u5404\u7a2e\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u82d7\u4f9b\u61c9\uff0c\u671f\u9593\u63a1\u53d6\u4e0a\u8ff0\u5169\u985e\u9632\u75ab\u7b56\u7565\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u5176\u611f\u67d3\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u7684\u589e\u5e45\u548c\u5dee\u8ddd\u5927\u5e45\u6536\u7a84\u3002\u300c\u6e05\u96f6\u300d\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u5148\u524d\u512a\u52e2\u5df2\u5931\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u7684\u7d2f\u7a4d\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u5c24\u5176\u9ad8\uff0c\u8207\u63a1\u53d6\u81ea\u7136\u514d\u75ab\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u5927\u81f4\u76f8\u82e5\u3010\u88681\u3011\u3002<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff1aJohns Hopkins University CSSE COVID-19 Data \uff08https:\/\/ourworldindata.org\/covid-deaths<\/a>\uff09<\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u6587\u5927\u5b78\u547c\u5438\u7cfb\u7d71\u79d1\u8b1b\u5ea7\u6559\u6388\u8a31\u6a39\u660c\u65e9\u524d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u6839\u64da\u6578\u64da\u53ef\u4ee5\u80af\u5b9a\u73fe\u5728\u4e3b\u6d41\u75c5\u6bd2\u682aOmicron\u7684\u50b3\u64ad\u529b\u9ad8\uff0c\u4f46\u6bba\u50b7\u529b\u548c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u90fd\u4e0d\u53ca\u8b8a\u7a2e\u75c5\u6bd2Delta\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u986f\u793a\uff0cOmicron\u7684\u8f15\u75c7\u4f54\u6bd4\u70ba99.78%\u3001\u91cd\u75c7\u4f54\u6bd40.05%\u3002\u9999\u6e2f\u81ea\u7b2c\u4e94\u6ce2\u75ab\u60c5\u8d77\uff0c\u5171\u9304\u5f979248\u5b97\u6b7b\u4ea1\u500b\u6848\uff0c\u5f9e\u4e0d\u540c\u5e74\u9f61\u7d44\u5225\u548c\u75ab\u82d7\u63a5\u7a2e\u5291\u91cf\u7684\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u53ef\u898b\uff0c\u75ab\u82d7\u80fd\u6709\u6548\u964d\u4f4e\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u3010\u88682\u3011\u3002<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

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\u901a\u95dc\u81f3\u95dc\u91cd\u8981<\/h5>\n

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\u7f8e\u570b\u85e5\u5ee0\u83ab\u5fb7\u7d0d\uff08Moderna\uff09\u8a08\u5283\u5728\u9999\u6e2f\u63a8\u51fa\u91dd\u5c0dOmicron\u7684\u75ab\u82d7\uff0c\u4e26\u7a31\u6700\u5feb\u4eca\u5e74\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u53ef\u63d0\u4f9b\u81f3\u5c11800\u842c\u5291\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u6709\u65b0\u4e00\u4ee3\u75ab\u82d7\u9762\u4e16\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u82f1\u570b\u502b\u6566\u5927\u5b78\u5b78\u9662\uff08UCL\uff09\u81e8\u7240\u904b\u7c4c\u5b78\u90e8\u9580\u8ca0\u8cac\u4eba\u5e15\u683c\u723e\uff08Christina Pagel\uff09\u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u4e0d\u662f\u300c\u8d85\u7d1a\u6d41\u611f\u300d\uff0c\u611f\u67d3\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u75ab\u82d7\u3001\u6cbb\u7642\u548c\u81ea\u8eab\u514d\u75ab\u529b\u4f5c\u7528\u4e0b\u9010\u6f38\u964d\u4f4e\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u5c0d\u5fc3\u3001\u80ba\u548c\u5fc3\u7406\u5065\u5eb7\u7684\u9577\u671f\u5f71\u97ff\u8f03\u5176\u4ed6\u547c\u5438\u7cfb\u7d71\u75be\u75c5\u4f86\u5f97\u56b4\u91cd\uff0c\u9577\u671f\u75c7\u72c0\u767c\u75c5\u7387\u4e5f\u8f03\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u52d9\u9808\u8a08\u51fa\u842c\u5168<\/h5>\n

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\u6b78\u6839\u7a76\u67e2\uff0c\u56e0\u61c9\u4e0a\u8ff0\u75ab\u60c5\u767c\u5c55\u548c\u74b0\u7403\u8da8\u52e2\uff0c\u7279\u5340\u653f\u5e9c\u7576\u52d9\u4e4b\u6025\uff0c\u5728\u91dd\u5c0d\u5c62\u73fe\u8b8a\u7a2e\u75c5\u6bd2\u800c\u5236\u5b9a\u53ef\u6301\u7e8c\u6297\u75ab\u653f\u7b56\u4e4b\u9918\uff0c\u61c9\u6709\u5e8f\u6062\u5fa9\u8207\u5167\u5730\u548c\u570b\u969b\u901a\u95dc\uff0c\u5f9e\u901f\u63d0\u632f\u672c\u6e2f\u958b\u653e\u578b\u7d93\u6fdf\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u8b1d\u570b\u751f\u535a\u58eb<\/span><\/strong>
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\n\u6e2f\u5927\u7d93\u7ba1\u5b78\u9662\u6559\u5b78\u52a9\u7406<\/strong><\/p>\n

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