{"id":153521,"date":"2021-10-21T09:00:24","date_gmt":"2021-10-21T01:00:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/?p=153521&post_type=thought-leadership&preview_id=153521"},"modified":"2021-10-22T11:01:27","modified_gmt":"2021-10-22T03:01:27","slug":"the-copernican-revolution-of-economics-2","status":"publish","type":"thought-leadership","link":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/research\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches\/the-copernican-revolution-of-economics-2\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u7684\u54e5\u767d\u5c3c\u5f0f\u9769\u547d"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\u5f35\u51a0\u674e\u6234\u7684\u554f\u984c<\/h5>\n

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\u81ea\u7136\u5be6\u9a57\u6cd5<\/h5>\n

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\u8861\u91cf\u57f9\u8a13\u8a08\u5283\u6210\u6548\u7684\u6b63\u78ba\u65b9\u6cd5\u61c9\u4ee5\u79d1\u5b78\u70ba\u672c\uff0c\u4ea6\u5373\u9032\u884c\u5be6\u9a57\u3002\u8981\u8fa8\u8b58\u5176\u4e2d\u529f\u6548\uff0c\u53ef\u96a8\u6a5f\u5206\u914d\u57f9\u8a13\u8a08\u5283\u7684\u53c3\u52a0\u8005\uff0c\u7136\u5f8c\u7531\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u54e1\u5c0d\u6bd4\u53c3\u52a0\u8005\u8207\u975e\u53c3\u52a0\u8005\u7684\u6536\u5165\u3002\u963f\u7533\u83f2\u723e\u7279\u6559\u6388\u7684\u9580\u751f\u7f85\u4f2f\u7279\uff0e\u62c9\u9686\u5fb7\u6559\u6388 \uff08Robert Lalonde\uff09\u5c31\u66fe\u63a1\u7528\u6b64\u6cd5\u9032\u884c\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u7d50\u679c\u767c\u73fe\u82e5\u6c92\u6709\u8003\u616e\u5de5\u4eba\u4e26\u975e\u96a8\u6a5f\u53c3\u52a0\u57f9\u8a13\uff0c\u8a08\u5283\u7684\u6210\u6548\u8a55\u4f30\u96e3\u514d\u6703\u5927\u6253\u6298\u6263\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5de8\u5320\u7684\u9769\u547d\u6027\u5275\u898b<\/h5>\n

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\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5b89\u683c\u91cc\u65af\u7279\u6559\u6388\u548c\u57c3\u6587\u65af\uff08William Evans\uff09\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u5bb6\u5ead\u4e2d\u82e5\u982d\u5169\u80ce\u5747\u5c6c\u540c\u4e00\u6027\u5225\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u751f\u7b2c\u4e09\u80ce\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u5c31\u8f03\u9ad8\u3002\u982d\u5169\u80ce\u7684\u6027\u5225\u7d44\u5408\u65bc\u662f\u6210\u70ba\u81ea\u7136\u5be6\u9a57\uff0c\u8b93\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u54e1\u5f9e\u4e2d\u627e\u51fa\u591a\u4e00\u80ce\uff08\u7b2c\u4e09\u80ce\uff09\u5c0d\u6bcd\u89aa\u6536\u5165\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u3002\u5b89\u683c\u91cc\u65af\u7279\u6559\u6388\u9084\u7814\u767c\u51fa\u5176\u4ed6\u5de7\u5999\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u70ba\u6578\u773e\u591a\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u76e1\u9304\u3002\u4ed6\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u6210\u679c\u8c41\u7136\u78ba\u65af\uff0c\u5de5\u5177\u66f4\u56e0\u6613\u65bc\u4e0a\u624b\u800c\u6210\u70ba\u5be6\u8b49\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u6977\u6a21\u3002\u7b46\u8005\u591a\u5e74\u524d\u5728\u9ebb\u7701\u7406\u5de5\u5b78\u9662\u4e0a\u904e\u4ed6\u7684\u8ab2\uff0c\u4e26\u66fe\u4efb\u5176\u6559\u5b78\u52a9\u7406\uff0c\u7372\u76ca\u532a\u6dfa\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u6839\u64da\u7b46\u8005\u8207\u9999\u6e2f\u5927\u5b78\u7684\u540c\u4e8b\u7f85\u66c4\u535a\u58eb\u548c\u5f35\u66c9\u7152\u535a\u58eb\u7684\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u6a5f\u5668\u5b78\u7fd2\u53ef\u4ee4\u5167\u751f\u6027\u554f\u984c\u60e1\u5316\uff0c\u5c0e\u81f4\u5c0d\u65bc\u5404\u9805\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u8a55\u4f30\u932f\u4e0a\u52a0\u932f\u3002\u5167\u751f\u6027\u554f\u984c\u9084\u6703\u5728\u6a5f\u5668\u5b78\u7fd2\u4e2d\u7522\u751f\u81ea\u8b49\u504f\u898b\uff08self-fulfilling bias\uff09\uff0c\u5c0e\u81f4\u4e0d\u540c\u4eba\u5c0d\u540c\u4e00\u4e8b\u5be6\uff0c\u5404\u6709\u4e0d\u540c\u4f46\u4e00\u81f4\u7684\u7248\u672c\u3002\u6211\u5011\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u7d50\u679c\u4e5f\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u4e0a\u8ff0\u4e09\u4f4d\u5f97\u734e\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6\u6240\u7814\u7a76\u51fa\u7684\u5be6\u8b49\u7814\u7a76\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u53ef\u7d0d\u5165\u6a5f\u5668\u5b78\u7fd2\u7684\u6f14\u7b97\u6cd5\u4e2d\uff0c\u5f9e\u800c\u6539\u5584\u6c7a\u7b56\u3002\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u70ba\u89e3\u6c7a\u5167\u751f\u6027\u554f\u984c\u63d0\u4f9b\u6709\u6548\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u582a\u7a31\u50f9\u503c\u6c38\u6052\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u6709\u52a9\u65bc\u5927\u5bb6\u5728\u7d1b\u7d1c\u6642\u5c40\u4e2d\u767c\u6398\u771f\u76f8\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

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