{"id":138047,"date":"2021-03-04T09:01:11","date_gmt":"2021-03-04T01:01:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.fbe.hku.hk\/?p=138047&#038;post_type=thought-leadership&#038;preview_id=138047"},"modified":"2021-03-15T14:52:42","modified_gmt":"2021-03-15T06:52:42","slug":"%e6%8b%9c%e7%99%bb%e6%94%bf%e5%ba%9c%e7%9a%84%e5%a4%96%e8%b2%bf%e6%94%bf%e7%ad%96","status":"publish","type":"thought-leadership","link":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/research\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches\/%e6%8b%9c%e7%99%bb%e6%94%bf%e5%ba%9c%e7%9a%84%e5%a4%96%e8%b2%bf%e6%94%bf%e7%ad%96\/","title":{"rendered":"\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u5916\u8cbf\u653f\u7b56"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u62dc\u767b\u4e0a\u53f0\u5f8c\uff0c\u767d\u5bae\u6452\u9664\u4e86\u7279\u6717\u666e\u6642\u671f\u8a87\u8a87\u5176\u8ac7\u3001\u4e0d\u5e79\u5be6\u4e8b\u7684\u4f5c\u98a8\uff0c\u5404\u7a2e\u653f\u7b56\u91cd\u4e0a\u8ecc\u9053\uff0c\u7279\u5225\u662f\u61c9\u4ed8\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u548c\u8655\u7406\u80ba\u708e\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5f8c\u907a\u75c7\uff0c\u90fd\u986f\u5f97\u7a4d\u6975\u9032\u53d6\u3002\u4e5f\u8a31\u7531\u65bc\u58d3\u5236\u75ab\u60c5\u548c\u63d0\u632f\u7d93\u6fdf\u662f\u7576\u52d9\u4e4b\u6025\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u653f\u7b56\u90fd\u8981\u8b93\u8def\u3002\u4ee5\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u70ba\u4f8b\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u5728\u4e0a\u4efb\u7d04\u5169\u500b\u661f\u671f\u5f8c\u624d\u5728\u570b\u52d9\u9662\u4f5c\u7c21\u55ae\u7684\u95e1\u91cb\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u4e2d\u6709\u95dc\u5916\u8cbf\u65b9\u9762\u7740\u58a8\u4e0d\u591a\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4ecd\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f9e\u62dc\u767b\u5728\u7af6\u9078\u6642\u5c0d\u6709\u95dc\u554f\u984c\u7684\u8ad6\u8ff0\u3001\u548c\u4ed6\u4e0a\u53f0\u5f8c\u57f7\u884c\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4e86\u89e3\u4ed6\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u600e\u6a23\u8655\u7406\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5916\u8cbf\u554f\u984c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u53bb\u5e7411\u6708\u7f8e\u570b\u5927\u9078\u6295\u7968\u7d50\u675f\u5f8c\uff0c\u8457\u540d\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u667a\u5eab\u5361\u5167\u57fa\u570b\u969b\u548c\u5e73\u57fa\u91d1\u6703\uff08Carnegie 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Political Action Conference\uff09\u4e0a\u4f5c\u58d3\u8ef8\u6f14\u8b1b\uff0c\u662f\u642c\u96e2\u767d\u5bae\u5f8c\u7684\u9996\u6b21\u516c\u958b\u6f14\u8b1b\uff0c\u6697\u793a\u6703\u57282024\u5e74\u6372\u571f\u91cd\u4f86\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11\u4eba\u3001\u5305\u62ec\u524d\u570b\u52d9\u537f\u84ec\u4f69\u5967\u3001\u90fd\u5c0d\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u63d0\u540d\u7684\u7e3d\u7d71\u53c3\u9078\u4eba\u5e2d\u4f4d\u864e\u8996\u7708\u7708\uff0c\u4f46\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u70ba\u6b62\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4ecd\u662f\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u4e2d\u6700\u5927\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u529b\u91cf\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u4ed6\u5728\u96a8\u5f8c\u7684\u7a05\u52d9\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u8a34\u8a1f\u4e2d\u88ab\u62d6\u57ae\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5169\u570b\u70ba\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5169\u500b\u8cbf\u6613\u570b\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5916\u8cbf\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5730\u6d89\u53ca\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8cbf\u6613\u3002\u62dc\u767b\u5728\u5165\u4e3b\u767d\u5bae\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u8abf\u6574\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u4e2d\u7684\u5c0d\u83ef\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4f46\u537b\u63a1\u53d6\u4e86\u597d\u5e7e\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u884c\u52d5\u3002\u4e00\u662f\u8cac\u6210\u6709\u95dc\u5b98\u54e1\u5728100\u5929\u5167\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u6240\u6709\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u4f5c\u5168\u9762\u6aa2\u8a0e\uff0c\u6700\u7d42\u76ee\u6a19\u662f\u6e1b\u5c11\u7f8e\u570b 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Sullivan\uff09\uff0c\u65e9\u5728\u5967\u5df4\u99ac\u6642\u671f\u5df2\u7d93\u662f\u6642\u4efb\u526f\u7e3d\u7d71\u62dc\u767b\u7684\u9867\u554f\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u540d\u4f5c\u8005\u5247\u662f\u73fe\u4efb\u570b\u52d9\u9662\u653f\u7b56\u7814\u7a76\u90e8\u9580\u7684\u4e00\u540d\u9ad8\u5c64\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u9019\u4efd\u5831\u544a\u53ef\u8996\u4f5c\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u85cd\u5716\uff0c\u800c\u70ba\u4e2d\u7522\u968e\u7d1a\u670d\u52d9\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u62dc\u767b\u5916\u8cbf\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u57fa\u8abf\u3002\u4e8b\u5be6\u4e0a\uff0c\u65e9\u5728\u7af6\u9078\u6642\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u5df2\u63d0\u51fa\u4ed6\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u662f\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u7522\u968e\u7d1a\u5236\u5b9a\uff0c\u4e26\u63da\u8a00\u4e0d\u6703\u7c3d\u8a02\u4efb\u4f55\u65e2\u6c92\u6709\u5275\u9020\u5c31\u696d\u3001\u4e5f\u4e0d\u4fc3\u9032\u57fa\u790e\u5efa\u8a2d\u6216\u63d0\u9ad8\u52de\u5de5\u6b0a\u76ca\u548c\u63a8\u52d5\u74b0\u4fdd\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u5354\u8b70\u3002 \u7f8e\u570b\u65b0\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u4ee3\u8868\u6234\u7426\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u88ab\u570b\u6703\u78ba\u8a8d\u5c31\u4efb\u7684\u8aee\u8a62\u6703\u4e0a\uff0c\u4ea6\u4f5c\u985e\u4f3c\u7684\u8ad6\u8ff0\uff0c\u6307\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5916\u8cbf\u653f\u7b56\u61c9\u4ee5\u5de5\u4eba\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u70ba\u4e2d\u5fc3\u3002\u7576\u88ab\u554f\u53ca\u6703\u5426\u6e1b\u5c11\u6216\u53d6\u6d88\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7559\u4e0b\u4f86\u5c0d\u5176\u4ed6\u570b\u5bb6\u5fb5\u6536\u7684\u95dc\u7a05\u6642\uff0c\u5979\u6c92\u6709\u6b63\u9762\u56de\u61c9\uff0c\u4f46\u627f\u8a8d\u95dc\u7a05\u662f\u5e6b\u52a9\u8cbf\u6613\u8ac7\u5224\u7684\u4e00\u4ef6\u5de5\u5177\u3002 \u5e36\u6709\u6fc3\u539a\u4fdd\u8b77\u4e3b\u7fa9\u8272\u5f69 \u7e3d\u7684\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u653f\u7b56\u5e36\u6709\u6fc3\u539a\u7684\u4fdd\u8b77\u4e3b\u7fa9\u8272\u5f69\u3002\u9019\u4e26\u4e0d\u5947\u602a\uff0c\u50b3\u7d71\u4e0a\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u56e0\u652f\u6301\u8005\u7684\u6210\u4efd\u6bd4\u8f03\u591a\u662f\u52de\u52d5\u968e\u5c64\u548c\u5de5\u6703\uff0c\u4e26\u4e0d\u64c1\u62b1\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\uff0c\u5c0d\u63d0\u9ad8\u81ea\u7531\u5316\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u5354\u8b70\u62b1\u61f7\u7591\u614b\u5ea6\uff0c\u8a8d\u70ba\u53ea\u6709\u5229\u65bc\u8cc7\u65b9\u3002\u62dc\u767b\u672c\u4eba\u7b97\u662f\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u5167\u6bd4\u8f03\u50be\u5411\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u7684\uff0c\u4ed6\u7576\u53c3\u8b70\u54e1\u7684\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u66fe\u652f\u6301\u7f8e\u570b\u548c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u3001\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u7684\u5317\u7f8e\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u5354\u8b70\uff0c\u4e5f\u8d0a\u6210\u4e2d\u570b\u52a0\u5165WTO\u3002\u4f46\u6642\u79fb\u4e16\u6613\uff0c\u5728\u76ee\u524d\u653f\u7d93\u74b0\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u5728\u4e0a\u4efb\u5f8c\u4e0d\u5230\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u4fbf\u4e0b\u4ee4\u806f\u90a6\u653f\u5e9c\u63a1\u8cfc\u7269\u8cc7\u6642\u512a\u5148\u8cfc\u8cb7\u7f8e\u570b\u7522\u54c1\uff0c\u4e00\u6642\u4ee4\u4eba\u5074\u76ee\u3002 \u4ee5\u8cbf\u6613\u653f\u7b56\u4f86\u722d\u53d6\u9078\u6c11\uff0c\u4e26\u975e\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u7684\u5c08\u5229\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e5f\u4ee5\u6b64\u7b56\u7565\u57282016\u5e74\u7576\u9078\u3002\u4f46\u5169\u8005\u80cc\u5f8c\u7684\u7406\u5ff5\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u5426\u5b9a\u8cbf\u6613\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u597d\u8655\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u5c0d\u4e00\u500b\u767c\u9054\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5728\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u4e0b\u6536\u5165\u5206\u914d\u4e0d\u5229\u65bc\u52de\u52d5\u968e\u5c64\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u63a1\u53d6\u653f\u7b56\u4fdd\u8b77\u52de\u5de5\u5229\u76ca\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u5247\u662f\u57fa\u65bc\u8cbf\u6613\u662f\u96f6\u548c\u904a\u6232\u7684\u932f\u8aa4\u89c0\u9ede\uff0c\u4ee5\u300c\u7f8e\u570b\u7b2c\u4e00\u300d\u70ba\u865f\u53ec\uff0c\u6311\u64a5\u9078\u6c11\u4ec7\u8996\u5916\u570b\u4f86\u722d\u53d6\u652f\u6301\u3002 \u9019\u500b\u5206\u5225\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5f71\u97ff\u7740\u6c11\u4e3b\u5171\u548c\u5169\u9ee8\u5728\u8cbf\u6613\u653f\u7b56\u4e0a\u7684\u5206\u6b67\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u96d6\u7136\u5df2\u7d93\u4e0b\u53f0\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u5167\u4ecd\u6709\u76f8\u7576\u5927\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u76f8\u7576\u591a\u7684\u9078\u6c11\u652f\u6301\u3002\u4ed6\u4e0a\u5468\u672b\u5728\u4fdd\u5b88\u653f\u6cbb\u884c\u52d5\u6703\u8b70\uff08Conservative Political Action Conference\uff09\u4e0a\u4f5c\u58d3\u8ef8\u6f14\u8b1b\uff0c\u662f\u642c\u96e2\u767d\u5bae\u5f8c\u7684\u9996\u6b21\u516c\u958b\u6f14\u8b1b\uff0c\u6697\u793a\u6703\u57282024\u5e74\u6372\u571f\u91cd\u4f86\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11\u4eba\u3001\u5305\u62ec\u524d\u570b\u52d9\u537f\u84ec\u4f69\u5967\u3001\u90fd\u5c0d\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u63d0\u540d\u7684\u7e3d\u7d71\u53c3\u9078\u4eba\u5e2d\u4f4d\u864e\u8996\u7708\u7708\uff0c\u4f46\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u70ba\u6b62\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4ecd\u662f\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u4e2d\u6700\u5927\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u529b\u91cf\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u4ed6\u5728\u96a8\u5f8c\u7684\u7a05\u52d9\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u8a34\u8a1f\u4e2d\u88ab\u62d6\u57ae\u3002 \u4e2d\u7f8e\u5169\u570b\u70ba\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5169\u500b\u8cbf\u6613\u570b\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5916\u8cbf\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5730\u6d89\u53ca\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8cbf\u6613\u3002\u62dc\u767b\u5728\u5165\u4e3b\u767d\u5bae\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u8abf\u6574\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u4e2d\u7684\u5c0d\u83ef\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4f46\u537b\u63a1\u53d6\u4e86\u597d\u5e7e\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u884c\u52d5\u3002\u4e00\u662f\u8cac\u6210\u6709\u95dc\u5b98\u54e1\u5728100\u5929\u5167\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u6240\u6709\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u4f5c\u5168\u9762\u6aa2\u8a0e\uff0c\u6700\u7d42\u76ee\u6a19\u662f\u6e1b\u5c11\u7f8e\u570b \u5c0d\u5916\u570b\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u7684\u4f9d\u8cf4\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u7f8e\u570b\u5b98\u54e1\u8aaa\u6b64\u8209\u4e26\u975e\u91dd\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\uff0c\u4f46\u4e2d\u570b\u662f\u5168\u7403100\u591a\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u6700\u4e3b\u8981\u8cbf\u6613\u5925\u4f34\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u82e5\u6709\u4ec0\u9ebc\u653f\u7b56\u6539\u8b8a\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u76f4\u63a5\u5f71\u97ff\u4e2d\u570b\u3002 \u62dc\u767b\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u8209\u63aa\uff0c\u662f\u8981\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u76df\u53cb\u7d44\u6210\u7d71\u4e00\u6230\u7dda\u91dd\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\uff0c\u4f46\u4e26\u4e0d\u5f97\u901e\u3002\u7d04\u5169\u5468\u524d\u7684\u6155\u5c3c\u9ed1\u5b89\u5168\u6703\u8b70\uff08Munich Security Conference\uff09\u4e2d\uff0c\u5fb7\u570b\u7e3d\u7406\u9ed8\u514b\u723e\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u614b\u5ea6\uff0c\u660e\u986f\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e0d\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u5c07\u4e2d\u570b\u770b\u4f5c\u662f\u5a01\u8105\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u4f46\u9ed8\u514b\u723e\u537b\u8a8d\u70ba\u4ee5\u4e2d\u570b\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u80fd\u91cf\u548c\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u662f\u89e3\u6c7a\u5168\u7403\u554f\u984c\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u529b\u91cf\u3002\u5728\u9019\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u6cd5\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u99ac\u514b\u9f8d\u5728\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u8b70\u6703\uff08Atlantic Council\uff09\u4e0a\u4e5f\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e0d\u8d0a\u6210\u6b50\u76df\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u7d50\u9ee8\u5c0d\u4ed8\u4e2d\u570b\u3002 \u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e26\u4e0d\u50c5\u50c5\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u6380\u8d77\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c0d\u6b50\u76df\u7522\u54c1\u5fb5\u6536\u5927\u5e45\u5ea6\u7684\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u5982\u958b\u59cb\u6642\u5c0d\u92fc\u6750\u548c\u92c1\u6750\u768425%\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u672c\u5e741\u6708\u4ed6\u96e2\u4efb\u524d\u751f\u6548\u7684\u5c0d\u6cd5\u570b\u548c\u5fb7\u570b\u7a7a\u4e2d\u5df4\u58eb\u768415%\u95dc\u7a05\u7b49\u7b49\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u7f8e\u6b50\u4e4b\u9593\u4e0d\u5c11\u82a5\u8482\u3002\u62dc\u767b\u4e0a\u53f0\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u5c31\u9019\u4e9b\u95dc\u7a05\u4f5c\u4efb\u4f55\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u96e3\u602a\u6b50\u76df\u4e5f\u5c0d\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u89d2\u8272\u63a1\u53d6\u89c0\u671b\u614b\u5ea6\u3002\u6cc1\u4e14\uff0c\u6b50\u76df\u525b\u8207\u4e2d\u570b\u7c3d\u8a02\u4e86\u5168\u9762\u6295\u8cc7\u5354\u8b70 \uff08Comprehensive Agreement on Investment\uff09\uff0c\u671f\u5f85\u548c\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u7d93\u6fdf\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u4e0d\u6703\u4f5c\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u5c0d\u83ef\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u68cb\u5b50\u3002\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u6b50\u7c3d\u8a02\u9019\u500b\u5354\u8b70\u4e4b\u524d\u7d04\u4e00\u500b\u661f\u671f\uff0c\u4e0a\u9762\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u9867\u554f\u5091\u514b\uff0e\u8607\u5229\u6587\uff08Jake Sullivan\uff09\u5728\u63a8\u7279\u5f15\u7528\u4e86\u8def\u900f\u793e\u6709\u95dc\u6d88\u606f\u7684\u5831\u9053\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u8868\u793a\u62dc\u767b\u5718\u968a\u5e0c\u671b\u548c\u6b50\u76df\u65e9\u4e9b\u8a0e\u8ad6\u6709\u95dc\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u884c\u70ba\u7684\u5171\u540c\u95dc\u6ce8\u554f\u984c\u3002\u7576\u6642\u62dc\u767b\u5718\u968a\u4ecd\u672a\u4e0a\u4efb\uff0c\u9019\u4f3c\u4e4e\u662f\u60f3\u6b50\u76df\u5ef6\u5f8c\u548c\u4e2d\u570b\u7c3d\u7d04\u3002\u7576\u7136\uff0c\u4e00\u500b\u63a8\u7279\u8a0a\u606f\u8d77\u4e0d\u4e86\u4efb\u4f55\u4f5c\u7528\u3002 \u9072\u5230\u7684\u300c\u7f8e\u570b\u5df2\u7d93\u56de\u4f86\u300d 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is back\u300d\uff09\uff0c\u4f46\u76f8\u6bd4\u6642\u4ee3\u7684\u6b65\u4f10\uff0c\u986f\u7136\u6709\u4e9b\u59cd\u59cd\u4f86\u9072\u4e86\u3002 \u9678\u708e\u8f1d \u6e2f\u5927\u7d93\u7ba1\u5b78\u9662\u69ae\u8b7d\u526f\u6559\u6388 \uff08\u672c\u6587\u540c\u6642\u65bc\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e8c\u4e00\u5e74\u4e09\u6708\u4e09\u65e5\u8f09\u65bc\u300a\u4fe1\u5831\u300b\u300c\u9f8d\u864e\u5c71\u4e0b\u300d\u5c08\u6b04\u3002\uff09\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"google-site-verification\" content=\"google-site-verification=MjdkluDgHpNk2vz5slbwER2Gusw2rUDQuVULMERWzLo\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/research\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches\/%e6%8b%9c%e7%99%bb%e6%94%bf%e5%ba%9c%e7%9a%84%e5%a4%96%e8%b2%bf%e6%94%bf%e7%ad%96\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO (AIOSEO) 4.9.10\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:site_name\" 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content=\"\u62dc\u767b\u4e0a\u53f0\u5f8c\uff0c\u767d\u5bae\u6452\u9664\u4e86\u7279\u6717\u666e\u6642\u671f\u8a87\u8a87\u5176\u8ac7\u3001\u4e0d\u5e79\u5be6\u4e8b\u7684\u4f5c\u98a8\uff0c\u5404\u7a2e\u653f\u7b56\u91cd\u4e0a\u8ecc\u9053\uff0c\u7279\u5225\u662f\u61c9\u4ed8\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u548c\u8655\u7406\u80ba\u708e\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5f8c\u907a\u75c7\uff0c\u90fd\u986f\u5f97\u7a4d\u6975\u9032\u53d6\u3002\u4e5f\u8a31\u7531\u65bc\u58d3\u5236\u75ab\u60c5\u548c\u63d0\u632f\u7d93\u6fdf\u662f\u7576\u52d9\u4e4b\u6025\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u653f\u7b56\u90fd\u8981\u8b93\u8def\u3002\u4ee5\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u70ba\u4f8b\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u5728\u4e0a\u4efb\u7d04\u5169\u500b\u661f\u671f\u5f8c\u624d\u5728\u570b\u52d9\u9662\u4f5c\u7c21\u55ae\u7684\u95e1\u91cb\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u4e2d\u6709\u95dc\u5916\u8cbf\u65b9\u9762\u7740\u58a8\u4e0d\u591a\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4ecd\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f9e\u62dc\u767b\u5728\u7af6\u9078\u6642\u5c0d\u6709\u95dc\u554f\u984c\u7684\u8ad6\u8ff0\u3001\u548c\u4ed6\u4e0a\u53f0\u5f8c\u57f7\u884c\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4e86\u89e3\u4ed6\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u600e\u6a23\u8655\u7406\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5916\u8cbf\u554f\u984c\u3002 \u53bb\u5e7411\u6708\u7f8e\u570b\u5927\u9078\u6295\u7968\u7d50\u675f\u5f8c\uff0c\u8457\u540d\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u667a\u5eab\u5361\u5167\u57fa\u570b\u969b\u548c\u5e73\u57fa\u91d1\u6703\uff08Carnegie Endowment for International Peace\uff09\u5373\u767c\u8868\u4e86\u4e00\u4efd\u540d\u70ba\u300a\u4f7f\u7f8e\u570b\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u5e6b\u52a9\u4e2d\u7522\u968e\u7d1a\u300b\uff08Making U.S. Foreign Policy Work Better for the Middle Class\uff09\u7684\u5831\u544a\u3002\u5831\u544a\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u7d50\u8ad6\uff0c\u662f\u6578\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u5168\u7403\u5316\u6c92\u6709\u5f88\u597d\u7684\u4fc3\u9032\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u751f\u7522\u529b\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u52a0\u5287\u4e86\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u8ca7\u5bcc\u61f8\u6b8a\u548c\u53bb\u5de5\u696d\u5316\u3002\u5728\u9019\u500b\u904e\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u4e2d\u7522\u968e\u7d1a\u548c\u5de5\u4eba\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u88ab\u56b4\u91cd\u5ffd\u7565\u3002\u5831\u544a\u5efa\u8b70\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u5148\u978f\u56fa\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u7af6\u722d\u529b\u3001\u4e26\u5927\u91cf\u6295\u8cc7\u5728\u6559\u80b2\u3001\u80fd\u6e90\u548c\u57fa\u790e\u5efa\u8a2d\u4e0a\u3002\u570b\u5167\u7d93\u6fdf\u548c\u5916\u8cbf\uff0c\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u5272\u88c2\u7684\u5169\u7a2e\u7d93\u6fdf\u6d3b\u52d5\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4e92\u76f8\u4fc3\u9032\u3002 \u9019\u4efd\u5831\u544a\u4f5c\u8005\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u662f\u73fe\u4efb\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u9867\u554f\u5091\u514b\uff0e\u8607\u5229\u6587\uff08Jake Sullivan\uff09\uff0c\u65e9\u5728\u5967\u5df4\u99ac\u6642\u671f\u5df2\u7d93\u662f\u6642\u4efb\u526f\u7e3d\u7d71\u62dc\u767b\u7684\u9867\u554f\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u540d\u4f5c\u8005\u5247\u662f\u73fe\u4efb\u570b\u52d9\u9662\u653f\u7b56\u7814\u7a76\u90e8\u9580\u7684\u4e00\u540d\u9ad8\u5c64\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u9019\u4efd\u5831\u544a\u53ef\u8996\u4f5c\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u85cd\u5716\uff0c\u800c\u70ba\u4e2d\u7522\u968e\u7d1a\u670d\u52d9\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u62dc\u767b\u5916\u8cbf\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u57fa\u8abf\u3002\u4e8b\u5be6\u4e0a\uff0c\u65e9\u5728\u7af6\u9078\u6642\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u5df2\u63d0\u51fa\u4ed6\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u662f\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u7522\u968e\u7d1a\u5236\u5b9a\uff0c\u4e26\u63da\u8a00\u4e0d\u6703\u7c3d\u8a02\u4efb\u4f55\u65e2\u6c92\u6709\u5275\u9020\u5c31\u696d\u3001\u4e5f\u4e0d\u4fc3\u9032\u57fa\u790e\u5efa\u8a2d\u6216\u63d0\u9ad8\u52de\u5de5\u6b0a\u76ca\u548c\u63a8\u52d5\u74b0\u4fdd\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u5354\u8b70\u3002 \u7f8e\u570b\u65b0\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u4ee3\u8868\u6234\u7426\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u88ab\u570b\u6703\u78ba\u8a8d\u5c31\u4efb\u7684\u8aee\u8a62\u6703\u4e0a\uff0c\u4ea6\u4f5c\u985e\u4f3c\u7684\u8ad6\u8ff0\uff0c\u6307\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5916\u8cbf\u653f\u7b56\u61c9\u4ee5\u5de5\u4eba\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u70ba\u4e2d\u5fc3\u3002\u7576\u88ab\u554f\u53ca\u6703\u5426\u6e1b\u5c11\u6216\u53d6\u6d88\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7559\u4e0b\u4f86\u5c0d\u5176\u4ed6\u570b\u5bb6\u5fb5\u6536\u7684\u95dc\u7a05\u6642\uff0c\u5979\u6c92\u6709\u6b63\u9762\u56de\u61c9\uff0c\u4f46\u627f\u8a8d\u95dc\u7a05\u662f\u5e6b\u52a9\u8cbf\u6613\u8ac7\u5224\u7684\u4e00\u4ef6\u5de5\u5177\u3002 \u5e36\u6709\u6fc3\u539a\u4fdd\u8b77\u4e3b\u7fa9\u8272\u5f69 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\u4ee5\u8cbf\u6613\u653f\u7b56\u4f86\u722d\u53d6\u9078\u6c11\uff0c\u4e26\u975e\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u7684\u5c08\u5229\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e5f\u4ee5\u6b64\u7b56\u7565\u57282016\u5e74\u7576\u9078\u3002\u4f46\u5169\u8005\u80cc\u5f8c\u7684\u7406\u5ff5\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u5426\u5b9a\u8cbf\u6613\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u597d\u8655\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u5c0d\u4e00\u500b\u767c\u9054\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5728\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u4e0b\u6536\u5165\u5206\u914d\u4e0d\u5229\u65bc\u52de\u52d5\u968e\u5c64\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u63a1\u53d6\u653f\u7b56\u4fdd\u8b77\u52de\u5de5\u5229\u76ca\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u5247\u662f\u57fa\u65bc\u8cbf\u6613\u662f\u96f6\u548c\u904a\u6232\u7684\u932f\u8aa4\u89c0\u9ede\uff0c\u4ee5\u300c\u7f8e\u570b\u7b2c\u4e00\u300d\u70ba\u865f\u53ec\uff0c\u6311\u64a5\u9078\u6c11\u4ec7\u8996\u5916\u570b\u4f86\u722d\u53d6\u652f\u6301\u3002 \u9019\u500b\u5206\u5225\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5f71\u97ff\u7740\u6c11\u4e3b\u5171\u548c\u5169\u9ee8\u5728\u8cbf\u6613\u653f\u7b56\u4e0a\u7684\u5206\u6b67\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u96d6\u7136\u5df2\u7d93\u4e0b\u53f0\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u5167\u4ecd\u6709\u76f8\u7576\u5927\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u76f8\u7576\u591a\u7684\u9078\u6c11\u652f\u6301\u3002\u4ed6\u4e0a\u5468\u672b\u5728\u4fdd\u5b88\u653f\u6cbb\u884c\u52d5\u6703\u8b70\uff08Conservative Political Action Conference\uff09\u4e0a\u4f5c\u58d3\u8ef8\u6f14\u8b1b\uff0c\u662f\u642c\u96e2\u767d\u5bae\u5f8c\u7684\u9996\u6b21\u516c\u958b\u6f14\u8b1b\uff0c\u6697\u793a\u6703\u57282024\u5e74\u6372\u571f\u91cd\u4f86\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11\u4eba\u3001\u5305\u62ec\u524d\u570b\u52d9\u537f\u84ec\u4f69\u5967\u3001\u90fd\u5c0d\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u63d0\u540d\u7684\u7e3d\u7d71\u53c3\u9078\u4eba\u5e2d\u4f4d\u864e\u8996\u7708\u7708\uff0c\u4f46\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u70ba\u6b62\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4ecd\u662f\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u4e2d\u6700\u5927\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u529b\u91cf\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u4ed6\u5728\u96a8\u5f8c\u7684\u7a05\u52d9\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u8a34\u8a1f\u4e2d\u88ab\u62d6\u57ae\u3002 \u4e2d\u7f8e\u5169\u570b\u70ba\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5169\u500b\u8cbf\u6613\u570b\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5916\u8cbf\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5730\u6d89\u53ca\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8cbf\u6613\u3002\u62dc\u767b\u5728\u5165\u4e3b\u767d\u5bae\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u8abf\u6574\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u4e2d\u7684\u5c0d\u83ef\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4f46\u537b\u63a1\u53d6\u4e86\u597d\u5e7e\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u884c\u52d5\u3002\u4e00\u662f\u8cac\u6210\u6709\u95dc\u5b98\u54e1\u5728100\u5929\u5167\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u6240\u6709\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u4f5c\u5168\u9762\u6aa2\u8a0e\uff0c\u6700\u7d42\u76ee\u6a19\u662f\u6e1b\u5c11\u7f8e\u570b \u5c0d\u5916\u570b\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u7684\u4f9d\u8cf4\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u7f8e\u570b\u5b98\u54e1\u8aaa\u6b64\u8209\u4e26\u975e\u91dd\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\uff0c\u4f46\u4e2d\u570b\u662f\u5168\u7403100\u591a\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u6700\u4e3b\u8981\u8cbf\u6613\u5925\u4f34\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u82e5\u6709\u4ec0\u9ebc\u653f\u7b56\u6539\u8b8a\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u76f4\u63a5\u5f71\u97ff\u4e2d\u570b\u3002 \u62dc\u767b\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u8209\u63aa\uff0c\u662f\u8981\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u76df\u53cb\u7d44\u6210\u7d71\u4e00\u6230\u7dda\u91dd\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\uff0c\u4f46\u4e26\u4e0d\u5f97\u901e\u3002\u7d04\u5169\u5468\u524d\u7684\u6155\u5c3c\u9ed1\u5b89\u5168\u6703\u8b70\uff08Munich Security Conference\uff09\u4e2d\uff0c\u5fb7\u570b\u7e3d\u7406\u9ed8\u514b\u723e\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u614b\u5ea6\uff0c\u660e\u986f\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e0d\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u5c07\u4e2d\u570b\u770b\u4f5c\u662f\u5a01\u8105\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u4f46\u9ed8\u514b\u723e\u537b\u8a8d\u70ba\u4ee5\u4e2d\u570b\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u80fd\u91cf\u548c\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u662f\u89e3\u6c7a\u5168\u7403\u554f\u984c\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u529b\u91cf\u3002\u5728\u9019\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u6cd5\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u99ac\u514b\u9f8d\u5728\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u8b70\u6703\uff08Atlantic Council\uff09\u4e0a\u4e5f\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e0d\u8d0a\u6210\u6b50\u76df\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u7d50\u9ee8\u5c0d\u4ed8\u4e2d\u570b\u3002 \u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e26\u4e0d\u50c5\u50c5\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u6380\u8d77\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c0d\u6b50\u76df\u7522\u54c1\u5fb5\u6536\u5927\u5e45\u5ea6\u7684\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u5982\u958b\u59cb\u6642\u5c0d\u92fc\u6750\u548c\u92c1\u6750\u768425%\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u672c\u5e741\u6708\u4ed6\u96e2\u4efb\u524d\u751f\u6548\u7684\u5c0d\u6cd5\u570b\u548c\u5fb7\u570b\u7a7a\u4e2d\u5df4\u58eb\u768415%\u95dc\u7a05\u7b49\u7b49\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u7f8e\u6b50\u4e4b\u9593\u4e0d\u5c11\u82a5\u8482\u3002\u62dc\u767b\u4e0a\u53f0\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u5c31\u9019\u4e9b\u95dc\u7a05\u4f5c\u4efb\u4f55\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u96e3\u602a\u6b50\u76df\u4e5f\u5c0d\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u89d2\u8272\u63a1\u53d6\u89c0\u671b\u614b\u5ea6\u3002\u6cc1\u4e14\uff0c\u6b50\u76df\u525b\u8207\u4e2d\u570b\u7c3d\u8a02\u4e86\u5168\u9762\u6295\u8cc7\u5354\u8b70 \uff08Comprehensive Agreement on Investment\uff09\uff0c\u671f\u5f85\u548c\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u7d93\u6fdf\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u4e0d\u6703\u4f5c\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u5c0d\u83ef\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u68cb\u5b50\u3002\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u6b50\u7c3d\u8a02\u9019\u500b\u5354\u8b70\u4e4b\u524d\u7d04\u4e00\u500b\u661f\u671f\uff0c\u4e0a\u9762\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u9867\u554f\u5091\u514b\uff0e\u8607\u5229\u6587\uff08Jake Sullivan\uff09\u5728\u63a8\u7279\u5f15\u7528\u4e86\u8def\u900f\u793e\u6709\u95dc\u6d88\u606f\u7684\u5831\u9053\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u8868\u793a\u62dc\u767b\u5718\u968a\u5e0c\u671b\u548c\u6b50\u76df\u65e9\u4e9b\u8a0e\u8ad6\u6709\u95dc\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u884c\u70ba\u7684\u5171\u540c\u95dc\u6ce8\u554f\u984c\u3002\u7576\u6642\u62dc\u767b\u5718\u968a\u4ecd\u672a\u4e0a\u4efb\uff0c\u9019\u4f3c\u4e4e\u662f\u60f3\u6b50\u76df\u5ef6\u5f8c\u548c\u4e2d\u570b\u7c3d\u7d04\u3002\u7576\u7136\uff0c\u4e00\u500b\u63a8\u7279\u8a0a\u606f\u8d77\u4e0d\u4e86\u4efb\u4f55\u4f5c\u7528\u3002 \u9072\u5230\u7684\u300c\u7f8e\u570b\u5df2\u7d93\u56de\u4f86\u300d \u62dc\u767b\u548c\u4ed6\u7684\u5e55\u50da\uff0c\u591a\u6b21\u5f37\u8abf\u7f8e\u570b\u8981\u5728\u5236\u5b9a\u5168\u7403\u8cbf\u6613\u898f\u5247\u4e0a\u626e\u6f14\u9818\u5c0e\u89d2\u8272\uff0c\u4ee5\u91dd\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u63aa\u65bd\u3002\u73fe\u6642\u6700\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u591a\u908a\u8cbf\u6613\u5354\u8b70\u5e73\u53f0\u662fWTO\uff0c\u4f46\u7d93\u904e\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u523b\u610f\u5236\u88c1\u5f8c\uff0cWTO\u5df2\u96e3\u767c\u63ee\u529f\u80fd\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u65b0\u4e0a\u4efb\u7684\u7e3d\u5e79\u4e8b\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u626d\u8f49\u4e7e\u5764\uff0c\u4f7fWTO\u80fd\u91cd\u65b0\u63a8\u52d5\u5168\u7403\u8cbf\u6613\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u6703\u54e1\u5747\u9808\u5c0a\u91cd\u5354\u8b70\u898f\u5247\u3002\u53bb\u5e749\u6708WTO\u88c1\u5b9a\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u95dc\u7a05\u9055\u53cd\u898f\u5b9a\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u9808\u53d6\u6d88\u6709\u95dc\u95dc\u7a05\u3002\u90a3\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u6703\u4e0d\u6703\u9075\u5f9e\uff1f\u82e5\u7f8e\u570b\u9075\u5f9e\u4e16\u8cbf\u7684\u88c1\u6c7a\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u570b\u969b\u821e\u53f0\u4e0a\u91cd\u62fe\u516c\u4fe1\u529b\uff0c\u978f\u56fa\u5176\u5168\u7403\u9818\u5c0e\u5730\u4f4d\u3002\u4f46\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u53ca\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u652f\u6301\u8005\u6703\u9858\u610f\u63a5\u53d7WTO\u7684\u5236\u7d04\u55ce\uff1f\u62dc\u767b\u53c8\u6703\u4e0d\u6703\u5192\u9019\u500b\u570b\u5167\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\uff1f\u82e5\u7f8e\u570b\u9078\u64c7\u4e0d\u9075\u5f9e\u4e16\u8cbf\u7684\u88c1\u6c7a\uff0c\u53c8\u5962\u8ac7\u4ec0\u9ebc\u9818\u5c0e\u5236\u5b9a\u5168\u7403\u8cbf\u6613\u898f\u5247\uff1f 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is back\u300d\uff09\uff0c\u4f46\u76f8\u6bd4\u6642\u4ee3\u7684\u6b65\u4f10\uff0c\u986f\u7136\u6709\u4e9b\u59cd\u59cd\u4f86\u9072\u4e86\u3002 \u9678\u708e\u8f1d \u6e2f\u5927\u7d93\u7ba1\u5b78\u9662\u69ae\u8b7d\u526f\u6559\u6388 \uff08\u672c\u6587\u540c\u6642\u65bc\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e8c\u4e00\u5e74\u4e09\u6708\u4e09\u65e5\u8f09\u65bc\u300a\u4fe1\u5831\u300b\u300c\u9f8d\u864e\u5c71\u4e0b\u300d\u5c08\u6b04\u3002\uff09\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/research\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches\/%e6%8b%9c%e7%99%bb%e6%94%bf%e5%ba%9c%e7%9a%84%e5%a4%96%e8%b2%bf%e6%94%bf%e7%ad%96\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-03-04T01:01:11+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2021-03-15T06:52:42+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u5916\u8cbf\u653f\u7b56 - HKU Business School\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"\u62dc\u767b\u4e0a\u53f0\u5f8c\uff0c\u767d\u5bae\u6452\u9664\u4e86\u7279\u6717\u666e\u6642\u671f\u8a87\u8a87\u5176\u8ac7\u3001\u4e0d\u5e79\u5be6\u4e8b\u7684\u4f5c\u98a8\uff0c\u5404\u7a2e\u653f\u7b56\u91cd\u4e0a\u8ecc\u9053\uff0c\u7279\u5225\u662f\u61c9\u4ed8\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u548c\u8655\u7406\u80ba\u708e\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5f8c\u907a\u75c7\uff0c\u90fd\u986f\u5f97\u7a4d\u6975\u9032\u53d6\u3002\u4e5f\u8a31\u7531\u65bc\u58d3\u5236\u75ab\u60c5\u548c\u63d0\u632f\u7d93\u6fdf\u662f\u7576\u52d9\u4e4b\u6025\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u653f\u7b56\u90fd\u8981\u8b93\u8def\u3002\u4ee5\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u70ba\u4f8b\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u5728\u4e0a\u4efb\u7d04\u5169\u500b\u661f\u671f\u5f8c\u624d\u5728\u570b\u52d9\u9662\u4f5c\u7c21\u55ae\u7684\u95e1\u91cb\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u4e2d\u6709\u95dc\u5916\u8cbf\u65b9\u9762\u7740\u58a8\u4e0d\u591a\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4ecd\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f9e\u62dc\u767b\u5728\u7af6\u9078\u6642\u5c0d\u6709\u95dc\u554f\u984c\u7684\u8ad6\u8ff0\u3001\u548c\u4ed6\u4e0a\u53f0\u5f8c\u57f7\u884c\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4e86\u89e3\u4ed6\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u600e\u6a23\u8655\u7406\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5916\u8cbf\u554f\u984c\u3002 \u53bb\u5e7411\u6708\u7f8e\u570b\u5927\u9078\u6295\u7968\u7d50\u675f\u5f8c\uff0c\u8457\u540d\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u667a\u5eab\u5361\u5167\u57fa\u570b\u969b\u548c\u5e73\u57fa\u91d1\u6703\uff08Carnegie Endowment for International Peace\uff09\u5373\u767c\u8868\u4e86\u4e00\u4efd\u540d\u70ba\u300a\u4f7f\u7f8e\u570b\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u5e6b\u52a9\u4e2d\u7522\u968e\u7d1a\u300b\uff08Making U.S. Foreign Policy Work Better for the Middle Class\uff09\u7684\u5831\u544a\u3002\u5831\u544a\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u7d50\u8ad6\uff0c\u662f\u6578\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u5168\u7403\u5316\u6c92\u6709\u5f88\u597d\u7684\u4fc3\u9032\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u751f\u7522\u529b\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u52a0\u5287\u4e86\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u8ca7\u5bcc\u61f8\u6b8a\u548c\u53bb\u5de5\u696d\u5316\u3002\u5728\u9019\u500b\u904e\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u4e2d\u7522\u968e\u7d1a\u548c\u5de5\u4eba\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u88ab\u56b4\u91cd\u5ffd\u7565\u3002\u5831\u544a\u5efa\u8b70\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u5148\u978f\u56fa\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u7af6\u722d\u529b\u3001\u4e26\u5927\u91cf\u6295\u8cc7\u5728\u6559\u80b2\u3001\u80fd\u6e90\u548c\u57fa\u790e\u5efa\u8a2d\u4e0a\u3002\u570b\u5167\u7d93\u6fdf\u548c\u5916\u8cbf\uff0c\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u5272\u88c2\u7684\u5169\u7a2e\u7d93\u6fdf\u6d3b\u52d5\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4e92\u76f8\u4fc3\u9032\u3002 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Sullivan\uff09\uff0c\u65e9\u5728\u5967\u5df4\u99ac\u6642\u671f\u5df2\u7d93\u662f\u6642\u4efb\u526f\u7e3d\u7d71\u62dc\u767b\u7684\u9867\u554f\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u540d\u4f5c\u8005\u5247\u662f\u73fe\u4efb\u570b\u52d9\u9662\u653f\u7b56\u7814\u7a76\u90e8\u9580\u7684\u4e00\u540d\u9ad8\u5c64\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u9019\u4efd\u5831\u544a\u53ef\u8996\u4f5c\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u85cd\u5716\uff0c\u800c\u70ba\u4e2d\u7522\u968e\u7d1a\u670d\u52d9\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u62dc\u767b\u5916\u8cbf\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u57fa\u8abf\u3002\u4e8b\u5be6\u4e0a\uff0c\u65e9\u5728\u7af6\u9078\u6642\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u5df2\u63d0\u51fa\u4ed6\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u662f\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u7522\u968e\u7d1a\u5236\u5b9a\uff0c\u4e26\u63da\u8a00\u4e0d\u6703\u7c3d\u8a02\u4efb\u4f55\u65e2\u6c92\u6709\u5275\u9020\u5c31\u696d\u3001\u4e5f\u4e0d\u4fc3\u9032\u57fa\u790e\u5efa\u8a2d\u6216\u63d0\u9ad8\u52de\u5de5\u6b0a\u76ca\u548c\u63a8\u52d5\u74b0\u4fdd\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u5354\u8b70\u3002 \u7f8e\u570b\u65b0\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u4ee3\u8868\u6234\u7426\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u88ab\u570b\u6703\u78ba\u8a8d\u5c31\u4efb\u7684\u8aee\u8a62\u6703\u4e0a\uff0c\u4ea6\u4f5c\u985e\u4f3c\u7684\u8ad6\u8ff0\uff0c\u6307\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5916\u8cbf\u653f\u7b56\u61c9\u4ee5\u5de5\u4eba\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u70ba\u4e2d\u5fc3\u3002\u7576\u88ab\u554f\u53ca\u6703\u5426\u6e1b\u5c11\u6216\u53d6\u6d88\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7559\u4e0b\u4f86\u5c0d\u5176\u4ed6\u570b\u5bb6\u5fb5\u6536\u7684\u95dc\u7a05\u6642\uff0c\u5979\u6c92\u6709\u6b63\u9762\u56de\u61c9\uff0c\u4f46\u627f\u8a8d\u95dc\u7a05\u662f\u5e6b\u52a9\u8cbf\u6613\u8ac7\u5224\u7684\u4e00\u4ef6\u5de5\u5177\u3002 \u5e36\u6709\u6fc3\u539a\u4fdd\u8b77\u4e3b\u7fa9\u8272\u5f69 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\u4ee5\u8cbf\u6613\u653f\u7b56\u4f86\u722d\u53d6\u9078\u6c11\uff0c\u4e26\u975e\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u7684\u5c08\u5229\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e5f\u4ee5\u6b64\u7b56\u7565\u57282016\u5e74\u7576\u9078\u3002\u4f46\u5169\u8005\u80cc\u5f8c\u7684\u7406\u5ff5\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u5426\u5b9a\u8cbf\u6613\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u597d\u8655\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u5c0d\u4e00\u500b\u767c\u9054\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5728\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u4e0b\u6536\u5165\u5206\u914d\u4e0d\u5229\u65bc\u52de\u52d5\u968e\u5c64\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u63a1\u53d6\u653f\u7b56\u4fdd\u8b77\u52de\u5de5\u5229\u76ca\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u5247\u662f\u57fa\u65bc\u8cbf\u6613\u662f\u96f6\u548c\u904a\u6232\u7684\u932f\u8aa4\u89c0\u9ede\uff0c\u4ee5\u300c\u7f8e\u570b\u7b2c\u4e00\u300d\u70ba\u865f\u53ec\uff0c\u6311\u64a5\u9078\u6c11\u4ec7\u8996\u5916\u570b\u4f86\u722d\u53d6\u652f\u6301\u3002 \u9019\u500b\u5206\u5225\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5f71\u97ff\u7740\u6c11\u4e3b\u5171\u548c\u5169\u9ee8\u5728\u8cbf\u6613\u653f\u7b56\u4e0a\u7684\u5206\u6b67\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u96d6\u7136\u5df2\u7d93\u4e0b\u53f0\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u5167\u4ecd\u6709\u76f8\u7576\u5927\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u76f8\u7576\u591a\u7684\u9078\u6c11\u652f\u6301\u3002\u4ed6\u4e0a\u5468\u672b\u5728\u4fdd\u5b88\u653f\u6cbb\u884c\u52d5\u6703\u8b70\uff08Conservative Political Action Conference\uff09\u4e0a\u4f5c\u58d3\u8ef8\u6f14\u8b1b\uff0c\u662f\u642c\u96e2\u767d\u5bae\u5f8c\u7684\u9996\u6b21\u516c\u958b\u6f14\u8b1b\uff0c\u6697\u793a\u6703\u57282024\u5e74\u6372\u571f\u91cd\u4f86\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11\u4eba\u3001\u5305\u62ec\u524d\u570b\u52d9\u537f\u84ec\u4f69\u5967\u3001\u90fd\u5c0d\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u63d0\u540d\u7684\u7e3d\u7d71\u53c3\u9078\u4eba\u5e2d\u4f4d\u864e\u8996\u7708\u7708\uff0c\u4f46\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u70ba\u6b62\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4ecd\u662f\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u4e2d\u6700\u5927\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u529b\u91cf\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u4ed6\u5728\u96a8\u5f8c\u7684\u7a05\u52d9\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u8a34\u8a1f\u4e2d\u88ab\u62d6\u57ae\u3002 \u4e2d\u7f8e\u5169\u570b\u70ba\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5169\u500b\u8cbf\u6613\u570b\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5916\u8cbf\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5730\u6d89\u53ca\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8cbf\u6613\u3002\u62dc\u767b\u5728\u5165\u4e3b\u767d\u5bae\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u8abf\u6574\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u4e2d\u7684\u5c0d\u83ef\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4f46\u537b\u63a1\u53d6\u4e86\u597d\u5e7e\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u884c\u52d5\u3002\u4e00\u662f\u8cac\u6210\u6709\u95dc\u5b98\u54e1\u5728100\u5929\u5167\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u6240\u6709\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u4f5c\u5168\u9762\u6aa2\u8a0e\uff0c\u6700\u7d42\u76ee\u6a19\u662f\u6e1b\u5c11\u7f8e\u570b \u5c0d\u5916\u570b\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u7684\u4f9d\u8cf4\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u7f8e\u570b\u5b98\u54e1\u8aaa\u6b64\u8209\u4e26\u975e\u91dd\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\uff0c\u4f46\u4e2d\u570b\u662f\u5168\u7403100\u591a\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u6700\u4e3b\u8981\u8cbf\u6613\u5925\u4f34\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u82e5\u6709\u4ec0\u9ebc\u653f\u7b56\u6539\u8b8a\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u76f4\u63a5\u5f71\u97ff\u4e2d\u570b\u3002 \u62dc\u767b\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u8209\u63aa\uff0c\u662f\u8981\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u76df\u53cb\u7d44\u6210\u7d71\u4e00\u6230\u7dda\u91dd\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\uff0c\u4f46\u4e26\u4e0d\u5f97\u901e\u3002\u7d04\u5169\u5468\u524d\u7684\u6155\u5c3c\u9ed1\u5b89\u5168\u6703\u8b70\uff08Munich Security Conference\uff09\u4e2d\uff0c\u5fb7\u570b\u7e3d\u7406\u9ed8\u514b\u723e\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u614b\u5ea6\uff0c\u660e\u986f\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e0d\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u5c07\u4e2d\u570b\u770b\u4f5c\u662f\u5a01\u8105\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u4f46\u9ed8\u514b\u723e\u537b\u8a8d\u70ba\u4ee5\u4e2d\u570b\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u80fd\u91cf\u548c\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u662f\u89e3\u6c7a\u5168\u7403\u554f\u984c\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u529b\u91cf\u3002\u5728\u9019\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u6cd5\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u99ac\u514b\u9f8d\u5728\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u8b70\u6703\uff08Atlantic Council\uff09\u4e0a\u4e5f\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e0d\u8d0a\u6210\u6b50\u76df\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u7d50\u9ee8\u5c0d\u4ed8\u4e2d\u570b\u3002 \u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e26\u4e0d\u50c5\u50c5\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u6380\u8d77\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c0d\u6b50\u76df\u7522\u54c1\u5fb5\u6536\u5927\u5e45\u5ea6\u7684\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u5982\u958b\u59cb\u6642\u5c0d\u92fc\u6750\u548c\u92c1\u6750\u768425%\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u672c\u5e741\u6708\u4ed6\u96e2\u4efb\u524d\u751f\u6548\u7684\u5c0d\u6cd5\u570b\u548c\u5fb7\u570b\u7a7a\u4e2d\u5df4\u58eb\u768415%\u95dc\u7a05\u7b49\u7b49\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u7f8e\u6b50\u4e4b\u9593\u4e0d\u5c11\u82a5\u8482\u3002\u62dc\u767b\u4e0a\u53f0\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u5c31\u9019\u4e9b\u95dc\u7a05\u4f5c\u4efb\u4f55\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u96e3\u602a\u6b50\u76df\u4e5f\u5c0d\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u89d2\u8272\u63a1\u53d6\u89c0\u671b\u614b\u5ea6\u3002\u6cc1\u4e14\uff0c\u6b50\u76df\u525b\u8207\u4e2d\u570b\u7c3d\u8a02\u4e86\u5168\u9762\u6295\u8cc7\u5354\u8b70 \uff08Comprehensive Agreement on Investment\uff09\uff0c\u671f\u5f85\u548c\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u7d93\u6fdf\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u4e0d\u6703\u4f5c\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u5c0d\u83ef\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u68cb\u5b50\u3002\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u6b50\u7c3d\u8a02\u9019\u500b\u5354\u8b70\u4e4b\u524d\u7d04\u4e00\u500b\u661f\u671f\uff0c\u4e0a\u9762\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u9867\u554f\u5091\u514b\uff0e\u8607\u5229\u6587\uff08Jake 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\\u9019\\u500b\\u5206\\u5225\\uff0c\\u53ef\\u80fd\\u5f71\\u97ff\\u7740\\u6c11\\u4e3b\\u5171\\u548c\\u5169\\u9ee8\\u5728\\u8cbf\\u6613\\u653f\\u7b56\\u4e0a\\u7684\\u5206\\u6b67\\u3002\\u7279\\u6717\\u666e\\u96d6\\u7136\\u5df2\\u7d93\\u4e0b\\u53f0\\uff0c\\u4f46\\u5728\\u5171\\u548c\\u9ee8\\u5167\\u4ecd\\u6709\\u76f8\\u7576\\u5927\\u7684\\u5f71\\u97ff\\u529b\\uff0c\\u4e5f\\u6709\\u76f8\\u7576\\u591a\\u7684\\u9078\\u6c11\\u652f\\u6301\\u3002\\u4ed6\\u4e0a\\u5468\\u672b\\u5728\\u4fdd\\u5b88\\u653f\\u6cbb\\u884c\\u52d5\\u6703\\u8b70\\uff08Conservative Political Action Conference\\uff09\\u4e0a\\u4f5c\\u58d3\\u8ef8\\u6f14\\u8b1b\\uff0c\\u662f\\u642c\\u96e2\\u767d\\u5bae\\u5f8c\\u7684\\u9996\\u6b21\\u516c\\u958b\\u6f14\\u8b1b\\uff0c\\u6697\\u793a\\u6703\\u57282024\\u5e74\\u6372\\u571f\\u91cd\\u4f86\\u3002\\u96d6\\u7136\\u6709\\u4e0d\\u5c11\\u4eba\\u3001\\u5305\\u62ec\\u524d\\u570b\\u52d9\\u537f\\u84ec\\u4f69\\u5967\\u3001\\u90fd\\u5c0d\\u5171\\u548c\\u9ee8\\u63d0\\u540d\\u7684\\u7e3d\\u7d71\\u53c3\\u9078\\u4eba\\u5e2d\\u4f4d\\u864e\\u8996\\u7708\\u7708\\uff0c\\u4f46\\u5230\\u76ee\\u524d\\u70ba\\u6b62\\uff0c\\u7279\\u6717\\u666e\\u4ecd\\u662f\\u5171\\u548c\\u9ee8\\u4e2d\\u6700\\u5927\\u7684\\u653f\\u6cbb\\u529b\\u91cf\\uff0c\\u9664\\u975e\\u4ed6\\u5728\\u96a8\\u5f8c\\u7684\\u7a05\\u52d9\\u53ca\\u5176\\u4ed6\\u8a34\\u8a1f\\u4e2d\\u88ab\\u62d6\\u57ae\\u3002 \\u4e2d\\u7f8e\\u5169\\u570b\\u70ba\\u5168\\u7403\\u6700\\u5927\\u7684\\u5169\\u500b\\u8cbf\\u6613\\u570b\\uff0c\\u7f8e\\u570b\\u7684\\u5916\\u8cbf\\u653f\\u7b56\\uff0c\\u81ea\\u7136\\u5f88\\u5927\\u7a0b\\u5ea6\\u5730\\u6d89\\u53ca\\u4e2d\\u7f8e\\u8cbf\\u6613\\u3002\\u62dc\\u767b\\u5728\\u5165\\u4e3b\\u767d\\u5bae\\u5f8c\\uff0c\\u4e26\\u6c92\\u6709\\u8abf\\u6574\\u4e2d\\u7f8e\\u8cbf\\u6613\\u6230\\u4e2d\\u7684\\u5c0d\\u83ef\\u653f\\u7b56\\uff0c\\u4f46\\u537b\\u63a1\\u53d6\\u4e86\\u597d\\u5e7e\\u65b9\\u9762\\u7684\\u884c\\u52d5\\u3002\\u4e00\\u662f\\u8cac\\u6210\\u6709\\u95dc\\u5b98\\u54e1\\u5728100\\u5929\\u5167\\u5c0d\\u7f8e\\u570b\\u6240\\u6709\\u4f9b\\u61c9\\u93c8\\u4f5c\\u5168\\u9762\\u6aa2\\u8a0e\\uff0c\\u6700\\u7d42\\u76ee\\u6a19\\u662f\\u6e1b\\u5c11\\u7f8e\\u570b \\u5c0d\\u5916\\u570b\\u4f9b\\u61c9\\u93c8\\u7684\\u4f9d\\u8cf4\\u3002\\u96d6\\u7136\\u7f8e\\u570b\\u5b98\\u54e1\\u8aaa\\u6b64\\u8209\\u4e26\\u975e\\u91dd\\u5c0d\\u4e2d\\u570b\\uff0c\\u4f46\\u4e2d\\u570b\\u662f\\u5168\\u7403100\\u591a\\u500b\\u570b\\u5bb6\\u7684\\u6700\\u4e3b\\u8981\\u8cbf\\u6613\\u5925\\u4f34\\uff0c\\u7f8e\\u570b\\u82e5\\u6709\\u4ec0\\u9ebc\\u653f\\u7b56\\u6539\\u8b8a\\uff0c\\u81ea\\u7136\\u76f4\\u63a5\\u5f71\\u97ff\\u4e2d\\u570b\\u3002 \\u62dc\\u767b\\u7684\\u53e6\\u4e00\\u500b\\u8209\\u63aa\\uff0c\\u662f\\u8981\\u548c\\u7f8e\\u570b\\u76df\\u53cb\\u7d44\\u6210\\u7d71\\u4e00\\u6230\\u7dda\\u91dd\\u5c0d\\u4e2d\\u570b\\uff0c\\u4f46\\u4e26\\u4e0d\\u5f97\\u901e\\u3002\\u7d04\\u5169\\u5468\\u524d\\u7684\\u6155\\u5c3c\\u9ed1\\u5b89\\u5168\\u6703\\u8b70\\uff08Munich Security 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\\u7279\\u6717\\u666e\\u4e26\\u4e0d\\u50c5\\u50c5\\u5c0d\\u4e2d\\u570b\\u6380\\u8d77\\u8cbf\\u6613\\u6230\\uff0c\\u4e5f\\u5c0d\\u6b50\\u76df\\u7522\\u54c1\\u5fb5\\u6536\\u5927\\u5e45\\u5ea6\\u7684\\u95dc\\u7a05\\uff0c\\u5982\\u958b\\u59cb\\u6642\\u5c0d\\u92fc\\u6750\\u548c\\u92c1\\u6750\\u768425%\\u95dc\\u7a05\\uff0c\\u4ee5\\u53ca\\u672c\\u5e741\\u6708\\u4ed6\\u96e2\\u4efb\\u524d\\u751f\\u6548\\u7684\\u5c0d\\u6cd5\\u570b\\u548c\\u5fb7\\u570b\\u7a7a\\u4e2d\\u5df4\\u58eb\\u768415%\\u95dc\\u7a05\\u7b49\\u7b49\\uff0c\\u9020\\u6210\\u7f8e\\u6b50\\u4e4b\\u9593\\u4e0d\\u5c11\\u82a5\\u8482\\u3002\\u62dc\\u767b\\u4e0a\\u53f0\\u5f8c\\uff0c\\u4e26\\u6c92\\u6709\\u5c31\\u9019\\u4e9b\\u95dc\\u7a05\\u4f5c\\u4efb\\u4f55\\u8868\\u793a\\uff0c\\u96e3\\u602a\\u6b50\\u76df\\u4e5f\\u5c0d\\u62dc\\u767b\\u653f\\u5e9c\\u5728\\u5168\\u7403\\u7d93\\u6fdf\\u7684\\u89d2\\u8272\\u63a1\\u53d6\\u89c0\\u671b\\u614b\\u5ea6\\u3002\\u6cc1\\u4e14\\uff0c\\u6b50\\u76df\\u525b\\u8207\\u4e2d\\u570b\\u7c3d\\u8a02\\u4e86\\u5168\\u9762\\u6295\\u8cc7\\u5354\\u8b70 \\uff08Comprehensive Agreement on Investment\\uff09\\uff0c\\u671f\\u5f85\\u548c\\u4e2d\\u570b\\u7684\\u9032\\u4e00\\u6b65\\u7d93\\u6fdf\\u5408\\u4f5c\\uff0c\\u81ea\\u7136\\u4e0d\\u6703\\u4f5c\\u70ba\\u7f8e\\u570b\\u5c0d\\u83ef\\u653f\\u7b56\\u7684\\u68cb\\u5b50\\u3002\\u6709\\u8da3\\u7684\\u662f\\uff0c\\u5728\\u4e2d\\u6b50\\u7c3d\\u8a02\\u9019\\u500b\\u5354\\u8b70\\u4e4b\\u524d\\u7d04\\u4e00\\u500b\\u661f\\u671f\\uff0c\\u4e0a\\u9762\\u63d0\\u5230\\u7684\\u7f8e\\u570b\\u570b\\u5bb6\\u5b89\\u5168\\u9867\\u554f\\u5091\\u514b\\uff0e\\u8607\\u5229\\u6587\\uff08Jake 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\u4ee5\u8cbf\u6613\u653f\u7b56\u4f86\u722d\u53d6\u9078\u6c11\uff0c\u4e26\u975e\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u7684\u5c08\u5229\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e5f\u4ee5\u6b64\u7b56\u7565\u57282016\u5e74\u7576\u9078\u3002\u4f46\u5169\u8005\u80cc\u5f8c\u7684\u7406\u5ff5\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u5426\u5b9a\u8cbf\u6613\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u597d\u8655\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u5c0d\u4e00\u500b\u767c\u9054\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5728\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u4e0b\u6536\u5165\u5206\u914d\u4e0d\u5229\u65bc\u52de\u52d5\u968e\u5c64\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u63a1\u53d6\u653f\u7b56\u4fdd\u8b77\u52de\u5de5\u5229\u76ca\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u5247\u662f\u57fa\u65bc\u8cbf\u6613\u662f\u96f6\u548c\u904a\u6232\u7684\u932f\u8aa4\u89c0\u9ede\uff0c\u4ee5\u300c\u7f8e\u570b\u7b2c\u4e00\u300d\u70ba\u865f\u53ec\uff0c\u6311\u64a5\u9078\u6c11\u4ec7\u8996\u5916\u570b\u4f86\u722d\u53d6\u652f\u6301\u3002 \u9019\u500b\u5206\u5225\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5f71\u97ff\u7740\u6c11\u4e3b\u5171\u548c\u5169\u9ee8\u5728\u8cbf\u6613\u653f\u7b56\u4e0a\u7684\u5206\u6b67\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u96d6\u7136\u5df2\u7d93\u4e0b\u53f0\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u5167\u4ecd\u6709\u76f8\u7576\u5927\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u76f8\u7576\u591a\u7684\u9078\u6c11\u652f\u6301\u3002\u4ed6\u4e0a\u5468\u672b\u5728\u4fdd\u5b88\u653f\u6cbb\u884c\u52d5\u6703\u8b70\uff08Conservative Political Action Conference\uff09\u4e0a\u4f5c\u58d3\u8ef8\u6f14\u8b1b\uff0c\u662f\u642c\u96e2\u767d\u5bae\u5f8c\u7684\u9996\u6b21\u516c\u958b\u6f14\u8b1b\uff0c\u6697\u793a\u6703\u57282024\u5e74\u6372\u571f\u91cd\u4f86\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11\u4eba\u3001\u5305\u62ec\u524d\u570b\u52d9\u537f\u84ec\u4f69\u5967\u3001\u90fd\u5c0d\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u63d0\u540d\u7684\u7e3d\u7d71\u53c3\u9078\u4eba\u5e2d\u4f4d\u864e\u8996\u7708\u7708\uff0c\u4f46\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u70ba\u6b62\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4ecd\u662f\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u4e2d\u6700\u5927\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u529b\u91cf\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u4ed6\u5728\u96a8\u5f8c\u7684\u7a05\u52d9\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u8a34\u8a1f\u4e2d\u88ab\u62d6\u57ae\u3002 \u4e2d\u7f8e\u5169\u570b\u70ba\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5169\u500b\u8cbf\u6613\u570b\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5916\u8cbf\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5730\u6d89\u53ca\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8cbf\u6613\u3002\u62dc\u767b\u5728\u5165\u4e3b\u767d\u5bae\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u8abf\u6574\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u4e2d\u7684\u5c0d\u83ef\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4f46\u537b\u63a1\u53d6\u4e86\u597d\u5e7e\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u884c\u52d5\u3002\u4e00\u662f\u8cac\u6210\u6709\u95dc\u5b98\u54e1\u5728100\u5929\u5167\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u6240\u6709\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u4f5c\u5168\u9762\u6aa2\u8a0e\uff0c\u6700\u7d42\u76ee\u6a19\u662f\u6e1b\u5c11\u7f8e\u570b \u5c0d\u5916\u570b\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u7684\u4f9d\u8cf4\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u7f8e\u570b\u5b98\u54e1\u8aaa\u6b64\u8209\u4e26\u975e\u91dd\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\uff0c\u4f46\u4e2d\u570b\u662f\u5168\u7403100\u591a\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u6700\u4e3b\u8981\u8cbf\u6613\u5925\u4f34\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u82e5\u6709\u4ec0\u9ebc\u653f\u7b56\u6539\u8b8a\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u76f4\u63a5\u5f71\u97ff\u4e2d\u570b\u3002 \u62dc\u767b\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u8209\u63aa\uff0c\u662f\u8981\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u76df\u53cb\u7d44\u6210\u7d71\u4e00\u6230\u7dda\u91dd\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\uff0c\u4f46\u4e26\u4e0d\u5f97\u901e\u3002\u7d04\u5169\u5468\u524d\u7684\u6155\u5c3c\u9ed1\u5b89\u5168\u6703\u8b70\uff08Munich Security Conference\uff09\u4e2d\uff0c\u5fb7\u570b\u7e3d\u7406\u9ed8\u514b\u723e\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u614b\u5ea6\uff0c\u660e\u986f\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e0d\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u5c07\u4e2d\u570b\u770b\u4f5c\u662f\u5a01\u8105\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u4f46\u9ed8\u514b\u723e\u537b\u8a8d\u70ba\u4ee5\u4e2d\u570b\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u80fd\u91cf\u548c\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u662f\u89e3\u6c7a\u5168\u7403\u554f\u984c\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u529b\u91cf\u3002\u5728\u9019\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u6cd5\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u99ac\u514b\u9f8d\u5728\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u8b70\u6703\uff08Atlantic Council\uff09\u4e0a\u4e5f\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e0d\u8d0a\u6210\u6b50\u76df\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u7d50\u9ee8\u5c0d\u4ed8\u4e2d\u570b\u3002 \u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e26\u4e0d\u50c5\u50c5\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u6380\u8d77\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c0d\u6b50\u76df\u7522\u54c1\u5fb5\u6536\u5927\u5e45\u5ea6\u7684\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u5982\u958b\u59cb\u6642\u5c0d\u92fc\u6750\u548c\u92c1\u6750\u768425%\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u672c\u5e741\u6708\u4ed6\u96e2\u4efb\u524d\u751f\u6548\u7684\u5c0d\u6cd5\u570b\u548c\u5fb7\u570b\u7a7a\u4e2d\u5df4\u58eb\u768415%\u95dc\u7a05\u7b49\u7b49\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u7f8e\u6b50\u4e4b\u9593\u4e0d\u5c11\u82a5\u8482\u3002\u62dc\u767b\u4e0a\u53f0\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u5c31\u9019\u4e9b\u95dc\u7a05\u4f5c\u4efb\u4f55\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u96e3\u602a\u6b50\u76df\u4e5f\u5c0d\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u89d2\u8272\u63a1\u53d6\u89c0\u671b\u614b\u5ea6\u3002\u6cc1\u4e14\uff0c\u6b50\u76df\u525b\u8207\u4e2d\u570b\u7c3d\u8a02\u4e86\u5168\u9762\u6295\u8cc7\u5354\u8b70 \uff08Comprehensive Agreement on Investment\uff09\uff0c\u671f\u5f85\u548c\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u7d93\u6fdf\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u4e0d\u6703\u4f5c\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u5c0d\u83ef\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u68cb\u5b50\u3002\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u6b50\u7c3d\u8a02\u9019\u500b\u5354\u8b70\u4e4b\u524d\u7d04\u4e00\u500b\u661f\u671f\uff0c\u4e0a\u9762\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u9867\u554f\u5091\u514b\uff0e\u8607\u5229\u6587\uff08Jake 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\u4ee5\u8cbf\u6613\u653f\u7b56\u4f86\u722d\u53d6\u9078\u6c11\uff0c\u4e26\u975e\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u7684\u5c08\u5229\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e5f\u4ee5\u6b64\u7b56\u7565\u57282016\u5e74\u7576\u9078\u3002\u4f46\u5169\u8005\u80cc\u5f8c\u7684\u7406\u5ff5\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u5426\u5b9a\u8cbf\u6613\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u597d\u8655\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u5c0d\u4e00\u500b\u767c\u9054\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5728\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u4e0b\u6536\u5165\u5206\u914d\u4e0d\u5229\u65bc\u52de\u52d5\u968e\u5c64\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u63a1\u53d6\u653f\u7b56\u4fdd\u8b77\u52de\u5de5\u5229\u76ca\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u5247\u662f\u57fa\u65bc\u8cbf\u6613\u662f\u96f6\u548c\u904a\u6232\u7684\u932f\u8aa4\u89c0\u9ede\uff0c\u4ee5\u300c\u7f8e\u570b\u7b2c\u4e00\u300d\u70ba\u865f\u53ec\uff0c\u6311\u64a5\u9078\u6c11\u4ec7\u8996\u5916\u570b\u4f86\u722d\u53d6\u652f\u6301\u3002 \u9019\u500b\u5206\u5225\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5f71\u97ff\u7740\u6c11\u4e3b\u5171\u548c\u5169\u9ee8\u5728\u8cbf\u6613\u653f\u7b56\u4e0a\u7684\u5206\u6b67\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u96d6\u7136\u5df2\u7d93\u4e0b\u53f0\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u5167\u4ecd\u6709\u76f8\u7576\u5927\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u76f8\u7576\u591a\u7684\u9078\u6c11\u652f\u6301\u3002\u4ed6\u4e0a\u5468\u672b\u5728\u4fdd\u5b88\u653f\u6cbb\u884c\u52d5\u6703\u8b70\uff08Conservative Political Action Conference\uff09\u4e0a\u4f5c\u58d3\u8ef8\u6f14\u8b1b\uff0c\u662f\u642c\u96e2\u767d\u5bae\u5f8c\u7684\u9996\u6b21\u516c\u958b\u6f14\u8b1b\uff0c\u6697\u793a\u6703\u57282024\u5e74\u6372\u571f\u91cd\u4f86\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11\u4eba\u3001\u5305\u62ec\u524d\u570b\u52d9\u537f\u84ec\u4f69\u5967\u3001\u90fd\u5c0d\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u63d0\u540d\u7684\u7e3d\u7d71\u53c3\u9078\u4eba\u5e2d\u4f4d\u864e\u8996\u7708\u7708\uff0c\u4f46\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u70ba\u6b62\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4ecd\u662f\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u4e2d\u6700\u5927\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u529b\u91cf\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u4ed6\u5728\u96a8\u5f8c\u7684\u7a05\u52d9\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u8a34\u8a1f\u4e2d\u88ab\u62d6\u57ae\u3002 \u4e2d\u7f8e\u5169\u570b\u70ba\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5169\u500b\u8cbf\u6613\u570b\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5916\u8cbf\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5730\u6d89\u53ca\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8cbf\u6613\u3002\u62dc\u767b\u5728\u5165\u4e3b\u767d\u5bae\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u8abf\u6574\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u4e2d\u7684\u5c0d\u83ef\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4f46\u537b\u63a1\u53d6\u4e86\u597d\u5e7e\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u884c\u52d5\u3002\u4e00\u662f\u8cac\u6210\u6709\u95dc\u5b98\u54e1\u5728100\u5929\u5167\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u6240\u6709\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u4f5c\u5168\u9762\u6aa2\u8a0e\uff0c\u6700\u7d42\u76ee\u6a19\u662f\u6e1b\u5c11\u7f8e\u570b \u5c0d\u5916\u570b\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u7684\u4f9d\u8cf4\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u7f8e\u570b\u5b98\u54e1\u8aaa\u6b64\u8209\u4e26\u975e\u91dd\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\uff0c\u4f46\u4e2d\u570b\u662f\u5168\u7403100\u591a\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u6700\u4e3b\u8981\u8cbf\u6613\u5925\u4f34\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u82e5\u6709\u4ec0\u9ebc\u653f\u7b56\u6539\u8b8a\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u76f4\u63a5\u5f71\u97ff\u4e2d\u570b\u3002 \u62dc\u767b\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u8209\u63aa\uff0c\u662f\u8981\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u76df\u53cb\u7d44\u6210\u7d71\u4e00\u6230\u7dda\u91dd\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\uff0c\u4f46\u4e26\u4e0d\u5f97\u901e\u3002\u7d04\u5169\u5468\u524d\u7684\u6155\u5c3c\u9ed1\u5b89\u5168\u6703\u8b70\uff08Munich Security Conference\uff09\u4e2d\uff0c\u5fb7\u570b\u7e3d\u7406\u9ed8\u514b\u723e\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u614b\u5ea6\uff0c\u660e\u986f\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e0d\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u5c07\u4e2d\u570b\u770b\u4f5c\u662f\u5a01\u8105\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u4f46\u9ed8\u514b\u723e\u537b\u8a8d\u70ba\u4ee5\u4e2d\u570b\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u80fd\u91cf\u548c\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u662f\u89e3\u6c7a\u5168\u7403\u554f\u984c\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u529b\u91cf\u3002\u5728\u9019\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u6cd5\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u99ac\u514b\u9f8d\u5728\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u8b70\u6703\uff08Atlantic Council\uff09\u4e0a\u4e5f\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e0d\u8d0a\u6210\u6b50\u76df\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u7d50\u9ee8\u5c0d\u4ed8\u4e2d\u570b\u3002 \u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e26\u4e0d\u50c5\u50c5\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u6380\u8d77\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c0d\u6b50\u76df\u7522\u54c1\u5fb5\u6536\u5927\u5e45\u5ea6\u7684\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u5982\u958b\u59cb\u6642\u5c0d\u92fc\u6750\u548c\u92c1\u6750\u768425%\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u672c\u5e741\u6708\u4ed6\u96e2\u4efb\u524d\u751f\u6548\u7684\u5c0d\u6cd5\u570b\u548c\u5fb7\u570b\u7a7a\u4e2d\u5df4\u58eb\u768415%\u95dc\u7a05\u7b49\u7b49\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u7f8e\u6b50\u4e4b\u9593\u4e0d\u5c11\u82a5\u8482\u3002\u62dc\u767b\u4e0a\u53f0\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u5c31\u9019\u4e9b\u95dc\u7a05\u4f5c\u4efb\u4f55\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u96e3\u602a\u6b50\u76df\u4e5f\u5c0d\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u89d2\u8272\u63a1\u53d6\u89c0\u671b\u614b\u5ea6\u3002\u6cc1\u4e14\uff0c\u6b50\u76df\u525b\u8207\u4e2d\u570b\u7c3d\u8a02\u4e86\u5168\u9762\u6295\u8cc7\u5354\u8b70 \uff08Comprehensive Agreement on Investment\uff09\uff0c\u671f\u5f85\u548c\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u7d93\u6fdf\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u4e0d\u6703\u4f5c\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u5c0d\u83ef\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u68cb\u5b50\u3002\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u6b50\u7c3d\u8a02\u9019\u500b\u5354\u8b70\u4e4b\u524d\u7d04\u4e00\u500b\u661f\u671f\uff0c\u4e0a\u9762\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u9867\u554f\u5091\u514b\uff0e\u8607\u5229\u6587\uff08Jake 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\u4ee5\u8cbf\u6613\u653f\u7b56\u4f86\u722d\u53d6\u9078\u6c11\uff0c\u4e26\u975e\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u7684\u5c08\u5229\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e5f\u4ee5\u6b64\u7b56\u7565\u57282016\u5e74\u7576\u9078\u3002\u4f46\u5169\u8005\u80cc\u5f8c\u7684\u7406\u5ff5\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u5426\u5b9a\u8cbf\u6613\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u597d\u8655\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u5c0d\u4e00\u500b\u767c\u9054\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5728\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u4e0b\u6536\u5165\u5206\u914d\u4e0d\u5229\u65bc\u52de\u52d5\u968e\u5c64\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u63a1\u53d6\u653f\u7b56\u4fdd\u8b77\u52de\u5de5\u5229\u76ca\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u5247\u662f\u57fa\u65bc\u8cbf\u6613\u662f\u96f6\u548c\u904a\u6232\u7684\u932f\u8aa4\u89c0\u9ede\uff0c\u4ee5\u300c\u7f8e\u570b\u7b2c\u4e00\u300d\u70ba\u865f\u53ec\uff0c\u6311\u64a5\u9078\u6c11\u4ec7\u8996\u5916\u570b\u4f86\u722d\u53d6\u652f\u6301\u3002 \u9019\u500b\u5206\u5225\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5f71\u97ff\u7740\u6c11\u4e3b\u5171\u548c\u5169\u9ee8\u5728\u8cbf\u6613\u653f\u7b56\u4e0a\u7684\u5206\u6b67\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u96d6\u7136\u5df2\u7d93\u4e0b\u53f0\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u5167\u4ecd\u6709\u76f8\u7576\u5927\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u76f8\u7576\u591a\u7684\u9078\u6c11\u652f\u6301\u3002\u4ed6\u4e0a\u5468\u672b\u5728\u4fdd\u5b88\u653f\u6cbb\u884c\u52d5\u6703\u8b70\uff08Conservative Political Action Conference\uff09\u4e0a\u4f5c\u58d3\u8ef8\u6f14\u8b1b\uff0c\u662f\u642c\u96e2\u767d\u5bae\u5f8c\u7684\u9996\u6b21\u516c\u958b\u6f14\u8b1b\uff0c\u6697\u793a\u6703\u57282024\u5e74\u6372\u571f\u91cd\u4f86\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11\u4eba\u3001\u5305\u62ec\u524d\u570b\u52d9\u537f\u84ec\u4f69\u5967\u3001\u90fd\u5c0d\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u63d0\u540d\u7684\u7e3d\u7d71\u53c3\u9078\u4eba\u5e2d\u4f4d\u864e\u8996\u7708\u7708\uff0c\u4f46\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u70ba\u6b62\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4ecd\u662f\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u4e2d\u6700\u5927\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u529b\u91cf\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u4ed6\u5728\u96a8\u5f8c\u7684\u7a05\u52d9\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u8a34\u8a1f\u4e2d\u88ab\u62d6\u57ae\u3002 \u4e2d\u7f8e\u5169\u570b\u70ba\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5169\u500b\u8cbf\u6613\u570b\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5916\u8cbf\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5730\u6d89\u53ca\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8cbf\u6613\u3002\u62dc\u767b\u5728\u5165\u4e3b\u767d\u5bae\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u8abf\u6574\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u4e2d\u7684\u5c0d\u83ef\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4f46\u537b\u63a1\u53d6\u4e86\u597d\u5e7e\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u884c\u52d5\u3002\u4e00\u662f\u8cac\u6210\u6709\u95dc\u5b98\u54e1\u5728100\u5929\u5167\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u6240\u6709\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u4f5c\u5168\u9762\u6aa2\u8a0e\uff0c\u6700\u7d42\u76ee\u6a19\u662f\u6e1b\u5c11\u7f8e\u570b \u5c0d\u5916\u570b\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u7684\u4f9d\u8cf4\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u7f8e\u570b\u5b98\u54e1\u8aaa\u6b64\u8209\u4e26\u975e\u91dd\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\uff0c\u4f46\u4e2d\u570b\u662f\u5168\u7403100\u591a\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u6700\u4e3b\u8981\u8cbf\u6613\u5925\u4f34\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u82e5\u6709\u4ec0\u9ebc\u653f\u7b56\u6539\u8b8a\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u76f4\u63a5\u5f71\u97ff\u4e2d\u570b\u3002 \u62dc\u767b\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u8209\u63aa\uff0c\u662f\u8981\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u76df\u53cb\u7d44\u6210\u7d71\u4e00\u6230\u7dda\u91dd\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\uff0c\u4f46\u4e26\u4e0d\u5f97\u901e\u3002\u7d04\u5169\u5468\u524d\u7684\u6155\u5c3c\u9ed1\u5b89\u5168\u6703\u8b70\uff08Munich Security Conference\uff09\u4e2d\uff0c\u5fb7\u570b\u7e3d\u7406\u9ed8\u514b\u723e\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u614b\u5ea6\uff0c\u660e\u986f\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e0d\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u5c07\u4e2d\u570b\u770b\u4f5c\u662f\u5a01\u8105\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u4f46\u9ed8\u514b\u723e\u537b\u8a8d\u70ba\u4ee5\u4e2d\u570b\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u80fd\u91cf\u548c\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u662f\u89e3\u6c7a\u5168\u7403\u554f\u984c\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u529b\u91cf\u3002\u5728\u9019\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u6cd5\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u99ac\u514b\u9f8d\u5728\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u8b70\u6703\uff08Atlantic Council\uff09\u4e0a\u4e5f\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e0d\u8d0a\u6210\u6b50\u76df\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u7d50\u9ee8\u5c0d\u4ed8\u4e2d\u570b\u3002 \u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e26\u4e0d\u50c5\u50c5\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u6380\u8d77\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c0d\u6b50\u76df\u7522\u54c1\u5fb5\u6536\u5927\u5e45\u5ea6\u7684\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u5982\u958b\u59cb\u6642\u5c0d\u92fc\u6750\u548c\u92c1\u6750\u768425%\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u672c\u5e741\u6708\u4ed6\u96e2\u4efb\u524d\u751f\u6548\u7684\u5c0d\u6cd5\u570b\u548c\u5fb7\u570b\u7a7a\u4e2d\u5df4\u58eb\u768415%\u95dc\u7a05\u7b49\u7b49\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u7f8e\u6b50\u4e4b\u9593\u4e0d\u5c11\u82a5\u8482\u3002\u62dc\u767b\u4e0a\u53f0\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u5c31\u9019\u4e9b\u95dc\u7a05\u4f5c\u4efb\u4f55\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u96e3\u602a\u6b50\u76df\u4e5f\u5c0d\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u89d2\u8272\u63a1\u53d6\u89c0\u671b\u614b\u5ea6\u3002\u6cc1\u4e14\uff0c\u6b50\u76df\u525b\u8207\u4e2d\u570b\u7c3d\u8a02\u4e86\u5168\u9762\u6295\u8cc7\u5354\u8b70 \uff08Comprehensive Agreement on Investment\uff09\uff0c\u671f\u5f85\u548c\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u7d93\u6fdf\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u4e0d\u6703\u4f5c\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u5c0d\u83ef\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u68cb\u5b50\u3002\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u6b50\u7c3d\u8a02\u9019\u500b\u5354\u8b70\u4e4b\u524d\u7d04\u4e00\u500b\u661f\u671f\uff0c\u4e0a\u9762\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u9867\u554f\u5091\u514b\uff0e\u8607\u5229\u6587\uff08Jake 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is back\u300d\uff09\uff0c\u4f46\u76f8\u6bd4\u6642\u4ee3\u7684\u6b65\u4f10\uff0c\u986f\u7136\u6709\u4e9b\u59cd\u59cd\u4f86\u9072\u4e86\u3002 \u9678\u708e\u8f1d \u6e2f\u5927\u7d93\u7ba1\u5b78\u9662\u69ae\u8b7d\u526f\u6559\u6388 \uff08\u672c\u6587\u540c\u6642\u65bc\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e8c\u4e00\u5e74\u4e09\u6708\u4e09\u65e5\u8f09\u65bc\u300a\u4fe1\u5831\u300b\u300c\u9f8d\u864e\u5c71\u4e0b\u300d\u5c08\u6b04\u3002\uff09","og:url":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/research\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches\/%e6%8b%9c%e7%99%bb%e6%94%bf%e5%ba%9c%e7%9a%84%e5%a4%96%e8%b2%bf%e6%94%bf%e7%ad%96\/","article:published_time":"2021-03-04T01:01:11+00:00","article:modified_time":"2021-03-15T06:52:42+00:00","twitter:card":"summary","twitter:title":"\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u5916\u8cbf\u653f\u7b56 - HKU Business School","twitter:description":"\u62dc\u767b\u4e0a\u53f0\u5f8c\uff0c\u767d\u5bae\u6452\u9664\u4e86\u7279\u6717\u666e\u6642\u671f\u8a87\u8a87\u5176\u8ac7\u3001\u4e0d\u5e79\u5be6\u4e8b\u7684\u4f5c\u98a8\uff0c\u5404\u7a2e\u653f\u7b56\u91cd\u4e0a\u8ecc\u9053\uff0c\u7279\u5225\u662f\u61c9\u4ed8\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u548c\u8655\u7406\u80ba\u708e\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5f8c\u907a\u75c7\uff0c\u90fd\u986f\u5f97\u7a4d\u6975\u9032\u53d6\u3002\u4e5f\u8a31\u7531\u65bc\u58d3\u5236\u75ab\u60c5\u548c\u63d0\u632f\u7d93\u6fdf\u662f\u7576\u52d9\u4e4b\u6025\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u653f\u7b56\u90fd\u8981\u8b93\u8def\u3002\u4ee5\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u70ba\u4f8b\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u5728\u4e0a\u4efb\u7d04\u5169\u500b\u661f\u671f\u5f8c\u624d\u5728\u570b\u52d9\u9662\u4f5c\u7c21\u55ae\u7684\u95e1\u91cb\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u4e2d\u6709\u95dc\u5916\u8cbf\u65b9\u9762\u7740\u58a8\u4e0d\u591a\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4ecd\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f9e\u62dc\u767b\u5728\u7af6\u9078\u6642\u5c0d\u6709\u95dc\u554f\u984c\u7684\u8ad6\u8ff0\u3001\u548c\u4ed6\u4e0a\u53f0\u5f8c\u57f7\u884c\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4e86\u89e3\u4ed6\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u600e\u6a23\u8655\u7406\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5916\u8cbf\u554f\u984c\u3002 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Conference\uff09\u4e0a\u4f5c\u58d3\u8ef8\u6f14\u8b1b\uff0c\u662f\u642c\u96e2\u767d\u5bae\u5f8c\u7684\u9996\u6b21\u516c\u958b\u6f14\u8b1b\uff0c\u6697\u793a\u6703\u57282024\u5e74\u6372\u571f\u91cd\u4f86\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11\u4eba\u3001\u5305\u62ec\u524d\u570b\u52d9\u537f\u84ec\u4f69\u5967\u3001\u90fd\u5c0d\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u63d0\u540d\u7684\u7e3d\u7d71\u53c3\u9078\u4eba\u5e2d\u4f4d\u864e\u8996\u7708\u7708\uff0c\u4f46\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u70ba\u6b62\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4ecd\u662f\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u4e2d\u6700\u5927\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u529b\u91cf\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u4ed6\u5728\u96a8\u5f8c\u7684\u7a05\u52d9\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u8a34\u8a1f\u4e2d\u88ab\u62d6\u57ae\u3002 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Conference\uff09\u4e2d\uff0c\u5fb7\u570b\u7e3d\u7406\u9ed8\u514b\u723e\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u614b\u5ea6\uff0c\u660e\u986f\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e0d\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u5c07\u4e2d\u570b\u770b\u4f5c\u662f\u5a01\u8105\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u4f46\u9ed8\u514b\u723e\u537b\u8a8d\u70ba\u4ee5\u4e2d\u570b\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u80fd\u91cf\u548c\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u662f\u89e3\u6c7a\u5168\u7403\u554f\u984c\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u529b\u91cf\u3002\u5728\u9019\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u6cd5\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u99ac\u514b\u9f8d\u5728\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u8b70\u6703\uff08Atlantic Council\uff09\u4e0a\u4e5f\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e0d\u8d0a\u6210\u6b50\u76df\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u7d50\u9ee8\u5c0d\u4ed8\u4e2d\u570b\u3002 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