{"id":135354,"date":"2021-01-14T09:01:33","date_gmt":"2021-01-14T01:01:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.fbe.hku.hk\/?p=135354&post_type=thought-leadership&preview_id=135354"},"modified":"2021-05-07T17:10:45","modified_gmt":"2021-05-07T09:10:45","slug":"rcep%e2%94%80%e2%94%80%e5%8e%bb%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e5%8c%96%e4%b8%8b%e7%9a%84%e5%89%b5%e8%88%89","status":"publish","type":"thought-leadership","link":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/research\/thought-leadership\/hkej-column\/rcep%e2%94%80%e2%94%80%e5%8e%bb%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e5%8c%96%e4%b8%8b%e7%9a%84%e5%89%b5%e8%88%89\/","title":{"rendered":"RCEP\u2500\u2500\u53bb\u5168\u7403\u5316\u4e0b\u7684\u5275\u8209"},"content":{"rendered":"

2020\u5e7411\u670815\u65e5\uff0c\u6771\u76df10\u570b\u52a0\u4e0a\u4e2d\u570b\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u3001\u5357\u97d3\u3001\u6fb3\u6d32\u548c\u7d10\u897f\u862d\u517115\u570b\u7c3d\u7f72\u300a\u5340\u57df\u5168\u9762\u7d93\u6fdf\u5925\u4f34\u5354\u5b9a\u300b\uff08Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership\uff1b\u7c21\u7a31RCEP\uff09\u3002\u7a0d\u5f8c\u5f85\u5404\u570b\u65bc\u570b\u6703\u901a\u904e\u5f8c\uff0c\u5354\u5b9a\u5c07\u6703\u662f\u6709\u53f2\u4ee5\u4f86\u6700\u5927\u7684\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u5354\u5b9a\uff0c\u6db5\u84cb\u5168\u7403\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\uff08\u7d0423\u5104\uff09\u53ca\u672c\u5730\u751f\u7522\u7e3d\u503c\uff08GDP\uff09\uff0c\u9810\u8a08\u5230\u4e862030\u5e74\uff0cGDP\u66f4\u5c07\u4f54\u5168\u7403\u7684\u4e00\u534a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u57282019\u51a0\u72c0\u75c5\u6bd2\u75c5\u8086\u8650\u4ee5\u53ca\u53bb\u5168\u7403\u5316\u8da8\u52e2\u7684\u5927\u74b0\u5883\u4e0b\uff0cRCEP\u7684\u7c3d\u7f72\u6b8a\u5c6c\u5275\u8209\uff0c\u53ef\u7b97\u662f\u8fd1\u5e74\u6700\u503c\u5f97\u9f13\u821e\u7684\u570b\u969b\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002\u4e0d\u5c11\u7814\u7a76\u5c31\u5df2\u9810\u8a08\uff0cRCEP\u591a\u500b\u6210\u54e1\u570b\u66f4\u5c07\u662f\u75ab\u5f8c\u5168\u7403\u5fa9\u7526\u53ca\u9577\u671f\u589e\u9577\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u5f15\u64ce\uff1bRCEP\u5176\u4e2d\u5169\u5927\u6210\u54e1\u570b\u2500\u2500\u4e2d\u570b\u548c\u8d8a\u5357\u2500\u2500\u662f\u5c11\u6578\u53bb\u5e74\u80fd\u5728\u56b4\u5cfb\u75ab\u60c5\u4e0b\u4ecd\u4fdd\u6301\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9664\u4e86\u5354\u5b9a\u898f\u6a21\u62cb\u96e2\u6b50\u76df\u53ca\u7531\u7f8e\u570b\u3001\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u3001\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u7d44\u6210\u7684\u5317\u7f8e\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u5340\uff0cRCEP\u4ea6\u5c07\u6210\u70ba\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff0c\u4f54\u4e16\u754c\u4e2d\u7522\u4eba\u53e3\uff08\u4ee5\u4e00\u5bb6\u4e09\u53e3\u5e74\u6536\u516515000\u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0a\u70ba\u6e96\uff09\u9ad8\u9054\u4e00\u534a\uff0c\u55ae\u5728\u4e2d\u570b\u5c31\u6709\u8d85\u904e4\u5104\u3002\u64da\u4e2d\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u5b9a\u4e0b\u7684\u76ee\u6a19\uff0c\u52302035\u5e74\u4e2d\u7522\u4eba\u53e3\u5c07\u589e\u52a0\u4e00\u500d\u3002\u81f3\u65bc\u6771\u76df\u5883\u5167\uff0c\u6709\u95dc\u6578\u76ee\u73fe\u70ba1.4\u5104\uff0c\u9810\u8a08\u52302030\u5e74\uff0c\u4ea6\u5c07\u500d\u589e\u81f33.3\u5104\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n

RCEP\u7cbe\u83ef\u6240\u5728<\/h5>\n

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\u5728\u5546\u54c1\u8cbf\u6613\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7126\u9ede\u5728\u65bc\u7b2c3\u7ae0\u6709\u95dc\u539f\u7522\u5730\u7684\u5b9a\u7fa9\uff0c\u8207\u73fe\u6709\u8a31\u591a\u81ea\u8cbf\u5354\u5b9a\u5982\u5317\u7f8e\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u5354\u8b70\uff08NAFTA\uff09\u4e00\u6a23\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u7522\u54c1\u5305\u542b\u4f86\u81ea\u81ea\u8cbf\u5354\u5b9a\u5340\u5167\u7684\u4e00\u5b9a\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u589e\u503c\uff08\u4e00\u822c\u572840%\u5de6\u53f3\uff09\uff0c\u5373\u53ef\u7372\u6240\u6709\u6210\u54e1\u570b\u5171\u540c\u8a2d\u5b9a\u7684\u95dc\u7a05\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u653f\u7b56\u512a\u60e0\u3002\u5728RCEP\u7c3d\u5b9a\u524d\uff0c\u570b\u969b\u96d9\u908a\u8cbf\u6613\u653f\u7b56\u56e0\u61c9\u5404\u570b\u5404\u81ea\u7684\u539f\u7522\u5730\u8981\u6c42\uff0c\u8cbf\u6613\u516c\u53f8\u70ba\u6c42\u6709\u8db3\u5920\u7684\u589e\u503c\u5206\u6210\u4f86\u81ea\u51fa\u53e3\u570b\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u672a\u80fd\u6709\u6548\u5206\u5e03\u751f\u7522\u93c8\uff0c\u66f4\u6703\u4f5c\u51fa\u6709\u9055\u793e\u6703\u6548\u76ca\u7684\u907f\u7a05\u884c\u70ba\uff0c\u5c0e\u81f4\u751f\u7522\u7387\u964d\u4f4e\u3002\u6240\u4ee5RCEP\u63d0\u51fa\u5c07\u539f\u7522\u5730\u91cd\u65b0\u5b9a\u7fa9\uff0c\u6709\u52a9\u512a\u5316\u5340\u5167\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u91cd\u7d44\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u751f\u7522\u6548\u7387\uff0c\u4e26\u9f13\u52f5\u516c\u53f8\u76e1\u91cf\u5229\u7528\u5340\u5167\u7684\u4e2d\u9593\u6295\u5165\u7522\u54c1\u53ca\u539f\u6750\u6599\uff0c\u800c\u6e1b\u5c11\u5c0d\u5340\u5916\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u4f9d\u8cf4\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u5c0d\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u5f71\u97ff<\/h5>\n

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\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u5f71\u97ff<\/h5>\n

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2019\u5e74\uff0c\u6771\u76df\u66f4\u6210\u70ba\u4e2d\u570b\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5927\u8cbf\u6613\u5925\u4f34\uff0c\u50c5\u6b21\u65bc\u6b50\u76df\uff1b\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u534a\u5c0e\u9ad4\uff0c\u6771\u76df\u8f38\u5f80\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u8ca8\u91cf\u589e\u5e45\u9ad8\u905424%\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u8f38\u5f80\u6771\u76df\u7684\u8ca8\u91cf\u589e\u5e45\u66f4\u905429%\u3002RCEP\u7c3d\u7f72\u5f8c\uff0c\u76f8\u4fe1\u6771\u76df\u7684\u6574\u9ad4\u751f\u7522\u529b\u6703\u9010\u6b65\u63d0\u9ad8\uff0c\u5340\u5167\u7684\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u91cd\u7d44\u4e5f\u6703\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u800c\u6709\u671b\u5f88\u5feb\u8d85\u8d8a\u6b50\u76df\uff0c\u6210\u70ba\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u6700\u5927\u8cbf\u6613\u5925\u4f34\u3002\u9019\u4e9b\u74b0\u74b0\u76f8\u6263\u7684\u767c\u5c55\uff0c\u52e2\u5c07\u60e0\u53ca\u300c\u4e00\u5e36\u4e00\u8def\u300d\u6709\u95dc\u57fa\u5efa\u53ca\u8cbf\u6613\u9805\u76ee\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\uff0c\u4e26\u66f4\u80fd\u61c9\u4ed8\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u8cbf\u6613\u53ca\u79d1\u6280\u6230\u3002RCEP\u7684\u7c3d\u7f72\u4e5f\u70ba\u4e2d\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u96d9\u5faa\u74b0\u7684\u5916\u5faa\u74b0\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u6253\u97ff\u982d\u70ae\uff1b\u5167\u5faa\u74b0\u90e8\u5206\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5247\u900f\u904e\u5340\u5167\u7684\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u91cd\u7d44\uff0c\u5229\u7528\u65e5\u97d3\u5169\u570b\u5728\u5148\u9032\u9818\u57df\u7684\u6280\u8853\u8207\u96f6\u4ef6\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u8f03\u5b8c\u6574\u7684\u672c\u5730\u751f\u7522\u93c8\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u7b2c\u56db\uff0cRCEP\u65e2\u70ba\u570b\u5bb6\u5275\u9020\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u63a8\u52d5\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u570b\u969b\u5316\u7684\u689d\u4ef6\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u4f5c\u70ba\u5340\u5167\u9996\u8981\u570b\u969b\u91d1\u878d\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff0c\u81ea\u80fd\u6df1\u5316\u5176\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u96e2\u5cb8\u7d50\u7b97\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u529f\u80fd\uff0c\u4e26\u501f\u52a9\u5176\u91d1\u878d\u79d1\u6280\u4eba\u529b\u8cc7\u6e90\u53ca\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u9a45\u52d5\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u6578\u78bc\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6700\u5f8c\uff0c\u6191\u85c9\u5176\u5b8c\u5099\u7684\u6cd5\u5236\u53ca\u8a13\u7df4\u6709\u7d20\u7684\u5f9e\u696d\u54e1\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u4e5f\u80fd\u70baRCEP\u6210\u54e1\u570b\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u722d\u7aef\u8a34\u8a1f\uff0c\u5145\u7576\u6cd5\u5f8b\u652f\u63f4\u57fa\u5730\uff0c\u4e26\u70ba\u5340\u5167\u57f9\u8a13\u6cd5\u5f8b\u4eba\u624d\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/a>\u8a3b\uff1a Caroline Freund, Antoni Estevadeordal, and Emanuel Ornelas, ‘Does Regionalism Affect Trade Liberalization towards Non-Members?’, Quarterly Journal of Economics<\/em> 123\uff084\uff09, \uff082008\uff09: 1531-1575.<\/p>\n

\u9127\u5e0c\u7152\u6559\u6388
\n\u6e2f\u5927\u7d93\u7ba1\u5b78\u9662\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u6559\u6388\u3001\u9999\u6e2f\u7d93\u6fdf\u53ca\u5546\u696d\u7b56\u7565\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u526f\u7e3d\u76e3<\/strong><\/p>\n

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