團隊

Brazil, Russia and China are “the most serious” about de-dollarisation, said Chen at the University of Hong Kong. “As long as enough people can believe in a certain payment system, then the system becomes more of a reality,” he said.

“As long as stock issuers lay out the good and the bad, they will not be held accountable if these bad things—which hopefully will never happen—do happen,” said Zhiwu Chen, a finance professor at the University of Hong Kong who sat on the CSRC’s international advisory council from 2012 to 2019.

“The regulators have introduced a lot of ambiguous steps that must be followed around winding down, and winding out, of foreign investments in China,” Professor Zhiwu Chen, chair of Finance at Hong Kong University, told FinanceAsia.

“His (Wang’s) challenges are only bigger now,” says Chen Zhiwu, chair professor of finance at the University of Hong Kong. “IPOs, bond issuance, bank loans … all these funding opportunities are now first and foremost reserved for SOEs [state-owned enterprises] and strategic industry players. It is definitely not easy for real estate developers and companies in not so strategically important sectors.”

“Wall Street banks should have factored in geopolitical risks a long time ago,” said Chen Zhiwu, a professor of finance at the University of Hong Kong Business School. “Over the next five years, the best case scenario for them is that China reverses direction and goes back to real open-door policy and market reforms, revitalizing the business environment. This is an extremely unlikely scenario but not impossible.”

在和端傳媒的訪談中，陳志武談論到中國經濟的復甦困難，和在目前地緣政治局面與國家管制的情況下面臨的雙重困境，以及在接下來的發展過程中會出現的方向變化：我們在過去二三十年目睹的中國經濟增長與普通人生活改善的路徑，在未來也許會發生徹底的轉變。

China has encountered its share of financial distress during its decades-long transition to a modern industrial economy, but regulators have used their considerable powers to repeatedly prevent catastrophe.

Chinese companies that did business with SVB in the U.S. also have plenty of options as they join the rush to find a new bank. But SVB’s collapse may make firms think twice before relying on smaller, regional banks. “There is a shift going on,” says Zhiwu Chen, a finance professor at the University of Hong Kong. “Everyone I know has been moving money from small banks into big ones.” Chen says that some of the companies he advises are concerned about this transition, fearing that they may not get the sort of specialized or preferential service from large banks that they enjoyed with SVB.

"Confidence has been very much shattered," said Zhiwu Chen, a professor and chair of finance at the University of Hong Kong's business school. "The government's desire to have private equity and venture capital invest more is very much undermined," he added.