\u65e9\u524d\u4e2d\u7f8e\u53cc\u65b9\u5728\u65e5\u5185\u74e6\u5c31\u5173\u7a0e\u4f1a\u8c08\uff0c\u51fa\u4e4e\u610f\u6599\u5730\u8fc5\u901f\u8fbe\u6210\u4f11\u6218\u5171\u8bc6\uff0c\u5173\u7a0e\u7a0e\u7387\u6682\u65f6\u56de\u843d\u81f3\u6240\u8c13\u7f8e\u56fd\u201c\u89e3\u653e\u65e5\u201d\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u4f46\u5168\u7403\u5c40\u9762\u5374\u96be\u590d\u65e7\u89c2\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\u73a9\u5f04\u6240\u8c13\u8c08\u5224\u6280\u5de7\uff0c\u53eb\u4ef7\u5ffd\u9ad8\u5ffd\u4f4e\u3001\u5ffd\u771f\u5ffd\u5047\uff0c\u5a01\u903c\u5229\u8bf1\uff0c\u4e3a\u5df1\u65b9\u5236\u9020\u8c08\u5224\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002\u53ef\u662f\u788d\u4e8e\u5e95\u6c14\u4e0d\u8db3\uff0c\u903b\u8f91\u7d0a\u4e71\uff0c\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u72b9\u5982\u7f8e\u65b9\u8e69\u811a\u7684\u9a6c\u620f\u73ed\u6742\u800d\uff0c\u5c06\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u6307\u6570\u63a8\u81f3\u5386\u53f2\u9ad8\u70b9\u3010\u6ce81\u3011\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7ecf\u8fc7\u4e00\u4e2a\u591a\u6708\u7684\u6298\u817e\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u795e\u8bdd\u5df2\u4e0d\u653b\u81ea\u7834\u3002\u8bf4\u5173\u7a0e\u662f\u7531\u5916\u56fd\u800c\u975e\u7f8e\u56fd\u652f\u4ed8\uff0c\u5374\u5728\u6c83\u5c14\u739b\u901a\u77e5\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u8d27\u54c1\u56e0\u5173\u7a0e\u800c\u52a0\u4ef7\u65f6\uff0c\u8d23\u6210\u6c83\u5c14\u739b\u5e94\u201c\u541e\u4e0b\u201d\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u8f6c\u5ac1\u7ed9\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u3002\u8bf4\u5173\u7a0e\u4f1a\u91cd\u632f\u7f8e\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u548c\u521b\u9020\u5de5\u4f5c\u5c97\u4f4d\uff0c\u5374\u6279\u8bc4\u82f9\u679c\u516c\u53f8\u9996\u5e2d\u6267\u884c\u5b98\u5e93\u514b\u5c06iPhone\u751f\u4ea7\u8f6c\u5230\u5370\u5ea6\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u5e26\u56de\u7f8e\u56fd\u3002<\/p>\n
\u81f3\u4e8e\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u5173\u7a0e\u4e0a\u5347\u6216\u6682\u7f13\u7684\u5927\u5e45\u5ea6\u53cd\u5e94\uff0c\u66f4\u662f\u4e0d\u7559\u60c5\u9762\u7684\u8868\u8fbe\u5173\u7a0e\u5927\u68d2\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u56e2\u961f\u53ea\u80fd\u6539\u53d8\u53e3\u98ce\uff0c\u8bf4\u5173\u7a0e\u6bd5\u7adf\u6709\u4e9b\u77ed\u671f\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u957f\u8fdc\u6765\u8bf4\u8fd8\u662f\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u5229\u591a\u4e8e\u5f0a\u3002<\/p>\n
\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u4e0e\u82f1\u56fd\u8fbe\u6210\u6ca1\u592a\u591a\u5b9e\u8d28\u5185\u5bb9\u7684\u534f\u8bae\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u8fd8\u6ca1\u4efb\u4f55\u6210\u679c\u3002\u5bf9\u7b49\u5173\u7a0e90\u5929\u5bbd\u9650\u671f\u5c06\u57287\u67089\u65e5\u7ed3\u675f\uff0c\u5927\u62b5\u5404\u56fd\u90fd\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\u7f8e\u56fd\u5916\u5f3a\u4e2d\u5e72\uff0c\u60f3\u591a\u770b\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u6765\u5224\u65ad\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5e95\u7ebf\uff0c\u6ca1\u5feb\u5feb\u4e0b\u8dea\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f7f\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5904\u5883\u6108\u6765\u6108\u5c34\u5c2c\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u7279\u6717\u666e\u548c\u8d22\u653f\u90e8\u957f\u8d1d\u6851\u90fd\u5206\u522b\u5728\u6570\u5929\u524d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u82e5\u5404\u56fd\u6ca1\u8c08\u5224\u8bda\u610f\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4fbf\u4f1a\u5355\u65b9\u9762\u5f81\u6536\u201c\u89e3\u653e\u65e5\u201d\u5f53\u5929\u5ba3\u5e03\u7684\u5bf9\u7b49\u5173\u7a0e\u7a0e\u7387\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u60ef\u6027\u7684\u5a01\u5413\u4f0e\u4fe9\uff0c\u60df\u4e8b\u60c5\u6bd5\u7adf\u8981\u89e3\u51b3\uff0c\u4e5f\u8bb8\u5728\u672a\u6765\u6570\u5468\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u4e00\u4e9b\u7a81\u7834\u53e3\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7279\u6717\u666e\u548c\u4ed6\u7684\u56e2\u961f\u628a\u5173\u7a0e\u95f9\u5f97\u8fd9\u4e48\u5927\uff0c\u8d4c\u4e0a\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u56fd\u9645\u5f62\u8c61\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u6709\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u548c\u6267\u5ff5\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u90fd\u6b63\u786e\uff0c\u8fd9\u91cc\u4ee5\u4e24\u6761\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5165\u95e8\u7684\u6052\u7b49\u5f0f\u6765\u8ba8\u8bba\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0a\u6708\u5e95\u516c\u5e03\u672c\u5e74\u9996\u5b63GDP\u6570\u5b57\uff0c\u5b9e\u8d28\u589e\u957f\u7387\u4e0e\u524d\u4e00\u5b63\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u4ee5\u6309\u5e74\u4e0b\u8dcc0.3%\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u7f8e\u56fd\u8206\u8bba\u90fd\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f01\u4e1a\u4e89\u53d6\u5728\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u63d0\u9ad8\u5173\u7a0e\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u5927\u91cf\u8fdb\u53e3\u5916\u56fd\u5546\u54c1\u6240\u81f4\u3002\u4f17\u591a\u7684\u4e3b\u6d41\u4f20\u5a92\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u300a\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u65e5\u62a5\u300b\u3001\u300a\u534e\u76db\u987f\u90ae\u62a5\u300b\u3001\u5f6d\u535a\u3001\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u65b0\u95fb\u4e0e\u5546\u4e1a\u9891\u9053\u7b49\uff0c\u5747\u5982\u6b64\u62a5\u9053\u3002\u80cc\u540e\u7684\u601d\u8def\uff0c\u662f\u8fdb\u53e3\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u672c\u5730\u751f\u4ea7\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6309\u8fd9\u4e2a\u903b\u8f91\u63a8\u7406\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5927\u91cf\u51fa\u53e3\uff0c\u4fbf\u4e25\u91cd\u5730\u62c9\u4f4e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u593a\u53bb\u7f8e\u56fd\u5de5\u4eba\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u673a\u4f1a\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e24\u6b21\u5f53\u9009\u603b\u7edf\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u6210\u529f\u5730\u5229\u7528\u8fd9\u79cd\u601d\u7ef4\uff0c\u6807\u699c\u81ea\u5df1\u4f1a\u4ee5\u5173\u7a0e\u6297\u62d2\u5916\u56fd\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u4fdd\u62a4\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5de5\u4eba\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u3002\u4ed6\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u987e\u95ee\u7eb3\u74e6\u7f57\uff0c\u4e5f\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u4e0d\u65ad\u91cd\u590d\u7c7b\u4f3c\u8a00\u8bba\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8fdb\u53e3\u4f1a\u51cf\u5c11\u672c\u5730\u751f\u4ea7\uff0c\u662f\u9519\u8bef\u7684\u7406\u89e3\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fdb\u53e3\u662f\u201c\u5916\u56fd\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u201d\uff0c\u8fdb\u53e3\u591a\u5c11\uff0c\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u662f\u5916\u56fd\u800c\u975e\u672c\u5730\u751f\u4ea7\u3002\u8fd9\u6216\u8bb8\u4e0d\u80fd\u5b8c\u5168\u6f84\u6e05\u6240\u6709\u7591\u8651\uff0c\u90a3\u770b\u770b\u672c\u5730\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u6240\u8c13GDP\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5165\u95e8\u6559\u79d1\u4e66\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u90fd\u4f1a\u5728\u9996\u4e00\u3001\u4e8c\u7ae0\u89e3\u91caGDP\u7684\u91cf\u5ea6\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5e77\u4ee5Y=C+I+G+EX-IM\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7b97\u5f0f\u8868\u8fbe\uff0c\u5176\u4e2dY\u662fGDP\uff0cC\u662f\u6d88\u8d39\uff0cI\u662f\u5b9e\u8d28\u6295\u8d44\uff0cG\u662f\u653f\u5e9c\u5f00\u652f\uff0cEX\u662f\u51fa\u53e3\uff0cIM\u662f\u8fdb\u53e3\u3002\u4e00\u822c\u8bfb\u8005\u4f1a\u8bef\u4ee5\u4e3a\u8fdb\u53e3IM\u7684\u524d\u9762\u6709\u51cf\u53f7\uff0c\u4fbf\u5f97\u51faIM\u589e\u52a0\u3001Y\u76f8\u5e94\u51cf\u5c11\u7684\u7ed3\u8bba\u3002\u4f46\u8fd9\u6761\u516c\u5f0f\u53ea\u662f\u4f1a\u8ba1\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u5373\u5728\u4ea7\u91cf\u5df2\u6210\u5b9a\u5c40\u65f6\uff08\u5982\u53bb\u5e74\u7684GDP\uff09\u8981\u627e\u51fa\u5b83\u7684\u603b\u503c\uff0c\u8f83\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u5c31\u662f\u8ba1\u7b97\u516c\u5f0f\u53f3\u8fb9\u5404\u7ec4\u6210\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u603b\u548c\u800c\u5df2\u3002\u82e5\u8981\u4e86\u89e3\u8fdb\u53e3\u6216\u8d38\u6613\u9006\u5dee\u548cGDP\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u8fd8\u5f97\u8981\u52a0\u5165\u6709\u5173\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u884c\u4e3a\u5047\u8bbe\u548c\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u7b80\u5355\u5730\u4ece\u8fd9\u516c\u5f0f\u770b\u51fa\u6765\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4e3e\u4f8b\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u82e5\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f01\u4e1a\u56e0\u9884\u671f\u5173\u7a0e\u4e0a\u8c03\u800c\u63d0\u65e9\u4ece\u5916\u56fd\u5165\u8d27\uff0c\u4e0d\u9519\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0IM\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e0d\u662f\u552f\u4e00\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002\u5982\u679c\u8d27\u54c1\u8fdb\u53e3\u540e\u6682\u65f6\u5b58\u5165\u8d27\u4ed3\uff0c\u90a3\u5728\u4e0a\u8ff0\u516c\u5f0f\u4e2d\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u5e93\u5b58\u6295\u8d44\uff08\u4e5f\u5c31\u662fI\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\uff09\u4f1a\u548c\u8fdb\u53e3\u540c\u65f6\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4e92\u76f8\u62b5\u6d88\u800c\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6539\u53d8Y\u3002\u5982\u679c\u8d27\u54c1\u5373\u65f6\u552e\u4e88\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\uff0c\u90a3\u7b49\u4e8e\u6d88\u8d39\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u516c\u5f0f\u4e2d\u7684C\u4ea6\u4f1a\u548c\u8fdb\u53e3\u540c\u65f6\u4e0a\u5347\u53ca\u4e92\u76f8\u62b5\u6d88\u3002<\/p>\n
\u540c\u6837\u5730\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u8d27\u54c1\u662f\u7531\u653f\u5e9c\u800c\u975e\u4f01\u4e1a\u8fdb\u53e3\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48G\u4e5f\u4f1a\u76f8\u5e94\u63d0\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6362\u53e5\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u672c\u5e74\u9996\u5b63GDP\u8f7b\u5fae\u6536\u7f29\uff0c\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e89\u53d6\u5728\u5173\u7a0e\u63d0\u9ad8\u524d\u589e\u52a0\u8fdb\u53e3\u65e0\u5173\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5176\u4ed6\u539f\u56e0\u5bfc\u81f4\u3002\u540c\u7406\uff0cIM\u6570\u503c\u7684\u6539\u53d8\uff0c\u4e00\u822c\u90fd\u6709\u76f8\u5e94\u7684C\u3001I\u3001\u6216G\u7684\u6539\u53d8\u800c\u4e0d\u5f71\u54cd\u5230\u672c\u5730\u751f\u4ea7\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5982\u679c\u8fdb\u53e3\u662f\u7528\u6765\u66ff\u4ee3\u672c\u5730\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u82e5\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u51cf\u5c11\u8d2d\u4e70\u672c\u5730\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u8f6c\u4e70\u5916\u56fd\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u90a3\u672c\u5730\u751f\u4ea7\u81ea\u7136\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u4e25\u683c\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fdb\u53e3\u884c\u4e3a\u5e77\u4e0d\u76f4\u63a5\u51cf\u5c11\u672c\u5730\u751f\u4ea7\uff0c\u540e\u8005\u4e0b\u8dcc\u53ea\u662f\u56e0\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4e3a\u67d0\u4e9b\u539f\u56e0\u5148\u4e0d\u8d2d\u4e70\u672c\u5730\u4ea7\u54c1\u3002\u82e5\u679c\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u5916\u56fd\u4ea7\u54c1\u4ef7\u5ec9\u7269\u7f8e\uff0c\u672c\u5730\u8d27\u54c1\u96be\u4ee5\u7ade\u4e89\uff0c\u90a3\u51cf\u5c11\u6ca1\u6709\u7ade\u4e89\u529b\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u672c\u5730\u751f\u4ea7\uff0c\u8ba9\u5e7f\u5927\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u8d2d\u4e70\u66f4\u4fbf\u5b9c\u7684\u8fdb\u53e3\u8d27\uff0c\u662f\u9002\u5f53\u7684\u5b89\u6392\uff0c\u8bf4\u4e0d\u5b9a\u817e\u51fa\u6765\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\u53ef\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u66f4\u6709\u4f18\u52bf\u7684\u884c\u4e1a\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8fdb\u53e3\u548c\u672c\u5730\u751f\u4ea7\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u4e92\u76f8\u53d6\u4ee3\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u4e92\u76f8\u8865\u5145\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u8fdb\u53e3\u7684\u662f\u96f6\u90e8\u4ef6\u6216\u539f\u6750\u6599\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fdb\u53e3\u6108\u591a\uff0c\u672c\u5730\u751f\u4ea7\u4e5f\u4f1a\u6108\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n
\u603b\u800c\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u8fdb\u53e3\u591a\u5c11\u6216\u8d38\u6613\u9006\u5dee\u591a\u5927\uff0c\u548c\u672c\u5730\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u6709\u591a\u4e2a\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u5e77\u975e\u8fdb\u53e3\u6108\u591a\u672c\u5730\u751f\u4ea7\u5fc5\u7136\u6108\u5c11\u3002\u53cd\u8fc7\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u4ee5\u5173\u7a0e\u6216\u5176\u4ed6\u8d38\u6613\u58c1\u5792\u6765\u9650\u5236\u8fdb\u53e3\uff0c\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u4f1a\u5e26\u52a8\u672c\u5730\u751f\u4ea7\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u53ef\u80fd\u5f04\u5de7\u53cd\u62d9\u3002\u8fc7\u53bb\u6570\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u8fdb\u53e3\u603b\u503c\u6301\u7eed\u6269\u5927\uff0c\u4f46\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u90fd\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u63a5\u8fd14%\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u4f4e\u4f4d\uff08\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u671f\u95f4\u9664\u5916\uff09\uff0c\u4e0e\u8fdb\u53e3\u4f1a\u51cf\u5c11\u672c\u5730\u751f\u4ea7\u7684\u8bf4\u6cd5\u4e0d\u7b26\u3002<\/p>\n
\u53e6\u4e00\u6761\u88ab\u7279\u6717\u666e\u56e2\u961f\u8bef\u7528\u7684\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6052\u7b49\u5f0f\uff0c\u662f\u7ecf\u5e38\u8d26\u9006\u5dee\u7b49\u4e8e\u51c0\u5916\u8d44\u6d41\u5165\u3002\u7ecf\u5e38\u8d26\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u90e8\u5206\u662f\u8d38\u6613\u9980\u989d\uff0c\u4e3a\u7b80\u5355\u8d77\u89c1\u8fd9\u91cc\u5c31\u4e0d\u8003\u8651\u5176\u4ed6\u8f83\u5c0f\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u3002\u5916\u8d44\u6d41\u5165\u5c31\u662f\u5916\u56fd\u8d44\u91d1\u4e3a\u672c\u5730\u6240\u7528\uff0c\u4e5f\u7b49\u4e8e\u5916\u56fd\u8d37\u6b3e\u7ed9\u672c\u5730\u3002<\/p>\n
\u8fd9\u4e24\u8005\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u6052\u7b49\uff0c\u4ee5\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e3a\u4f8b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u9006\u5dee\u80fd\u591f\u6210\u4e3a\u4e8b\u5b9e\uff0c\u6216\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u7528\u5916\u56fd\u4ea7\u54c1\u53ef\u4ee5\u591a\u4e8e\u5916\u56fd\u4eba\u7528\u7f8e\u56fd\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u5728\u4e2a\u4eba\u6216\u4f01\u4e1a\u5c42\u9762\u5982\u4f55\u5b89\u6392\uff0c\u5f52\u6839\u7a76\u67e2\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u591a\u7528\u7684\u5916\u56fd\u4ea7\u54c1\u662f\u5916\u56fd\u6682\u65f6\u501f\u7ed9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u9006\u5dee\u6108\u5927\uff0c\u7b49\u4e8e\u5411\u5916\u56fd\u8ba8\u503a\u6108\u591a\u3001\u6216\u5916\u8d44\u6d41\u5165\u6108\u591a\uff0c\u4e24\u8005\u540c\u65f6\u51fa\u73b0\uff0c\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u786c\u5e01\u7684\u4e24\u8fb9\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5373\u4f7f\u7f8e\u56fd\u53d1\u884c\u7f8e\u5143\u6765\u652f\u4ed8\u8d38\u6613\u9006\u5dee\uff0c\u4e5f\u7b49\u4e8e\u6b20\u5916\u56fd\u503a\u52a1\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u7f8e\u5143\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u50a8\u5c40\u7684\u8d1f\u503a\uff0c\u4ea6\u662f\u5916\u56fd\u7f8e\u5143\u6301\u6709\u8005\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u53ea\u4e0d\u8fc7\u7f8e\u5143\u73b0\u91d1\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u540d\u4e49\u56de\u62a5\u7387\u662f\u96f6\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u503a\u5238\u800c\u5df2\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7ecf\u5e38\u8d26\u9006\u5dee\u7b49\u4e8e\u8d44\u91d1\u6d41\u5165\u91cf\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6052\u7b49\u5f0f\uff0c\u540c\u6837\u662f\u4f1a\u8ba1\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ee3\u8868\u4efb\u4f55\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u56e2\u961f\u5374\u4f5c\u5982\u4e0b\u7684\u8bba\u8ff0\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u662f\u6700\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u5916\u6c47\u50a8\u5907\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u4f17\u591a\u7684\u5916\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u5747\u5728\u5916\u6c47\u5e02\u573a\u4e70\u5165\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4f7f\u7f8e\u5143\u76f8\u5bf9\u5176\u4ed6\u8d27\u5e01\u5347\u503c\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u7f8e\u56fd\u591a\u8fdb\u53e3\u5c11\u51fa\u53e3\uff0c\u5f62\u6210\u957f\u671f\u5e9e\u5927\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u9006\u5dee\u3001\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u840e\u7f29\u3001\u5de5\u4eba\u5931\u4e1a\u53ca\u4f9d\u8d56\u5916\u56fd\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5916\u56fd\u5219\u6709\u8d38\u6613\u987a\u5dee\uff0c\u5c06\u4ece\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d5a\u5230\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u8f6c\u6362\u4e3a\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u503a\u5238\u3002\u5f53\u5916\u56fd\u6301\u6709\u7684\u7f8e\u503a\u6108\u6765\u6108\u591a\uff0c\u4f1a\u5a01\u80c1\u5230\u7f8e\u5143\u4f5c\u4e3a\u50a8\u5907\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u5730\u4f4d\u53ca\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6362\u53e5\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c\u5916\u56fd\u8d44\u91d1\u6d41\u5165\u7f8e\u56fd\u6301\u6709\u7f8e\u5143\u7f8e\u503a\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u7f8e\u56fd\u5916\u8d38\u9006\u5dee\u53ca\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6d41\u5931\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u662f\u8bf4\u7f8e\u56fd\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u63d0\u4f9b\u5916\u6c47\u50a8\u5907\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u7adf\u8981\u627f\u62c5\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0a\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e3a\u4f7f\u7f8e\u56fd\u518d\u6b21\u4f1f\u5927\uff0c\u51cf\u5c11\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u201c\u59d4\u5c48\u201d\uff0c\u4fbf\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u5bf9\u4f17\u591a\u8d38\u6613\u4f19\u4f34\u5927\u5e45\u52a0\u5f81\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u840c\u751f\u5c06\u73b0\u6709\u7f8e\u503a\u8f6c\u6362\u4e3a\u767e\u5e74\u65e0\u606f\u957f\u503a\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u7b49\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4e0a\u9762\u7684\u8bba\u8ff0\u4e0e\u5b9e\u9645\u60c5\u51b5\u5e77\u4e0d\u76f8\u7b26\uff0c\u9996\u5148\u662f\u5916\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u6301\u6709\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u503a\u5238\uff0c\u81ea2012\u5e74\u8d77\u81f3\u53bb\u5e74\u5e95\u90fd\u5f98\u5f8a\u4e8e4\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u6709\u4e9b\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3010\u6ce82\u3011\u3002<\/p>\n
\u8fd9\u53cd\u6620\u603b\u7684\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u5916\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u5728\u8fd9\u671f\u95f4\u5e77\u6ca1\u6709\u52a0\u6301\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u503a\u5238\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5916\u6c47\u50a8\u5907\uff0c\u60df\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u5e38\u8d26\u9006\u5dee\u4ecd\u57282020\u5e74\u540e\u589e\u52a0\u5f88\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u82e5\u4ee5\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u96c7\u5458\u5360\u5168\u56fd\u975e\u519c\u4e1a\u96c7\u5458\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u6765\u4ee3\u8868\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u5360\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u8fd9\u6bd4\u4f8b\u4ece\u4e8c\u6218\u7ed3\u675f\u65f6\u768435%\u6301\u7eed\u6709\u5e8f\u5730\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f3\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u7ea68%\u3010\u6ce83\u3011\u3002\u4f46\u671f\u95f4\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u4ef7\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u591a\u6b21\u5927\u5e45\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u5982\u57281985\u5e74\u5e7f\u573a\u534f\u8bae\u540e\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5b9e\u8d28\u6709\u6548\u6c47\u7387\u4ece118\u5927\u5e45\u8d2c\u503c\u81f3\u6570\u5e74\u540e\u768490\uff0c\u5e77\u6301\u7eed\u6570\u5e74\u5904\u4e8e\u4f4e\u4f4d\uff0c\u53ef\u662f\u6ca1\u6709\u6539\u53d8\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u96c7\u5458\u6bd4\u4f8b\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u548c\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4e5f\u8bb8\u653f\u5ba2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8bba\u8ff0\u53ea\u662f\u5f71\u54cd\u8206\u8bba\u53ca\u4e3a\u653f\u6cbb\u670d\u52a1\uff0c\u4f46\u7279\u6717\u666e2.0\u624d\u5f00\u59cb\u4e864\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u903b\u8f91\u5df2\u663e\u5f97\u5de6\u652f\u53f3\u7ecc\u3002\u5728\u53bb\u5e74\u603b\u7edf\u7ade\u9009\u65f6\u88ab\u9009\u6c11\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5f3a\u9879\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5230\u6700\u8fd1\u8def\u900f\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\u4e2d\u53ea\u5f9737%\u53d7\u8bbf\u8005\u8ba4\u540c\u3002\u770b\u6765\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u6307\u6570\u5728\u672a\u6765\u6570\u5e74\u90fd\u4f1a\u5728\u9ad8\u4f4d\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6ce81\uff1ahttps:\/\/www.policyuncertainty.com\/<\/a> \u9646\u708e\u8f89\u535a\u58eb<\/strong> \uff08\u672c\u6587\u540c\u65f6\u4e8e\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e8c\u4e94\u5e74\u4e94\u6708\u4e8c\u5341\u4e00\u65e5\u8f7d\u4e8e\u300a\u4fe1\u62a5\u300b\u201c\u9f99\u864e\u5c71\u4e0b\u201d\u4e13\u680f\uff09<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"class_list":["post-235763","thought-leadership","type-thought-leadership","status-publish","hentry","leadership-topic-categories-hkej-column-sc","leadership-topic-categories-opinions-and-speeches-sc","in-the-media-topic-categories-faculty-sc","opinion-speeches-categories-faculty-sc"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/thought-leadership\/235763","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/thought-leadership"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/thought-leadership"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/thought-leadership\/235763\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":244395,"href":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/thought-leadership\/235763\/revisions\/244395"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=235763"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=235763"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
\n\u6ce82\uff1ahttps:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/series\/BOGZ1FL263061130Q<\/a>
\n\u6ce83\uff1ahttps:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/graph\/?g=cAYh<\/a><\/p>\n
\n\u6e2f\u5927\u7ecf\u7ba1\u5b66\u9662\u8363\u8a89\u526f\u6559\u6388<\/strong><\/p>\n