{"id":225924,"date":"2024-12-18T12:41:28","date_gmt":"2024-12-18T04:41:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/?p=225924&#038;post_type=thought-leadership&#038;preview_id=225924"},"modified":"2024-12-18T12:42:13","modified_gmt":"2024-12-18T04:42:13","slug":"ai%e5%86%b2%e5%87%bb%e7%8e%af%e5%a2%83-%e7%a2%b3%e6%8e%92%e6%94%be%e6%9c%89%e4%bd%95%e8%bd%ac%e6%9c%ba","status":"publish","type":"thought-leadership","link":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/research\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches\/ai%e5%86%b2%e5%87%bb%e7%8e%af%e5%a2%83-%e7%a2%b3%e6%8e%92%e6%94%be%e6%9c%89%e4%bd%95%e8%bd%ac%e6%9c%ba\/","title":{"rendered":"AI\u51b2\u51fb\u73af\u5883 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Corporation<\/span>\uff09\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5168\u7403<span>AI<\/span>\u5e02\u573a\u89c4\u6a21\u5c06\u4ece<span>2022<\/span>\u5e74\u7684<span>1324<\/span>\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u589e\u957f\u5230<span>2027<\/span>\u5e74\u7684<span>5124<\/span>\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u4e3a<span>AI<\/span>\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u521b\u65b0\u4fbf\u5229\u6b22\u547c\u4e4b\u9980\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u5404\u754c\u662f\u5426\u610f\u8bc6\u5230\uff0c\u8fd9\u573a\u79d1\u6280\u9769\u547d\u6b63\u5728\u6084\u7136\u5bf9\u5730\u7403\u73af\u5883\u9020\u6210\u5de8\u5927\u5f71\u54cd\uff1f\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c<span>AI<\/span>\u53d1\u5c55\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u5230\u4e86\u4e0d\u5bb9\u5ffd\u89c6\u7684\u5730\u6b65\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3>\u9690\u5f62\u6740\u624b\uff1a<span>AI<\/span>\u8bad\u7ec3\u7684\u78b3\u8db3\u8ff9<\/h3>\n<p>\u8981\u7406\u89e3<span>AI<\/span>\u5bf9\u73af\u5883\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5fc5\u987b\u63ed\u5f00<span>AI<\/span>\u6a21\u578b\u8bad\u7ec3\u7684\u9762\u7eb1\u3002\u73b0\u4ee3<span>AI<\/span>\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5927\u578b\u8bed\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u8bad\u7ec3\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u6d77\u91cf\u7684\u6570\u636e\u652f\u6301\u548c\u5e9e\u5927\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u8d44\u6e90\u3002\u6839\u636e\u9a6c\u8428\u8bf8\u585e\u5927\u5b66\u963f\u9ed8\u65af\u7279\u5206\u6821\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u8bad\u7ec3\u4e00\u4e2a\u5927\u578b<span>AI<\/span>\u6a21\u578b\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u9ad8\u8fbe<span>62.6<\/span>\u4e07\u78c5\uff0c\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e<span>5<\/span>\u8f86\u6c7d\u8f66\u4ece\u751f\u4ea7\u5230\u62a5\u5e9f\u7684\u5168\u751f\u547d\u5468\u671f\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u603b\u548c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5177\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c<span>GPT-3<\/span>\u7684\u8bad\u7ec3\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff0c\u5927\u7ea6\u4ea7\u751f<span>552<\/span>\u5428\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\uff1b\u81f3\u4e8e\u89c4\u6a21\u66f4\u5927\u7684<span>GPT-4<\/span>\uff0c\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u4f30\u8ba1\u8d85\u8fc7<span>1000<\/span>\u5428\u3002\u4ee4\u4eba\u5c24\u5176\u62c5\u5fe7\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6570\u5b57\u6b63\u5728\u4e0d\u65ad\u6500\u5347\u3002\u5728\u201c\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u5373\u738b\u9053\u201d\u7684\u884c\u4e1a\u5171\u8bc6\u4e0b\uff0c\u5404\u5927\u79d1\u6280\u516c\u53f8\u4e89\u76f8\u53d1\u5c55\u66f4\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8017\u5448\u6307\u6570\u7ea7\u589e\u957f\u3002\u5230<span>2030<\/span>\u5e74\uff0c\u4f30\u8ba1<span>AI<\/span>\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u5c06\u5360\u5168\u7403\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u7684<span>3.5%<\/span>\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3>\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff1a<span>AI<\/span>\u65f6\u4ee3\u7684\u8017\u80fd\u5de8\u517d<\/h3>\n<p>\u5f53\u524d<span>AI<\/span>\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8017\u4ee4\u4eba\u548b\u820c\u3002\u53f2\u4e39\u798f<span>AI<\/span>\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c<span>GPT-3<\/span>\u5355\u6b21\u8bad\u7ec3\u8017\u7535<span>1287<\/span>\u5146\u74e6\u65f6\uff0c\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e<span>3000<\/span>\u8f86\u7279\u65af\u62c9\u7535\u52a8\u8f66\u5404\u884c\u9a76<span>20<\/span>\u4e07\u82f1\u91cc\u7684\u603b\u8017\u7535\u91cf\uff0c\u4ea7\u751f<span>552<\/span>\u5428\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ece\u65e5\u5e38\u5e94\u7528\u770b\uff0c<span>ChatGPT<\/span>\u56de\u5e94\u7528\u6237<span>1<\/span>\u6b21\uff0c\u8017\u7535\u91cf\u8fbe<span>2.96<\/span>\u74e6\u65f6\uff0c\u5dee\u4e0d\u591a\u662f\u6807\u51c6\u8c37\u6b4c\u641c\u7d22\uff08<span>0.3<\/span>\u74e6\u65f6\uff09\u7684<span>10<\/span>\u500d\uff1b\u7531<span>AI<\/span>\u9a71\u52a8\u7684\u8c37\u6b4c\u641c\u7d22\u66f4\u9700<span>8.9<\/span>\u74e6\u65f6\u3002\u6c34\u8d44\u6e90\u6d88\u8017\u540c\u6837\u60ca\u4eba\uff1a<span>GPT-3<\/span>\u8bad\u7ec3\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u8017\u6c34\u8fd1<span>700<\/span>\u5428\uff0c\u6bcf<span>20<\/span>\u81f3<span>50<\/span>\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u5c31\u9700<span>500<\/span>\u6beb\u5347\u6c34\u3002<span>2022<\/span>\u5e74\uff0c<span>Meta<\/span>\u516c\u53f8\u4ec5\u5728\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5fc3\u51b7\u5374\u4e0a\uff0c\u5c31\u5df2\u8017\u6c34<span>260<\/span>\u591a\u4e07\u7acb\u65b9\u7c73\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3>\u80fd\u8017\u6fc0\u589e\u7684\u6839\u6e90<\/h3>\n<p>\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u9ad8\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8017\u4e3b\u8981\u6e90\u4e8e\u4e24\u5927\u6838\u5fc3\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u968f\u7740<span>AI<\/span>\u6280\u672f\u7684\u5feb\u901f\u53cd\u590d\u8fd0\u7b97\uff0c\u6676\u7247\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u6025\u5347\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u63a8\u9ad8\u4e86\u7535\u529b\u6d88\u8017\u3002\u73b0\u4ee3<span>AI<\/span>\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u8bad\u7ec3\u548c\u63a8\u7406\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4f7f\u7528\u5927\u91cf\u8ba1\u7b97\u8d44\u6e90\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8d44\u6e90\u4e3b\u8981\u4f9d\u8d56\u9ad8\u6027\u80fd\u786c\u4f53\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u56fe\u5f62\u5904\u7406\u5355\u5143\uff08<span>GPU<\/span>\uff09\u548c\u4e13\u7528\u96c6\u6210\u7535\u8def\uff08<span>ASIC<\/span>\uff09\uff0c\u8fd0\u884c\u65f6\u8017\u7535\u6781\u5927\uff0c\u4ee5\u5e94\u4ed8\u590d\u6742\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u3002\u968f\u7740<span>AI<\/span>\u6a21\u578b\u89c4\u6a21\u4e0d\u65ad\u6269\u5927\uff0c\u6240\u9700\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u80fd\u529b\u4e5f\u5448\u6307\u6570\u7ea7\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u5bf9\u9ad8\u6027\u80fd\u6676\u7247\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u4ea6\u6709\u589e\u65e0\u5df2\uff0c\u4ee4\u6574\u4f53\u7535\u529b\u6d88\u8017\u91cf\u98d9\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u518d\u8005\uff0c<span>AI<\/span>\u6a21\u578b\u8bad\u7ec3\u8fc7\u7a0b\u9700\u8981\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u7b97\u529b\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8fd0\u8f6c\u4e0d\u606f\u7684\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5fc3\u4ea7\u751f\u9ad8\u70ed\u91cf\uff0c\u5fc5\u987b\u51b7\u5374\u5904\u7406\u3002\u4e2d\u5fc3\u4f5c\u4e3a<span>AI<\/span>\u8ba1\u7b97\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\uff0c\u5176\u80fd\u8017\u95ee\u9898\u5c24\u4e3a\u660e\u663e\u3002\u4f3a\u670d\u5668\u548c\u50a8\u5b58\u8bbe\u5907\u5728\u9ad8\u8d1f\u8377\u8fd0\u884c\u65f6\u4f1a\u91ca\u51fa\u5de8\u5927\u70ed\u91cf\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4e0d\u53ca\u65f6\u6563\u70ed\uff0c\u8bbe\u5907\u7684\u6027\u80fd\u548c\u5bff\u547d\u90fd\u4f1a\u4e25\u91cd\u53d7\u635f\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5fc3\u90fd\u914d\u5907\u9ad8\u6548\u7684\u51b7\u5374\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u4fdd\u8bbe\u5907\u5728\u9002\u5f53\u6e29\u5ea6\u4e0b\u64cd\u4f5c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5fc3\u8425\u8fd0\u6210\u672c\u7ed3\u6784\u4e2d\uff0c\u7535\u8d39\u5360\u603b\u6210\u672c\u7684<span>60%<\/span>\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u8d85\u8fc7<span>40%<\/span>\u7528\u4e8e\u51b7\u5374\u6563\u70ed\u7cfb\u7edf\uff1b\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5728\u98ce\u51b7\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7<span>60%<\/span>\u7684\u7535\u529b\u7528\u6765\u6563\u70ed\uff0c\u771f\u6b63\u7528\u4e8e\u8ba1\u7b97\u7684\u7535\u529b\u8fd8\u4e0d\u5230<span>40%<\/span>\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u80fd\u6e90\u5229\u7528\u6548\u7387\u7684\u5931\u8861\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u5168\u7403\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u8017\u7535\u91cf\u5df2\u8fbe<span>10<\/span>\u5e74\u524d\u7684\u8fd1<span>10<\/span>\u500d\u3002\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u98ce\u51b7\u7cfb\u7edf\u867d\u7136\u6210\u672c\u8f83\u4f4e\uff0c\u4f46\u6548\u80fd\u4ea6\u8f83\u4f4e\uff0c\u96be\u4ee5\u6ee1\u8db3\u73b0\u4ee3\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u9ad8\u6548\u6563\u70ed\u6240\u9700\u3002\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u6db2\u51b7\u7cfb\u7edf\u867d\u7136\u521d\u671f\u6295\u8d44\u8f83\u9ad8\uff0c\u4f46\u6563\u70ed\u6548\u7387\u4ea6\u9ad8\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u5927\u5e45\u964d\u4f4e\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8017\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u9009\u5740\u548c\u8bbe\u8ba1\u4e5f\u5bf9\u80fd\u8017\u6709\u91cd\u5927\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u4e0d\u5c11\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5efa\u5728\u7535\u529b\u6210\u672c\u8f83\u4f4e\u800c\u6c14\u5019\u708e\u70ed\u7684\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u52a0\u91cd\u51b7\u5374\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u8d1f\u62c5\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u63d0\u9ad8\u80fd\u6e90\u5229\u7528\u6548\u7387\uff0c\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5e94\u4f18\u5148\u9009\u62e9\u6c14\u5019\u51c9\u723d\u3001\u80fd\u6e90\u4f9b\u5e94\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u5e76\u91c7\u7528\u6a21\u7ec4\u5316\u8bbe\u8ba1\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u6839\u636e\u9700\u6c42\u7075\u6d3b\u8c03\u6574\u8ba1\u7b97\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u914d\u7f6e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6700\u540e\uff0c<span>AI<\/span>\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u8bad\u7ec3\u548c\u63a8\u7406\u8fc7\u7a0b\u8fd8\u6d89\u53ca\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u6570\u636e\u4f20\u8f93\u548c\u50a8\u5b58\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e5f\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8017\u3002\u968f\u7740\u6570\u636e\u91cf\u6301\u7eed\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u4e2d\u5fc3\u56e0\u9700\u8981\u66f4\u591a\u50a8\u5b58\u8bbe\u5907\u548c\u66f4\u9ad8\u9891\u5bbd\u624d\u8db3\u4ee5\u5e94\u4ed8\uff0c\u800c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63a8\u9ad8\u80fd\u8017\u3002\u7531\u6b64\u53ef\u89c1\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u5e94\u79ef\u6781\u91c7\u7528\u6570\u636e\u538b\u7f29\u548c\u4f18\u5316\u4f20\u8f93\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u51cf\u5c11\u4e0d\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u7a0b\u5e8f\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u964d\u4f4e\u80fd\u8017\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3>\u4f01\u4e1a\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\u548c\u653f\u7b56\u5efa\u8bae<\/h3>\n<p>\u9762\u5bf9<span>AI<\/span>\u6280\u672f\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u73af\u5883\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u548c\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u9700\u8981\u91c7\u53d6\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u51cf\u78b3\u63aa\u65bd\u3002\u4e00\u3001\u4f01\u4e1a\u5e94\u79ef\u6781\u91c7\u7528\u7eff\u8272\u80fd\u6e90\u548c\u8282\u80fd\u6280\u672f\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u6295\u8d44\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u3001\u98ce\u80fd\u7b49\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\uff0c\u51cf\u5c11\u5bf9\u4f20\u7edf\u5316\u77f3\u71c3\u6599\u7684\u4f9d\u8d56\u3002\u4e8c\u3001\u4f01\u4e1a\u5e94\u4f18\u5316<span>AI<\/span>\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u8bad\u7ec3\u6f14\u7b97\u6cd5\uff0c\u51cf\u5c11\u4e0d\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u91cf\uff0c\u4ece\u6e90\u5934\u4e0a\u964d\u4f4e\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8017\u3002\u4e09\u3001\u4f01\u4e1a\u5e94\u52a0\u5f3a\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u7ba1\u7406\u548c\u6280\u672f\u5347\u7ea7\u3002\u91c7\u7528\u6db2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content=\"AI\u51b2\u51fb\u73af\u5883 \u78b3\u6392\u653e\u6709\u4f55\u8f6c\u673a - HKU Business School\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"\u4eca\u65f6\u4eca\u65e5\uff0c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\uff08AI\uff09\u6280\u672f\u7a81\u98de\u731b\u8fdb\uff0c\u4ece\u667a\u80fd\u52a9\u624b\u5230\u81ea\u52a8\u9a7e\u9a76\uff0c\u4ece\u5de5\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u5230\u533b\u7597\u8bca\u65ad\uff0cAI\u7684\u5e94\u7528\u5df2\u6df1\u5165\u4eba\u7c7b\u751f\u6d3b\u7684\u65b9\u65b9\u9762\u9762\u3002\u6839\u636e\u56fd\u9645\u6570\u636e\u516c\u53f8\uff08International Data Corporation\uff09\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5168\u7403AI\u5e02\u573a\u89c4\u6a21\u5c06\u4ece2022\u5e74\u76841324\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u589e\u957f\u52302027\u5e74\u76845124\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002 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