{"id":218212,"date":"2024-08-22T10:43:10","date_gmt":"2024-08-22T02:43:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/research\/thought-leadership\/analysing-hong-kongs-overall-economic-situation-with-data\/"},"modified":"2024-08-22T12:05:42","modified_gmt":"2024-08-22T04:05:42","slug":"analysing-hong-kongs-overall-economic-situation-with-data","status":"publish","type":"thought-leadership","link":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/research\/thought-leadership\/hkej-column\/analysing-hong-kongs-overall-economic-situation-with-data\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4e03\u6307\u6807\u9884\u793a\u9999\u6e2f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6311\u6218\u5927"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u7b14\u8005\u4e0a\u6708\u5728\u672c\u680f\u64b0\u6587\uff0c\u5f00\u5b97\u660e\u4e49\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u900f\u8fc7\u7ecf\u6d4e\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\uff0c\u8fd0\u7528\u4e00\u76ee\u4e86\u7136\u7684\u56fe\u8868\u548c\u4e00\u81f4\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u5927\u5927\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u89e3\u8bfb\u672c\u5730\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u5927\u5c40<a href=\"#\u6ce8\">\u3010\u6ce8\u3011<\/a>\u3002\u672c\u6587\u805a\u7126\u4ee5\u4e0b\u4e03\u5927\u8303\u7574\uff1a\u7269\u6d41\u548c\u8fd0\u8f93\u3001\u672c\u5730\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u3001\u7269\u4ef7\u3001\u52b3\u5de5\u5e02\u573a\u3001\u4ea7\u4e1a\u3001\u4eba\u53e3\u7ed3\u6784\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c55\u671b\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u8fd0\u7528\u56fe\u8868\u6570\u636e\u5206\u6790\u5404\u8303\u7574\u8868\u73b0\u548c\u672a\u6765\u6311\u6218\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5>\u8d27\u67dc\u91cf\u8dcc\u9646\u8fd0\u98d9<\/h5>\n<p><span> <img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-218236 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/D.Logistics-1024x745.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"745\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/D.Logistics-1024x745.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/D.Logistics-300x218.png 300w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/D.Logistics-768x559.png 768w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/D.Logistics-1536x1117.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/D.Logistics-2048x1489.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u9999\u6e2f\u51ed\u501f\u5176\u6218\u7565\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3001\u5929\u7136\u6df1\u6c34\u6e2f\u3001\u5b8c\u5584\u7684\u8d27\u67dc\u8fd0\u8f93\u8bbe\u65bd\uff0c\u53d1\u5c55\u6210\u4e16\u754c\u6700\u7e41\u76db\u6e2f\u53e3\u4e4b\u4e00\u517c\u4e9a\u6d32\u4e3b\u8981\u8f6c\u8fd0\u67a2\u7ebd\u3002\u4e8c\u5341\u4e00\u4e16\u7eaa\u521d\uff0c\u53d7\u60e0\u4e8e\u201c\u524d\u5e97\u540e\u5382\u201d\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u7531\u73e0\u6c5f\u4e09\u89d2\u6d32\u7ecf\u6d4e\u533a\u4e2d\u8f6c\u8d27\u7269\u5230\u5168\u7403\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u523a\u6fc0\u5176\u8d27\u67dc\u541e\u5410\u91cf\u6fc0\u589e\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u81ea<span>2010<\/span>\u5e74\u4ee3\u8d77\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u5185\u5730\u6e2f\u53e3\u7684\u957f\u8db3\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u8d27\u8f6e\u6bcb\u987b\u518d\u7ecf\u9999\u6e2f\u4e2d\u8f6c\u8d27\u7269\u81f3\u5185\u5730\u57ce\u5e02\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f4\u672c\u5730\u7684\u6d77\u8fd0\u541e\u5410\u91cf\u9010\u6e10\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3010\u56feD1\u3011\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7a7a\u8fd0\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u5360\u5c3d\u5730\u5229\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u8986\u76d6\u5e7f\u9614\u7684\u822a\u7a7a\u7f51\u7edc\u548c\u9996\u5c48\u4e00\u6307\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u673a\u573a\uff0c\u4fc3\u8fdb\u672c\u6e2f\u6210\u4e3a\u533a\u57df\u822a\u7a7a\u8d27\u8fd0\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u67a2\u7ebd\u3002\u6709\u8d56\u6bd7\u90bb\u73e0\u4e09\u89d2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u533a\u201c\u524d\u5e97\u540e\u5382\u201d\u4e4b\u5229\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u7684\u7a7a\u8fd0\u541e\u5410\u91cf\u5f55\u5f97\u589e\u957f\u52bf\u5934\u3010\u56feD2\u3011\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8fd1\u5e74\u9762\u4e34\u90bb\u8fd1\u673a\u573a\uff08\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5185\u5730\uff09\u7684\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u4e3a\u4fdd\u6301\u822a\u7a7a\u8d27\u8fd0\u67a2\u7ebd\u7684\u9886\u5148\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u56fd\u9645\u673a\u573a\u5fc5\u987b\u63d0\u9ad8\u8425\u8fd0\u6548\u7387\u3001\u4f18\u5316\u8d27\u8fd0\u8bbe\u65bd\u3001\u91c7\u7528\u5148\u8fdb\u6280\u672f\u548c\u52a0\u5f3a\u8fde\u901a\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5ba2\u8fd0\u91cf\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u4f5c\u4e3a\u56fd\u9645\u67a2\u7ebd\uff0c\u822a\u7a7a\u65c5\u884c\u5728\u8fde\u63a5\u9999\u6e2f\u4e0e\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u65b9\u9762\u53d1\u6325\u5173\u952e\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5728\u822a\u7a7a\u5ba2\u8fd0\u91cf\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u7684\u663e\u8457\u589e\u957f\u3010\u56feD3\u3011\u3002\u5373\u4fbf\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u8fc7\u540e\uff0c\u822a\u7a7a\u5ba2\u8fd0\u91cf\u4ecd\u6709\u5f85\u6062\u590d\u81f3\u75ab\u524d\u9ad8\u5cf0\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9999\u6e2f\u4e09\u9762\u73af\u6c34\uff0c\u62e5\u6709\u5b8c\u5584\u7684\u6c34\u8fd0\u7f51\u7edc\uff0c\u4fbf\u4e8e\u8fde\u63a5\u90bb\u8fd1\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u4fc3\u8fdb\u6c34\u8def\u8de8\u5883\u5ba2\u8fd0\u91cf\uff08\u6e2f\u6fb3\u7801\u5934\u5c24\u751a\uff09\u5386\u6765\u7684\u589e\u957f\u3002<span>2018<\/span>\u5e74\u6e2f\u73e0\u6fb3\u5927\u6865\u5f00\u901a\uff0c\u6c34\u8def\u8de8\u5883\u5ba2\u8fd0\u91cf\u5374\u6709\u6240\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u5728\u75ab\u60c5\u8fc7\u540e\u7ef4\u6301\u4e8e\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u3010\u56feD4\u3011\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9646\u8def\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6df1\u5733\u6e7e\u516c\u8def\u5927\u6865\u3001\u5e7f\u6df1\u6e2f\u9ad8\u94c1\u3001\u6e2f\u73e0\u6fb3\u5927\u6865\u7b49\u57fa\u5efa\u4fc3\u4f7f\u9999\u6e2f\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u5185\u5730\u7684\u9646\u8def\u8fde\u7ed3\u3002\u8e0f\u5165\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\uff0c\u9646\u8def\u8de8\u5883\u5ba2\u8fd0\u91cf\u6301\u7eed\u6500\u5347\uff0c\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u540e\u4ea6\u6025\u901f\u53cd\u5f39\u3010\u56feD5\u3011\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><span>GDP<\/span>\u7a33\u589e\u901a\u80c0\u4f4e<\/h5>\n<p><span> <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-218239\" src=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/E.GDP_-1024x745.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"745\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/E.GDP_-1024x745.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/E.GDP_-300x218.png 300w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/E.GDP_-768x559.png 768w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/E.GDP_-1536x1117.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/E.GDP_-2048x1489.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u8fc7\u53bb\u6570\u5341\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\u3001\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u548c\u6709\u5229\u7684\u8425\u5546\u73af\u5883\uff0c\u4fc3\u6210\u4eba\u5747\u672c\u5730\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\uff08<span>GDP<\/span>\uff09\u957f\u671f\u8d8b\u5347\u3010\u56feE\u3011\uff0c\u4f7f\u9999\u6e2f\u6210\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u751f\u6d3b\u6c34\u5e73\u6700\u9ad8\u7684\u5730\u533a\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002<span>1997<\/span>\u5e74\u540e\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u7684\u4eba\u5747<span>GDP<\/span>\u5e73\u5747\u6309\u5e74\u589e\u957f\u7ea6<span>2%\u3010\u56feE1B\u3011<\/span>\uff1b\u79c1\u4eba\u6d88\u8d39\u548c\u8fdb\u51fa\u53e3\u4ea6\u53cd\u6620\u7c7b\u4f3c<span>GDP<\/span>\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u8d8b\u52bf\u3010\u56feE3A\u53ca\u56feE4A\u3011\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-218242\" src=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/F.Prices-1024x745.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"745\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/F.Prices-1024x745.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/F.Prices-300x218.png 300w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/F.Prices-768x559.png 768w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/F.Prices-1536x1117.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/F.Prices-2048x1489.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u7531\u4e8e\u6e2f\u5143\u900f\u8fc7\u8054\u7cfb\u6c47\u7387\u5236\u5ea6\u7d27\u8d34\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u53d7\u60e0\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5ba1\u614e\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u672c\u6e2f\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u5904\u4e8e\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u517c\u4e14\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002<span>2010<\/span>\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u6574\u4f53\u6d88\u8d39\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u5747\u6309\u6708\u589e\u957f<span>0.2%\u3010\u56feF1B\u3011<\/span>\u3002\u4f4f\u5c4b\u3001\u98df\u54c1\u3001\u4ea4\u901a\u548c\u6c34\u7535\u7b49\u8d39\u7528\u4e3a\u5f71\u54cd\u6574\u4f53\u6d88\u8d39\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-218245\" src=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/G.Labor_-1024x745.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"745\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/G.Labor_-1024x745.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/G.Labor_-300x218.png 300w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/G.Labor_-768x559.png 768w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/G.Labor_-1536x1117.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/G.Labor_-2048x1489.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u81ea<span>1980<\/span>\u5e74\u4ee3\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u5c06\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u91cd\u70b9\u4ece\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u8f6c\u5411\u91d1\u878d\u3001\u7269\u6d41\u548c\u4e13\u4e1a\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u8bb8\u591a\u4f20\u7edf\u884c\u4e1a\u8870\u843d\uff0c\u672c\u6e2f\u52b3\u5de5\u5e02\u573a\u9700\u8981\u66f4\u9ad8\u6559\u80b2\u6c34\u5e73\u548c\u65b0\u6280\u80fd\u7684\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span>2010<\/span>\u5e74\u4ee3\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u548c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4e0d\u8db3\u7387\u5206\u522b\u7ef4\u6301\u5728<span>3%<\/span>\u81f3<span>4%<\/span>\u548c<span>1%<\/span>\u81f3<span>2%<\/span>\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u800c\u4eba\u53e3\u8001\u5316\u5219\u5bfc\u81f4\u8fd1\u5e74\u52b3\u52a8\u4eba\u53e3\u53c2\u4e0e\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\u3010\u56feG2\u3011\u3002\u9999\u6e2f\u5de5\u8d44\u589e\u957f\u663e\u8457\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u3002\u81ea<span>1999<\/span>\u5e74\u81f3\u4eca\uff0c\u5b9e\u8d28\u5de5\u8d44\u6307\u6570\u548c\u5b9e\u8d28\u5e73\u5747\u85aa\u91d1\u6307\u6570\u589e\u957f\u4ec5\u7ea6\u4e09\u6210\u3010\u56feG3A\u3011\uff0c\u53cd\u89c2\u540c\u671f\u5b9e\u8d28<span>GDP<\/span>\u589e\u957f\u5219\u7ea6\u6709\u4e00\u500d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9762\u5bf9\u4ee5\u4e0a\u5404\u79cd\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u987b\u8bbe\u6cd5\u5e94\u5bf9\u56e0\u4eba\u53e3\u8001\u5316\u5f15\u81f4\u7684\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u77ed\u7f3a\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u56e0\u5de5\u8d44\u589e\u957f\u8fdf\u7f13\u800c\u9020\u6210\u7684\u6536\u5165\u4e0d\u5747\u95ee\u9898\uff1b\u81f3\u4e8e\u5404\u9879\u52b3\u5de5\u798f\u5229\u76f8\u5173\u8bae\u9898\uff0c\u4ea6\u5c06\u4e3a\u52b3\u52a8\u5e02\u573a\u5e26\u6765\u83ab\u5927\u6311\u6218\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5>\u65c5\u6e38\u4e1a\u6bd4\u91cd\u6025\u964d<\/h5>\n<p><span> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-218248\" src=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/H.Sectors-1024x745.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"745\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/H.Sectors-1024x745.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/H.Sectors-300x218.png 300w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/H.Sectors-768x559.png 768w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/H.Sectors-1536x1117.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/H.Sectors-2048x1489.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u9999\u6e2f\u7684\u201c\u56db\u5927\u652f\u67f1\u4ea7\u4e1a\u201d\u4e3a\u91d1\u878d\u670d\u52a1\u3001\u65c5\u6e38\u3001\u8d38\u6613\u53ca\u7269\u6d41\u3001\u4e13\u4e1a\u53ca\u5de5\u5546\u4e1a\u652f\u63f4\u670d\u52a1\u3002\u4e13\u4e1a\u53ca\u5de5\u5546\u4e1a\u652f\u63f4\u670d\u52a1\u6db5\u76d6\u5e7f\u6cdb\u884c\u4e1a\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u6cd5\u5f8b\u3001\u4f1a\u8ba1\u3001\u8d44\u8baf\u79d1\u6280\u3001\u5e7f\u544a\u3001\u5de5\u7a0b\u3001\u5efa\u7b51\u8bbe\u8ba1\u53ca\u6d4b\u91cf\u670d\u52a1\u7b49\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u81ea<span>2010<\/span>\u5e74\u4ee3\u8d77\uff0c\u4ee5<span>GDP<\/span>\u5360\u6bd4\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u91d1\u878d\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u65e5\u8d8b\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u76f8\u5bf9\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8d38\u6613\u53ca\u7269\u6d41\u4e1a\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u6709\u4e0b\u8dcc\u8d8b\u52bf\uff1b\u800c\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u91cd\u521b\u539f\u672c\u53ea\u5360<span>GDP 5%<\/span>\u7684\u65c5\u6e38\u4e1a\uff0c\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\u5176<span>GDP<\/span>\u5360\u6bd4\u66f4\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u81f3\u4f4e\u4e8e<span>1%\u3010\u56feH3A\u3011<\/span>\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5176\u4ed6\u884c\u4e1a\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6587\u5316\u53ca\u521b\u610f\u4ea7\u4e1a\u53d1\u5c55\u663e\u8457\uff0c\u5176<span>GDP<\/span>\u5360\u6bd4\u7ef4\u6301\u5728<span>5%<\/span>\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u533b\u7597\u4ea7\u4e1a\u3001\u6559\u80b2\u4ea7\u4e1a\u3001\u521b\u65b0\u53ca\u79d1\u6280\u4ea7\u4e1a\u3001\u68c0\u6d4b\u53ca\u8ba4\u8bc1\u4ea7\u4e1a\u3001\u73af\u4fdd\u4ea7\u4e1a\u3001\u822a\u7a7a\u8fd0\u8f93\u3001\u4f53\u80b2\u53ca\u76f8\u5173\u6d3b\u52a8\u7684<span>GDP<\/span>\u5360\u6bd4\u5747\u5f98\u5f8a\u5728<span>5%<\/span>\u4ee5\u4e0b\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-218251\" src=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/I.Demographics-1024x745.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"745\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/I.Demographics-1024x745.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/I.Demographics-300x218.png 300w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/I.Demographics-768x559.png 768w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/I.Demographics-1536x1117.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/I.Demographics-2048x1489.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u5730\u4eba\u53e3\u6301\u7eed\u7a33\u5b9a\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u73b0\u5df2\u8fbe<span>750<\/span>\u591a\u4e07\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3a\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u878d\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u5438\u5f15\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u7684\u4eba\u624d\u524d\u6765\u751f\u6d3b\u548c\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9999\u6e2f\u662f\u5168\u7403\u5e73\u5747\u9884\u671f\u5bff\u547d\u6700\u9ad8\u7684\u5730\u533a\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u533b\u7597\u4fdd\u5065\u548c\u751f\u6d3b\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0d\u65ad\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u6e2f\u4eba\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u9884\u671f\u5bff\u547d\u7ea6\u4e3a<span>85<\/span>\u5c81\u3010\u56feI5\u3011\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\u548c\u9884\u671f\u5bff\u547d\u5ef6\u957f\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u6025\u901f\u8001\u5316\u3010\u56feI1\u3011\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u6559\u80b2\u6c34\u5e73\u6301\u7eed\u63d0\u9ad8\u3010\u56feI6\u3011\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u81f3\u4e8e\u7ed3\u5a5a\u7387\u548c\u79bb\u5a5a\u7387\uff0c\u81ea<span>1970<\/span>\u5e74\u4ee3\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u793e\u4f1a\u89c4\u8303\u6539\u53d8\u3001\u5973\u6027\u6559\u80b2\u548c\u5c31\u4e1a\u673a\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0\u548c\u521d\u5a5a\u5e74\u9f84\u63d0\u9ad8\uff0c\u7ed3\u5a5a\u7387\u5448\u73b0\u4e0b\u8dcc\u8d8b\u52bf\uff1b\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u79bb\u5a5a\u7387\u5219\u4e0a\u5347\u3010\u56feI3\u3011\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u793e\u4f1a\u5bf9\u79bb\u5a5a\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u548c\u63a5\u53d7\u7a0b\u5ea6\u6709\u6240\u6539\u53d8\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u589e\u52a0\u3001\u804c\u4e1a\u538b\u529b\u548c\u5bb6\u5ead\u613f\u666f\u6539\u53d8\u7b49\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u672c\u6e2f\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<span>1970<\/span>\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u7ea6\u4e3a\u6bcf\u540d\u5987\u5973\u751f\u80b2<span>3.5<\/span>\u540d\u5b50\u5973\uff0c\u4f46\u5230<span>2023<\/span>\u5e74\u5df2\u8dcc\u81f3\u7ea6<span>0.75<\/span>\u540d\u5b50\u5973\uff0c\u8fdc\u4f4e\u4e8e\u66f4\u66ff\u6c34\u5e73\u3010\u56feI4\u3011\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5>\u8425\u5546\u6307\u6807\u504f\u5ba1\u614e<\/h5>\n<p><span> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-218254\" src=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/J.Outlook-1024x745.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"745\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/J.Outlook-1024x745.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/J.Outlook-300x218.png 300w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/J.Outlook-768x559.png 768w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/J.Outlook-1536x1117.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/J.Outlook-2048x1489.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u5bf9\u4e8e\u672a\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u5404\u5927\u673a\u6784\u90fd\u4f1a\u5b9a\u671f\u53d1\u8868\u4e0d\u540c\u6307\u6807\u4f9b\u5404\u754c\u53c2\u8003\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4ee5\u4e0b<span>5<\/span>\u4e2a\u8ffd\u8e2a\u9999\u6e2f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u6307\u6807\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u4e1a\u52a1\u5c55\u671b\u6309\u5b63\u7edf\u8ba1\u8c03\u67e5\u201d\u7531\u653f\u5e9c\u7edf\u8ba1\u5904\u8d1f\u8d23\u8fdb\u884c\uff0c\u6709\u5173\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\u5404\u884c\u4e1a\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u8425\u5546\u4fe1\u5fc3\u548c\u5c55\u671b\uff0c\u6b63\u9762\u7684\u6307\u6570\u8868\u793a\u524d\u666f\u6574\u4f53\u4e50\u89c2\uff0c\u8d1f\u9762\u6307\u6570\u5219\u8868\u793a\u524d\u666f\u6574\u4f53\u60b2\u89c2\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u653f\u5e9c\u7edf\u8ba1\u5904\u4ea6\u7f16\u5236\u300a\u4e2d\u5c0f\u578b\u4f01\u4e1a\u4e1a\u52a1\u72b6\u51b5\u6309\u6708\u7edf\u8ba1\u8c03\u67e5\u62a5\u544a\u300b\uff0c\u520a\u8f7d\u4e2d\u5c0f\u4f01\u4e1a\u52a1\u6536\u76ca\u7684\u52a8\u5411\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u5bf9\u6bd4\u4e2d\u5c0f\u4f01\u9884\u671f\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u4e1a\u52a1\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0e\u5f53\u524d\u60c5\u51b5\u3002\u6307\u6570\u9ad8\u4e8e<span>50<\/span>\u4ee3\u8868\u4e1a\u52a1\u60c5\u51b5\u666e\u904d\u5411\u597d\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e<span>50<\/span>\u5219\u4ee3\u8868\u60c5\u51b5\u6076\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u6e23\u6253\u9999\u6e2f\u4e2d\u5c0f\u4f01\u9886\u5148\u8425\u5546\u6307\u6570\u201d\u7531\u9999\u6e2f\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\u4fc3\u8fdb\u5c40\u72ec\u7acb\u8fdb\u884c\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3a\u8861\u91cf\u672c\u6e2f\u4e2d\u5c0f\u4f01\u8868\u73b0\u7684\u7efc\u5408\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u5176\u8ba1\u7b97\u65b9\u5f0f\u57fa\u4e8e\u591a\u4e2a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6307\u6807\u7684\u52a0\u6743\u5e73\u5747\uff1b\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6307\u6807\u5305\u62ec\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u989d\u3001\u5de5\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u6307\u6570\u548c\u51fa\u53e3\u989d\u7b49\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u6307\u6570\u5448\u73b0\u4e0a\u5347\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u4e2d\u5c0f\u4f01\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\u6b63\u5728\u6539\u5584\u3002\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6307\u6570\u5904\u4e8e\u4e0b\u964d\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u5219\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4e2d\u5c0f\u4f01\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\u53d7\u538b\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u9884\u793a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u6216\u5546\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u9762\u4e34\u4e0d\u5229\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u9999\u6e2f\u8d38\u6613\u53d1\u5c55\u5c40\u51fa\u53e3\u6307\u6570\u201d\u8bc4\u4f30\u4ece\u4e8b\u51fa\u53e3\u6d3b\u52a8\u7684\u9999\u6e2f\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\u548c\u9884\u671f\u3002\u5f53\u51fa\u53e3\u6307\u6570\u9ad8\u4e8e<span>50<\/span>\u65f6\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u7740\u516c\u53f8\u6574\u4f53\u4e0a\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u524d\u666f\u611f\u5230\u4e50\u89c2\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e<span>50<\/span>\u5219\u8868\u793a\u5bf9\u524d\u666f\u611f\u5230\u60b2\u89c2\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u6807\u666e\u5168\u7403\u9999\u6e2f\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u6307\u6570\u201d\u57fa\u4e8e\u5bf9\u5404\u884c\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\uff0c\u4ee5\u65b0\u8ba2\u5355\u3001\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u548c\u4ea7\u51fa\u7b49\u56e0\u7d20\u53cd\u6620\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\u3002\u6307\u6570\u9ad8\u4e8e<span>50<\/span>\u8868\u793a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u6269\u5f20\uff0c\u800c\u4f4e\u4e8e<span>50<\/span>\u5219\u8868\u793a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u6536\u7f29\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6574\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8fd1\u5e74\u9999\u6e2f\u5404\u884c\u4e1a\u516c\u53f8\uff08\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u4e2d\u5c0f\u4f01\uff09\u5bf9\u672c\u5730\u8425\u5546\u73af\u5883\u548c\u51fa\u53e3\u5c55\u671b\u504f\u5411\u5ba1\u614e\u3002\u8fd9\u663e\u793a\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u5bfc\u81f4\u8425\u5546\u73af\u5883\u6311\u6218\u91cd\u91cd\u3001\u5185\u5730\u6e38\u5ba2\u6d88\u8d39\u6a21\u5f0f\u6539\u53d8\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6765\u81ea\u5468\u8fb9\u5730\u533a\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u66f4\u8d8b\u5267\u70c8\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a id=\"\u6ce8\" name=\"\u6ce8\"><\/a>\u3010\u6ce8\u3011\uff1a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/research\/thought-leadership\/hkej-column\/analyzing-hong-kongs-overall-economic-situation-with-data\/\">\u3008\u6570\u636e\u5256\u6790\u9999\u6e2f\u7269\u4e1a\u5e02\u573a\u5927\u5c40\u3009\uff0c<span>2024<\/span>\u5e74<span>7<\/span>\u6708<span>17<\/span>\u65e5<\/a>\uff0c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/research\/thought-leadership\/hkej-column\/analyzing-hong-kongs-overall-economic-situation-with-data-part-two\/\">\u3008\u6570\u636e\u5256\u6790\u9999\u6e2f\u91d1\u878d\u53ca\u65c5\u6e38\u5b8f\u89c2\u5e02\u573a\u3009\uff0c<span>2024<\/span>\u5e74<span>7<\/span>\u6708<span>18<\/span>\u65e5\uff0c\u4f55\u5fd7\u57f9\uff0c\u300a\u4fe1\u62a5\u300b<\/a><\/p>\n<p><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u4f55\u5fd7\u57f9\u535a\u58eb<br \/>\n\u6e2f\u5927\u7ecf\u7ba1\u5b66\u9662\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u8bb2\u5e08<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u66f9\u66e6\u6708\u535a\u58eb<br 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