{"id":191753,"date":"2023-06-08T10:44:45","date_gmt":"2023-06-08T02:44:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/?p=191753&#038;post_type=thought-leadership&#038;preview_id=191753"},"modified":"2023-06-08T10:47:51","modified_gmt":"2023-06-08T02:47:51","slug":"%e8%93%84%e5%8a%bf%e5%be%85%e5%8f%91%e7%9a%84%e9%87%91%e7%a0%96%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6%e7%bb%84%e7%bb%87-2","status":"publish","type":"thought-leadership","link":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/research\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches\/%e8%93%84%e5%8a%bf%e5%be%85%e5%8f%91%e7%9a%84%e9%87%91%e7%a0%96%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6%e7%bb%84%e7%bb%87-2\/","title":{"rendered":"\u84c4\u52bf\u5f85\u53d1\u7684\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u4e0a\u661f\u671f\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\uff08BRICS\uff09\u5728\u5357\u975e\u5f00\u666e\u6566\u53ec\u5f00\u4e86\u5916\u957f\u4f1a\u8bae\uff0c\u671f\u95f4\u5404\u56fd\u4ee3\u8868\u5747\u53d1\u51fa\u4e86\u8f83\u4e3a\u5f3a\u70c8\u7684\u8baf\u606f\uff0c\u91cd\u7533\u4e16\u754c\u662f\u591a\u6781\u5316\u7684\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u7531\u5c11\u6570\u56fd\u5bb6\u64cd\u7eb5\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u79e9\u5e8f\u5e94\u8be5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5411\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u5e73\u8861\uff0c\u800c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5728\u8fd9\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u6216\u7f3a\u7684\u3002\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u9010\u6e10\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u4ee3\u8868\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0eG7\u5de5\u4e1a\u56fd\u6297\u8861\u7684\u5bf9\u53e3\uff0c\u4e89\u53d6\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e8b\u52a1\u7684\u8bdd\u8bed\u6743\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e3b\u529e\u91d1\u7816\u9996\u957f\u7ea7\u5cf0\u4f1a\u65f6\uff0c\u5efa\u8bae\u63a5\u7eb3\u65b0\u6210\u5458\u5e76\u63a2\u8ba8\u6709\u5173\u7a0b\u5e8f\u3002\u5728\u4e0a\u661f\u671f\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e2d\uff0c\u4fbf\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4ee3\u8868\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u5728\u7ebf\u4e0a\u7ebf\u4e0b\u53c2\u4e0e\u4e00\u4e9b\u8ba8\u8bba\u73af\u8282\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u6570\u76ee\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4ee3\u8868\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u300c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u300d\u8fd9\u4e2a\u540d\u8bcd\u548c\u6709\u5173\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u7ec4\u5408\uff0c\u6e90\u4e8e2001\u5e74\u6295\u8d44\u94f6\u884c\u9ad8\u76db\u65d7\u4e0b\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a<a href=\"#\u6ce8\">\u3010\u6ce8\u3011<\/a>\u3002\u8be5\u62a5\u544a\u539f\u610f\u662f\u63d0\u4f9b\u6295\u8d44\u8baf\u606f\uff0c\u5e2e\u516c\u53f8\u5438\u7eb3\u5ba2\u6237\u8d44\u91d1\u6295\u653e\u5230\u6709\u5173\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u6d89\u53ca\u4efb\u4f55\u56fd\u5bb6\u6216\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u53c2\u4e0e\u3002\u4f5c\u8005Jim O&#8217;Neil\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5df4\u897f\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6709\u5f88\u9ad8\u7684\u589e\u957f\u6f5c\u80fd\u3002\u66f4\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u5f71\u54cd\u6df1\u8fdc\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5efa\u8baeG7\u5e94\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u751a\u81f3\u5176\u4ed6\u51e0\u4e2a\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5171\u540c\u534f\u8c03\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u82e5\u679cG7\u65e9\u572820\u5e74\u524d\u5c31\u548c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5e73\u8d77\u5e73\u5750\u3001\u5236\u5b9a\u5168\u7403\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4e5f\u8bb8\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u5c40\u9762\u4f1a\u7965\u548c\u5f97\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n<h5>\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5177\u5f71\u54cd\u529b<\/h5>\n<p>\u91d1\u7816\u56db\u56fd\u7684\u5b98\u65b9\u63a5\u89e6\u59cb\u4e8e2006\u5e74\u3002\u5f53\u5e74\u56db\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u957f\u8d81\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u5468\u5e74\u5927\u4f1a\u4e4b\u4fbf\u5728\u7ebd\u7ea6\u4e00\u805a\uff0c\u4f46\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5b9e\u8d28\u4e0a\u7684\u8ddf\u8fdb\u3002\u76f4\u81f3\u4e24\u5e74\u540e\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u7206\u53d1\uff0c\u66b4\u9732\u51fa\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u7f3a\u5931\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u81ea\u7136\u4f1a\u8003\u8651\u5efa\u7acb\u5176\u4ed6\u673a\u5236\u4f5c\u4e3a\u66ff\u4ee3\u3002\u7528\u6700\u8fd1\u897f\u65b9\u6d41\u884c\u7684\u540d\u8bcd\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u4e0d\u8981\u8131\u94a9\uff08decouple\uff09\uff0c\u4e5f\u9700\u8981\u53bb\u98ce\u9669\uff08de-risk\uff09\u3002\u5728\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u7684\u6c1b\u56f4\u4e0b\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56db\u56fd\u4e8e2009\u5e74\u5728\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7b2c\u56db\u5927\u57ce\u5e02\u53ca\u5de5\u4e1a\u4e2d\u5fc3\u53f6\u5361\u6377\u7433\u5821\uff08Yekaterinburg\uff09\u4e3e\u884c\u9996\u6b21\u5cf0\u4f1a\uff0c\u56db\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u9996\u957f\u5747\u6709\u51fa\u5e2d\uff0c\u5e76\u7b7e\u7f72\u5171\u540c\u58f0\u660e\uff0c\u5f3a\u8c03\u4f1a\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u878d\u673a\u6784\u4e2d\u4ee3\u8868\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u3002\u968f\u540e\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u6bcf\u5e74\u5747\u4e3e\u529e\u9996\u957f\u7ea7\u5cf0\u4f1a\uff0c\u4eca\u5e748\u6708\u5728\u5357\u975e\u7ea6\u7ff0\u5185\u65af\u5821\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u5c06\u4f1a\u662f\u7b2c15\u5c4a\u3002\u5357\u975e\u57282011\u5e74\u9996\u6b21\u53c2\u52a0\u5cf0\u4f1a\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56db\u56fd\u9042\u6539\u4e3a\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u3002\u5357\u975e\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u91cf\u76f8\u5bf9\u7ec6\u5c0f\uff0c\u4f46\u5374\u6709\u7740\u4ee3\u8868\u975e\u6d32\u4f17\u591a\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u8c61\u5f81\u610f\u4e49\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u9ad8\u76db2001\u5e74\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5728\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u521d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u6210\u7ee9\u9a84\u4eba\u3002\u6309\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u8d2d\u4e70\u529b\u5e73\u4ef7\u7684GDP\u6570\u636e\u6765\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u57282001\u5e74\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5360\u5168\u7403GDP 18.6%\uff0c\u800cG7\u5219\u536043.3%\u3002\u81f32021\u5e74\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u6570\u5b57\u5206\u522b\u4e3a31.8%\u548c30.5%\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5df2\u8d85\u8d8a\u4e86G7\u7684\u4efd\u989d\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5360\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u7ea640%\u3001\u571f\u5730\u9762\u79ef30%\u3001GDP 32%\u4ee5\u53ca\u8d38\u6613\u768420%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5171\u540c\u70b9\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u90fd\u6709\u76f8\u5f53\u7684\u533a\u57df\u3001\u4ee5\u81f3\u56fd\u9645\u4e0a\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\uff0c\u4ea6\u6709\u4ee5\u81ea\u8eab\u529b\u91cf\u91cd\u5851\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u610f\u613f\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\uff0c\u5176\u4f59\u56fd\u5bb6\u90fd\u662f\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u4ee5\u8d2d\u4e70\u529b\u5e73\u4ef7\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u4eba\u5747GDP\u7ea67000\u591a\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u5357\u975e\u90fd\u662f\u4e00\u4e07\u591a\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5219\u662f3\u4e07\u591a\u3002\u867d\u7136\u4e94\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u9053\u8def\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u4f46\u90fd\u4e0d\u662f\u7d27\u8ddf\u897f\u65b9\u65b0\u81ea\u7531\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u836f\u65b9\u3002<\/p>\n<h5>\u6210\u5458\u7ecf\u6d4e\u529b\u53c2\u5dee<\/h5>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5206\u522b\uff0c\u6bd5\u7adf\u6bd4\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u5171\u540c\u4e4b\u5904\u66f4\u4e3a\u660e\u663e\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u6587\u5316\u548c\u5730\u7406\u73af\u5883\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u5916\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u80fd\u91cf\u4e5f\u5f88\u53c2\u5dee\u30022021\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5360\u4e86\u4e94\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6GDP\u603b\u548c\u768458.6%\u3001\u5370\u5ea621.9%\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af10.3%\u3001\u5df4\u897f7.4%\uff0c\u800c\u5357\u975e\u53ea\u5360 1.9%\u3002\u4e5f\u8bb8\u7531\u4e8e\u6210\u5458\u95f4\u5dee\u5f02\u8f83\u5927\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff0c\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u95f4\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u7279\u522b\u6e05\u6670\u7684\u5f62\u8c61\u3001\u8def\u7ebf\u548c\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u4ea6\u6ca1\u6709\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e2d\u626e\u6f14\u4ec0\u4e48\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u89d2\u8272\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u7684\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5b89\u6392\u76f8\u5bf9\u677e\u6563\uff0c\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5982\u81ea\u7531\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\u6216\u6295\u8d44\u534f\u8bae\u7b49\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5728\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u6b21\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fdc\u4e0d\u5982\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u7684\u9996\u5341\u5e74\u3002\u82e5\u6bd4\u8f832001\u81f32011\u5e74\u8fd9\u5341\u5e74\u548c\u968f\u540e\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u5e74\u5747\u590d\u5408\u589e\u957f\u7387\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u75316.1%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f31.5%\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u753113%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f37%\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u75319%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f36.1%\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u753111.7%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f34%\uff0c\u800c\u5357\u975e\u5219\u75315.7%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f32.2%\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u76847%\u548c\u5370\u5ea6\u76846.1%\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u589e\u957f\u7387\u90fd\u4e4f\u5584\u8db3\u9648\u3002\u5982\u6b64\u79cd\u79cd\uff0c\u90fd\u5bb9\u6613\u8ba9\u4e00\u4e9b\u8bba\u8005\u6de1\u5316\u4e86\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u6240\u53ef\u4ee5\u8d77\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u4ece\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\u6765\u8861\u91cf\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u53ea\u5c5e\u65e9\u671f\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u89d2\u5ea6\u3002\u6bd5\u7adf\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u7740\u773c\u7684\uff0c\u662f\u5728\u5bfb\u627e\u548c\u521b\u9020\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u65b0\u51fa\u8def\u3002\u867d\u7136\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\u672a\u5982\u7406\u60f3\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u5b9e\u529b\u8fd8\u662f\u4e3e\u8db3\u8f7b\u91cd\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\u4fc4\u4e4c\u6218\u4e89\u7206\u53d1\u540e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u53ca\u5357\u975e\u5747\u6ca1\u6709\u5c31\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u8c34\u8d23\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u8bae\u6848\u6295\u8d5e\u6210\u7968\uff0c\u800c\u5df4\u897f\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u535a\u5c14\u7d22\u7eb3\u7f57\uff08Bolsonaro\uff09\u653f\u5e9c\u5219\u652f\u6301\u8bae\u6848\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u6279\u8bc4\u897f\u65b9\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u591a\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u5236\u88c1\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u91d1\u7816\u96c6\u56e2\u8f83\u4e3a\u5b9e\u5728\u548c\u805a\u7126\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u662f\u9488\u5bf9\u5f53\u524d\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u4e3a\u672c\u7684\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u6bd4\u8f83\u660e\u663e\u7684\uff0c\u5c31\u662f2015\u5e747\u6708\u6210\u7acb\u7684\u65b0\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\uff08New Development Bank\uff0cNDB\uff09\u3002\u5982\u5176\u4ed6\u591a\u8fb9\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\u4e00\u6837\uff0cNDB\u662f\u7531\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u53ca\u591a\u4e2a\u653f\u5e9c\u652f\u6301\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u878d\u673a\u6784\uff0c\u957f\u671f\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e88\u57fa\u7840\u5efa\u8bbe\u9879\u76ee\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0cNDB\u7684\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u4e9b\u8fd0\u4f5c\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u591a\u8fb9\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\u4e0d\u540c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u4e94\u4e2a\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u4eab\u6709\u540c\u7b49\u80a1\u6743\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u56fd\u5bb6\u62e5\u6709\u5426\u51b3\u6743\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u591a\u8fb9\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e00\u822c\u6765\u8bf4\u7533\u8bf7\u8fc7\u7a0b\u7e41\u590d\uff0c\u8d39\u65f6\u751a\u957f\u3002NDB\u5219\u5316\u7e41\u4e3a\u7b80\uff0c6\u4e2a\u6708\u5185\u5b8c\u6210\u6279\u5ba1\u3002\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u94f6\u884c\u8d37\u6b3e\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u786c\u901a\u8d27\u4e3a\u4e3b\uff0c\u4f46NDB\u4ee5\u672c\u5e01\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e3a\u4e3b\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u501f\u65b9\u7684\u57fa\u5efa\u9879\u76ee\u6536\u76ca\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u672c\u5730\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u8fd9\u51cf\u8f7b\u751a\u81f3\u907f\u514d\u4e86\u501f\u65b9\u7684\u6c47\u7387\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4f9d\u8d56\uff0c\u660e\u663e\u662f\u53bb\u7f8e\u5143\u5316\u7684\u4e00\u7740\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6309\u6709\u5173\u7684\u7f51\u9875\u8d44\u6599\uff0cNDB\u5df2\u5ba1\u6279\u4e86\u603b\u503c328\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u768496\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u6570\u503c\u8fdc\u5c0f\u4e8e\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u751a\u81f3\u4e9a\u6d32\u53d1\u5c55\u94f6\u884c\uff0c\u4f46NDB\u89c4\u6a21\u4e5f\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e0a\u5c0f\u5f88\u591a\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0cNDB\u5df2\u63a8\u5e7f\u5230\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u4ee5\u5916\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u65b0\u80a1\u4e1c\u5305\u62ec\u5b5f\u52a0\u62c9\u3001\u963f\u8054\u914b\u548c\u57c3\u53ca\u3002\u4e4c\u62c9\u572d\u5c06\u4f1a\u662f\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u4f1a\u5458\uff0c\u800c\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u7684\u7533\u8bf7\u4ea6\u88ab\u8003\u8651\u4e2d\u3002NDB\u65b0\u6210\u5458\u7684\u5f15\u5165\uff0c\u6bd4\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u8fd8\u6765\u5f97\u65e9\u3002<\/p>\n<h5>\u53ef\u671b\u4e0e\u897f\u65b9\u5468\u65cb<\/h5>\n<p>\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u53e6\u6709\u4e00\u9879\u8f83\u5c11\u88ab\u8ba8\u8bba\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u5171\u540c\u51c6\u5907\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a1000\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5e94\u6025\u50a8\u5907\u57fa\u91d1\uff08Contingent Reserve Arrangement\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u63d0\u4f9b\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u6ce2\u52a8\u6216\u8d27\u5e01\u88ab\u7092\u5356\u65f6\u6240\u9700\u8981\u7684\u5916\u6c47\u3002\u4e00\u822c\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff08IMF\uff09\u7684\u529f\u80fd\u5c31\u662f\u4e3a\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u63d0\u4f9b\u6709\u5173\u8d44\u91d1\uff0c\u4f46\u5f88\u591a\u65f6\u8981\u6ee1\u8db3IMF\u5f00\u51fa\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653f\u7b56\u53d8\u76f8\u53d7\u5230IMF\u7684\u5e72\u9884\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fd9\u4e2a\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5c31\u662f\u6446\u8131\u73b0\u6709\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u878d\u6846\u67b6\u7684\u4e00\u6b65\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u591a\u6b21\u63d0\u53ca\uff0c\u8981\u63a8\u51fa\u65b0\u7684\u50a8\u5907\u8d27\u5e01\u5355\u4f4d\uff0c\u5c06\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5176\u6700\u5177\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u73b0\u65f6\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5177\u4f53\u8d44\u6599\uff0c\u4f46\u5a92\u4ecb\u9884\u671f\u4f1a\u662f\u4eca\u5e748\u6708\u5357\u975e\u7ea6\u7ff0\u5185\u65af\u5821\u9996\u957f\u7ea7\u4f1a\u8bae\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u8bae\u9898\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u5230\u65f6\u6709\u6240\u5206\u6653\u3002\u4eca\u5e748\u6708\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u9879\u91cd\u8981\u8bae\u9898\uff0c\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u5438\u6536\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u65b0\u6210\u5458\u3002\u73b0\u65f6\u5df2\u670913\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u6b63\u5f0f\u7533\u8bf7\uff0c\u53e6\u5916\u67096\u4e2a\u975e\u6b63\u5f0f\u63d0\u51fa\u52a0\u5165\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5e76\u975e\u8d38\u6613\u6216\u6295\u8d44\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u6269\u5c55\u4ea7\u54c1\u5e02\u573a\u7b49\u597d\u5904\u3002\u5b83\u53ef\u4ee5\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\uff0c\u5927\u62b5\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u4e8b\u52a1\u6846\u67b6\u4e0b\u548c\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\u5468\u65cb\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec715\u5e74\u7684\u79ef\u7d2f\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u63d0\u4f9b\u8fd9\u4e2a\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a id=\"\u6ce8\" name=\"\u6ce8\"><\/a>\u6ce8\uff1a<a href=\"http:\/\/www.elcorreo.eu.org\/IMG\/pdf\/Building_Better_Global_Economic_Brics.pdf\">http:\/\/www.elcorreo.eu.org\/IMG\/pdf\/Building_Better_Global_Economic_Brics.pdf<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u9646\u708e\u8f89\u535a\u58eb<br \/>\n\u6e2f\u5927\u7ecf\u7ba1\u5b66\u9662\u8363\u8a89\u526f\u6559\u6388<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\uff08\u672c\u6587\u540c\u65f6\u4e8e\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e8c\u4e09\u5e74\u516d\u6708\u4e03\u65e5\u8f7d\u4e8e\u300a\u4fe1\u62a5\u300b\u300c\u9f99\u864e\u5c71\u4e0b\u300d\u4e13\u680f\uff09<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"class_list":["post-191753","thought-leadership","type-thought-leadership","status-publish","hentry","leadership-topic-categories-opinions-and-speeches-sc","opinion-speeches-categories-faculty-sc"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u4e0a\u661f\u671f\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\uff08BRICS\uff09\u5728\u5357\u975e\u5f00\u666e\u6566\u53ec\u5f00\u4e86\u5916\u957f\u4f1a\u8bae\uff0c\u671f\u95f4\u5404\u56fd\u4ee3\u8868\u5747\u53d1\u51fa\u4e86\u8f83\u4e3a\u5f3a\u70c8\u7684\u8baf\u606f\uff0c\u91cd\u7533\u4e16\u754c\u662f\u591a\u6781\u5316\u7684\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u7531\u5c11\u6570\u56fd\u5bb6\u64cd\u7eb5\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u79e9\u5e8f\u5e94\u8be5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5411\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u5e73\u8861\uff0c\u800c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5728\u8fd9\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u6216\u7f3a\u7684\u3002\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u9010\u6e10\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u4ee3\u8868\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0eG7\u5de5\u4e1a\u56fd\u6297\u8861\u7684\u5bf9\u53e3\uff0c\u4e89\u53d6\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e8b\u52a1\u7684\u8bdd\u8bed\u6743\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e3b\u529e\u91d1\u7816\u9996\u957f\u7ea7\u5cf0\u4f1a\u65f6\uff0c\u5efa\u8bae\u63a5\u7eb3\u65b0\u6210\u5458\u5e76\u63a2\u8ba8\u6709\u5173\u7a0b\u5e8f\u3002\u5728\u4e0a\u661f\u671f\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e2d\uff0c\u4fbf\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4ee3\u8868\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u5728\u7ebf\u4e0a\u7ebf\u4e0b\u53c2\u4e0e\u4e00\u4e9b\u8ba8\u8bba\u73af\u8282\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u6570\u76ee\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4ee3\u8868\u6027\u3002 \u300c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u300d\u8fd9\u4e2a\u540d\u8bcd\u548c\u6709\u5173\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u7ec4\u5408\uff0c\u6e90\u4e8e2001\u5e74\u6295\u8d44\u94f6\u884c\u9ad8\u76db\u65d7\u4e0b\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u3010\u6ce8\u3011\u3002\u8be5\u62a5\u544a\u539f\u610f\u662f\u63d0\u4f9b\u6295\u8d44\u8baf\u606f\uff0c\u5e2e\u516c\u53f8\u5438\u7eb3\u5ba2\u6237\u8d44\u91d1\u6295\u653e\u5230\u6709\u5173\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u6d89\u53ca\u4efb\u4f55\u56fd\u5bb6\u6216\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u53c2\u4e0e\u3002\u4f5c\u8005Jim O&#039;Neil\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5df4\u897f\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6709\u5f88\u9ad8\u7684\u589e\u957f\u6f5c\u80fd\u3002\u66f4\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u5f71\u54cd\u6df1\u8fdc\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5efa\u8baeG7\u5e94\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u751a\u81f3\u5176\u4ed6\u51e0\u4e2a\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5171\u540c\u534f\u8c03\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u82e5\u679cG7\u65e9\u572820\u5e74\u524d\u5c31\u548c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5e73\u8d77\u5e73\u5750\u3001\u5236\u5b9a\u5168\u7403\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4e5f\u8bb8\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u5c40\u9762\u4f1a\u7965\u548c\u5f97\u591a\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5177\u5f71\u54cd\u529b \u91d1\u7816\u56db\u56fd\u7684\u5b98\u65b9\u63a5\u89e6\u59cb\u4e8e2006\u5e74\u3002\u5f53\u5e74\u56db\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u957f\u8d81\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u5468\u5e74\u5927\u4f1a\u4e4b\u4fbf\u5728\u7ebd\u7ea6\u4e00\u805a\uff0c\u4f46\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5b9e\u8d28\u4e0a\u7684\u8ddf\u8fdb\u3002\u76f4\u81f3\u4e24\u5e74\u540e\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u7206\u53d1\uff0c\u66b4\u9732\u51fa\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u7f3a\u5931\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u81ea\u7136\u4f1a\u8003\u8651\u5efa\u7acb\u5176\u4ed6\u673a\u5236\u4f5c\u4e3a\u66ff\u4ee3\u3002\u7528\u6700\u8fd1\u897f\u65b9\u6d41\u884c\u7684\u540d\u8bcd\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u4e0d\u8981\u8131\u94a9\uff08decouple\uff09\uff0c\u4e5f\u9700\u8981\u53bb\u98ce\u9669\uff08de-risk\uff09\u3002\u5728\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u7684\u6c1b\u56f4\u4e0b\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56db\u56fd\u4e8e2009\u5e74\u5728\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7b2c\u56db\u5927\u57ce\u5e02\u53ca\u5de5\u4e1a\u4e2d\u5fc3\u53f6\u5361\u6377\u7433\u5821\uff08Yekaterinburg\uff09\u4e3e\u884c\u9996\u6b21\u5cf0\u4f1a\uff0c\u56db\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u9996\u957f\u5747\u6709\u51fa\u5e2d\uff0c\u5e76\u7b7e\u7f72\u5171\u540c\u58f0\u660e\uff0c\u5f3a\u8c03\u4f1a\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u878d\u673a\u6784\u4e2d\u4ee3\u8868\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u3002\u968f\u540e\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u6bcf\u5e74\u5747\u4e3e\u529e\u9996\u957f\u7ea7\u5cf0\u4f1a\uff0c\u4eca\u5e748\u6708\u5728\u5357\u975e\u7ea6\u7ff0\u5185\u65af\u5821\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u5c06\u4f1a\u662f\u7b2c15\u5c4a\u3002\u5357\u975e\u57282011\u5e74\u9996\u6b21\u53c2\u52a0\u5cf0\u4f1a\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56db\u56fd\u9042\u6539\u4e3a\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u3002\u5357\u975e\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u91cf\u76f8\u5bf9\u7ec6\u5c0f\uff0c\u4f46\u5374\u6709\u7740\u4ee3\u8868\u975e\u6d32\u4f17\u591a\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u8c61\u5f81\u610f\u4e49\u3002 \u5982\u9ad8\u76db2001\u5e74\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5728\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u521d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u6210\u7ee9\u9a84\u4eba\u3002\u6309\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u8d2d\u4e70\u529b\u5e73\u4ef7\u7684GDP\u6570\u636e\u6765\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u57282001\u5e74\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5360\u5168\u7403GDP 18.6%\uff0c\u800cG7\u5219\u536043.3%\u3002\u81f32021\u5e74\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u6570\u5b57\u5206\u522b\u4e3a31.8%\u548c30.5%\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5df2\u8d85\u8d8a\u4e86G7\u7684\u4efd\u989d\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5360\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u7ea640%\u3001\u571f\u5730\u9762\u79ef30%\u3001GDP 32%\u4ee5\u53ca\u8d38\u6613\u768420%\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5171\u540c\u70b9\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u90fd\u6709\u76f8\u5f53\u7684\u533a\u57df\u3001\u4ee5\u81f3\u56fd\u9645\u4e0a\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\uff0c\u4ea6\u6709\u4ee5\u81ea\u8eab\u529b\u91cf\u91cd\u5851\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u610f\u613f\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\uff0c\u5176\u4f59\u56fd\u5bb6\u90fd\u662f\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u4ee5\u8d2d\u4e70\u529b\u5e73\u4ef7\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u4eba\u5747GDP\u7ea67000\u591a\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u5357\u975e\u90fd\u662f\u4e00\u4e07\u591a\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5219\u662f3\u4e07\u591a\u3002\u867d\u7136\u4e94\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u9053\u8def\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u4f46\u90fd\u4e0d\u662f\u7d27\u8ddf\u897f\u65b9\u65b0\u81ea\u7531\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u836f\u65b9\u3002 \u6210\u5458\u7ecf\u6d4e\u529b\u53c2\u5dee \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5206\u522b\uff0c\u6bd5\u7adf\u6bd4\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u5171\u540c\u4e4b\u5904\u66f4\u4e3a\u660e\u663e\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u6587\u5316\u548c\u5730\u7406\u73af\u5883\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u5916\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u80fd\u91cf\u4e5f\u5f88\u53c2\u5dee\u30022021\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5360\u4e86\u4e94\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6GDP\u603b\u548c\u768458.6%\u3001\u5370\u5ea621.9%\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af10.3%\u3001\u5df4\u897f7.4%\uff0c\u800c\u5357\u975e\u53ea\u5360 1.9%\u3002\u4e5f\u8bb8\u7531\u4e8e\u6210\u5458\u95f4\u5dee\u5f02\u8f83\u5927\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff0c\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u95f4\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u7279\u522b\u6e05\u6670\u7684\u5f62\u8c61\u3001\u8def\u7ebf\u548c\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u4ea6\u6ca1\u6709\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e2d\u626e\u6f14\u4ec0\u4e48\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u89d2\u8272\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u7684\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5b89\u6392\u76f8\u5bf9\u677e\u6563\uff0c\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5982\u81ea\u7531\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\u6216\u6295\u8d44\u534f\u8bae\u7b49\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002 \u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5728\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u6b21\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fdc\u4e0d\u5982\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u7684\u9996\u5341\u5e74\u3002\u82e5\u6bd4\u8f832001\u81f32011\u5e74\u8fd9\u5341\u5e74\u548c\u968f\u540e\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u5e74\u5747\u590d\u5408\u589e\u957f\u7387\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u75316.1%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f31.5%\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u753113%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f37%\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u75319%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f36.1%\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u753111.7%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f34%\uff0c\u800c\u5357\u975e\u5219\u75315.7%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f32.2%\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u76847%\u548c\u5370\u5ea6\u76846.1%\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u589e\u957f\u7387\u90fd\u4e4f\u5584\u8db3\u9648\u3002\u5982\u6b64\u79cd\u79cd\uff0c\u90fd\u5bb9\u6613\u8ba9\u4e00\u4e9b\u8bba\u8005\u6de1\u5316\u4e86\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u6240\u53ef\u4ee5\u8d77\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u3002 \u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u4ece\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\u6765\u8861\u91cf\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u53ea\u5c5e\u65e9\u671f\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u89d2\u5ea6\u3002\u6bd5\u7adf\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u7740\u773c\u7684\uff0c\u662f\u5728\u5bfb\u627e\u548c\u521b\u9020\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u65b0\u51fa\u8def\u3002\u867d\u7136\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\u672a\u5982\u7406\u60f3\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u5b9e\u529b\u8fd8\u662f\u4e3e\u8db3\u8f7b\u91cd\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\u4fc4\u4e4c\u6218\u4e89\u7206\u53d1\u540e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u53ca\u5357\u975e\u5747\u6ca1\u6709\u5c31\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u8c34\u8d23\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u8bae\u6848\u6295\u8d5e\u6210\u7968\uff0c\u800c\u5df4\u897f\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u535a\u5c14\u7d22\u7eb3\u7f57\uff08Bolsonaro\uff09\u653f\u5e9c\u5219\u652f\u6301\u8bae\u6848\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u6279\u8bc4\u897f\u65b9\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u591a\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u5236\u88c1\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u96c6\u56e2\u8f83\u4e3a\u5b9e\u5728\u548c\u805a\u7126\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u662f\u9488\u5bf9\u5f53\u524d\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u4e3a\u672c\u7684\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u6bd4\u8f83\u660e\u663e\u7684\uff0c\u5c31\u662f2015\u5e747\u6708\u6210\u7acb\u7684\u65b0\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\uff08New Development Bank\uff0cNDB\uff09\u3002\u5982\u5176\u4ed6\u591a\u8fb9\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\u4e00\u6837\uff0cNDB\u662f\u7531\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u53ca\u591a\u4e2a\u653f\u5e9c\u652f\u6301\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u878d\u673a\u6784\uff0c\u957f\u671f\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e88\u57fa\u7840\u5efa\u8bbe\u9879\u76ee\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0cNDB\u7684\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u4e9b\u8fd0\u4f5c\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u591a\u8fb9\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\u4e0d\u540c\u3002 \u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u4e94\u4e2a\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u4eab\u6709\u540c\u7b49\u80a1\u6743\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u56fd\u5bb6\u62e5\u6709\u5426\u51b3\u6743\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u591a\u8fb9\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e00\u822c\u6765\u8bf4\u7533\u8bf7\u8fc7\u7a0b\u7e41\u590d\uff0c\u8d39\u65f6\u751a\u957f\u3002NDB\u5219\u5316\u7e41\u4e3a\u7b80\uff0c6\u4e2a\u6708\u5185\u5b8c\u6210\u6279\u5ba1\u3002\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u94f6\u884c\u8d37\u6b3e\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u786c\u901a\u8d27\u4e3a\u4e3b\uff0c\u4f46NDB\u4ee5\u672c\u5e01\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e3a\u4e3b\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u501f\u65b9\u7684\u57fa\u5efa\u9879\u76ee\u6536\u76ca\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u672c\u5730\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u8fd9\u51cf\u8f7b\u751a\u81f3\u907f\u514d\u4e86\u501f\u65b9\u7684\u6c47\u7387\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4f9d\u8d56\uff0c\u660e\u663e\u662f\u53bb\u7f8e\u5143\u5316\u7684\u4e00\u7740\u3002 \u6309\u6709\u5173\u7684\u7f51\u9875\u8d44\u6599\uff0cNDB\u5df2\u5ba1\u6279\u4e86\u603b\u503c328\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u768496\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u6570\u503c\u8fdc\u5c0f\u4e8e\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u751a\u81f3\u4e9a\u6d32\u53d1\u5c55\u94f6\u884c\uff0c\u4f46NDB\u89c4\u6a21\u4e5f\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e0a\u5c0f\u5f88\u591a\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0cNDB\u5df2\u63a8\u5e7f\u5230\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u4ee5\u5916\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u65b0\u80a1\u4e1c\u5305\u62ec\u5b5f\u52a0\u62c9\u3001\u963f\u8054\u914b\u548c\u57c3\u53ca\u3002\u4e4c\u62c9\u572d\u5c06\u4f1a\u662f\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u4f1a\u5458\uff0c\u800c\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u7684\u7533\u8bf7\u4ea6\u88ab\u8003\u8651\u4e2d\u3002NDB\u65b0\u6210\u5458\u7684\u5f15\u5165\uff0c\u6bd4\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u8fd8\u6765\u5f97\u65e9\u3002 \u53ef\u671b\u4e0e\u897f\u65b9\u5468\u65cb \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u53e6\u6709\u4e00\u9879\u8f83\u5c11\u88ab\u8ba8\u8bba\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u5171\u540c\u51c6\u5907\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a1000\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5e94\u6025\u50a8\u5907\u57fa\u91d1\uff08Contingent Reserve Arrangement\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u63d0\u4f9b\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u6ce2\u52a8\u6216\u8d27\u5e01\u88ab\u7092\u5356\u65f6\u6240\u9700\u8981\u7684\u5916\u6c47\u3002\u4e00\u822c\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff08IMF\uff09\u7684\u529f\u80fd\u5c31\u662f\u4e3a\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u63d0\u4f9b\u6709\u5173\u8d44\u91d1\uff0c\u4f46\u5f88\u591a\u65f6\u8981\u6ee1\u8db3IMF\u5f00\u51fa\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653f\u7b56\u53d8\u76f8\u53d7\u5230IMF\u7684\u5e72\u9884\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fd9\u4e2a\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5c31\u662f\u6446\u8131\u73b0\u6709\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u878d\u6846\u67b6\u7684\u4e00\u6b65\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u591a\u6b21\u63d0\u53ca\uff0c\u8981\u63a8\u51fa\u65b0\u7684\u50a8\u5907\u8d27\u5e01\u5355\u4f4d\uff0c\u5c06\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5176\u6700\u5177\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u73b0\u65f6\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5177\u4f53\u8d44\u6599\uff0c\u4f46\u5a92\u4ecb\u9884\u671f\u4f1a\u662f\u4eca\u5e748\u6708\u5357\u975e\u7ea6\u7ff0\u5185\u65af\u5821\u9996\u957f\u7ea7\u4f1a\u8bae\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u8bae\u9898\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u5230\u65f6\u6709\u6240\u5206\u6653\u3002\u4eca\u5e748\u6708\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u9879\u91cd\u8981\u8bae\u9898\uff0c\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u5438\u6536\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u65b0\u6210\u5458\u3002\u73b0\u65f6\u5df2\u670913\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u6b63\u5f0f\u7533\u8bf7\uff0c\u53e6\u5916\u67096\u4e2a\u975e\u6b63\u5f0f\u63d0\u51fa\u52a0\u5165\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5e76\u975e\u8d38\u6613\u6216\u6295\u8d44\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u6269\u5c55\u4ea7\u54c1\u5e02\u573a\u7b49\u597d\u5904\u3002\u5b83\u53ef\u4ee5\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\uff0c\u5927\u62b5\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u4e8b\u52a1\u6846\u67b6\u4e0b\u548c\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\u5468\u65cb\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec715\u5e74\u7684\u79ef\u7d2f\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u63d0\u4f9b\u8fd9\u4e2a\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002 \u6ce8\uff1ahttp:\/\/www.elcorreo.eu.org\/IMG\/pdf\/Building_Better_Global_Economic_Brics.pdf \u9646\u708e\u8f89\u535a\u58eb \u6e2f\u5927\u7ecf\u7ba1\u5b66\u9662\u8363\u8a89\u526f\u6559\u6388 \uff08\u672c\u6587\u540c\u65f6\u4e8e\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e8c\u4e09\u5e74\u516d\u6708\u4e03\u65e5\u8f7d\u4e8e\u300a\u4fe1\u62a5\u300b\u300c\u9f99\u864e\u5c71\u4e0b\u300d\u4e13\u680f\uff09\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"google-site-verification\" content=\"google-site-verification=MjdkluDgHpNk2vz5slbwER2Gusw2rUDQuVULMERWzLo\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/research\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches\/%e8%93%84%e5%8a%bf%e5%be%85%e5%8f%91%e7%9a%84%e9%87%91%e7%a0%96%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6%e7%bb%84%e7%bb%87-2\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO (AIOSEO) 4.9.10\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"HKU Business School -\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u84c4\u52bf\u5f85\u53d1\u7684\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7 - HKU Business School\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u4e0a\u661f\u671f\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\uff08BRICS\uff09\u5728\u5357\u975e\u5f00\u666e\u6566\u53ec\u5f00\u4e86\u5916\u957f\u4f1a\u8bae\uff0c\u671f\u95f4\u5404\u56fd\u4ee3\u8868\u5747\u53d1\u51fa\u4e86\u8f83\u4e3a\u5f3a\u70c8\u7684\u8baf\u606f\uff0c\u91cd\u7533\u4e16\u754c\u662f\u591a\u6781\u5316\u7684\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u7531\u5c11\u6570\u56fd\u5bb6\u64cd\u7eb5\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u79e9\u5e8f\u5e94\u8be5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5411\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u5e73\u8861\uff0c\u800c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5728\u8fd9\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u6216\u7f3a\u7684\u3002\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u9010\u6e10\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u4ee3\u8868\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0eG7\u5de5\u4e1a\u56fd\u6297\u8861\u7684\u5bf9\u53e3\uff0c\u4e89\u53d6\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e8b\u52a1\u7684\u8bdd\u8bed\u6743\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e3b\u529e\u91d1\u7816\u9996\u957f\u7ea7\u5cf0\u4f1a\u65f6\uff0c\u5efa\u8bae\u63a5\u7eb3\u65b0\u6210\u5458\u5e76\u63a2\u8ba8\u6709\u5173\u7a0b\u5e8f\u3002\u5728\u4e0a\u661f\u671f\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e2d\uff0c\u4fbf\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4ee3\u8868\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u5728\u7ebf\u4e0a\u7ebf\u4e0b\u53c2\u4e0e\u4e00\u4e9b\u8ba8\u8bba\u73af\u8282\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u6570\u76ee\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4ee3\u8868\u6027\u3002 \u300c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u300d\u8fd9\u4e2a\u540d\u8bcd\u548c\u6709\u5173\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u7ec4\u5408\uff0c\u6e90\u4e8e2001\u5e74\u6295\u8d44\u94f6\u884c\u9ad8\u76db\u65d7\u4e0b\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u3010\u6ce8\u3011\u3002\u8be5\u62a5\u544a\u539f\u610f\u662f\u63d0\u4f9b\u6295\u8d44\u8baf\u606f\uff0c\u5e2e\u516c\u53f8\u5438\u7eb3\u5ba2\u6237\u8d44\u91d1\u6295\u653e\u5230\u6709\u5173\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u6d89\u53ca\u4efb\u4f55\u56fd\u5bb6\u6216\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u53c2\u4e0e\u3002\u4f5c\u8005Jim O&#039;Neil\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5df4\u897f\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6709\u5f88\u9ad8\u7684\u589e\u957f\u6f5c\u80fd\u3002\u66f4\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u5f71\u54cd\u6df1\u8fdc\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5efa\u8baeG7\u5e94\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u751a\u81f3\u5176\u4ed6\u51e0\u4e2a\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5171\u540c\u534f\u8c03\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u82e5\u679cG7\u65e9\u572820\u5e74\u524d\u5c31\u548c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5e73\u8d77\u5e73\u5750\u3001\u5236\u5b9a\u5168\u7403\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4e5f\u8bb8\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u5c40\u9762\u4f1a\u7965\u548c\u5f97\u591a\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5177\u5f71\u54cd\u529b \u91d1\u7816\u56db\u56fd\u7684\u5b98\u65b9\u63a5\u89e6\u59cb\u4e8e2006\u5e74\u3002\u5f53\u5e74\u56db\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u957f\u8d81\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u5468\u5e74\u5927\u4f1a\u4e4b\u4fbf\u5728\u7ebd\u7ea6\u4e00\u805a\uff0c\u4f46\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5b9e\u8d28\u4e0a\u7684\u8ddf\u8fdb\u3002\u76f4\u81f3\u4e24\u5e74\u540e\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u7206\u53d1\uff0c\u66b4\u9732\u51fa\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u7f3a\u5931\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u81ea\u7136\u4f1a\u8003\u8651\u5efa\u7acb\u5176\u4ed6\u673a\u5236\u4f5c\u4e3a\u66ff\u4ee3\u3002\u7528\u6700\u8fd1\u897f\u65b9\u6d41\u884c\u7684\u540d\u8bcd\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u4e0d\u8981\u8131\u94a9\uff08decouple\uff09\uff0c\u4e5f\u9700\u8981\u53bb\u98ce\u9669\uff08de-risk\uff09\u3002\u5728\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u7684\u6c1b\u56f4\u4e0b\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56db\u56fd\u4e8e2009\u5e74\u5728\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7b2c\u56db\u5927\u57ce\u5e02\u53ca\u5de5\u4e1a\u4e2d\u5fc3\u53f6\u5361\u6377\u7433\u5821\uff08Yekaterinburg\uff09\u4e3e\u884c\u9996\u6b21\u5cf0\u4f1a\uff0c\u56db\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u9996\u957f\u5747\u6709\u51fa\u5e2d\uff0c\u5e76\u7b7e\u7f72\u5171\u540c\u58f0\u660e\uff0c\u5f3a\u8c03\u4f1a\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u878d\u673a\u6784\u4e2d\u4ee3\u8868\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u3002\u968f\u540e\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u6bcf\u5e74\u5747\u4e3e\u529e\u9996\u957f\u7ea7\u5cf0\u4f1a\uff0c\u4eca\u5e748\u6708\u5728\u5357\u975e\u7ea6\u7ff0\u5185\u65af\u5821\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u5c06\u4f1a\u662f\u7b2c15\u5c4a\u3002\u5357\u975e\u57282011\u5e74\u9996\u6b21\u53c2\u52a0\u5cf0\u4f1a\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56db\u56fd\u9042\u6539\u4e3a\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u3002\u5357\u975e\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u91cf\u76f8\u5bf9\u7ec6\u5c0f\uff0c\u4f46\u5374\u6709\u7740\u4ee3\u8868\u975e\u6d32\u4f17\u591a\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u8c61\u5f81\u610f\u4e49\u3002 \u5982\u9ad8\u76db2001\u5e74\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5728\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u521d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u6210\u7ee9\u9a84\u4eba\u3002\u6309\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u8d2d\u4e70\u529b\u5e73\u4ef7\u7684GDP\u6570\u636e\u6765\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u57282001\u5e74\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5360\u5168\u7403GDP 18.6%\uff0c\u800cG7\u5219\u536043.3%\u3002\u81f32021\u5e74\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u6570\u5b57\u5206\u522b\u4e3a31.8%\u548c30.5%\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5df2\u8d85\u8d8a\u4e86G7\u7684\u4efd\u989d\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5360\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u7ea640%\u3001\u571f\u5730\u9762\u79ef30%\u3001GDP 32%\u4ee5\u53ca\u8d38\u6613\u768420%\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5171\u540c\u70b9\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u90fd\u6709\u76f8\u5f53\u7684\u533a\u57df\u3001\u4ee5\u81f3\u56fd\u9645\u4e0a\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\uff0c\u4ea6\u6709\u4ee5\u81ea\u8eab\u529b\u91cf\u91cd\u5851\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u610f\u613f\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\uff0c\u5176\u4f59\u56fd\u5bb6\u90fd\u662f\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u4ee5\u8d2d\u4e70\u529b\u5e73\u4ef7\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u4eba\u5747GDP\u7ea67000\u591a\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u5357\u975e\u90fd\u662f\u4e00\u4e07\u591a\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5219\u662f3\u4e07\u591a\u3002\u867d\u7136\u4e94\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u9053\u8def\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u4f46\u90fd\u4e0d\u662f\u7d27\u8ddf\u897f\u65b9\u65b0\u81ea\u7531\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u836f\u65b9\u3002 \u6210\u5458\u7ecf\u6d4e\u529b\u53c2\u5dee \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5206\u522b\uff0c\u6bd5\u7adf\u6bd4\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u5171\u540c\u4e4b\u5904\u66f4\u4e3a\u660e\u663e\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u6587\u5316\u548c\u5730\u7406\u73af\u5883\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u5916\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u80fd\u91cf\u4e5f\u5f88\u53c2\u5dee\u30022021\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5360\u4e86\u4e94\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6GDP\u603b\u548c\u768458.6%\u3001\u5370\u5ea621.9%\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af10.3%\u3001\u5df4\u897f7.4%\uff0c\u800c\u5357\u975e\u53ea\u5360 1.9%\u3002\u4e5f\u8bb8\u7531\u4e8e\u6210\u5458\u95f4\u5dee\u5f02\u8f83\u5927\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff0c\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u95f4\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u7279\u522b\u6e05\u6670\u7684\u5f62\u8c61\u3001\u8def\u7ebf\u548c\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u4ea6\u6ca1\u6709\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e2d\u626e\u6f14\u4ec0\u4e48\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u89d2\u8272\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u7684\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5b89\u6392\u76f8\u5bf9\u677e\u6563\uff0c\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5982\u81ea\u7531\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\u6216\u6295\u8d44\u534f\u8bae\u7b49\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002 \u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5728\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u6b21\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fdc\u4e0d\u5982\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u7684\u9996\u5341\u5e74\u3002\u82e5\u6bd4\u8f832001\u81f32011\u5e74\u8fd9\u5341\u5e74\u548c\u968f\u540e\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u5e74\u5747\u590d\u5408\u589e\u957f\u7387\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u75316.1%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f31.5%\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u753113%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f37%\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u75319%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f36.1%\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u753111.7%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f34%\uff0c\u800c\u5357\u975e\u5219\u75315.7%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f32.2%\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u76847%\u548c\u5370\u5ea6\u76846.1%\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u589e\u957f\u7387\u90fd\u4e4f\u5584\u8db3\u9648\u3002\u5982\u6b64\u79cd\u79cd\uff0c\u90fd\u5bb9\u6613\u8ba9\u4e00\u4e9b\u8bba\u8005\u6de1\u5316\u4e86\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u6240\u53ef\u4ee5\u8d77\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u3002 \u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u4ece\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\u6765\u8861\u91cf\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u53ea\u5c5e\u65e9\u671f\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u89d2\u5ea6\u3002\u6bd5\u7adf\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u7740\u773c\u7684\uff0c\u662f\u5728\u5bfb\u627e\u548c\u521b\u9020\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u65b0\u51fa\u8def\u3002\u867d\u7136\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\u672a\u5982\u7406\u60f3\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u5b9e\u529b\u8fd8\u662f\u4e3e\u8db3\u8f7b\u91cd\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\u4fc4\u4e4c\u6218\u4e89\u7206\u53d1\u540e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u53ca\u5357\u975e\u5747\u6ca1\u6709\u5c31\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u8c34\u8d23\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u8bae\u6848\u6295\u8d5e\u6210\u7968\uff0c\u800c\u5df4\u897f\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u535a\u5c14\u7d22\u7eb3\u7f57\uff08Bolsonaro\uff09\u653f\u5e9c\u5219\u652f\u6301\u8bae\u6848\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u6279\u8bc4\u897f\u65b9\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u591a\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u5236\u88c1\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u96c6\u56e2\u8f83\u4e3a\u5b9e\u5728\u548c\u805a\u7126\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u662f\u9488\u5bf9\u5f53\u524d\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u4e3a\u672c\u7684\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u6bd4\u8f83\u660e\u663e\u7684\uff0c\u5c31\u662f2015\u5e747\u6708\u6210\u7acb\u7684\u65b0\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\uff08New Development Bank\uff0cNDB\uff09\u3002\u5982\u5176\u4ed6\u591a\u8fb9\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\u4e00\u6837\uff0cNDB\u662f\u7531\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u53ca\u591a\u4e2a\u653f\u5e9c\u652f\u6301\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u878d\u673a\u6784\uff0c\u957f\u671f\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e88\u57fa\u7840\u5efa\u8bbe\u9879\u76ee\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0cNDB\u7684\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u4e9b\u8fd0\u4f5c\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u591a\u8fb9\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\u4e0d\u540c\u3002 \u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u4e94\u4e2a\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u4eab\u6709\u540c\u7b49\u80a1\u6743\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u56fd\u5bb6\u62e5\u6709\u5426\u51b3\u6743\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u591a\u8fb9\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e00\u822c\u6765\u8bf4\u7533\u8bf7\u8fc7\u7a0b\u7e41\u590d\uff0c\u8d39\u65f6\u751a\u957f\u3002NDB\u5219\u5316\u7e41\u4e3a\u7b80\uff0c6\u4e2a\u6708\u5185\u5b8c\u6210\u6279\u5ba1\u3002\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u94f6\u884c\u8d37\u6b3e\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u786c\u901a\u8d27\u4e3a\u4e3b\uff0c\u4f46NDB\u4ee5\u672c\u5e01\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e3a\u4e3b\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u501f\u65b9\u7684\u57fa\u5efa\u9879\u76ee\u6536\u76ca\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u672c\u5730\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u8fd9\u51cf\u8f7b\u751a\u81f3\u907f\u514d\u4e86\u501f\u65b9\u7684\u6c47\u7387\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4f9d\u8d56\uff0c\u660e\u663e\u662f\u53bb\u7f8e\u5143\u5316\u7684\u4e00\u7740\u3002 \u6309\u6709\u5173\u7684\u7f51\u9875\u8d44\u6599\uff0cNDB\u5df2\u5ba1\u6279\u4e86\u603b\u503c328\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u768496\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u6570\u503c\u8fdc\u5c0f\u4e8e\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u751a\u81f3\u4e9a\u6d32\u53d1\u5c55\u94f6\u884c\uff0c\u4f46NDB\u89c4\u6a21\u4e5f\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e0a\u5c0f\u5f88\u591a\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0cNDB\u5df2\u63a8\u5e7f\u5230\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u4ee5\u5916\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u65b0\u80a1\u4e1c\u5305\u62ec\u5b5f\u52a0\u62c9\u3001\u963f\u8054\u914b\u548c\u57c3\u53ca\u3002\u4e4c\u62c9\u572d\u5c06\u4f1a\u662f\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u4f1a\u5458\uff0c\u800c\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u7684\u7533\u8bf7\u4ea6\u88ab\u8003\u8651\u4e2d\u3002NDB\u65b0\u6210\u5458\u7684\u5f15\u5165\uff0c\u6bd4\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u8fd8\u6765\u5f97\u65e9\u3002 \u53ef\u671b\u4e0e\u897f\u65b9\u5468\u65cb \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u53e6\u6709\u4e00\u9879\u8f83\u5c11\u88ab\u8ba8\u8bba\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u5171\u540c\u51c6\u5907\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a1000\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5e94\u6025\u50a8\u5907\u57fa\u91d1\uff08Contingent Reserve Arrangement\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u63d0\u4f9b\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u6ce2\u52a8\u6216\u8d27\u5e01\u88ab\u7092\u5356\u65f6\u6240\u9700\u8981\u7684\u5916\u6c47\u3002\u4e00\u822c\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff08IMF\uff09\u7684\u529f\u80fd\u5c31\u662f\u4e3a\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u63d0\u4f9b\u6709\u5173\u8d44\u91d1\uff0c\u4f46\u5f88\u591a\u65f6\u8981\u6ee1\u8db3IMF\u5f00\u51fa\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653f\u7b56\u53d8\u76f8\u53d7\u5230IMF\u7684\u5e72\u9884\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fd9\u4e2a\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5c31\u662f\u6446\u8131\u73b0\u6709\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u878d\u6846\u67b6\u7684\u4e00\u6b65\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u591a\u6b21\u63d0\u53ca\uff0c\u8981\u63a8\u51fa\u65b0\u7684\u50a8\u5907\u8d27\u5e01\u5355\u4f4d\uff0c\u5c06\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5176\u6700\u5177\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u73b0\u65f6\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5177\u4f53\u8d44\u6599\uff0c\u4f46\u5a92\u4ecb\u9884\u671f\u4f1a\u662f\u4eca\u5e748\u6708\u5357\u975e\u7ea6\u7ff0\u5185\u65af\u5821\u9996\u957f\u7ea7\u4f1a\u8bae\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u8bae\u9898\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u5230\u65f6\u6709\u6240\u5206\u6653\u3002\u4eca\u5e748\u6708\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u9879\u91cd\u8981\u8bae\u9898\uff0c\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u5438\u6536\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u65b0\u6210\u5458\u3002\u73b0\u65f6\u5df2\u670913\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u6b63\u5f0f\u7533\u8bf7\uff0c\u53e6\u5916\u67096\u4e2a\u975e\u6b63\u5f0f\u63d0\u51fa\u52a0\u5165\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5e76\u975e\u8d38\u6613\u6216\u6295\u8d44\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u6269\u5c55\u4ea7\u54c1\u5e02\u573a\u7b49\u597d\u5904\u3002\u5b83\u53ef\u4ee5\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\uff0c\u5927\u62b5\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u4e8b\u52a1\u6846\u67b6\u4e0b\u548c\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\u5468\u65cb\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec715\u5e74\u7684\u79ef\u7d2f\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u63d0\u4f9b\u8fd9\u4e2a\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002 \u6ce8\uff1ahttp:\/\/www.elcorreo.eu.org\/IMG\/pdf\/Building_Better_Global_Economic_Brics.pdf \u9646\u708e\u8f89\u535a\u58eb \u6e2f\u5927\u7ecf\u7ba1\u5b66\u9662\u8363\u8a89\u526f\u6559\u6388 \uff08\u672c\u6587\u540c\u65f6\u4e8e\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e8c\u4e09\u5e74\u516d\u6708\u4e03\u65e5\u8f7d\u4e8e\u300a\u4fe1\u62a5\u300b\u300c\u9f99\u864e\u5c71\u4e0b\u300d\u4e13\u680f\uff09\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/research\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches\/%e8%93%84%e5%8a%bf%e5%be%85%e5%8f%91%e7%9a%84%e9%87%91%e7%a0%96%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6%e7%bb%84%e7%bb%87-2\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-06-08T02:44:45+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-06-08T02:47:51+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"\u84c4\u52bf\u5f85\u53d1\u7684\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7 - HKU Business School\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"\u4e0a\u661f\u671f\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\uff08BRICS\uff09\u5728\u5357\u975e\u5f00\u666e\u6566\u53ec\u5f00\u4e86\u5916\u957f\u4f1a\u8bae\uff0c\u671f\u95f4\u5404\u56fd\u4ee3\u8868\u5747\u53d1\u51fa\u4e86\u8f83\u4e3a\u5f3a\u70c8\u7684\u8baf\u606f\uff0c\u91cd\u7533\u4e16\u754c\u662f\u591a\u6781\u5316\u7684\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u7531\u5c11\u6570\u56fd\u5bb6\u64cd\u7eb5\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u79e9\u5e8f\u5e94\u8be5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5411\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u5e73\u8861\uff0c\u800c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5728\u8fd9\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u6216\u7f3a\u7684\u3002\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u9010\u6e10\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u4ee3\u8868\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0eG7\u5de5\u4e1a\u56fd\u6297\u8861\u7684\u5bf9\u53e3\uff0c\u4e89\u53d6\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e8b\u52a1\u7684\u8bdd\u8bed\u6743\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e3b\u529e\u91d1\u7816\u9996\u957f\u7ea7\u5cf0\u4f1a\u65f6\uff0c\u5efa\u8bae\u63a5\u7eb3\u65b0\u6210\u5458\u5e76\u63a2\u8ba8\u6709\u5173\u7a0b\u5e8f\u3002\u5728\u4e0a\u661f\u671f\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e2d\uff0c\u4fbf\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4ee3\u8868\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u5728\u7ebf\u4e0a\u7ebf\u4e0b\u53c2\u4e0e\u4e00\u4e9b\u8ba8\u8bba\u73af\u8282\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u6570\u76ee\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4ee3\u8868\u6027\u3002 \u300c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u300d\u8fd9\u4e2a\u540d\u8bcd\u548c\u6709\u5173\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u7ec4\u5408\uff0c\u6e90\u4e8e2001\u5e74\u6295\u8d44\u94f6\u884c\u9ad8\u76db\u65d7\u4e0b\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u3010\u6ce8\u3011\u3002\u8be5\u62a5\u544a\u539f\u610f\u662f\u63d0\u4f9b\u6295\u8d44\u8baf\u606f\uff0c\u5e2e\u516c\u53f8\u5438\u7eb3\u5ba2\u6237\u8d44\u91d1\u6295\u653e\u5230\u6709\u5173\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u6d89\u53ca\u4efb\u4f55\u56fd\u5bb6\u6216\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u53c2\u4e0e\u3002\u4f5c\u8005Jim O&#039;Neil\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5df4\u897f\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6709\u5f88\u9ad8\u7684\u589e\u957f\u6f5c\u80fd\u3002\u66f4\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u5f71\u54cd\u6df1\u8fdc\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5efa\u8baeG7\u5e94\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u751a\u81f3\u5176\u4ed6\u51e0\u4e2a\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5171\u540c\u534f\u8c03\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u82e5\u679cG7\u65e9\u572820\u5e74\u524d\u5c31\u548c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5e73\u8d77\u5e73\u5750\u3001\u5236\u5b9a\u5168\u7403\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4e5f\u8bb8\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u5c40\u9762\u4f1a\u7965\u548c\u5f97\u591a\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5177\u5f71\u54cd\u529b \u91d1\u7816\u56db\u56fd\u7684\u5b98\u65b9\u63a5\u89e6\u59cb\u4e8e2006\u5e74\u3002\u5f53\u5e74\u56db\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u957f\u8d81\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u5468\u5e74\u5927\u4f1a\u4e4b\u4fbf\u5728\u7ebd\u7ea6\u4e00\u805a\uff0c\u4f46\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5b9e\u8d28\u4e0a\u7684\u8ddf\u8fdb\u3002\u76f4\u81f3\u4e24\u5e74\u540e\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u7206\u53d1\uff0c\u66b4\u9732\u51fa\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u7f3a\u5931\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u81ea\u7136\u4f1a\u8003\u8651\u5efa\u7acb\u5176\u4ed6\u673a\u5236\u4f5c\u4e3a\u66ff\u4ee3\u3002\u7528\u6700\u8fd1\u897f\u65b9\u6d41\u884c\u7684\u540d\u8bcd\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u4e0d\u8981\u8131\u94a9\uff08decouple\uff09\uff0c\u4e5f\u9700\u8981\u53bb\u98ce\u9669\uff08de-risk\uff09\u3002\u5728\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u7684\u6c1b\u56f4\u4e0b\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56db\u56fd\u4e8e2009\u5e74\u5728\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7b2c\u56db\u5927\u57ce\u5e02\u53ca\u5de5\u4e1a\u4e2d\u5fc3\u53f6\u5361\u6377\u7433\u5821\uff08Yekaterinburg\uff09\u4e3e\u884c\u9996\u6b21\u5cf0\u4f1a\uff0c\u56db\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u9996\u957f\u5747\u6709\u51fa\u5e2d\uff0c\u5e76\u7b7e\u7f72\u5171\u540c\u58f0\u660e\uff0c\u5f3a\u8c03\u4f1a\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u878d\u673a\u6784\u4e2d\u4ee3\u8868\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u3002\u968f\u540e\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u6bcf\u5e74\u5747\u4e3e\u529e\u9996\u957f\u7ea7\u5cf0\u4f1a\uff0c\u4eca\u5e748\u6708\u5728\u5357\u975e\u7ea6\u7ff0\u5185\u65af\u5821\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u5c06\u4f1a\u662f\u7b2c15\u5c4a\u3002\u5357\u975e\u57282011\u5e74\u9996\u6b21\u53c2\u52a0\u5cf0\u4f1a\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56db\u56fd\u9042\u6539\u4e3a\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u3002\u5357\u975e\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u91cf\u76f8\u5bf9\u7ec6\u5c0f\uff0c\u4f46\u5374\u6709\u7740\u4ee3\u8868\u975e\u6d32\u4f17\u591a\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u8c61\u5f81\u610f\u4e49\u3002 \u5982\u9ad8\u76db2001\u5e74\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5728\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u521d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u6210\u7ee9\u9a84\u4eba\u3002\u6309\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u8d2d\u4e70\u529b\u5e73\u4ef7\u7684GDP\u6570\u636e\u6765\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u57282001\u5e74\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5360\u5168\u7403GDP 18.6%\uff0c\u800cG7\u5219\u536043.3%\u3002\u81f32021\u5e74\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u6570\u5b57\u5206\u522b\u4e3a31.8%\u548c30.5%\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5df2\u8d85\u8d8a\u4e86G7\u7684\u4efd\u989d\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5360\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u7ea640%\u3001\u571f\u5730\u9762\u79ef30%\u3001GDP 32%\u4ee5\u53ca\u8d38\u6613\u768420%\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5171\u540c\u70b9\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u90fd\u6709\u76f8\u5f53\u7684\u533a\u57df\u3001\u4ee5\u81f3\u56fd\u9645\u4e0a\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\uff0c\u4ea6\u6709\u4ee5\u81ea\u8eab\u529b\u91cf\u91cd\u5851\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u610f\u613f\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\uff0c\u5176\u4f59\u56fd\u5bb6\u90fd\u662f\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u4ee5\u8d2d\u4e70\u529b\u5e73\u4ef7\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u4eba\u5747GDP\u7ea67000\u591a\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u5357\u975e\u90fd\u662f\u4e00\u4e07\u591a\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5219\u662f3\u4e07\u591a\u3002\u867d\u7136\u4e94\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u9053\u8def\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u4f46\u90fd\u4e0d\u662f\u7d27\u8ddf\u897f\u65b9\u65b0\u81ea\u7531\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u836f\u65b9\u3002 \u6210\u5458\u7ecf\u6d4e\u529b\u53c2\u5dee \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5206\u522b\uff0c\u6bd5\u7adf\u6bd4\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u5171\u540c\u4e4b\u5904\u66f4\u4e3a\u660e\u663e\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u6587\u5316\u548c\u5730\u7406\u73af\u5883\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u5916\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u80fd\u91cf\u4e5f\u5f88\u53c2\u5dee\u30022021\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5360\u4e86\u4e94\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6GDP\u603b\u548c\u768458.6%\u3001\u5370\u5ea621.9%\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af10.3%\u3001\u5df4\u897f7.4%\uff0c\u800c\u5357\u975e\u53ea\u5360 1.9%\u3002\u4e5f\u8bb8\u7531\u4e8e\u6210\u5458\u95f4\u5dee\u5f02\u8f83\u5927\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff0c\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u95f4\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u7279\u522b\u6e05\u6670\u7684\u5f62\u8c61\u3001\u8def\u7ebf\u548c\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u4ea6\u6ca1\u6709\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e2d\u626e\u6f14\u4ec0\u4e48\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u89d2\u8272\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u7684\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5b89\u6392\u76f8\u5bf9\u677e\u6563\uff0c\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5982\u81ea\u7531\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\u6216\u6295\u8d44\u534f\u8bae\u7b49\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002 \u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5728\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u6b21\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fdc\u4e0d\u5982\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u7684\u9996\u5341\u5e74\u3002\u82e5\u6bd4\u8f832001\u81f32011\u5e74\u8fd9\u5341\u5e74\u548c\u968f\u540e\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u5e74\u5747\u590d\u5408\u589e\u957f\u7387\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u75316.1%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f31.5%\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u753113%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f37%\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u75319%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f36.1%\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u753111.7%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f34%\uff0c\u800c\u5357\u975e\u5219\u75315.7%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f32.2%\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u76847%\u548c\u5370\u5ea6\u76846.1%\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u589e\u957f\u7387\u90fd\u4e4f\u5584\u8db3\u9648\u3002\u5982\u6b64\u79cd\u79cd\uff0c\u90fd\u5bb9\u6613\u8ba9\u4e00\u4e9b\u8bba\u8005\u6de1\u5316\u4e86\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u6240\u53ef\u4ee5\u8d77\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u3002 \u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u4ece\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\u6765\u8861\u91cf\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u53ea\u5c5e\u65e9\u671f\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u89d2\u5ea6\u3002\u6bd5\u7adf\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u7740\u773c\u7684\uff0c\u662f\u5728\u5bfb\u627e\u548c\u521b\u9020\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u65b0\u51fa\u8def\u3002\u867d\u7136\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\u672a\u5982\u7406\u60f3\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u5b9e\u529b\u8fd8\u662f\u4e3e\u8db3\u8f7b\u91cd\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\u4fc4\u4e4c\u6218\u4e89\u7206\u53d1\u540e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u53ca\u5357\u975e\u5747\u6ca1\u6709\u5c31\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u8c34\u8d23\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u8bae\u6848\u6295\u8d5e\u6210\u7968\uff0c\u800c\u5df4\u897f\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u535a\u5c14\u7d22\u7eb3\u7f57\uff08Bolsonaro\uff09\u653f\u5e9c\u5219\u652f\u6301\u8bae\u6848\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u6279\u8bc4\u897f\u65b9\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u591a\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u5236\u88c1\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u96c6\u56e2\u8f83\u4e3a\u5b9e\u5728\u548c\u805a\u7126\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u662f\u9488\u5bf9\u5f53\u524d\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u4e3a\u672c\u7684\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u6bd4\u8f83\u660e\u663e\u7684\uff0c\u5c31\u662f2015\u5e747\u6708\u6210\u7acb\u7684\u65b0\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\uff08New Development Bank\uff0cNDB\uff09\u3002\u5982\u5176\u4ed6\u591a\u8fb9\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\u4e00\u6837\uff0cNDB\u662f\u7531\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u53ca\u591a\u4e2a\u653f\u5e9c\u652f\u6301\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u878d\u673a\u6784\uff0c\u957f\u671f\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e88\u57fa\u7840\u5efa\u8bbe\u9879\u76ee\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0cNDB\u7684\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u4e9b\u8fd0\u4f5c\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u591a\u8fb9\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\u4e0d\u540c\u3002 \u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u4e94\u4e2a\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u4eab\u6709\u540c\u7b49\u80a1\u6743\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u56fd\u5bb6\u62e5\u6709\u5426\u51b3\u6743\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u591a\u8fb9\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e00\u822c\u6765\u8bf4\u7533\u8bf7\u8fc7\u7a0b\u7e41\u590d\uff0c\u8d39\u65f6\u751a\u957f\u3002NDB\u5219\u5316\u7e41\u4e3a\u7b80\uff0c6\u4e2a\u6708\u5185\u5b8c\u6210\u6279\u5ba1\u3002\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u94f6\u884c\u8d37\u6b3e\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u786c\u901a\u8d27\u4e3a\u4e3b\uff0c\u4f46NDB\u4ee5\u672c\u5e01\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e3a\u4e3b\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u501f\u65b9\u7684\u57fa\u5efa\u9879\u76ee\u6536\u76ca\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u672c\u5730\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u8fd9\u51cf\u8f7b\u751a\u81f3\u907f\u514d\u4e86\u501f\u65b9\u7684\u6c47\u7387\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4f9d\u8d56\uff0c\u660e\u663e\u662f\u53bb\u7f8e\u5143\u5316\u7684\u4e00\u7740\u3002 \u6309\u6709\u5173\u7684\u7f51\u9875\u8d44\u6599\uff0cNDB\u5df2\u5ba1\u6279\u4e86\u603b\u503c328\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u768496\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u6570\u503c\u8fdc\u5c0f\u4e8e\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u751a\u81f3\u4e9a\u6d32\u53d1\u5c55\u94f6\u884c\uff0c\u4f46NDB\u89c4\u6a21\u4e5f\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e0a\u5c0f\u5f88\u591a\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0cNDB\u5df2\u63a8\u5e7f\u5230\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u4ee5\u5916\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u65b0\u80a1\u4e1c\u5305\u62ec\u5b5f\u52a0\u62c9\u3001\u963f\u8054\u914b\u548c\u57c3\u53ca\u3002\u4e4c\u62c9\u572d\u5c06\u4f1a\u662f\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u4f1a\u5458\uff0c\u800c\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u7684\u7533\u8bf7\u4ea6\u88ab\u8003\u8651\u4e2d\u3002NDB\u65b0\u6210\u5458\u7684\u5f15\u5165\uff0c\u6bd4\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u8fd8\u6765\u5f97\u65e9\u3002 \u53ef\u671b\u4e0e\u897f\u65b9\u5468\u65cb \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u53e6\u6709\u4e00\u9879\u8f83\u5c11\u88ab\u8ba8\u8bba\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u5171\u540c\u51c6\u5907\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a1000\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5e94\u6025\u50a8\u5907\u57fa\u91d1\uff08Contingent Reserve Arrangement\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u63d0\u4f9b\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u6ce2\u52a8\u6216\u8d27\u5e01\u88ab\u7092\u5356\u65f6\u6240\u9700\u8981\u7684\u5916\u6c47\u3002\u4e00\u822c\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff08IMF\uff09\u7684\u529f\u80fd\u5c31\u662f\u4e3a\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u63d0\u4f9b\u6709\u5173\u8d44\u91d1\uff0c\u4f46\u5f88\u591a\u65f6\u8981\u6ee1\u8db3IMF\u5f00\u51fa\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653f\u7b56\u53d8\u76f8\u53d7\u5230IMF\u7684\u5e72\u9884\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fd9\u4e2a\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5c31\u662f\u6446\u8131\u73b0\u6709\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u878d\u6846\u67b6\u7684\u4e00\u6b65\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u591a\u6b21\u63d0\u53ca\uff0c\u8981\u63a8\u51fa\u65b0\u7684\u50a8\u5907\u8d27\u5e01\u5355\u4f4d\uff0c\u5c06\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5176\u6700\u5177\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u73b0\u65f6\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5177\u4f53\u8d44\u6599\uff0c\u4f46\u5a92\u4ecb\u9884\u671f\u4f1a\u662f\u4eca\u5e748\u6708\u5357\u975e\u7ea6\u7ff0\u5185\u65af\u5821\u9996\u957f\u7ea7\u4f1a\u8bae\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u8bae\u9898\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u5230\u65f6\u6709\u6240\u5206\u6653\u3002\u4eca\u5e748\u6708\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u9879\u91cd\u8981\u8bae\u9898\uff0c\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u5438\u6536\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u65b0\u6210\u5458\u3002\u73b0\u65f6\u5df2\u670913\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u6b63\u5f0f\u7533\u8bf7\uff0c\u53e6\u5916\u67096\u4e2a\u975e\u6b63\u5f0f\u63d0\u51fa\u52a0\u5165\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5e76\u975e\u8d38\u6613\u6216\u6295\u8d44\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u6269\u5c55\u4ea7\u54c1\u5e02\u573a\u7b49\u597d\u5904\u3002\u5b83\u53ef\u4ee5\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\uff0c\u5927\u62b5\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u4e8b\u52a1\u6846\u67b6\u4e0b\u548c\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\u5468\u65cb\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec715\u5e74\u7684\u79ef\u7d2f\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u63d0\u4f9b\u8fd9\u4e2a\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002 \u6ce8\uff1ahttp:\/\/www.elcorreo.eu.org\/IMG\/pdf\/Building_Better_Global_Economic_Brics.pdf \u9646\u708e\u8f89\u535a\u58eb \u6e2f\u5927\u7ecf\u7ba1\u5b66\u9662\u8363\u8a89\u526f\u6559\u6388 \uff08\u672c\u6587\u540c\u65f6\u4e8e\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e8c\u4e09\u5e74\u516d\u6708\u4e03\u65e5\u8f7d\u4e8e\u300a\u4fe1\u62a5\u300b\u300c\u9f99\u864e\u5c71\u4e0b\u300d\u4e13\u680f\uff09\" \/>\n\t\t<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"aioseo-schema\">\n\t\t\t{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\\\/sc\\\/research\\\/thought-leadership\\\/opinions-and-speeches\\\/%e8%93%84%e5%8a%bf%e5%be%85%e5%8f%91%e7%9a%84%e9%87%91%e7%a0%96%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6%e7%bb%84%e7%bb%87-2\\\/#breadcrumblist\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\\\/sc\\\/#listItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\\\/sc\\\/\",\"nextItem\":{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\\\/sc\\\/thought-leadership\\\/opinions-and-speeches-sc\\\/#listItem\",\"name\":\"\\u5a92\\u4f53\\u62a5\\u5bfc\"}},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\\\/sc\\\/thought-leadership\\\/opinions-and-speeches-sc\\\/#listItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"\\u5a92\\u4f53\\u62a5\\u5bfc\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\\\/sc\\\/thought-leadership\\\/opinions-and-speeches-sc\\\/\",\"nextItem\":{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\\\/sc\\\/research\\\/thought-leadership\\\/opinions-and-speeches\\\/%e8%93%84%e5%8a%bf%e5%be%85%e5%8f%91%e7%9a%84%e9%87%91%e7%a0%96%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6%e7%bb%84%e7%bb%87-2\\\/#listItem\",\"name\":\"\\u84c4\\u52bf\\u5f85\\u53d1\\u7684\\u91d1\\u7816\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u7ec4\\u7ec7\"},\"previousItem\":{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\\\/sc\\\/#listItem\",\"name\":\"Home\"}},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\\\/sc\\\/research\\\/thought-leadership\\\/opinions-and-speeches\\\/%e8%93%84%e5%8a%bf%e5%be%85%e5%8f%91%e7%9a%84%e9%87%91%e7%a0%96%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6%e7%bb%84%e7%bb%87-2\\\/#listItem\",\"position\":3,\"name\":\"\\u84c4\\u52bf\\u5f85\\u53d1\\u7684\\u91d1\\u7816\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u7ec4\\u7ec7\",\"previousItem\":{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\\\/sc\\\/thought-leadership\\\/opinions-and-speeches-sc\\\/#listItem\",\"name\":\"\\u5a92\\u4f53\\u62a5\\u5bfc\"}}]},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\\\/sc\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"HKU Business School\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\\\/sc\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\\\/sc\\\/research\\\/thought-leadership\\\/opinions-and-speeches\\\/%e8%93%84%e5%8a%bf%e5%be%85%e5%8f%91%e7%9a%84%e9%87%91%e7%a0%96%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6%e7%bb%84%e7%bb%87-2\\\/#webpage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\\\/sc\\\/research\\\/thought-leadership\\\/opinions-and-speeches\\\/%e8%93%84%e5%8a%bf%e5%be%85%e5%8f%91%e7%9a%84%e9%87%91%e7%a0%96%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6%e7%bb%84%e7%bb%87-2\\\/\",\"name\":\"\\u84c4\\u52bf\\u5f85\\u53d1\\u7684\\u91d1\\u7816\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u7ec4\\u7ec7 - HKU Business School\",\"description\":\"\\u4e0a\\u661f\\u671f\\u91d1\\u7816\\u4e94\\u56fd\\uff08BRICS\\uff09\\u5728\\u5357\\u975e\\u5f00\\u666e\\u6566\\u53ec\\u5f00\\u4e86\\u5916\\u957f\\u4f1a\\u8bae\\uff0c\\u671f\\u95f4\\u5404\\u56fd\\u4ee3\\u8868\\u5747\\u53d1\\u51fa\\u4e86\\u8f83\\u4e3a\\u5f3a\\u70c8\\u7684\\u8baf\\u606f\\uff0c\\u91cd\\u7533\\u4e16\\u754c\\u662f\\u591a\\u6781\\u5316\\u7684\\uff0c\\u4e0d\\u80fd\\u7531\\u5c11\\u6570\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u64cd\\u7eb5\\uff0c\\u5168\\u7403\\u79e9\\u5e8f\\u5e94\\u8be5\\u8fdb\\u4e00\\u6b65\\u5411\\u53d1\\u5c55\\u4e2d\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u5e73\\u8861\\uff0c\\u800c\\u91d1\\u7816\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u5728\\u8fd9\\u65b9\\u9762\\u7684\\u52aa\\u529b\\u662f\\u4e0d\\u53ef\\u6216\\u7f3a\\u7684\\u3002\\u8fd1\\u5e74\\u6765\\uff0c\\u91d1\\u7816\\u4e94\\u56fd\\u9010\\u6e10\\u88ab\\u89c6\\u4e3a\\u4ee3\\u8868\\u53d1\\u5c55\\u4e2d\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u4e0eG7\\u5de5\\u4e1a\\u56fd\\u6297\\u8861\\u7684\\u5bf9\\u53e3\\uff0c\\u4e89\\u53d6\\u5168\\u7403\\u7ecf\\u6d4e\\u4e8b\\u52a1\\u7684\\u8bdd\\u8bed\\u6743\\u3002\\u53bb\\u5e74\\u4e2d\\u56fd\\u4e3b\\u529e\\u91d1\\u7816\\u9996\\u957f\\u7ea7\\u5cf0\\u4f1a\\u65f6\\uff0c\\u5efa\\u8bae\\u63a5\\u7eb3\\u65b0\\u6210\\u5458\\u5e76\\u63a2\\u8ba8\\u6709\\u5173\\u7a0b\\u5e8f\\u3002\\u5728\\u4e0a\\u661f\\u671f\\u7684\\u4f1a\\u8bae\\u4e2d\\uff0c\\u4fbf\\u6709\\u5176\\u4ed6\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u7684\\u4ee3\\u8868\\uff0c\\u5206\\u522b\\u5728\\u7ebf\\u4e0a\\u7ebf\\u4e0b\\u53c2\\u4e0e\\u4e00\\u4e9b\\u8ba8\\u8bba\\u73af\\u8282\\u3002\\u91d1\\u7816\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u7684\\u6570\\u76ee\\u589e\\u52a0\\uff0c\\u81ea\\u7136\\u63d0\\u9ad8\\u4e86\\u53d1\\u5c55\\u4e2d\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u7684\\u4ee3\\u8868\\u6027\\u3002 \\u300c\\u91d1\\u7816\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u300d\\u8fd9\\u4e2a\\u540d\\u8bcd\\u548c\\u6709\\u5173\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u7684\\u7ec4\\u5408\\uff0c\\u6e90\\u4e8e2001\\u5e74\\u6295\\u8d44\\u94f6\\u884c\\u9ad8\\u76db\\u65d7\\u4e0b\\u7684\\u4e00\\u4efd\\u62a5\\u544a\\u3010\\u6ce8\\u3011\\u3002\\u8be5\\u62a5\\u544a\\u539f\\u610f\\u662f\\u63d0\\u4f9b\\u6295\\u8d44\\u8baf\\u606f\\uff0c\\u5e2e\\u516c\\u53f8\\u5438\\u7eb3\\u5ba2\\u6237\\u8d44\\u91d1\\u6295\\u653e\\u5230\\u6709\\u5173\\u7ecf\\u6d4e\\u4f53\\uff0c\\u5e76\\u4e0d\\u6d89\\u53ca\\u4efb\\u4f55\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u6216\\u653f\\u5e9c\\u7684\\u53c2\\u4e0e\\u3002\\u4f5c\\u8005Jim O'Neil\\u8ba4\\u4e3a\\u5df4\\u897f\\u3001\\u4fc4\\u7f57\\u65af\\u3001\\u5370\\u5ea6\\u548c\\u4e2d\\u56fd\\u7684\\u7ecf\\u6d4e\\u6709\\u5f88\\u9ad8\\u7684\\u589e\\u957f\\u6f5c\\u80fd\\u3002\\u66f4\\u6709\\u8da3\\u7684\\u662f\\uff0c\\u4ed6\\u8ba4\\u4e3a\\u91d1\\u7816\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u7684\\u53d1\\u5c55\\u5f71\\u54cd\\u6df1\\u8fdc\\uff0c\\u56e0\\u6b64\\u5efa\\u8baeG7\\u5e94\\u548c\\u4e2d\\u56fd\\u751a\\u81f3\\u5176\\u4ed6\\u51e0\\u4e2a\\u91d1\\u7816\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u5171\\u540c\\u534f\\u8c03\\u56fd\\u9645\\u7ecf\\u6d4e\\u653f\\u7b56\\u3002\\u82e5\\u679cG7\\u65e9\\u572820\\u5e74\\u524d\\u5c31\\u548c\\u91d1\\u7816\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u5e73\\u8d77\\u5e73\\u5750\\u3001\\u5236\\u5b9a\\u5168\\u7403\\u653f\\u7b56\\uff0c\\u4e5f\\u8bb8\\u4eca\\u5929\\u7684\\u56fd\\u9645\\u5c40\\u9762\\u4f1a\\u7965\\u548c\\u5f97\\u591a\\u3002 \\u91d1\\u7816\\u56fd\\u5177\\u5f71\\u54cd\\u529b \\u91d1\\u7816\\u56db\\u56fd\\u7684\\u5b98\\u65b9\\u63a5\\u89e6\\u59cb\\u4e8e2006\\u5e74\\u3002\\u5f53\\u5e74\\u56db\\u56fd\\u7684\\u5916\\u957f\\u8d81\\u8054\\u5408\\u56fd\\u5468\\u5e74\\u5927\\u4f1a\\u4e4b\\u4fbf\\u5728\\u7ebd\\u7ea6\\u4e00\\u805a\\uff0c\\u4f46\\u5e76\\u6ca1\\u6709\\u5b9e\\u8d28\\u4e0a\\u7684\\u8ddf\\u8fdb\\u3002\\u76f4\\u81f3\\u4e24\\u5e74\\u540e\\u5168\\u7403\\u91d1\\u878d\\u5371\\u673a\\u7206\\u53d1\\uff0c\\u66b4\\u9732\\u51fa\\u4ee5\\u7f8e\\u5143\\u4e3b\\u5bfc\\u7684\\u5168\\u7403\\u91d1\\u878d\\u4f53\\u7cfb\\u7684\\u7f3a\\u5931\\uff0c\\u4e00\\u4e9b\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u81ea\\u7136\\u4f1a\\u8003\\u8651\\u5efa\\u7acb\\u5176\\u4ed6\\u673a\\u5236\\u4f5c\\u4e3a\\u66ff\\u4ee3\\u3002\\u7528\\u6700\\u8fd1\\u897f\\u65b9\\u6d41\\u884c\\u7684\\u540d\\u8bcd\\uff0c\\u5373\\u4f7f\\u4e0d\\u8981\\u8131\\u94a9\\uff08decouple\\uff09\\uff0c\\u4e5f\\u9700\\u8981\\u53bb\\u98ce\\u9669\\uff08de-risk\\uff09\\u3002\\u5728\\u91d1\\u878d\\u5371\\u673a\\u7684\\u6c1b\\u56f4\\u4e0b\\uff0c\\u91d1\\u7816\\u56db\\u56fd\\u4e8e2009\\u5e74\\u5728\\u4fc4\\u7f57\\u65af\\u7b2c\\u56db\\u5927\\u57ce\\u5e02\\u53ca\\u5de5\\u4e1a\\u4e2d\\u5fc3\\u53f6\\u5361\\u6377\\u7433\\u5821\\uff08Yekaterinburg\\uff09\\u4e3e\\u884c\\u9996\\u6b21\\u5cf0\\u4f1a\\uff0c\\u56db\\u4e2a\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u7684\\u9996\\u957f\\u5747\\u6709\\u51fa\\u5e2d\\uff0c\\u5e76\\u7b7e\\u7f72\\u5171\\u540c\\u58f0\\u660e\\uff0c\\u5f3a\\u8c03\\u4f1a\\u5728\\u56fd\\u9645\\u91d1\\u878d\\u673a\\u6784\\u4e2d\\u4ee3\\u8868\\u53d1\\u5c55\\u4e2d\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u7684\\u5229\\u76ca\\u3002\\u968f\\u540e\\uff0c\\u91d1\\u7816\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u6bcf\\u5e74\\u5747\\u4e3e\\u529e\\u9996\\u957f\\u7ea7\\u5cf0\\u4f1a\\uff0c\\u4eca\\u5e748\\u6708\\u5728\\u5357\\u975e\\u7ea6\\u7ff0\\u5185\\u65af\\u5821\\u7684\\u4f1a\\u8bae\\u5c06\\u4f1a\\u662f\\u7b2c15\\u5c4a\\u3002\\u5357\\u975e\\u57282011\\u5e74\\u9996\\u6b21\\u53c2\\u52a0\\u5cf0\\u4f1a\\uff0c\\u91d1\\u7816\\u56db\\u56fd\\u9042\\u6539\\u4e3a\\u91d1\\u7816\\u4e94\\u56fd\\u3002\\u5357\\u975e\\u7684\\u7ecf\\u6d4e\\u4f53\\u91cf\\u76f8\\u5bf9\\u7ec6\\u5c0f\\uff0c\\u4f46\\u5374\\u6709\\u7740\\u4ee3\\u8868\\u975e\\u6d32\\u4f17\\u591a\\u53d1\\u5c55\\u4e2d\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u7684\\u8c61\\u5f81\\u610f\\u4e49\\u3002 \\u5982\\u9ad8\\u76db2001\\u5e74\\u7684\\u62a5\\u544a\\u4f30\\u8ba1\\uff0c\\u91d1\\u7816\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u5728\\u672c\\u4e16\\u7eaa\\u521d\\u7684\\u7ecf\\u6d4e\\u589e\\u957f\\u6210\\u7ee9\\u9a84\\u4eba\\u3002\\u6309\\u4e16\\u754c\\u94f6\\u884c\\u8d2d\\u4e70\\u529b\\u5e73\\u4ef7\\u7684GDP\\u6570\\u636e\\u6765\\u8ba1\\u7b97\\uff0c\\u57282001\\u5e74\\uff0c\\u91d1\\u7816\\u4e94\\u56fd\\u5360\\u5168\\u7403GDP 18.6%\\uff0c\\u800cG7\\u5219\\u536043.3%\\u3002\\u81f32021\\u5e74\\uff0c\\u8fd9\\u4e24\\u4e2a\\u6570\\u5b57\\u5206\\u522b\\u4e3a31.8%\\u548c30.5%\\uff0c\\u91d1\\u7816\\u4e94\\u56fd\\u5df2\\u8d85\\u8d8a\\u4e86G7\\u7684\\u4efd\\u989d\\u3002\\u76ee\\u524d\\uff0c\\u91d1\\u7816\\u4e94\\u56fd\\u5360\\u4e86\\u5168\\u7403\\u4eba\\u53e3\\u7ea640%\\u3001\\u571f\\u5730\\u9762\\u79ef30%\\u3001GDP 32%\\u4ee5\\u53ca\\u8d38\\u6613\\u768420%\\u3002 \\u91d1\\u7816\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u7684\\u4e00\\u4e2a\\u5171\\u540c\\u70b9\\uff0c\\u5c31\\u662f\\u90fd\\u6709\\u76f8\\u5f53\\u7684\\u533a\\u57df\\u3001\\u4ee5\\u81f3\\u56fd\\u9645\\u4e0a\\u7684\\u5f71\\u54cd\\u529b\\uff0c\\u4ea6\\u6709\\u4ee5\\u81ea\\u8eab\\u529b\\u91cf\\u91cd\\u5851\\u56fd\\u9645\\u7ecf\\u6d4e\\u79e9\\u5e8f\\u7684\\u610f\\u613f\\u3002\\u9664\\u4e86\\u4fc4\\u7f57\\u65af\\uff0c\\u5176\\u4f59\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u90fd\\u662f\\u53d1\\u5c55\\u4e2d\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u3002\\u4ee5\\u8d2d\\u4e70\\u529b\\u5e73\\u4ef7\\u8ba1\\u7b97\\uff0c\\u5370\\u5ea6\\u7684\\u4eba\\u5747GDP\\u7ea67000\\u591a\\u7f8e\\u5143\\uff0c\\u5df4\\u897f\\u3001\\u4e2d\\u56fd\\u548c\\u5357\\u975e\\u90fd\\u662f\\u4e00\\u4e07\\u591a\\u7f8e\\u5143\\uff0c\\u4fc4\\u7f57\\u65af\\u5219\\u662f3\\u4e07\\u591a\\u3002\\u867d\\u7136\\u4e94\\u4e2a\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u7684\\u7ecf\\u6d4e\\u53d1\\u5c55\\u9053\\u8def\\u4e0d\\u540c\\uff0c\\u4f46\\u90fd\\u4e0d\\u662f\\u7d27\\u8ddf\\u897f\\u65b9\\u65b0\\u81ea\\u7531\\u4e3b\\u4e49\\u7684\\u836f\\u65b9\\u3002 \\u6210\\u5458\\u7ecf\\u6d4e\\u529b\\u53c2\\u5dee \\u7136\\u800c\\uff0c\\u91d1\\u7816\\u4e94\\u56fd\\u4e4b\\u95f4\\u7684\\u5206\\u522b\\uff0c\\u6bd5\\u7adf\\u6bd4\\u4ed6\\u4eec\\u7684\\u5171\\u540c\\u4e4b\\u5904\\u66f4\\u4e3a\\u660e\\u663e\\u3002\\u9664\\u4e86\\u6587\\u5316\\u548c\\u5730\\u7406\\u73af\\u5883\\u7684\\u5dee\\u5f02\\u5916\\uff0c\\u7ecf\\u6d4e\\u80fd\\u91cf\\u4e5f\\u5f88\\u53c2\\u5dee\\u30022021\\u5e74\\uff0c\\u4e2d\\u56fd\\u5360\\u4e86\\u4e94\\u4e2a\\u56fd\\u5bb6GDP\\u603b\\u548c\\u768458.6%\\u3001\\u5370\\u5ea621.9%\\u3001\\u4fc4\\u7f57\\u65af10.3%\\u3001\\u5df4\\u897f7.4%\\uff0c\\u800c\\u5357\\u975e\\u53ea\\u5360 1.9%\\u3002\\u4e5f\\u8bb8\\u7531\\u4e8e\\u6210\\u5458\\u95f4\\u5dee\\u5f02\\u8f83\\u5927\\uff0c\\u91d1\\u7816\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u4f5c\\u4e3a\\u4e00\\u4e2a\\u7ec4\\u7ec7\\uff0c\\u5728\\u56fd\\u9645\\u95f4\\u5e76\\u6ca1\\u6709\\u7279\\u522b\\u6e05\\u6670\\u7684\\u5f62\\u8c61\\u3001\\u8def\\u7ebf\\u548c\\u7b56\\u7565\\uff0c\\u591a\\u5e74\\u6765\\u4ea6\\u6ca1\\u6709\\u5728\\u56fd\\u9645\\u7ecf\\u6d4e\\u4e2d\\u626e\\u6f14\\u4ec0\\u4e48\\u91cd\\u8981\\u7684\\u89d2\\u8272\\u3002\\u6b64\\u5916\\uff0c\\u91d1\\u7816\\u4e94\\u56fd\\u7684\\u7ec4\\u7ec7\\u5b89\\u6392\\u76f8\\u5bf9\\u677e\\u6563\\uff0c\\u5e76\\u6ca1\\u6709\\u5982\\u81ea\\u7531\\u8d38\\u6613\\u534f\\u8bae\\u6216\\u6295\\u8d44\\u534f\\u8bae\\u7b49\\u7684\\u5177\\u4f53\\u7ecf\\u6d4e\\u6d3b\\u52a8\\u3002 \\u4e0e\\u6b64\\u540c\\u65f6\\uff0c\\u91d1\\u7816\\u4e94\\u56fd\\u5728\\u672c\\u4e16\\u7eaa\\u6b21\\u5341\\u5e74\\u7684\\u7ecf\\u6d4e\\u8868\\u73b0\\uff0c\\u5df2\\u7ecf\\u8fdc\\u4e0d\\u5982\\u672c\\u4e16\\u7eaa\\u7684\\u9996\\u5341\\u5e74\\u3002\\u82e5\\u6bd4\\u8f832001\\u81f32011\\u5e74\\u8fd9\\u5341\\u5e74\\u548c\\u968f\\u540e\\u5341\\u5e74\\u7684\\u5e74\\u5747\\u590d\\u5408\\u589e\\u957f\\u7387\\uff0c\\u5df4\\u897f\\u75316.1%\\u4e0b\\u8dcc\\u81f31.5%\\u3001\\u4e2d\\u56fd\\u753113%\\u4e0b\\u8dcc\\u81f37%\\u3001\\u5370\\u5ea6\\u75319%\\u4e0b\\u8dcc\\u81f36.1%\\u3001\\u4fc4\\u7f57\\u65af\\u753111.7%\\u4e0b\\u8dcc\\u81f34%\\uff0c\\u800c\\u5357\\u975e\\u5219\\u75315.7%\\u4e0b\\u8dcc\\u81f32.2%\\u3002\\u9664\\u4e86\\u4e2d\\u56fd\\u76847%\\u548c\\u5370\\u5ea6\\u76846.1%\\u4e4b\\u5916\\uff0c\\u5176\\u4ed6\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u7684\\u589e\\u957f\\u7387\\u90fd\\u4e4f\\u5584\\u8db3\\u9648\\u3002\\u5982\\u6b64\\u79cd\\u79cd\\uff0c\\u90fd\\u5bb9\\u6613\\u8ba9\\u4e00\\u4e9b\\u8bba\\u8005\\u6de1\\u5316\\u4e86\\u91d1\\u7816\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u8fd9\\u4e2a\\u7ec4\\u7ec7\\u6240\\u53ef\\u4ee5\\u8d77\\u7684\\u4f5c\\u7528\\u3002 \\u4e0d\\u8fc7\\uff0c\\u4ece\\u7ecf\\u6d4e\\u8868\\u73b0\\u6765\\u8861\\u91cf\\u91d1\\u7816\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\uff0c\\u53ea\\u5c5e\\u65e9\\u671f\\u7684\\u6295\\u8d44\\u89d2\\u5ea6\\u3002\\u6bd5\\u7adf\\u91d1\\u7816\\u4e94\\u56fd\\u7740\\u773c\\u7684\\uff0c\\u662f\\u5728\\u5bfb\\u627e\\u548c\\u521b\\u9020\\u5168\\u7403\\u7ecf\\u6d4e\\u7684\\u65b0\\u51fa\\u8def\\u3002\\u867d\\u7136\\u7ecf\\u6d4e\\u8868\\u73b0\\u672a\\u5982\\u7406\\u60f3\\uff0c\\u91d1\\u7816\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u7684\\u653f\\u6cbb\\u5b9e\\u529b\\u8fd8\\u662f\\u4e3e\\u8db3\\u8f7b\\u91cd\\u3002\\u53bb\\u5e74\\u4fc4\\u4e4c\\u6218\\u4e89\\u7206\\u53d1\\u540e\\uff0c\\u4e2d\\u56fd\\u3001\\u5370\\u5ea6\\u53ca\\u5357\\u975e\\u5747\\u6ca1\\u6709\\u5c31\\u8054\\u5408\\u56fd\\u8c34\\u8d23\\u4fc4\\u7f57\\u65af\\u7684\\u8bae\\u6848\\u6295\\u8d5e\\u6210\\u7968\\uff0c\\u800c\\u5df4\\u897f\\u5f53\\u65f6\\u7684\\u535a\\u5c14\\u7d22\\u7eb3\\u7f57\\uff08Bolsonaro\\uff09\\u653f\\u5e9c\\u5219\\u652f\\u6301\\u8bae\\u6848\\uff0c\\u4f46\\u4e5f\\u6279\\u8bc4\\u897f\\u65b9\\u5bf9\\u4fc4\\u7f57\\u65af\\u591a\\u65b9\\u9762\\u7684\\u5236\\u88c1\\u3002 \\u91d1\\u7816\\u96c6\\u56e2\\u8f83\\u4e3a\\u5b9e\\u5728\\u548c\\u805a\\u7126\\u7684\\u653f\\u7b56\\uff0c\\u662f\\u9488\\u5bf9\\u5f53\\u524d\\u4ee5\\u7f8e\\u5143\\u4e3a\\u672c\\u7684\\u5168\\u7403\\u91d1\\u878d\\u4f53\\u7cfb\\u3002\\u5176\\u4e2d\\u6bd4\\u8f83\\u660e\\u663e\\u7684\\uff0c\\u5c31\\u662f2015\\u5e747\\u6708\\u6210\\u7acb\\u7684\\u65b0\\u5f00\\u53d1\\u94f6\\u884c\\uff08New Development Bank\\uff0cNDB\\uff09\\u3002\\u5982\\u5176\\u4ed6\\u591a\\u8fb9\\u5f00\\u53d1\\u94f6\\u884c\\u4e00\\u6837\\uff0cNDB\\u662f\\u7531\\u91d1\\u7816\\u4e94\\u56fd\\u53ca\\u591a\\u4e2a\\u653f\\u5e9c\\u652f\\u6301\\u7684\\u56fd\\u9645\\u91d1\\u878d\\u673a\\u6784\\uff0c\\u957f\\u671f\\u8d37\\u6b3e\\u4e88\\u57fa\\u7840\\u5efa\\u8bbe\\u9879\\u76ee\\u3002\\u7136\\u800c\\uff0cNDB\\u7684\\u5176\\u4e2d\\u4e00\\u4e9b\\u8fd0\\u4f5c\\u548c\\u5176\\u4ed6\\u591a\\u8fb9\\u5f00\\u53d1\\u94f6\\u884c\\u4e0d\\u540c\\u3002 \\u7b2c\\u4e00\\uff0c\\u4e94\\u4e2a\\u91d1\\u7816\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u4eab\\u6709\\u540c\\u7b49\\u80a1\\u6743\\uff0c\\u6ca1\\u6709\\u4efb\\u4f55\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u62e5\\u6709\\u5426\\u51b3\\u6743\\u3002\\u7b2c\\u4e8c\\uff0c\\u591a\\u8fb9\\u5f00\\u53d1\\u94f6\\u884c\\u7684\\u8d37\\u6b3e\\u4e00\\u822c\\u6765\\u8bf4\\u7533\\u8bf7\\u8fc7\\u7a0b\\u7e41\\u590d\\uff0c\\u8d39\\u65f6\\u751a\\u957f\\u3002NDB\\u5219\\u5316\\u7e41\\u4e3a\\u7b80\\uff0c6\\u4e2a\\u6708\\u5185\\u5b8c\\u6210\\u6279\\u5ba1\\u3002\\u7b2c\\u4e09\\uff0c\\u4f20\\u7edf\\u7684\\u53d1\\u5c55\\u94f6\\u884c\\u8d37\\u6b3e\\u4ee5\\u7f8e\\u5143\\u548c\\u5176\\u4ed6\\u786c\\u901a\\u8d27\\u4e3a\\u4e3b\\uff0c\\u4f46NDB\\u4ee5\\u672c\\u5e01\\u8d37\\u6b3e\\u4e3a\\u4e3b\\u3002\\u7531\\u4e8e\\u501f\\u65b9\\u7684\\u57fa\\u5efa\\u9879\\u76ee\\u6536\\u76ca\\u4e3b\\u8981\\u662f\\u672c\\u5730\\u8d27\\u5e01\\uff0c\\u8fd9\\u51cf\\u8f7b\\u751a\\u81f3\\u907f\\u514d\\u4e86\\u501f\\u65b9\\u7684\\u6c47\\u7387\\u98ce\\u9669\\uff0c\\u540c\\u65f6\\u4e5f\\u51cf\\u5c11\\u4e86\\u5bf9\\u7f8e\\u5143\\u7684\\u4f9d\\u8d56\\uff0c\\u660e\\u663e\\u662f\\u53bb\\u7f8e\\u5143\\u5316\\u7684\\u4e00\\u7740\\u3002 \\u6309\\u6709\\u5173\\u7684\\u7f51\\u9875\\u8d44\\u6599\\uff0cNDB\\u5df2\\u5ba1\\u6279\\u4e86\\u603b\\u503c328\\u4ebf\\u7f8e\\u5143\\u768496\\u4e2a\\u9879\\u76ee\\uff0c\\u6570\\u503c\\u8fdc\\u5c0f\\u4e8e\\u4e16\\u754c\\u94f6\\u884c\\u751a\\u81f3\\u4e9a\\u6d32\\u53d1\\u5c55\\u94f6\\u884c\\uff0c\\u4f46NDB\\u89c4\\u6a21\\u4e5f\\u76f8\\u5bf9\\u4e0a\\u5c0f\\u5f88\\u591a\\u3002\\u540c\\u65f6\\uff0cNDB\\u5df2\\u63a8\\u5e7f\\u5230\\u91d1\\u7816\\u4e94\\u56fd\\u4ee5\\u5916\\u7684\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\uff0c\\u65b0\\u80a1\\u4e1c\\u5305\\u62ec\\u5b5f\\u52a0\\u62c9\\u3001\\u963f\\u8054\\u914b\\u548c\\u57c3\\u53ca\\u3002\\u4e4c\\u62c9\\u572d\\u5c06\\u4f1a\\u662f\\u4e0b\\u4e00\\u4e2a\\u65b0\\u4f1a\\u5458\\uff0c\\u800c\\u6c99\\u7279\\u963f\\u62c9\\u4f2f\\u7684\\u7533\\u8bf7\\u4ea6\\u88ab\\u8003\\u8651\\u4e2d\\u3002NDB\\u65b0\\u6210\\u5458\\u7684\\u5f15\\u5165\\uff0c\\u6bd4\\u91d1\\u7816\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u7ec4\\u7ec7\\u7684\\u8fd8\\u6765\\u5f97\\u65e9\\u3002 \\u53ef\\u671b\\u4e0e\\u897f\\u65b9\\u5468\\u65cb \\u91d1\\u7816\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u53e6\\u6709\\u4e00\\u9879\\u8f83\\u5c11\\u88ab\\u8ba8\\u8bba\\u7684\\u63aa\\u65bd\\uff0c\\u5c31\\u662f\\u5171\\u540c\\u51c6\\u5907\\u4e86\\u4e00\\u4e2a1000\\u4ebf\\u7f8e\\u5143\\u7684\\u5e94\\u6025\\u50a8\\u5907\\u57fa\\u91d1\\uff08Contingent Reserve Arrangement\\uff09\\uff0c\\u4ee5\\u63d0\\u4f9b\\u91d1\\u878d\\u5e02\\u573a\\u6ce2\\u52a8\\u6216\\u8d27\\u5e01\\u88ab\\u7092\\u5356\\u65f6\\u6240\\u9700\\u8981\\u7684\\u5916\\u6c47\\u3002\\u4e00\\u822c\\u800c\\u8a00\\uff0c\\u56fd\\u9645\\u8d27\\u5e01\\u57fa\\u91d1\\u7ec4\\u7ec7\\uff08IMF\\uff09\\u7684\\u529f\\u80fd\\u5c31\\u662f\\u4e3a\\u6210\\u5458\\u56fd\\u63d0\\u4f9b\\u6709\\u5173\\u8d44\\u91d1\\uff0c\\u4f46\\u5f88\\u591a\\u65f6\\u8981\\u6ee1\\u8db3IMF\\u5f00\\u51fa\\u7684\\u6761\\u4ef6\\uff0c\\u7ecf\\u6d4e\\u653f\\u7b56\\u53d8\\u76f8\\u53d7\\u5230IMF\\u7684\\u5e72\\u9884\\u3002\\u91d1\\u7816\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u8fd9\\u4e2a\\u63aa\\u65bd\\uff0c\\u4f3c\\u4e4e\\u5c31\\u662f\\u6446\\u8131\\u73b0\\u6709\\u56fd\\u9645\\u91d1\\u878d\\u6846\\u67b6\\u7684\\u4e00\\u6b65\\u3002 \\u91d1\\u7816\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u591a\\u6b21\\u63d0\\u53ca\\uff0c\\u8981\\u63a8\\u51fa\\u65b0\\u7684\\u50a8\\u5907\\u8d27\\u5e01\\u5355\\u4f4d\\uff0c\\u5c06\\u53ef\\u80fd\\u662f\\u5176\\u6700\\u5177\\u5f71\\u54cd\\u529b\\u7684\\u653f\\u7b56\\u3002\\u73b0\\u65f6\\u5e76\\u6ca1\\u6709\\u5177\\u4f53\\u8d44\\u6599\\uff0c\\u4f46\\u5a92\\u4ecb\\u9884\\u671f\\u4f1a\\u662f\\u4eca\\u5e748\\u6708\\u5357\\u975e\\u7ea6\\u7ff0\\u5185\\u65af\\u5821\\u9996\\u957f\\u7ea7\\u4f1a\\u8bae\\u7684\\u4e00\\u9879\\u8bae\\u9898\\uff0c\\u5e0c\\u671b\\u5230\\u65f6\\u6709\\u6240\\u5206\\u6653\\u3002\\u4eca\\u5e748\\u6708\\u7684\\u53e6\\u4e00\\u9879\\u91cd\\u8981\\u8bae\\u9898\\uff0c\\u662f\\u5982\\u4f55\\u5438\\u6536\\u91d1\\u7816\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u7ec4\\u7ec7\\u7684\\u65b0\\u6210\\u5458\\u3002\\u73b0\\u65f6\\u5df2\\u670913\\u4e2a\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u6b63\\u5f0f\\u7533\\u8bf7\\uff0c\\u53e6\\u5916\\u67096\\u4e2a\\u975e\\u6b63\\u5f0f\\u63d0\\u51fa\\u52a0\\u5165\\u3002\\u91d1\\u7816\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u7ec4\\u7ec7\\u5e76\\u975e\\u8d38\\u6613\\u6216\\u6295\\u8d44\\u534f\\u8bae\\uff0c\\u5e76\\u6ca1\\u6709\\u6269\\u5c55\\u4ea7\\u54c1\\u5e02\\u573a\\u7b49\\u597d\\u5904\\u3002\\u5b83\\u53ef\\u4ee5\\u63d0\\u4f9b\\u7684\\uff0c\\u5927\\u62b5\\u662f\\u53ef\\u4ee5\\u5728\\u73b0\\u6709\\u7684\\u56fd\\u9645\\u4e8b\\u52a1\\u6846\\u67b6\\u4e0b\\u548c\\u897f\\u65b9\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u5468\\u65cb\\u7684\\u7a7a\\u95f4\\u3002\\u91d1\\u7816\\u56fd\\u5bb6\\u7ec4\\u7ec715\\u5e74\\u7684\\u79ef\\u7d2f\\uff0c\\u5c31\\u662f\\u63d0\\u4f9b\\u8fd9\\u4e2a\\u53ef\\u80fd\\u6027\\u3002 \\u6ce8\\uff1ahttp:\\\/\\\/www.elcorreo.eu.org\\\/IMG\\\/pdf\\\/Building_Better_Global_Economic_Brics.pdf \\u9646\\u708e\\u8f89\\u535a\\u58eb \\u6e2f\\u5927\\u7ecf\\u7ba1\\u5b66\\u9662\\u8363\\u8a89\\u526f\\u6559\\u6388 \\uff08\\u672c\\u6587\\u540c\\u65f6\\u4e8e\\u4e8c\\u96f6\\u4e8c\\u4e09\\u5e74\\u516d\\u6708\\u4e03\\u65e5\\u8f7d\\u4e8e\\u300a\\u4fe1\\u62a5\\u300b\\u300c\\u9f99\\u864e\\u5c71\\u4e0b\\u300d\\u4e13\\u680f\\uff09\",\"inLanguage\":\"zh-CN\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\\\/sc\\\/#website\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\\\/sc\\\/research\\\/thought-leadership\\\/opinions-and-speeches\\\/%e8%93%84%e5%8a%bf%e5%be%85%e5%8f%91%e7%9a%84%e9%87%91%e7%a0%96%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6%e7%bb%84%e7%bb%87-2\\\/#breadcrumblist\"},\"datePublished\":\"2023-06-08T10:44:45+08:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-06-08T10:47:51+08:00\"},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\\\/sc\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\\\/sc\\\/\",\"name\":\"HKU Business School\",\"inLanguage\":\"zh-CN\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\\\/sc\\\/#organization\"}}]}\n\t\t<\/script>\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO -->\n\n","aioseo_head_json":{"title":"\u84c4\u52bf\u5f85\u53d1\u7684\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7 - HKU Business School","description":"\u4e0a\u661f\u671f\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\uff08BRICS\uff09\u5728\u5357\u975e\u5f00\u666e\u6566\u53ec\u5f00\u4e86\u5916\u957f\u4f1a\u8bae\uff0c\u671f\u95f4\u5404\u56fd\u4ee3\u8868\u5747\u53d1\u51fa\u4e86\u8f83\u4e3a\u5f3a\u70c8\u7684\u8baf\u606f\uff0c\u91cd\u7533\u4e16\u754c\u662f\u591a\u6781\u5316\u7684\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u7531\u5c11\u6570\u56fd\u5bb6\u64cd\u7eb5\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u79e9\u5e8f\u5e94\u8be5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5411\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u5e73\u8861\uff0c\u800c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5728\u8fd9\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u6216\u7f3a\u7684\u3002\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u9010\u6e10\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u4ee3\u8868\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0eG7\u5de5\u4e1a\u56fd\u6297\u8861\u7684\u5bf9\u53e3\uff0c\u4e89\u53d6\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e8b\u52a1\u7684\u8bdd\u8bed\u6743\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e3b\u529e\u91d1\u7816\u9996\u957f\u7ea7\u5cf0\u4f1a\u65f6\uff0c\u5efa\u8bae\u63a5\u7eb3\u65b0\u6210\u5458\u5e76\u63a2\u8ba8\u6709\u5173\u7a0b\u5e8f\u3002\u5728\u4e0a\u661f\u671f\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e2d\uff0c\u4fbf\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4ee3\u8868\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u5728\u7ebf\u4e0a\u7ebf\u4e0b\u53c2\u4e0e\u4e00\u4e9b\u8ba8\u8bba\u73af\u8282\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u6570\u76ee\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4ee3\u8868\u6027\u3002 \u300c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u300d\u8fd9\u4e2a\u540d\u8bcd\u548c\u6709\u5173\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u7ec4\u5408\uff0c\u6e90\u4e8e2001\u5e74\u6295\u8d44\u94f6\u884c\u9ad8\u76db\u65d7\u4e0b\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u3010\u6ce8\u3011\u3002\u8be5\u62a5\u544a\u539f\u610f\u662f\u63d0\u4f9b\u6295\u8d44\u8baf\u606f\uff0c\u5e2e\u516c\u53f8\u5438\u7eb3\u5ba2\u6237\u8d44\u91d1\u6295\u653e\u5230\u6709\u5173\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u6d89\u53ca\u4efb\u4f55\u56fd\u5bb6\u6216\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u53c2\u4e0e\u3002\u4f5c\u8005Jim O'Neil\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5df4\u897f\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6709\u5f88\u9ad8\u7684\u589e\u957f\u6f5c\u80fd\u3002\u66f4\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u5f71\u54cd\u6df1\u8fdc\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5efa\u8baeG7\u5e94\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u751a\u81f3\u5176\u4ed6\u51e0\u4e2a\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5171\u540c\u534f\u8c03\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u82e5\u679cG7\u65e9\u572820\u5e74\u524d\u5c31\u548c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5e73\u8d77\u5e73\u5750\u3001\u5236\u5b9a\u5168\u7403\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4e5f\u8bb8\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u5c40\u9762\u4f1a\u7965\u548c\u5f97\u591a\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5177\u5f71\u54cd\u529b \u91d1\u7816\u56db\u56fd\u7684\u5b98\u65b9\u63a5\u89e6\u59cb\u4e8e2006\u5e74\u3002\u5f53\u5e74\u56db\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u957f\u8d81\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u5468\u5e74\u5927\u4f1a\u4e4b\u4fbf\u5728\u7ebd\u7ea6\u4e00\u805a\uff0c\u4f46\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5b9e\u8d28\u4e0a\u7684\u8ddf\u8fdb\u3002\u76f4\u81f3\u4e24\u5e74\u540e\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u7206\u53d1\uff0c\u66b4\u9732\u51fa\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u7f3a\u5931\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u81ea\u7136\u4f1a\u8003\u8651\u5efa\u7acb\u5176\u4ed6\u673a\u5236\u4f5c\u4e3a\u66ff\u4ee3\u3002\u7528\u6700\u8fd1\u897f\u65b9\u6d41\u884c\u7684\u540d\u8bcd\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u4e0d\u8981\u8131\u94a9\uff08decouple\uff09\uff0c\u4e5f\u9700\u8981\u53bb\u98ce\u9669\uff08de-risk\uff09\u3002\u5728\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u7684\u6c1b\u56f4\u4e0b\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56db\u56fd\u4e8e2009\u5e74\u5728\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7b2c\u56db\u5927\u57ce\u5e02\u53ca\u5de5\u4e1a\u4e2d\u5fc3\u53f6\u5361\u6377\u7433\u5821\uff08Yekaterinburg\uff09\u4e3e\u884c\u9996\u6b21\u5cf0\u4f1a\uff0c\u56db\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u9996\u957f\u5747\u6709\u51fa\u5e2d\uff0c\u5e76\u7b7e\u7f72\u5171\u540c\u58f0\u660e\uff0c\u5f3a\u8c03\u4f1a\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u878d\u673a\u6784\u4e2d\u4ee3\u8868\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u3002\u968f\u540e\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u6bcf\u5e74\u5747\u4e3e\u529e\u9996\u957f\u7ea7\u5cf0\u4f1a\uff0c\u4eca\u5e748\u6708\u5728\u5357\u975e\u7ea6\u7ff0\u5185\u65af\u5821\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u5c06\u4f1a\u662f\u7b2c15\u5c4a\u3002\u5357\u975e\u57282011\u5e74\u9996\u6b21\u53c2\u52a0\u5cf0\u4f1a\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56db\u56fd\u9042\u6539\u4e3a\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u3002\u5357\u975e\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u91cf\u76f8\u5bf9\u7ec6\u5c0f\uff0c\u4f46\u5374\u6709\u7740\u4ee3\u8868\u975e\u6d32\u4f17\u591a\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u8c61\u5f81\u610f\u4e49\u3002 \u5982\u9ad8\u76db2001\u5e74\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5728\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u521d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u6210\u7ee9\u9a84\u4eba\u3002\u6309\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u8d2d\u4e70\u529b\u5e73\u4ef7\u7684GDP\u6570\u636e\u6765\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u57282001\u5e74\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5360\u5168\u7403GDP 18.6%\uff0c\u800cG7\u5219\u536043.3%\u3002\u81f32021\u5e74\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u6570\u5b57\u5206\u522b\u4e3a31.8%\u548c30.5%\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5df2\u8d85\u8d8a\u4e86G7\u7684\u4efd\u989d\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5360\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u7ea640%\u3001\u571f\u5730\u9762\u79ef30%\u3001GDP 32%\u4ee5\u53ca\u8d38\u6613\u768420%\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5171\u540c\u70b9\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u90fd\u6709\u76f8\u5f53\u7684\u533a\u57df\u3001\u4ee5\u81f3\u56fd\u9645\u4e0a\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\uff0c\u4ea6\u6709\u4ee5\u81ea\u8eab\u529b\u91cf\u91cd\u5851\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u610f\u613f\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\uff0c\u5176\u4f59\u56fd\u5bb6\u90fd\u662f\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u4ee5\u8d2d\u4e70\u529b\u5e73\u4ef7\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u4eba\u5747GDP\u7ea67000\u591a\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u5357\u975e\u90fd\u662f\u4e00\u4e07\u591a\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5219\u662f3\u4e07\u591a\u3002\u867d\u7136\u4e94\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u9053\u8def\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u4f46\u90fd\u4e0d\u662f\u7d27\u8ddf\u897f\u65b9\u65b0\u81ea\u7531\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u836f\u65b9\u3002 \u6210\u5458\u7ecf\u6d4e\u529b\u53c2\u5dee \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5206\u522b\uff0c\u6bd5\u7adf\u6bd4\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u5171\u540c\u4e4b\u5904\u66f4\u4e3a\u660e\u663e\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u6587\u5316\u548c\u5730\u7406\u73af\u5883\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u5916\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u80fd\u91cf\u4e5f\u5f88\u53c2\u5dee\u30022021\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5360\u4e86\u4e94\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6GDP\u603b\u548c\u768458.6%\u3001\u5370\u5ea621.9%\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af10.3%\u3001\u5df4\u897f7.4%\uff0c\u800c\u5357\u975e\u53ea\u5360 1.9%\u3002\u4e5f\u8bb8\u7531\u4e8e\u6210\u5458\u95f4\u5dee\u5f02\u8f83\u5927\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff0c\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u95f4\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u7279\u522b\u6e05\u6670\u7684\u5f62\u8c61\u3001\u8def\u7ebf\u548c\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u4ea6\u6ca1\u6709\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e2d\u626e\u6f14\u4ec0\u4e48\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u89d2\u8272\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u7684\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5b89\u6392\u76f8\u5bf9\u677e\u6563\uff0c\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5982\u81ea\u7531\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\u6216\u6295\u8d44\u534f\u8bae\u7b49\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002 \u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5728\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u6b21\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fdc\u4e0d\u5982\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u7684\u9996\u5341\u5e74\u3002\u82e5\u6bd4\u8f832001\u81f32011\u5e74\u8fd9\u5341\u5e74\u548c\u968f\u540e\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u5e74\u5747\u590d\u5408\u589e\u957f\u7387\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u75316.1%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f31.5%\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u753113%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f37%\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u75319%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f36.1%\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u753111.7%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f34%\uff0c\u800c\u5357\u975e\u5219\u75315.7%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f32.2%\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u76847%\u548c\u5370\u5ea6\u76846.1%\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u589e\u957f\u7387\u90fd\u4e4f\u5584\u8db3\u9648\u3002\u5982\u6b64\u79cd\u79cd\uff0c\u90fd\u5bb9\u6613\u8ba9\u4e00\u4e9b\u8bba\u8005\u6de1\u5316\u4e86\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u6240\u53ef\u4ee5\u8d77\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u3002 \u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u4ece\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\u6765\u8861\u91cf\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u53ea\u5c5e\u65e9\u671f\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u89d2\u5ea6\u3002\u6bd5\u7adf\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u7740\u773c\u7684\uff0c\u662f\u5728\u5bfb\u627e\u548c\u521b\u9020\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u65b0\u51fa\u8def\u3002\u867d\u7136\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\u672a\u5982\u7406\u60f3\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u5b9e\u529b\u8fd8\u662f\u4e3e\u8db3\u8f7b\u91cd\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\u4fc4\u4e4c\u6218\u4e89\u7206\u53d1\u540e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u53ca\u5357\u975e\u5747\u6ca1\u6709\u5c31\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u8c34\u8d23\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u8bae\u6848\u6295\u8d5e\u6210\u7968\uff0c\u800c\u5df4\u897f\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u535a\u5c14\u7d22\u7eb3\u7f57\uff08Bolsonaro\uff09\u653f\u5e9c\u5219\u652f\u6301\u8bae\u6848\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u6279\u8bc4\u897f\u65b9\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u591a\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u5236\u88c1\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u96c6\u56e2\u8f83\u4e3a\u5b9e\u5728\u548c\u805a\u7126\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u662f\u9488\u5bf9\u5f53\u524d\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u4e3a\u672c\u7684\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u6bd4\u8f83\u660e\u663e\u7684\uff0c\u5c31\u662f2015\u5e747\u6708\u6210\u7acb\u7684\u65b0\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\uff08New Development Bank\uff0cNDB\uff09\u3002\u5982\u5176\u4ed6\u591a\u8fb9\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\u4e00\u6837\uff0cNDB\u662f\u7531\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u53ca\u591a\u4e2a\u653f\u5e9c\u652f\u6301\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u878d\u673a\u6784\uff0c\u957f\u671f\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e88\u57fa\u7840\u5efa\u8bbe\u9879\u76ee\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0cNDB\u7684\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u4e9b\u8fd0\u4f5c\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u591a\u8fb9\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\u4e0d\u540c\u3002 \u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u4e94\u4e2a\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u4eab\u6709\u540c\u7b49\u80a1\u6743\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u56fd\u5bb6\u62e5\u6709\u5426\u51b3\u6743\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u591a\u8fb9\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e00\u822c\u6765\u8bf4\u7533\u8bf7\u8fc7\u7a0b\u7e41\u590d\uff0c\u8d39\u65f6\u751a\u957f\u3002NDB\u5219\u5316\u7e41\u4e3a\u7b80\uff0c6\u4e2a\u6708\u5185\u5b8c\u6210\u6279\u5ba1\u3002\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u94f6\u884c\u8d37\u6b3e\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u786c\u901a\u8d27\u4e3a\u4e3b\uff0c\u4f46NDB\u4ee5\u672c\u5e01\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e3a\u4e3b\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u501f\u65b9\u7684\u57fa\u5efa\u9879\u76ee\u6536\u76ca\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u672c\u5730\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u8fd9\u51cf\u8f7b\u751a\u81f3\u907f\u514d\u4e86\u501f\u65b9\u7684\u6c47\u7387\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4f9d\u8d56\uff0c\u660e\u663e\u662f\u53bb\u7f8e\u5143\u5316\u7684\u4e00\u7740\u3002 \u6309\u6709\u5173\u7684\u7f51\u9875\u8d44\u6599\uff0cNDB\u5df2\u5ba1\u6279\u4e86\u603b\u503c328\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u768496\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u6570\u503c\u8fdc\u5c0f\u4e8e\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u751a\u81f3\u4e9a\u6d32\u53d1\u5c55\u94f6\u884c\uff0c\u4f46NDB\u89c4\u6a21\u4e5f\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e0a\u5c0f\u5f88\u591a\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0cNDB\u5df2\u63a8\u5e7f\u5230\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u4ee5\u5916\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u65b0\u80a1\u4e1c\u5305\u62ec\u5b5f\u52a0\u62c9\u3001\u963f\u8054\u914b\u548c\u57c3\u53ca\u3002\u4e4c\u62c9\u572d\u5c06\u4f1a\u662f\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u4f1a\u5458\uff0c\u800c\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u7684\u7533\u8bf7\u4ea6\u88ab\u8003\u8651\u4e2d\u3002NDB\u65b0\u6210\u5458\u7684\u5f15\u5165\uff0c\u6bd4\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u8fd8\u6765\u5f97\u65e9\u3002 \u53ef\u671b\u4e0e\u897f\u65b9\u5468\u65cb \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u53e6\u6709\u4e00\u9879\u8f83\u5c11\u88ab\u8ba8\u8bba\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u5171\u540c\u51c6\u5907\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a1000\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5e94\u6025\u50a8\u5907\u57fa\u91d1\uff08Contingent Reserve Arrangement\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u63d0\u4f9b\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u6ce2\u52a8\u6216\u8d27\u5e01\u88ab\u7092\u5356\u65f6\u6240\u9700\u8981\u7684\u5916\u6c47\u3002\u4e00\u822c\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff08IMF\uff09\u7684\u529f\u80fd\u5c31\u662f\u4e3a\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u63d0\u4f9b\u6709\u5173\u8d44\u91d1\uff0c\u4f46\u5f88\u591a\u65f6\u8981\u6ee1\u8db3IMF\u5f00\u51fa\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653f\u7b56\u53d8\u76f8\u53d7\u5230IMF\u7684\u5e72\u9884\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fd9\u4e2a\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5c31\u662f\u6446\u8131\u73b0\u6709\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u878d\u6846\u67b6\u7684\u4e00\u6b65\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u591a\u6b21\u63d0\u53ca\uff0c\u8981\u63a8\u51fa\u65b0\u7684\u50a8\u5907\u8d27\u5e01\u5355\u4f4d\uff0c\u5c06\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5176\u6700\u5177\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u73b0\u65f6\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5177\u4f53\u8d44\u6599\uff0c\u4f46\u5a92\u4ecb\u9884\u671f\u4f1a\u662f\u4eca\u5e748\u6708\u5357\u975e\u7ea6\u7ff0\u5185\u65af\u5821\u9996\u957f\u7ea7\u4f1a\u8bae\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u8bae\u9898\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u5230\u65f6\u6709\u6240\u5206\u6653\u3002\u4eca\u5e748\u6708\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u9879\u91cd\u8981\u8bae\u9898\uff0c\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u5438\u6536\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u65b0\u6210\u5458\u3002\u73b0\u65f6\u5df2\u670913\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u6b63\u5f0f\u7533\u8bf7\uff0c\u53e6\u5916\u67096\u4e2a\u975e\u6b63\u5f0f\u63d0\u51fa\u52a0\u5165\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5e76\u975e\u8d38\u6613\u6216\u6295\u8d44\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u6269\u5c55\u4ea7\u54c1\u5e02\u573a\u7b49\u597d\u5904\u3002\u5b83\u53ef\u4ee5\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\uff0c\u5927\u62b5\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u4e8b\u52a1\u6846\u67b6\u4e0b\u548c\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\u5468\u65cb\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec715\u5e74\u7684\u79ef\u7d2f\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u63d0\u4f9b\u8fd9\u4e2a\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002 \u6ce8\uff1ahttp:\/\/www.elcorreo.eu.org\/IMG\/pdf\/Building_Better_Global_Economic_Brics.pdf \u9646\u708e\u8f89\u535a\u58eb \u6e2f\u5927\u7ecf\u7ba1\u5b66\u9662\u8363\u8a89\u526f\u6559\u6388 \uff08\u672c\u6587\u540c\u65f6\u4e8e\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e8c\u4e09\u5e74\u516d\u6708\u4e03\u65e5\u8f7d\u4e8e\u300a\u4fe1\u62a5\u300b\u300c\u9f99\u864e\u5c71\u4e0b\u300d\u4e13\u680f\uff09","canonical_url":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/research\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches\/%e8%93%84%e5%8a%bf%e5%be%85%e5%8f%91%e7%9a%84%e9%87%91%e7%a0%96%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6%e7%bb%84%e7%bb%87-2\/","robots":"max-image-preview:large","keywords":"","webmasterTools":{"google-site-verification":"google-site-verification=MjdkluDgHpNk2vz5slbwER2Gusw2rUDQuVULMERWzLo","miscellaneous":""},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/research\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches\/%e8%93%84%e5%8a%bf%e5%be%85%e5%8f%91%e7%9a%84%e9%87%91%e7%a0%96%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6%e7%bb%84%e7%bb%87-2\/#breadcrumblist","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","@id":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/#listItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/","nextItem":{"@type":"ListItem","@id":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches-sc\/#listItem","name":"\u5a92\u4f53\u62a5\u5bfc"}},{"@type":"ListItem","@id":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches-sc\/#listItem","position":2,"name":"\u5a92\u4f53\u62a5\u5bfc","item":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches-sc\/","nextItem":{"@type":"ListItem","@id":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/research\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches\/%e8%93%84%e5%8a%bf%e5%be%85%e5%8f%91%e7%9a%84%e9%87%91%e7%a0%96%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6%e7%bb%84%e7%bb%87-2\/#listItem","name":"\u84c4\u52bf\u5f85\u53d1\u7684\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7"},"previousItem":{"@type":"ListItem","@id":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/#listItem","name":"Home"}},{"@type":"ListItem","@id":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/research\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches\/%e8%93%84%e5%8a%bf%e5%be%85%e5%8f%91%e7%9a%84%e9%87%91%e7%a0%96%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6%e7%bb%84%e7%bb%87-2\/#listItem","position":3,"name":"\u84c4\u52bf\u5f85\u53d1\u7684\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7","previousItem":{"@type":"ListItem","@id":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches-sc\/#listItem","name":"\u5a92\u4f53\u62a5\u5bfc"}}]},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/#organization","name":"HKU Business School","url":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/research\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches\/%e8%93%84%e5%8a%bf%e5%be%85%e5%8f%91%e7%9a%84%e9%87%91%e7%a0%96%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6%e7%bb%84%e7%bb%87-2\/#webpage","url":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/research\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches\/%e8%93%84%e5%8a%bf%e5%be%85%e5%8f%91%e7%9a%84%e9%87%91%e7%a0%96%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6%e7%bb%84%e7%bb%87-2\/","name":"\u84c4\u52bf\u5f85\u53d1\u7684\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7 - HKU Business School","description":"\u4e0a\u661f\u671f\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\uff08BRICS\uff09\u5728\u5357\u975e\u5f00\u666e\u6566\u53ec\u5f00\u4e86\u5916\u957f\u4f1a\u8bae\uff0c\u671f\u95f4\u5404\u56fd\u4ee3\u8868\u5747\u53d1\u51fa\u4e86\u8f83\u4e3a\u5f3a\u70c8\u7684\u8baf\u606f\uff0c\u91cd\u7533\u4e16\u754c\u662f\u591a\u6781\u5316\u7684\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u7531\u5c11\u6570\u56fd\u5bb6\u64cd\u7eb5\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u79e9\u5e8f\u5e94\u8be5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5411\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u5e73\u8861\uff0c\u800c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5728\u8fd9\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u6216\u7f3a\u7684\u3002\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u9010\u6e10\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u4ee3\u8868\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0eG7\u5de5\u4e1a\u56fd\u6297\u8861\u7684\u5bf9\u53e3\uff0c\u4e89\u53d6\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e8b\u52a1\u7684\u8bdd\u8bed\u6743\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e3b\u529e\u91d1\u7816\u9996\u957f\u7ea7\u5cf0\u4f1a\u65f6\uff0c\u5efa\u8bae\u63a5\u7eb3\u65b0\u6210\u5458\u5e76\u63a2\u8ba8\u6709\u5173\u7a0b\u5e8f\u3002\u5728\u4e0a\u661f\u671f\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e2d\uff0c\u4fbf\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4ee3\u8868\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u5728\u7ebf\u4e0a\u7ebf\u4e0b\u53c2\u4e0e\u4e00\u4e9b\u8ba8\u8bba\u73af\u8282\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u6570\u76ee\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4ee3\u8868\u6027\u3002 \u300c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u300d\u8fd9\u4e2a\u540d\u8bcd\u548c\u6709\u5173\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u7ec4\u5408\uff0c\u6e90\u4e8e2001\u5e74\u6295\u8d44\u94f6\u884c\u9ad8\u76db\u65d7\u4e0b\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u3010\u6ce8\u3011\u3002\u8be5\u62a5\u544a\u539f\u610f\u662f\u63d0\u4f9b\u6295\u8d44\u8baf\u606f\uff0c\u5e2e\u516c\u53f8\u5438\u7eb3\u5ba2\u6237\u8d44\u91d1\u6295\u653e\u5230\u6709\u5173\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u6d89\u53ca\u4efb\u4f55\u56fd\u5bb6\u6216\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u53c2\u4e0e\u3002\u4f5c\u8005Jim O'Neil\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5df4\u897f\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6709\u5f88\u9ad8\u7684\u589e\u957f\u6f5c\u80fd\u3002\u66f4\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u5f71\u54cd\u6df1\u8fdc\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5efa\u8baeG7\u5e94\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u751a\u81f3\u5176\u4ed6\u51e0\u4e2a\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5171\u540c\u534f\u8c03\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u82e5\u679cG7\u65e9\u572820\u5e74\u524d\u5c31\u548c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5e73\u8d77\u5e73\u5750\u3001\u5236\u5b9a\u5168\u7403\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4e5f\u8bb8\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u5c40\u9762\u4f1a\u7965\u548c\u5f97\u591a\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5177\u5f71\u54cd\u529b \u91d1\u7816\u56db\u56fd\u7684\u5b98\u65b9\u63a5\u89e6\u59cb\u4e8e2006\u5e74\u3002\u5f53\u5e74\u56db\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u957f\u8d81\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u5468\u5e74\u5927\u4f1a\u4e4b\u4fbf\u5728\u7ebd\u7ea6\u4e00\u805a\uff0c\u4f46\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5b9e\u8d28\u4e0a\u7684\u8ddf\u8fdb\u3002\u76f4\u81f3\u4e24\u5e74\u540e\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u7206\u53d1\uff0c\u66b4\u9732\u51fa\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u7f3a\u5931\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u81ea\u7136\u4f1a\u8003\u8651\u5efa\u7acb\u5176\u4ed6\u673a\u5236\u4f5c\u4e3a\u66ff\u4ee3\u3002\u7528\u6700\u8fd1\u897f\u65b9\u6d41\u884c\u7684\u540d\u8bcd\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u4e0d\u8981\u8131\u94a9\uff08decouple\uff09\uff0c\u4e5f\u9700\u8981\u53bb\u98ce\u9669\uff08de-risk\uff09\u3002\u5728\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u7684\u6c1b\u56f4\u4e0b\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56db\u56fd\u4e8e2009\u5e74\u5728\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7b2c\u56db\u5927\u57ce\u5e02\u53ca\u5de5\u4e1a\u4e2d\u5fc3\u53f6\u5361\u6377\u7433\u5821\uff08Yekaterinburg\uff09\u4e3e\u884c\u9996\u6b21\u5cf0\u4f1a\uff0c\u56db\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u9996\u957f\u5747\u6709\u51fa\u5e2d\uff0c\u5e76\u7b7e\u7f72\u5171\u540c\u58f0\u660e\uff0c\u5f3a\u8c03\u4f1a\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u878d\u673a\u6784\u4e2d\u4ee3\u8868\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u3002\u968f\u540e\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u6bcf\u5e74\u5747\u4e3e\u529e\u9996\u957f\u7ea7\u5cf0\u4f1a\uff0c\u4eca\u5e748\u6708\u5728\u5357\u975e\u7ea6\u7ff0\u5185\u65af\u5821\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u5c06\u4f1a\u662f\u7b2c15\u5c4a\u3002\u5357\u975e\u57282011\u5e74\u9996\u6b21\u53c2\u52a0\u5cf0\u4f1a\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56db\u56fd\u9042\u6539\u4e3a\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u3002\u5357\u975e\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u91cf\u76f8\u5bf9\u7ec6\u5c0f\uff0c\u4f46\u5374\u6709\u7740\u4ee3\u8868\u975e\u6d32\u4f17\u591a\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u8c61\u5f81\u610f\u4e49\u3002 \u5982\u9ad8\u76db2001\u5e74\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5728\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u521d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u6210\u7ee9\u9a84\u4eba\u3002\u6309\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u8d2d\u4e70\u529b\u5e73\u4ef7\u7684GDP\u6570\u636e\u6765\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u57282001\u5e74\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5360\u5168\u7403GDP 18.6%\uff0c\u800cG7\u5219\u536043.3%\u3002\u81f32021\u5e74\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u6570\u5b57\u5206\u522b\u4e3a31.8%\u548c30.5%\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5df2\u8d85\u8d8a\u4e86G7\u7684\u4efd\u989d\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5360\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u7ea640%\u3001\u571f\u5730\u9762\u79ef30%\u3001GDP 32%\u4ee5\u53ca\u8d38\u6613\u768420%\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5171\u540c\u70b9\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u90fd\u6709\u76f8\u5f53\u7684\u533a\u57df\u3001\u4ee5\u81f3\u56fd\u9645\u4e0a\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\uff0c\u4ea6\u6709\u4ee5\u81ea\u8eab\u529b\u91cf\u91cd\u5851\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u610f\u613f\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\uff0c\u5176\u4f59\u56fd\u5bb6\u90fd\u662f\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u4ee5\u8d2d\u4e70\u529b\u5e73\u4ef7\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u4eba\u5747GDP\u7ea67000\u591a\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u5357\u975e\u90fd\u662f\u4e00\u4e07\u591a\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5219\u662f3\u4e07\u591a\u3002\u867d\u7136\u4e94\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u9053\u8def\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u4f46\u90fd\u4e0d\u662f\u7d27\u8ddf\u897f\u65b9\u65b0\u81ea\u7531\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u836f\u65b9\u3002 \u6210\u5458\u7ecf\u6d4e\u529b\u53c2\u5dee \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5206\u522b\uff0c\u6bd5\u7adf\u6bd4\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u5171\u540c\u4e4b\u5904\u66f4\u4e3a\u660e\u663e\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u6587\u5316\u548c\u5730\u7406\u73af\u5883\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u5916\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u80fd\u91cf\u4e5f\u5f88\u53c2\u5dee\u30022021\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5360\u4e86\u4e94\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6GDP\u603b\u548c\u768458.6%\u3001\u5370\u5ea621.9%\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af10.3%\u3001\u5df4\u897f7.4%\uff0c\u800c\u5357\u975e\u53ea\u5360 1.9%\u3002\u4e5f\u8bb8\u7531\u4e8e\u6210\u5458\u95f4\u5dee\u5f02\u8f83\u5927\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff0c\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u95f4\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u7279\u522b\u6e05\u6670\u7684\u5f62\u8c61\u3001\u8def\u7ebf\u548c\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u4ea6\u6ca1\u6709\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e2d\u626e\u6f14\u4ec0\u4e48\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u89d2\u8272\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u7684\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5b89\u6392\u76f8\u5bf9\u677e\u6563\uff0c\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5982\u81ea\u7531\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\u6216\u6295\u8d44\u534f\u8bae\u7b49\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002 \u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5728\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u6b21\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fdc\u4e0d\u5982\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u7684\u9996\u5341\u5e74\u3002\u82e5\u6bd4\u8f832001\u81f32011\u5e74\u8fd9\u5341\u5e74\u548c\u968f\u540e\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u5e74\u5747\u590d\u5408\u589e\u957f\u7387\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u75316.1%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f31.5%\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u753113%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f37%\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u75319%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f36.1%\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u753111.7%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f34%\uff0c\u800c\u5357\u975e\u5219\u75315.7%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f32.2%\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u76847%\u548c\u5370\u5ea6\u76846.1%\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u589e\u957f\u7387\u90fd\u4e4f\u5584\u8db3\u9648\u3002\u5982\u6b64\u79cd\u79cd\uff0c\u90fd\u5bb9\u6613\u8ba9\u4e00\u4e9b\u8bba\u8005\u6de1\u5316\u4e86\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u6240\u53ef\u4ee5\u8d77\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u3002 \u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u4ece\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\u6765\u8861\u91cf\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u53ea\u5c5e\u65e9\u671f\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u89d2\u5ea6\u3002\u6bd5\u7adf\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u7740\u773c\u7684\uff0c\u662f\u5728\u5bfb\u627e\u548c\u521b\u9020\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u65b0\u51fa\u8def\u3002\u867d\u7136\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\u672a\u5982\u7406\u60f3\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u5b9e\u529b\u8fd8\u662f\u4e3e\u8db3\u8f7b\u91cd\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\u4fc4\u4e4c\u6218\u4e89\u7206\u53d1\u540e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u53ca\u5357\u975e\u5747\u6ca1\u6709\u5c31\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u8c34\u8d23\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u8bae\u6848\u6295\u8d5e\u6210\u7968\uff0c\u800c\u5df4\u897f\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u535a\u5c14\u7d22\u7eb3\u7f57\uff08Bolsonaro\uff09\u653f\u5e9c\u5219\u652f\u6301\u8bae\u6848\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u6279\u8bc4\u897f\u65b9\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u591a\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u5236\u88c1\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u96c6\u56e2\u8f83\u4e3a\u5b9e\u5728\u548c\u805a\u7126\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u662f\u9488\u5bf9\u5f53\u524d\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u4e3a\u672c\u7684\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u6bd4\u8f83\u660e\u663e\u7684\uff0c\u5c31\u662f2015\u5e747\u6708\u6210\u7acb\u7684\u65b0\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\uff08New Development Bank\uff0cNDB\uff09\u3002\u5982\u5176\u4ed6\u591a\u8fb9\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\u4e00\u6837\uff0cNDB\u662f\u7531\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u53ca\u591a\u4e2a\u653f\u5e9c\u652f\u6301\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u878d\u673a\u6784\uff0c\u957f\u671f\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e88\u57fa\u7840\u5efa\u8bbe\u9879\u76ee\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0cNDB\u7684\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u4e9b\u8fd0\u4f5c\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u591a\u8fb9\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\u4e0d\u540c\u3002 \u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u4e94\u4e2a\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u4eab\u6709\u540c\u7b49\u80a1\u6743\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u56fd\u5bb6\u62e5\u6709\u5426\u51b3\u6743\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u591a\u8fb9\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e00\u822c\u6765\u8bf4\u7533\u8bf7\u8fc7\u7a0b\u7e41\u590d\uff0c\u8d39\u65f6\u751a\u957f\u3002NDB\u5219\u5316\u7e41\u4e3a\u7b80\uff0c6\u4e2a\u6708\u5185\u5b8c\u6210\u6279\u5ba1\u3002\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u94f6\u884c\u8d37\u6b3e\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u786c\u901a\u8d27\u4e3a\u4e3b\uff0c\u4f46NDB\u4ee5\u672c\u5e01\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e3a\u4e3b\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u501f\u65b9\u7684\u57fa\u5efa\u9879\u76ee\u6536\u76ca\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u672c\u5730\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u8fd9\u51cf\u8f7b\u751a\u81f3\u907f\u514d\u4e86\u501f\u65b9\u7684\u6c47\u7387\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4f9d\u8d56\uff0c\u660e\u663e\u662f\u53bb\u7f8e\u5143\u5316\u7684\u4e00\u7740\u3002 \u6309\u6709\u5173\u7684\u7f51\u9875\u8d44\u6599\uff0cNDB\u5df2\u5ba1\u6279\u4e86\u603b\u503c328\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u768496\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u6570\u503c\u8fdc\u5c0f\u4e8e\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u751a\u81f3\u4e9a\u6d32\u53d1\u5c55\u94f6\u884c\uff0c\u4f46NDB\u89c4\u6a21\u4e5f\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e0a\u5c0f\u5f88\u591a\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0cNDB\u5df2\u63a8\u5e7f\u5230\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u4ee5\u5916\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u65b0\u80a1\u4e1c\u5305\u62ec\u5b5f\u52a0\u62c9\u3001\u963f\u8054\u914b\u548c\u57c3\u53ca\u3002\u4e4c\u62c9\u572d\u5c06\u4f1a\u662f\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u4f1a\u5458\uff0c\u800c\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u7684\u7533\u8bf7\u4ea6\u88ab\u8003\u8651\u4e2d\u3002NDB\u65b0\u6210\u5458\u7684\u5f15\u5165\uff0c\u6bd4\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u8fd8\u6765\u5f97\u65e9\u3002 \u53ef\u671b\u4e0e\u897f\u65b9\u5468\u65cb \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u53e6\u6709\u4e00\u9879\u8f83\u5c11\u88ab\u8ba8\u8bba\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u5171\u540c\u51c6\u5907\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a1000\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5e94\u6025\u50a8\u5907\u57fa\u91d1\uff08Contingent Reserve Arrangement\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u63d0\u4f9b\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u6ce2\u52a8\u6216\u8d27\u5e01\u88ab\u7092\u5356\u65f6\u6240\u9700\u8981\u7684\u5916\u6c47\u3002\u4e00\u822c\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff08IMF\uff09\u7684\u529f\u80fd\u5c31\u662f\u4e3a\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u63d0\u4f9b\u6709\u5173\u8d44\u91d1\uff0c\u4f46\u5f88\u591a\u65f6\u8981\u6ee1\u8db3IMF\u5f00\u51fa\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653f\u7b56\u53d8\u76f8\u53d7\u5230IMF\u7684\u5e72\u9884\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fd9\u4e2a\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5c31\u662f\u6446\u8131\u73b0\u6709\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u878d\u6846\u67b6\u7684\u4e00\u6b65\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u591a\u6b21\u63d0\u53ca\uff0c\u8981\u63a8\u51fa\u65b0\u7684\u50a8\u5907\u8d27\u5e01\u5355\u4f4d\uff0c\u5c06\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5176\u6700\u5177\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u73b0\u65f6\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5177\u4f53\u8d44\u6599\uff0c\u4f46\u5a92\u4ecb\u9884\u671f\u4f1a\u662f\u4eca\u5e748\u6708\u5357\u975e\u7ea6\u7ff0\u5185\u65af\u5821\u9996\u957f\u7ea7\u4f1a\u8bae\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u8bae\u9898\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u5230\u65f6\u6709\u6240\u5206\u6653\u3002\u4eca\u5e748\u6708\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u9879\u91cd\u8981\u8bae\u9898\uff0c\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u5438\u6536\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u65b0\u6210\u5458\u3002\u73b0\u65f6\u5df2\u670913\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u6b63\u5f0f\u7533\u8bf7\uff0c\u53e6\u5916\u67096\u4e2a\u975e\u6b63\u5f0f\u63d0\u51fa\u52a0\u5165\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5e76\u975e\u8d38\u6613\u6216\u6295\u8d44\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u6269\u5c55\u4ea7\u54c1\u5e02\u573a\u7b49\u597d\u5904\u3002\u5b83\u53ef\u4ee5\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\uff0c\u5927\u62b5\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u4e8b\u52a1\u6846\u67b6\u4e0b\u548c\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\u5468\u65cb\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec715\u5e74\u7684\u79ef\u7d2f\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u63d0\u4f9b\u8fd9\u4e2a\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002 \u6ce8\uff1ahttp:\/\/www.elcorreo.eu.org\/IMG\/pdf\/Building_Better_Global_Economic_Brics.pdf \u9646\u708e\u8f89\u535a\u58eb \u6e2f\u5927\u7ecf\u7ba1\u5b66\u9662\u8363\u8a89\u526f\u6559\u6388 \uff08\u672c\u6587\u540c\u65f6\u4e8e\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e8c\u4e09\u5e74\u516d\u6708\u4e03\u65e5\u8f7d\u4e8e\u300a\u4fe1\u62a5\u300b\u300c\u9f99\u864e\u5c71\u4e0b\u300d\u4e13\u680f\uff09","inLanguage":"zh-CN","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/#website"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/research\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches\/%e8%93%84%e5%8a%bf%e5%be%85%e5%8f%91%e7%9a%84%e9%87%91%e7%a0%96%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6%e7%bb%84%e7%bb%87-2\/#breadcrumblist"},"datePublished":"2023-06-08T10:44:45+08:00","dateModified":"2023-06-08T10:47:51+08:00"},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/","name":"HKU Business School","inLanguage":"zh-CN","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/#organization"}}]},"og:locale":"en_US","og:site_name":"HKU Business School -","og:type":"article","og:title":"\u84c4\u52bf\u5f85\u53d1\u7684\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7 - HKU Business School","og:description":"\u4e0a\u661f\u671f\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\uff08BRICS\uff09\u5728\u5357\u975e\u5f00\u666e\u6566\u53ec\u5f00\u4e86\u5916\u957f\u4f1a\u8bae\uff0c\u671f\u95f4\u5404\u56fd\u4ee3\u8868\u5747\u53d1\u51fa\u4e86\u8f83\u4e3a\u5f3a\u70c8\u7684\u8baf\u606f\uff0c\u91cd\u7533\u4e16\u754c\u662f\u591a\u6781\u5316\u7684\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u7531\u5c11\u6570\u56fd\u5bb6\u64cd\u7eb5\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u79e9\u5e8f\u5e94\u8be5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5411\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u5e73\u8861\uff0c\u800c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5728\u8fd9\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u6216\u7f3a\u7684\u3002\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u9010\u6e10\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u4ee3\u8868\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0eG7\u5de5\u4e1a\u56fd\u6297\u8861\u7684\u5bf9\u53e3\uff0c\u4e89\u53d6\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e8b\u52a1\u7684\u8bdd\u8bed\u6743\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e3b\u529e\u91d1\u7816\u9996\u957f\u7ea7\u5cf0\u4f1a\u65f6\uff0c\u5efa\u8bae\u63a5\u7eb3\u65b0\u6210\u5458\u5e76\u63a2\u8ba8\u6709\u5173\u7a0b\u5e8f\u3002\u5728\u4e0a\u661f\u671f\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e2d\uff0c\u4fbf\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4ee3\u8868\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u5728\u7ebf\u4e0a\u7ebf\u4e0b\u53c2\u4e0e\u4e00\u4e9b\u8ba8\u8bba\u73af\u8282\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u6570\u76ee\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4ee3\u8868\u6027\u3002 \u300c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u300d\u8fd9\u4e2a\u540d\u8bcd\u548c\u6709\u5173\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u7ec4\u5408\uff0c\u6e90\u4e8e2001\u5e74\u6295\u8d44\u94f6\u884c\u9ad8\u76db\u65d7\u4e0b\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u3010\u6ce8\u3011\u3002\u8be5\u62a5\u544a\u539f\u610f\u662f\u63d0\u4f9b\u6295\u8d44\u8baf\u606f\uff0c\u5e2e\u516c\u53f8\u5438\u7eb3\u5ba2\u6237\u8d44\u91d1\u6295\u653e\u5230\u6709\u5173\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u6d89\u53ca\u4efb\u4f55\u56fd\u5bb6\u6216\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u53c2\u4e0e\u3002\u4f5c\u8005Jim O'Neil\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5df4\u897f\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6709\u5f88\u9ad8\u7684\u589e\u957f\u6f5c\u80fd\u3002\u66f4\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u5f71\u54cd\u6df1\u8fdc\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5efa\u8baeG7\u5e94\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u751a\u81f3\u5176\u4ed6\u51e0\u4e2a\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5171\u540c\u534f\u8c03\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u82e5\u679cG7\u65e9\u572820\u5e74\u524d\u5c31\u548c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5e73\u8d77\u5e73\u5750\u3001\u5236\u5b9a\u5168\u7403\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4e5f\u8bb8\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u5c40\u9762\u4f1a\u7965\u548c\u5f97\u591a\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5177\u5f71\u54cd\u529b \u91d1\u7816\u56db\u56fd\u7684\u5b98\u65b9\u63a5\u89e6\u59cb\u4e8e2006\u5e74\u3002\u5f53\u5e74\u56db\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u957f\u8d81\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u5468\u5e74\u5927\u4f1a\u4e4b\u4fbf\u5728\u7ebd\u7ea6\u4e00\u805a\uff0c\u4f46\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5b9e\u8d28\u4e0a\u7684\u8ddf\u8fdb\u3002\u76f4\u81f3\u4e24\u5e74\u540e\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u7206\u53d1\uff0c\u66b4\u9732\u51fa\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u7f3a\u5931\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u81ea\u7136\u4f1a\u8003\u8651\u5efa\u7acb\u5176\u4ed6\u673a\u5236\u4f5c\u4e3a\u66ff\u4ee3\u3002\u7528\u6700\u8fd1\u897f\u65b9\u6d41\u884c\u7684\u540d\u8bcd\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u4e0d\u8981\u8131\u94a9\uff08decouple\uff09\uff0c\u4e5f\u9700\u8981\u53bb\u98ce\u9669\uff08de-risk\uff09\u3002\u5728\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u7684\u6c1b\u56f4\u4e0b\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56db\u56fd\u4e8e2009\u5e74\u5728\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7b2c\u56db\u5927\u57ce\u5e02\u53ca\u5de5\u4e1a\u4e2d\u5fc3\u53f6\u5361\u6377\u7433\u5821\uff08Yekaterinburg\uff09\u4e3e\u884c\u9996\u6b21\u5cf0\u4f1a\uff0c\u56db\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u9996\u957f\u5747\u6709\u51fa\u5e2d\uff0c\u5e76\u7b7e\u7f72\u5171\u540c\u58f0\u660e\uff0c\u5f3a\u8c03\u4f1a\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u878d\u673a\u6784\u4e2d\u4ee3\u8868\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u3002\u968f\u540e\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u6bcf\u5e74\u5747\u4e3e\u529e\u9996\u957f\u7ea7\u5cf0\u4f1a\uff0c\u4eca\u5e748\u6708\u5728\u5357\u975e\u7ea6\u7ff0\u5185\u65af\u5821\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u5c06\u4f1a\u662f\u7b2c15\u5c4a\u3002\u5357\u975e\u57282011\u5e74\u9996\u6b21\u53c2\u52a0\u5cf0\u4f1a\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56db\u56fd\u9042\u6539\u4e3a\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u3002\u5357\u975e\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u91cf\u76f8\u5bf9\u7ec6\u5c0f\uff0c\u4f46\u5374\u6709\u7740\u4ee3\u8868\u975e\u6d32\u4f17\u591a\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u8c61\u5f81\u610f\u4e49\u3002 \u5982\u9ad8\u76db2001\u5e74\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5728\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u521d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u6210\u7ee9\u9a84\u4eba\u3002\u6309\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u8d2d\u4e70\u529b\u5e73\u4ef7\u7684GDP\u6570\u636e\u6765\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u57282001\u5e74\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5360\u5168\u7403GDP 18.6%\uff0c\u800cG7\u5219\u536043.3%\u3002\u81f32021\u5e74\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u6570\u5b57\u5206\u522b\u4e3a31.8%\u548c30.5%\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5df2\u8d85\u8d8a\u4e86G7\u7684\u4efd\u989d\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5360\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u7ea640%\u3001\u571f\u5730\u9762\u79ef30%\u3001GDP 32%\u4ee5\u53ca\u8d38\u6613\u768420%\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5171\u540c\u70b9\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u90fd\u6709\u76f8\u5f53\u7684\u533a\u57df\u3001\u4ee5\u81f3\u56fd\u9645\u4e0a\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\uff0c\u4ea6\u6709\u4ee5\u81ea\u8eab\u529b\u91cf\u91cd\u5851\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u610f\u613f\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\uff0c\u5176\u4f59\u56fd\u5bb6\u90fd\u662f\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u4ee5\u8d2d\u4e70\u529b\u5e73\u4ef7\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u4eba\u5747GDP\u7ea67000\u591a\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u5357\u975e\u90fd\u662f\u4e00\u4e07\u591a\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5219\u662f3\u4e07\u591a\u3002\u867d\u7136\u4e94\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u9053\u8def\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u4f46\u90fd\u4e0d\u662f\u7d27\u8ddf\u897f\u65b9\u65b0\u81ea\u7531\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u836f\u65b9\u3002 \u6210\u5458\u7ecf\u6d4e\u529b\u53c2\u5dee \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5206\u522b\uff0c\u6bd5\u7adf\u6bd4\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u5171\u540c\u4e4b\u5904\u66f4\u4e3a\u660e\u663e\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u6587\u5316\u548c\u5730\u7406\u73af\u5883\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u5916\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u80fd\u91cf\u4e5f\u5f88\u53c2\u5dee\u30022021\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5360\u4e86\u4e94\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6GDP\u603b\u548c\u768458.6%\u3001\u5370\u5ea621.9%\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af10.3%\u3001\u5df4\u897f7.4%\uff0c\u800c\u5357\u975e\u53ea\u5360 1.9%\u3002\u4e5f\u8bb8\u7531\u4e8e\u6210\u5458\u95f4\u5dee\u5f02\u8f83\u5927\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff0c\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u95f4\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u7279\u522b\u6e05\u6670\u7684\u5f62\u8c61\u3001\u8def\u7ebf\u548c\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u4ea6\u6ca1\u6709\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e2d\u626e\u6f14\u4ec0\u4e48\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u89d2\u8272\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u7684\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5b89\u6392\u76f8\u5bf9\u677e\u6563\uff0c\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5982\u81ea\u7531\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\u6216\u6295\u8d44\u534f\u8bae\u7b49\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002 \u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5728\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u6b21\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fdc\u4e0d\u5982\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u7684\u9996\u5341\u5e74\u3002\u82e5\u6bd4\u8f832001\u81f32011\u5e74\u8fd9\u5341\u5e74\u548c\u968f\u540e\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u5e74\u5747\u590d\u5408\u589e\u957f\u7387\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u75316.1%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f31.5%\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u753113%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f37%\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u75319%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f36.1%\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u753111.7%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f34%\uff0c\u800c\u5357\u975e\u5219\u75315.7%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f32.2%\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u76847%\u548c\u5370\u5ea6\u76846.1%\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u589e\u957f\u7387\u90fd\u4e4f\u5584\u8db3\u9648\u3002\u5982\u6b64\u79cd\u79cd\uff0c\u90fd\u5bb9\u6613\u8ba9\u4e00\u4e9b\u8bba\u8005\u6de1\u5316\u4e86\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u6240\u53ef\u4ee5\u8d77\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u3002 \u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u4ece\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\u6765\u8861\u91cf\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u53ea\u5c5e\u65e9\u671f\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u89d2\u5ea6\u3002\u6bd5\u7adf\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u7740\u773c\u7684\uff0c\u662f\u5728\u5bfb\u627e\u548c\u521b\u9020\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u65b0\u51fa\u8def\u3002\u867d\u7136\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\u672a\u5982\u7406\u60f3\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u5b9e\u529b\u8fd8\u662f\u4e3e\u8db3\u8f7b\u91cd\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\u4fc4\u4e4c\u6218\u4e89\u7206\u53d1\u540e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u53ca\u5357\u975e\u5747\u6ca1\u6709\u5c31\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u8c34\u8d23\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u8bae\u6848\u6295\u8d5e\u6210\u7968\uff0c\u800c\u5df4\u897f\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u535a\u5c14\u7d22\u7eb3\u7f57\uff08Bolsonaro\uff09\u653f\u5e9c\u5219\u652f\u6301\u8bae\u6848\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u6279\u8bc4\u897f\u65b9\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u591a\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u5236\u88c1\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u96c6\u56e2\u8f83\u4e3a\u5b9e\u5728\u548c\u805a\u7126\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u662f\u9488\u5bf9\u5f53\u524d\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u4e3a\u672c\u7684\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u6bd4\u8f83\u660e\u663e\u7684\uff0c\u5c31\u662f2015\u5e747\u6708\u6210\u7acb\u7684\u65b0\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\uff08New Development Bank\uff0cNDB\uff09\u3002\u5982\u5176\u4ed6\u591a\u8fb9\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\u4e00\u6837\uff0cNDB\u662f\u7531\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u53ca\u591a\u4e2a\u653f\u5e9c\u652f\u6301\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u878d\u673a\u6784\uff0c\u957f\u671f\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e88\u57fa\u7840\u5efa\u8bbe\u9879\u76ee\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0cNDB\u7684\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u4e9b\u8fd0\u4f5c\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u591a\u8fb9\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\u4e0d\u540c\u3002 \u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u4e94\u4e2a\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u4eab\u6709\u540c\u7b49\u80a1\u6743\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u56fd\u5bb6\u62e5\u6709\u5426\u51b3\u6743\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u591a\u8fb9\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e00\u822c\u6765\u8bf4\u7533\u8bf7\u8fc7\u7a0b\u7e41\u590d\uff0c\u8d39\u65f6\u751a\u957f\u3002NDB\u5219\u5316\u7e41\u4e3a\u7b80\uff0c6\u4e2a\u6708\u5185\u5b8c\u6210\u6279\u5ba1\u3002\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u94f6\u884c\u8d37\u6b3e\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u786c\u901a\u8d27\u4e3a\u4e3b\uff0c\u4f46NDB\u4ee5\u672c\u5e01\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e3a\u4e3b\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u501f\u65b9\u7684\u57fa\u5efa\u9879\u76ee\u6536\u76ca\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u672c\u5730\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u8fd9\u51cf\u8f7b\u751a\u81f3\u907f\u514d\u4e86\u501f\u65b9\u7684\u6c47\u7387\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4f9d\u8d56\uff0c\u660e\u663e\u662f\u53bb\u7f8e\u5143\u5316\u7684\u4e00\u7740\u3002 \u6309\u6709\u5173\u7684\u7f51\u9875\u8d44\u6599\uff0cNDB\u5df2\u5ba1\u6279\u4e86\u603b\u503c328\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u768496\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u6570\u503c\u8fdc\u5c0f\u4e8e\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u751a\u81f3\u4e9a\u6d32\u53d1\u5c55\u94f6\u884c\uff0c\u4f46NDB\u89c4\u6a21\u4e5f\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e0a\u5c0f\u5f88\u591a\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0cNDB\u5df2\u63a8\u5e7f\u5230\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u4ee5\u5916\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u65b0\u80a1\u4e1c\u5305\u62ec\u5b5f\u52a0\u62c9\u3001\u963f\u8054\u914b\u548c\u57c3\u53ca\u3002\u4e4c\u62c9\u572d\u5c06\u4f1a\u662f\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u4f1a\u5458\uff0c\u800c\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u7684\u7533\u8bf7\u4ea6\u88ab\u8003\u8651\u4e2d\u3002NDB\u65b0\u6210\u5458\u7684\u5f15\u5165\uff0c\u6bd4\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u8fd8\u6765\u5f97\u65e9\u3002 \u53ef\u671b\u4e0e\u897f\u65b9\u5468\u65cb \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u53e6\u6709\u4e00\u9879\u8f83\u5c11\u88ab\u8ba8\u8bba\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u5171\u540c\u51c6\u5907\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a1000\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5e94\u6025\u50a8\u5907\u57fa\u91d1\uff08Contingent Reserve Arrangement\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u63d0\u4f9b\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u6ce2\u52a8\u6216\u8d27\u5e01\u88ab\u7092\u5356\u65f6\u6240\u9700\u8981\u7684\u5916\u6c47\u3002\u4e00\u822c\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff08IMF\uff09\u7684\u529f\u80fd\u5c31\u662f\u4e3a\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u63d0\u4f9b\u6709\u5173\u8d44\u91d1\uff0c\u4f46\u5f88\u591a\u65f6\u8981\u6ee1\u8db3IMF\u5f00\u51fa\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653f\u7b56\u53d8\u76f8\u53d7\u5230IMF\u7684\u5e72\u9884\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fd9\u4e2a\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5c31\u662f\u6446\u8131\u73b0\u6709\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u878d\u6846\u67b6\u7684\u4e00\u6b65\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u591a\u6b21\u63d0\u53ca\uff0c\u8981\u63a8\u51fa\u65b0\u7684\u50a8\u5907\u8d27\u5e01\u5355\u4f4d\uff0c\u5c06\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5176\u6700\u5177\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u73b0\u65f6\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5177\u4f53\u8d44\u6599\uff0c\u4f46\u5a92\u4ecb\u9884\u671f\u4f1a\u662f\u4eca\u5e748\u6708\u5357\u975e\u7ea6\u7ff0\u5185\u65af\u5821\u9996\u957f\u7ea7\u4f1a\u8bae\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u8bae\u9898\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u5230\u65f6\u6709\u6240\u5206\u6653\u3002\u4eca\u5e748\u6708\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u9879\u91cd\u8981\u8bae\u9898\uff0c\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u5438\u6536\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u65b0\u6210\u5458\u3002\u73b0\u65f6\u5df2\u670913\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u6b63\u5f0f\u7533\u8bf7\uff0c\u53e6\u5916\u67096\u4e2a\u975e\u6b63\u5f0f\u63d0\u51fa\u52a0\u5165\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5e76\u975e\u8d38\u6613\u6216\u6295\u8d44\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u6269\u5c55\u4ea7\u54c1\u5e02\u573a\u7b49\u597d\u5904\u3002\u5b83\u53ef\u4ee5\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\uff0c\u5927\u62b5\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u4e8b\u52a1\u6846\u67b6\u4e0b\u548c\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\u5468\u65cb\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec715\u5e74\u7684\u79ef\u7d2f\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u63d0\u4f9b\u8fd9\u4e2a\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002 \u6ce8\uff1ahttp:\/\/www.elcorreo.eu.org\/IMG\/pdf\/Building_Better_Global_Economic_Brics.pdf \u9646\u708e\u8f89\u535a\u58eb \u6e2f\u5927\u7ecf\u7ba1\u5b66\u9662\u8363\u8a89\u526f\u6559\u6388 \uff08\u672c\u6587\u540c\u65f6\u4e8e\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e8c\u4e09\u5e74\u516d\u6708\u4e03\u65e5\u8f7d\u4e8e\u300a\u4fe1\u62a5\u300b\u300c\u9f99\u864e\u5c71\u4e0b\u300d\u4e13\u680f\uff09","og:url":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/research\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches\/%e8%93%84%e5%8a%bf%e5%be%85%e5%8f%91%e7%9a%84%e9%87%91%e7%a0%96%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6%e7%bb%84%e7%bb%87-2\/","article:published_time":"2023-06-08T02:44:45+00:00","article:modified_time":"2023-06-08T02:47:51+00:00","twitter:card":"summary_large_image","twitter:title":"\u84c4\u52bf\u5f85\u53d1\u7684\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7 - HKU Business School","twitter:description":"\u4e0a\u661f\u671f\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\uff08BRICS\uff09\u5728\u5357\u975e\u5f00\u666e\u6566\u53ec\u5f00\u4e86\u5916\u957f\u4f1a\u8bae\uff0c\u671f\u95f4\u5404\u56fd\u4ee3\u8868\u5747\u53d1\u51fa\u4e86\u8f83\u4e3a\u5f3a\u70c8\u7684\u8baf\u606f\uff0c\u91cd\u7533\u4e16\u754c\u662f\u591a\u6781\u5316\u7684\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u7531\u5c11\u6570\u56fd\u5bb6\u64cd\u7eb5\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u79e9\u5e8f\u5e94\u8be5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5411\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u5e73\u8861\uff0c\u800c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5728\u8fd9\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u6216\u7f3a\u7684\u3002\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u9010\u6e10\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u4ee3\u8868\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0eG7\u5de5\u4e1a\u56fd\u6297\u8861\u7684\u5bf9\u53e3\uff0c\u4e89\u53d6\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e8b\u52a1\u7684\u8bdd\u8bed\u6743\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e3b\u529e\u91d1\u7816\u9996\u957f\u7ea7\u5cf0\u4f1a\u65f6\uff0c\u5efa\u8bae\u63a5\u7eb3\u65b0\u6210\u5458\u5e76\u63a2\u8ba8\u6709\u5173\u7a0b\u5e8f\u3002\u5728\u4e0a\u661f\u671f\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e2d\uff0c\u4fbf\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4ee3\u8868\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u5728\u7ebf\u4e0a\u7ebf\u4e0b\u53c2\u4e0e\u4e00\u4e9b\u8ba8\u8bba\u73af\u8282\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u6570\u76ee\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4ee3\u8868\u6027\u3002 \u300c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u300d\u8fd9\u4e2a\u540d\u8bcd\u548c\u6709\u5173\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u7ec4\u5408\uff0c\u6e90\u4e8e2001\u5e74\u6295\u8d44\u94f6\u884c\u9ad8\u76db\u65d7\u4e0b\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u3010\u6ce8\u3011\u3002\u8be5\u62a5\u544a\u539f\u610f\u662f\u63d0\u4f9b\u6295\u8d44\u8baf\u606f\uff0c\u5e2e\u516c\u53f8\u5438\u7eb3\u5ba2\u6237\u8d44\u91d1\u6295\u653e\u5230\u6709\u5173\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u6d89\u53ca\u4efb\u4f55\u56fd\u5bb6\u6216\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u53c2\u4e0e\u3002\u4f5c\u8005Jim O'Neil\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5df4\u897f\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6709\u5f88\u9ad8\u7684\u589e\u957f\u6f5c\u80fd\u3002\u66f4\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u5f71\u54cd\u6df1\u8fdc\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5efa\u8baeG7\u5e94\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u751a\u81f3\u5176\u4ed6\u51e0\u4e2a\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5171\u540c\u534f\u8c03\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u82e5\u679cG7\u65e9\u572820\u5e74\u524d\u5c31\u548c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5e73\u8d77\u5e73\u5750\u3001\u5236\u5b9a\u5168\u7403\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4e5f\u8bb8\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u5c40\u9762\u4f1a\u7965\u548c\u5f97\u591a\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5177\u5f71\u54cd\u529b \u91d1\u7816\u56db\u56fd\u7684\u5b98\u65b9\u63a5\u89e6\u59cb\u4e8e2006\u5e74\u3002\u5f53\u5e74\u56db\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u957f\u8d81\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u5468\u5e74\u5927\u4f1a\u4e4b\u4fbf\u5728\u7ebd\u7ea6\u4e00\u805a\uff0c\u4f46\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5b9e\u8d28\u4e0a\u7684\u8ddf\u8fdb\u3002\u76f4\u81f3\u4e24\u5e74\u540e\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u7206\u53d1\uff0c\u66b4\u9732\u51fa\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u7f3a\u5931\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u81ea\u7136\u4f1a\u8003\u8651\u5efa\u7acb\u5176\u4ed6\u673a\u5236\u4f5c\u4e3a\u66ff\u4ee3\u3002\u7528\u6700\u8fd1\u897f\u65b9\u6d41\u884c\u7684\u540d\u8bcd\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u4e0d\u8981\u8131\u94a9\uff08decouple\uff09\uff0c\u4e5f\u9700\u8981\u53bb\u98ce\u9669\uff08de-risk\uff09\u3002\u5728\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u7684\u6c1b\u56f4\u4e0b\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56db\u56fd\u4e8e2009\u5e74\u5728\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7b2c\u56db\u5927\u57ce\u5e02\u53ca\u5de5\u4e1a\u4e2d\u5fc3\u53f6\u5361\u6377\u7433\u5821\uff08Yekaterinburg\uff09\u4e3e\u884c\u9996\u6b21\u5cf0\u4f1a\uff0c\u56db\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u9996\u957f\u5747\u6709\u51fa\u5e2d\uff0c\u5e76\u7b7e\u7f72\u5171\u540c\u58f0\u660e\uff0c\u5f3a\u8c03\u4f1a\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u878d\u673a\u6784\u4e2d\u4ee3\u8868\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u3002\u968f\u540e\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u6bcf\u5e74\u5747\u4e3e\u529e\u9996\u957f\u7ea7\u5cf0\u4f1a\uff0c\u4eca\u5e748\u6708\u5728\u5357\u975e\u7ea6\u7ff0\u5185\u65af\u5821\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u5c06\u4f1a\u662f\u7b2c15\u5c4a\u3002\u5357\u975e\u57282011\u5e74\u9996\u6b21\u53c2\u52a0\u5cf0\u4f1a\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56db\u56fd\u9042\u6539\u4e3a\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u3002\u5357\u975e\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u91cf\u76f8\u5bf9\u7ec6\u5c0f\uff0c\u4f46\u5374\u6709\u7740\u4ee3\u8868\u975e\u6d32\u4f17\u591a\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u8c61\u5f81\u610f\u4e49\u3002 \u5982\u9ad8\u76db2001\u5e74\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u5728\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u521d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u6210\u7ee9\u9a84\u4eba\u3002\u6309\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u8d2d\u4e70\u529b\u5e73\u4ef7\u7684GDP\u6570\u636e\u6765\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u57282001\u5e74\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5360\u5168\u7403GDP 18.6%\uff0c\u800cG7\u5219\u536043.3%\u3002\u81f32021\u5e74\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u6570\u5b57\u5206\u522b\u4e3a31.8%\u548c30.5%\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5df2\u8d85\u8d8a\u4e86G7\u7684\u4efd\u989d\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5360\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u7ea640%\u3001\u571f\u5730\u9762\u79ef30%\u3001GDP 32%\u4ee5\u53ca\u8d38\u6613\u768420%\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5171\u540c\u70b9\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u90fd\u6709\u76f8\u5f53\u7684\u533a\u57df\u3001\u4ee5\u81f3\u56fd\u9645\u4e0a\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\uff0c\u4ea6\u6709\u4ee5\u81ea\u8eab\u529b\u91cf\u91cd\u5851\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u610f\u613f\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\uff0c\u5176\u4f59\u56fd\u5bb6\u90fd\u662f\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u4ee5\u8d2d\u4e70\u529b\u5e73\u4ef7\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u4eba\u5747GDP\u7ea67000\u591a\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u5357\u975e\u90fd\u662f\u4e00\u4e07\u591a\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5219\u662f3\u4e07\u591a\u3002\u867d\u7136\u4e94\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u9053\u8def\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u4f46\u90fd\u4e0d\u662f\u7d27\u8ddf\u897f\u65b9\u65b0\u81ea\u7531\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u836f\u65b9\u3002 \u6210\u5458\u7ecf\u6d4e\u529b\u53c2\u5dee \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5206\u522b\uff0c\u6bd5\u7adf\u6bd4\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u5171\u540c\u4e4b\u5904\u66f4\u4e3a\u660e\u663e\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u6587\u5316\u548c\u5730\u7406\u73af\u5883\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u5916\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u80fd\u91cf\u4e5f\u5f88\u53c2\u5dee\u30022021\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5360\u4e86\u4e94\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6GDP\u603b\u548c\u768458.6%\u3001\u5370\u5ea621.9%\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af10.3%\u3001\u5df4\u897f7.4%\uff0c\u800c\u5357\u975e\u53ea\u5360 1.9%\u3002\u4e5f\u8bb8\u7531\u4e8e\u6210\u5458\u95f4\u5dee\u5f02\u8f83\u5927\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff0c\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u95f4\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u7279\u522b\u6e05\u6670\u7684\u5f62\u8c61\u3001\u8def\u7ebf\u548c\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u4ea6\u6ca1\u6709\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e2d\u626e\u6f14\u4ec0\u4e48\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u89d2\u8272\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u7684\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5b89\u6392\u76f8\u5bf9\u677e\u6563\uff0c\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5982\u81ea\u7531\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\u6216\u6295\u8d44\u534f\u8bae\u7b49\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002 \u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u5728\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u6b21\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fdc\u4e0d\u5982\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u7684\u9996\u5341\u5e74\u3002\u82e5\u6bd4\u8f832001\u81f32011\u5e74\u8fd9\u5341\u5e74\u548c\u968f\u540e\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u5e74\u5747\u590d\u5408\u589e\u957f\u7387\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u75316.1%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f31.5%\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u753113%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f37%\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u75319%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f36.1%\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u753111.7%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f34%\uff0c\u800c\u5357\u975e\u5219\u75315.7%\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f32.2%\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u76847%\u548c\u5370\u5ea6\u76846.1%\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u589e\u957f\u7387\u90fd\u4e4f\u5584\u8db3\u9648\u3002\u5982\u6b64\u79cd\u79cd\uff0c\u90fd\u5bb9\u6613\u8ba9\u4e00\u4e9b\u8bba\u8005\u6de1\u5316\u4e86\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u6240\u53ef\u4ee5\u8d77\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u3002 \u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u4ece\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\u6765\u8861\u91cf\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u53ea\u5c5e\u65e9\u671f\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u89d2\u5ea6\u3002\u6bd5\u7adf\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u7740\u773c\u7684\uff0c\u662f\u5728\u5bfb\u627e\u548c\u521b\u9020\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u65b0\u51fa\u8def\u3002\u867d\u7136\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\u672a\u5982\u7406\u60f3\uff0c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u5b9e\u529b\u8fd8\u662f\u4e3e\u8db3\u8f7b\u91cd\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\u4fc4\u4e4c\u6218\u4e89\u7206\u53d1\u540e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u53ca\u5357\u975e\u5747\u6ca1\u6709\u5c31\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u8c34\u8d23\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u8bae\u6848\u6295\u8d5e\u6210\u7968\uff0c\u800c\u5df4\u897f\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u535a\u5c14\u7d22\u7eb3\u7f57\uff08Bolsonaro\uff09\u653f\u5e9c\u5219\u652f\u6301\u8bae\u6848\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u6279\u8bc4\u897f\u65b9\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u591a\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u5236\u88c1\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u96c6\u56e2\u8f83\u4e3a\u5b9e\u5728\u548c\u805a\u7126\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u662f\u9488\u5bf9\u5f53\u524d\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u4e3a\u672c\u7684\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u6bd4\u8f83\u660e\u663e\u7684\uff0c\u5c31\u662f2015\u5e747\u6708\u6210\u7acb\u7684\u65b0\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\uff08New Development Bank\uff0cNDB\uff09\u3002\u5982\u5176\u4ed6\u591a\u8fb9\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\u4e00\u6837\uff0cNDB\u662f\u7531\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u53ca\u591a\u4e2a\u653f\u5e9c\u652f\u6301\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u878d\u673a\u6784\uff0c\u957f\u671f\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e88\u57fa\u7840\u5efa\u8bbe\u9879\u76ee\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0cNDB\u7684\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u4e9b\u8fd0\u4f5c\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u591a\u8fb9\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\u4e0d\u540c\u3002 \u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u4e94\u4e2a\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u4eab\u6709\u540c\u7b49\u80a1\u6743\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u56fd\u5bb6\u62e5\u6709\u5426\u51b3\u6743\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u591a\u8fb9\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e00\u822c\u6765\u8bf4\u7533\u8bf7\u8fc7\u7a0b\u7e41\u590d\uff0c\u8d39\u65f6\u751a\u957f\u3002NDB\u5219\u5316\u7e41\u4e3a\u7b80\uff0c6\u4e2a\u6708\u5185\u5b8c\u6210\u6279\u5ba1\u3002\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u94f6\u884c\u8d37\u6b3e\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u786c\u901a\u8d27\u4e3a\u4e3b\uff0c\u4f46NDB\u4ee5\u672c\u5e01\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e3a\u4e3b\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u501f\u65b9\u7684\u57fa\u5efa\u9879\u76ee\u6536\u76ca\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u672c\u5730\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u8fd9\u51cf\u8f7b\u751a\u81f3\u907f\u514d\u4e86\u501f\u65b9\u7684\u6c47\u7387\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4f9d\u8d56\uff0c\u660e\u663e\u662f\u53bb\u7f8e\u5143\u5316\u7684\u4e00\u7740\u3002 \u6309\u6709\u5173\u7684\u7f51\u9875\u8d44\u6599\uff0cNDB\u5df2\u5ba1\u6279\u4e86\u603b\u503c328\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u768496\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u6570\u503c\u8fdc\u5c0f\u4e8e\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u751a\u81f3\u4e9a\u6d32\u53d1\u5c55\u94f6\u884c\uff0c\u4f46NDB\u89c4\u6a21\u4e5f\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e0a\u5c0f\u5f88\u591a\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0cNDB\u5df2\u63a8\u5e7f\u5230\u91d1\u7816\u4e94\u56fd\u4ee5\u5916\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u65b0\u80a1\u4e1c\u5305\u62ec\u5b5f\u52a0\u62c9\u3001\u963f\u8054\u914b\u548c\u57c3\u53ca\u3002\u4e4c\u62c9\u572d\u5c06\u4f1a\u662f\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u4f1a\u5458\uff0c\u800c\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u7684\u7533\u8bf7\u4ea6\u88ab\u8003\u8651\u4e2d\u3002NDB\u65b0\u6210\u5458\u7684\u5f15\u5165\uff0c\u6bd4\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u8fd8\u6765\u5f97\u65e9\u3002 \u53ef\u671b\u4e0e\u897f\u65b9\u5468\u65cb \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u53e6\u6709\u4e00\u9879\u8f83\u5c11\u88ab\u8ba8\u8bba\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u5171\u540c\u51c6\u5907\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a1000\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5e94\u6025\u50a8\u5907\u57fa\u91d1\uff08Contingent Reserve Arrangement\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u63d0\u4f9b\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u6ce2\u52a8\u6216\u8d27\u5e01\u88ab\u7092\u5356\u65f6\u6240\u9700\u8981\u7684\u5916\u6c47\u3002\u4e00\u822c\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff08IMF\uff09\u7684\u529f\u80fd\u5c31\u662f\u4e3a\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u63d0\u4f9b\u6709\u5173\u8d44\u91d1\uff0c\u4f46\u5f88\u591a\u65f6\u8981\u6ee1\u8db3IMF\u5f00\u51fa\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653f\u7b56\u53d8\u76f8\u53d7\u5230IMF\u7684\u5e72\u9884\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fd9\u4e2a\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5c31\u662f\u6446\u8131\u73b0\u6709\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u878d\u6846\u67b6\u7684\u4e00\u6b65\u3002 \u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u591a\u6b21\u63d0\u53ca\uff0c\u8981\u63a8\u51fa\u65b0\u7684\u50a8\u5907\u8d27\u5e01\u5355\u4f4d\uff0c\u5c06\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5176\u6700\u5177\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u73b0\u65f6\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5177\u4f53\u8d44\u6599\uff0c\u4f46\u5a92\u4ecb\u9884\u671f\u4f1a\u662f\u4eca\u5e748\u6708\u5357\u975e\u7ea6\u7ff0\u5185\u65af\u5821\u9996\u957f\u7ea7\u4f1a\u8bae\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u8bae\u9898\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u5230\u65f6\u6709\u6240\u5206\u6653\u3002\u4eca\u5e748\u6708\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u9879\u91cd\u8981\u8bae\u9898\uff0c\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u5438\u6536\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u65b0\u6210\u5458\u3002\u73b0\u65f6\u5df2\u670913\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u6b63\u5f0f\u7533\u8bf7\uff0c\u53e6\u5916\u67096\u4e2a\u975e\u6b63\u5f0f\u63d0\u51fa\u52a0\u5165\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5e76\u975e\u8d38\u6613\u6216\u6295\u8d44\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u6269\u5c55\u4ea7\u54c1\u5e02\u573a\u7b49\u597d\u5904\u3002\u5b83\u53ef\u4ee5\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\uff0c\u5927\u62b5\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u4e8b\u52a1\u6846\u67b6\u4e0b\u548c\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\u5468\u65cb\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec715\u5e74\u7684\u79ef\u7d2f\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u63d0\u4f9b\u8fd9\u4e2a\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002 \u6ce8\uff1ahttp:\/\/www.elcorreo.eu.org\/IMG\/pdf\/Building_Better_Global_Economic_Brics.pdf \u9646\u708e\u8f89\u535a\u58eb \u6e2f\u5927\u7ecf\u7ba1\u5b66\u9662\u8363\u8a89\u526f\u6559\u6388 \uff08\u672c\u6587\u540c\u65f6\u4e8e\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e8c\u4e09\u5e74\u516d\u6708\u4e03\u65e5\u8f7d\u4e8e\u300a\u4fe1\u62a5\u300b\u300c\u9f99\u864e\u5c71\u4e0b\u300d\u4e13\u680f\uff09"},"aioseo_meta_data":{"post_id":"191753","title":null,"description":null,"keywords":[],"keyphrases":{"focus":{"keyphrase":"","score":0,"analysis":{"keyphraseInTitle":{"score":0,"maxScore":9,"error":1}}},"additional":[]},"primary_term":null,"canonical_url":null,"og_title":null,"og_description":null,"og_object_type":"default","og_image_type":"default","og_image_url":null,"og_image_width":null,"og_image_height":null,"og_image_custom_url":null,"og_image_custom_fields":null,"og_video":"","og_custom_url":null,"og_article_section":null,"og_article_tags":[],"twitter_use_og":false,"twitter_card":"default","twitter_image_type":"default","twitter_image_url":null,"twitter_image_custom_url":null,"twitter_image_custom_fields":null,"twitter_title":null,"twitter_description":null,"schema":{"blockGraphs":[],"customGraphs":[],"default":{"data":{"Article":[],"Course":[],"Dataset":[],"FAQPage":[],"Movie":[],"Person":[],"Product":[],"ProductReview":[],"Car":[],"Recipe":[],"Service":[],"SoftwareApplication":[],"WebPage":[]},"graphName":"WebPage","isEnabled":true},"graphs":[]},"schema_type":"default","schema_type_options":null,"pillar_content":false,"robots_default":true,"robots_noindex":false,"robots_noarchive":false,"robots_nosnippet":false,"robots_nofollow":false,"robots_noimageindex":false,"robots_noodp":false,"robots_notranslate":false,"robots_max_snippet":"-1","robots_max_videopreview":"-1","robots_max_imagepreview":"large","priority":null,"frequency":"default","local_seo":null,"breadcrumb_settings":null,"limit_modified_date":0,"ai":null,"created":"2023-06-08 02:40:56","updated":"2023-06-08 02:48:22","seo_analyzer_scan_date":null},"aioseo_breadcrumb":"<div class=\"aioseo-breadcrumbs\"><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/\" title=\"Home\">Home<\/a>\n\t\t<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb-separator\">&raquo;<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches-sc\/\" title=\"\u5a92\u4f53\u62a5\u5bfc\">\u5a92\u4f53\u62a5\u5bfc<\/a>\n\t\t<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb-separator\">&raquo;<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t\t\t\u84c4\u52bf\u5f85\u53d1\u7684\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7\n\t\t<\/span><\/div>","aioseo_breadcrumb_json":[{"label":"Home","link":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/"},{"label":"\u5a92\u4f53\u62a5\u5bfc","link":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches-sc\/"},{"label":"\u84c4\u52bf\u5f85\u53d1\u7684\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec7","link":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/research\/thought-leadership\/opinions-and-speeches\/%e8%93%84%e5%8a%bf%e5%be%85%e5%8f%91%e7%9a%84%e9%87%91%e7%a0%96%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6%e7%bb%84%e7%bb%87-2\/"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/thought-leadership\/191753","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/thought-leadership"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/thought-leadership"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/thought-leadership\/191753\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":191760,"href":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/thought-leadership\/191753\/revisions\/191760"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=191753"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=191753"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}