{"id":162711,"date":"2022-02-16T16:06:23","date_gmt":"2022-02-16T08:06:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/?p=162711&#038;post_type=thought-leadership&#038;preview_id=162711"},"modified":"2022-02-16T16:06:32","modified_gmt":"2022-02-16T08:06:32","slug":"dr-jayson-jia-covid-research-lunarnewyear","status":"publish","type":"thought-leadership","link":"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/sc\/research\/thought-leadership\/research-impacts\/dr-jayson-jia-covid-research-lunarnewyear\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5167\u5730\u864e\u5e74\u6625\u7bc0\uff1a\u300c\u5c31\u5730\u904e\u5e74\u300d\u8207\u300c\u8fd4\u9109\u904e\u5e74\u300d\u4e00\u6a23\u5e78\u798f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u864e\u5e74\u6625\u7bc0\u524d\u5f8c\uff0c\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u5728\u5185\u5730\u591a\u500b\u57ce\u5e02\u518d\u5ea6\u7206\u767c\uff0c\u300c\u5c31\u5730\u904e\u5e74\u300d\u4e5f\u518d\u6b21\u6210\u70ba\u4eba\u5011\u6625\u7bc0\u7684\u9078\u9805\u3002\u9999\u6e2f\u5927\u5b78\u526f\u6559\u6388<a href=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/tc\/people\/jayson-shi-jia\/\">\u8cc8\u8efe<\/a>\u3001\u9999\u6e2f\u4e2d\u6587\u5927\u5b78\uff08\u6df1\u5733\uff09\u6559\u6388\u8cc8\u5efa\u6c11\u3001\u6e05\u83ef\u5927\u5b78\u6559\u6388\u859b\u703e\u548c\u535a\u58eb\u751f\u8881\u97fb\u7b49\u7d44\u6210\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u5718\u968a\u518d\u6b21\u958b\u5c55\u300a\u6625\u7bc0\u5e78\u798f\u611f\u8207\u75ab\u60c5\u61c9\u5c0d\u884c\u70ba\u300b\u7684\u5168\u570b\u6027\u554f\u5377\u8abf\u67e5\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u5718\u968a\u65bc\u6625\u7bc0\u524d\u3001\u5f8c\u901a\u904e\u5167\u5730\u7684\u8abf\u7814\u5e73\u81faCredamo\u5c0d\u540c\u4e00\u7fa4\u9ad4\u958b\u5c55\u5169\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\uff0c\u5206\u5225\u6536\u96c6\u554f\u53773500\u4efd\u548c3016<span>\u4efd\uff0c\u6a23\u672c\u4f86\u81ea\u5168\u570b<\/span>256<span>\u500b\u57ce\u5e02\uff0c\u5e74\u9f61\u6bb5\u4ee5<\/span>20-50<span>\u6b72\u6709\u6625\u7bc0\u63a2\u89aa\u9700\u8981\u7684\u7fa4\u9ad4\u70ba\u4e3b\uff0c\u8986\u84cb\u5404\u985e\u793e\u6703\u7fa4\u9ad4\u8207\u6536\u5165\u968e\u5c64\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_162647\" style=\"width: 1034px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-162647\" class=\"size-large wp-image-162649\" src=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/CNY_China-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"Crowded tourists in face mask in Shanghai\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/CNY_China-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/CNY_China-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/CNY_China-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/CNY_China-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/CNY_China-2048x1365.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/CNY_China-330x220.jpg 330w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-162647\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">(Credit: istock.com\/Robert Way)<\/p><\/div>\n<p>\u8abf\u67e5\u5831\u544a\u986f\u793a\uff0c<strong>\u864e\u5e74 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id=\"attachment_162651\" style=\"width: 1034px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-162651\" class=\"size-large wp-image-162653\" src=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/CNY_China_Family-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"Asian family enjoying dinner during Chinese New Year\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/CNY_China_Family-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/CNY_China_Family-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/CNY_China_Family-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/CNY_China_Family-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.hkubs.hku.hk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/CNY_China_Family-2048x1152.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-162651\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">(Credit: istock.com\/prpicturesproduction)<\/p><\/div>\n<p>\u8abf\u67e5\u5206\u6790\u986f\u793a\uff0c<strong>\u6625\u7bc0\u5047\u671f\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u4eba\u5011\u7684\u805a\u6703\u548c\u5a1b\u6a02\u6d3b\u52d5\uff0c\u63d0\u5347\u4e86\u751f\u6d3b\u6eff\u610f\u5ea6\uff0c\u6e1b\u5c11\u4e86\u8ca0\u9762\u60c5\u7dd2\u3002<\/strong>\u7279\u5225\u662f\uff0c\u5728\u81ea\u5df1\u5bb6\u6216\u89aa\u53cb\u5bb6\u805a\u6703\u3001\u63a2\u671b\u7236\u6bcd\u548c\u8001\u4eba\u3001\u53bb\u516c\u5171\u5834\u6240\u53c3\u52a0\u793e\u4ea4\u805a\u6703\u3001\u53bb\u770b\u96fb\u5f71\u6216\u6f14\u51fa\u3001\u4ee5\u53ca\u53bb\u9910\u9928\u5c31\u9910\u7b49\u6d3b\u52d5\u589e\u52a0\u986f\u8457\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u53bb\u5546\u5834\u8cfc\u7269\u3001\u6236\u5916\u6563\u6b65\u6216\u935b\u7149\u3001\u5728\u7701\u5167\u65c5\u904a\uff08\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u5e02\u5167\u548c\u5468\u908a\u65c5\u904a\uff09\u7b49\u6d3b\u52d5\u4e5f\u6709\u6bd4\u8f03\u986f\u8457\u7684\u589e\u52a0\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6625\u7bc0\u671f\u9593\u4ee5\u4e0a\u6d3b\u52d5\u7684\u589e\u52a0\u6709\u5229\u65bc\u6539\u5584\u4eba\u5011\u7684\u5fc3\u614b\u5065\u5eb7\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u4eba\u5011\u7684\u611f\u77e5\u58d3\u529b\u3001\u611f\u77e5\u7169\u60f1\u548c\u64d4\u6182\u3001\u4ee5\u53ca\u5b64\u7368\u611f\u7b49\u8ca0\u9762\u60c5\u7dd2\u7372\u5f97\u4e86\u986f\u8457\u6e1b\u5c11\uff0c\u5c0d\u751f\u6d3b\u7684\u6eff\u610f\u5ea6\u5f97\u5230\u986f\u8457\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c<strong>\u5317\u4eac\u51ac\u5967\u6703\u548c\u50b3\u7d71\u7684\u6625\u665a\u4e5f\u5c0d\u6c11\u773e\u7684<\/strong><strong>\u6625\u7bc0<\/strong><strong>\u5e78\u798f\u611f\u63d0\u5347\u6709\u986f\u8457\u8ca2\u737b<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u6625\u7bc0\u5047\u671f\u4e2d\uff0c\u9664\u5915\u662f\u6c23\u6c1b\u6700\u9686\u91cd\u7684\u65e5\u5b50\u300289.09%<span>\u7684<\/span>\u53d7\u8abf\u4eba\u7fa4\u611f\u5230\u9664\u5915\u6bd4\u5e73\u6642\u66f4\u52a0\u958b\u5fc3\uff0c\u5f9e\u521d\u4e00\u5230\u521d\u56db\u9019\u4e00\u6bd4\u4f8b\u5206\u5225\u4e0b\u964d\u70ba81.03%<span>\u3001<\/span>62.93%<span>\u3001<\/span>44.63%<span>\u3001<\/span>32.69%<span>\uff0c\u5230\u521d\u4e03\u9019\u4e00\u6bd4\u4f8b\u5df2\u964d\u4f4e\u5230<\/span>11.67%<span>\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u5f71\u97ff\u4eba\u5011\u6625\u7bc0\u5e78\u798f\u611f\u548c\u751f\u6d3b\u6eff\u610f\u5ea6\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/strong>\u6625\u7bc0\u671f\u9593\u8655\u65bc\u4e2d\u3001\u9ad8\u98a8\u96aa\u5730\u5340\u6c11\u773e\u7684\u6625\u7bc0\u5e78\u798f\u611f\uff08\u5206\u5225\u70ba4.89<span>\u3001<\/span>4.88<span>\uff09\u8981\u986f\u8457\u4f4e\u65bc\u4f4e\u98a8\u96aa\u5730\u5340\uff08<\/span>5.54<span>\uff09\u3002<\/span>\u4e2d\u9ad8\u98a8\u96aa\u5730\u5340\u7684\u7fa4\u9ad4\u9762\u81e8\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u611f\u77e5\u58d3\u529b\u3001\u7169\u60f1\u548c\u64d4\u6182\u3001\u4ee5\u53ca\u5b64\u7368\u611f\uff0c\u5c0d\u751f\u6d3b\u7684\u6eff\u610f\u5ea6\u4e5f\u66f4\u4f4e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7531\u65bc\u6625\u7bc0\u524d\u906d\u53d7\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u548c\u9694\u96e2\uff0c\u897f\u5b89\u53d7\u8abf\u8005\u5728\u6625\u7bc0\u524d\u7684\u5e78\u798f\u611f\u6700\u4f4e\uff084.21<span>\uff09\uff0c\u5176\u6b21\u662f\u5929\u6d25\uff08<\/span>4.45<span>\uff09\u548c\u6df1\u5733\uff08<\/span>4.76<span>\uff09\u3002\u6625\u7bc0\u671f\u9593<\/span>\u4e09\u500b\u57ce\u5e02\u7684\u5e78\u798f\u611f\u90fd\u6709\u8f03\u5927\u63d0\u5347\uff08\u5206\u5225\u70ba5.13<span>\u3001<\/span>5.13<span>\u3001<\/span>4.87<span>\uff09\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u8abf\u67e5\u986f\u793a\uff0c<strong>\u6625\u7bc0\u5047\u671f\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u4eba\u5011\u7684\u611f\u77e5\u98a8\u96aa<\/strong>\uff084.07<span>\uff09\uff0c\u5176\u6c34\u6e96\u986f\u8457\u4f4e\u65bc\u6625\u7bc0\u524d\u7684\u611f\u77e5\u98a8\u96aa\uff08<\/span>4.39<span>\uff09\u3002\u8207<\/span>2021<span>\u5e74\u521d\u7684\u8abf\u67e5\u7d50\u679c\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u6c11\u773e\u5c0d\u611f\u67d3\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u611f\u77e5\u98a8\u96aa\u986f\u8457\u63d0\u5347\uff0c\u4f46\u611f\u77e5\u5a01\u8105\u7a0b\u5ea6\u986f\u8457\u6e1b\u5c11\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u5730\u5340\u75ab\u60c5\u98a8\u96aa\u7b49\u7d1a\u7684\u5283\u5206\u5f71\u97ff\u4eba\u5011\u7684\u611f\u77e5\u98a8\u96aa\u6c34\u6e96<\/strong>\u3002\u8655\u65bc\u4e2d\u3001\u9ad8\u98a8\u96aa\u5730\u5340\u6c11\u773e\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u611f\u77e5\u6c34\u6e96\uff08\u5206\u5225\u70ba5.14<span>\u3001<\/span>5.35<span>\uff09\u6975\u70ba\u986f\u8457\u7684\u9ad8\u65bc\u4f4e\u98a8\u96aa\u5730\u5340\uff08<\/span>4.00<span>\uff09\u3002\u540c\u6a23\uff0c\u8655\u65bc\u5c01\u63a7\u5340\u3001\u7ba1\u63a7\u5340\u3001\u6216\u9632\u7bc4\u5340\u6c11\u773e\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u611f\u77e5\u6c34\u6e96\uff08\u5206\u5225\u70ba<\/span>5.69<span>\u3001<\/span>5.26<span>\u3001<\/span>4.73<span>\uff09\u6975\u70ba\u986f\u8457\u7684\u9ad8\u65bc\u5176\u5b83\u5730\u5340\uff08<\/span>3.87<span>\uff09\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u6625\u7bc0\u671f\u9593\u4eba\u5011\u7684\u9632\u8b77\u884c\u70ba\u8655\u65bc\u8f03\u9ad8\u6c34\u6e96, 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