Can Audits Shift the Battleground? Supply Chain Certifications and Conflict Dynamics in the Congo
Professor Hans B. Christensen
Chookaszian Family Professor of Accounting
Booth School of Business
The University of Chicago
We analyze how the audit regime for artisanal and small-scale gold mining—central to the Dodd-Frank Act’s conflict minerals provision—influences conflict dynamics in the eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo. Dodd-Frank enactment did not significantly reduce conflict in gold mining areas or weaken the positive association between conflict and gold prices, suggesting no average deterrence of armed-group financing from small-scale gold mining. This null average effect masks strategic adaptation to avoid adverse audit outcomes. After initial audit visits, violence is displaced away from audited mines, which also experience migration-driven economic growth, with no corresponding change in conflict intensity at the broader territory level. Though based on a small, context-specific sample of audits, the evidence suggests that supply-chain auditing can yield tangible local benefits even when strategic adaptation limits broader relief.
The paper is coauthored with Samuel Chang.

















